lunes, 19 de noviembre de 2018

Nov 19 18 SIT EC y POL



Nov 19 18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


It was all looking so hopeful at around 3amET as the overnight weakness in futures had been ramped into the European open, but as soon as AAPL headlines hit... along with every other previous leader - US equities cratered at the open and barely looked back...
See Chart:


NOTE - there was no dramatic volume selling programs on the day
Dow futs had a 600 point range intraday... (this is the first Dow cash close below 200DMA since Oct 31st)
See Chart:


Only Trannies remain green for November...
For 2018, S&P is now up less than 1% and Nasdaq Composite up only 2.2%...Small Caps and Trannies are negative YTD
See Chart:


Viewed another way: the Nasdaq 100 is still up 4 percent this year. But so good has its performance been in the last decade that a gain of that size qualifies as the second-worst annual return since the bull market began. The index has now had three separate 10 percent corrections in 2018, something that hasn’t happened since the financial crisis.
FANG Stocks at their lowest since February...
See Chart:


VIX jumped back above 20 and the term structure re-inverted...
See Chart:


And investment grade credit risk is now at its widest since Trump's election in Nov 2016 (but still underpriced relative to VIX)...
See Chart:


Suggesting there's a lot more pain to come for stocks...
See Chart:


Treasury yields fell broadly on the day (after being higher overnight)...
See Chart:


10Y Inflation Breakevens plunged to their lowest since Jan 3rd, catching down to crude's collapse...


The Dollar fell for the 4th day in 5, extending losses below the key 97 level...
See Chart:


Finally, we note that Fed rate-hike odds - and trajectory - are tumbling with only 31.5bps of tightening now expected next year and 2020 and 2021 both expected to see rate-cuts...
See Chart:


As markets have entirely decoupled from The Fed...
See Chart:
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"Not only does the price action this year suggest we are in the midst of a bear market--more than 40 percent of the stocks in the S&P 500 are down at least 20 percent--but it also trades like a bear market."

Exhibit 1: Old Habits are Hard to Break. Buy-the-Dip Strategy Not Working This Year for the First Time since 2002
See Chart:


However, this year has been different because as shown in the chart below,monetary stimulus is being removed in a much more deliberate way than we have seen since 2004 and fiscal stimulus has peaked.
See Chart:


So unlike JPMorgan, the bottom line for Morgan Stanley is that until we see buying the dip rewarded or earnings for next year reduced to a level that is achievable, "we recommend trading like it's a bear market rather than a bull."
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For those watching their market gains fade away since the S&P hit its all time high on Sept. 20, some words of consolation: it could be worse. Then again, it can also be better...

While most of the blame for the drop in the market has been attributed to growth and tech stocks, and for good reason as the 13% drop in the Nasdaq 100's highs in the late summer has been the biggest peak-to-trough since 2015, with Amazon alone responsible for 9.25% of the S&P's losses, or just over 20 points, since the highs...
See Chart:


The full list of best and worst performers since the all time highs is below.
See Chart:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio



If you needed more evidence that "Democratic Socialist" Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - who, at 29, is the youngest woman ever elected to Congress - isn't ready for prime time, here it is.

[[ Los misogenos del US (misogyny en ingles) no aceptan que una socialista cometa un ‘lapsus lingua’.. Les debe haber dolido que las mujeres del US sean las verdaderas ganadoras del reciente “Mid Term’ election y seguro no dijeron nada o quizá aplaudieron cuando Trump se atribuyó la victoria.  Detrás de la crítica a Ocasio Cortez hay real miedo al socialismo, por eso no dijeron nada del tema de fondo que ella toco: el problema de la salud en América.

La síntesis de la tesis de Ocasio Cortez está en el video que acompaña esta crítica. Su tesis si es socialista y se resumen en el principio  “the best health for all” .. “La mejor salud para todos”. Esta si es una crítica al fraude que tenemos como sistema de salud: (Brand medicinas para los acomodados y medicina genérica  (o empobrecida) para el resto de la nación. Esto deja claro que la salud sigue siendo un problema de “clase social” en el US, sistema del que solo la Farma (las mafias de grandes Corp privadas) se benefician.

Esto es lo que denuncian los socialistas como Ocasio Cortez, ella puso su dedo en la llaga del sistema podrido que tenemos y los Real Savedra y otros críticos no dijeron nada al respecto. En lugar de debatir con altura el tema de fondo se atacó a Ocasio Cortez a por su lapsus-lingua. Este “argumento” pertenece a los puberts  (los trucos de niños que pasan a la adolescencia mirando la paja en el ojo ajeno y no en el propio). A esto hay que agregar los déficits culturales de familia que estos críticos traen en la cabeza. De forma que además de misogenia vemos aquí pobreza teórica y política.

Si quieren discutir sobre socialismo, tienen que estudiar un poco. Le haría bien preguntarse por qué científicos de fama universal se declararon socialistas.
A Ocasio Cortez le pido que simplemente ignore a estos críticos:  No vale la pena perder pólvora  en gallinazo.]]
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"We promised to change the status quo, and
we intend to deliver on that promise"

[[ Los dos Pdos: Dems & Reps, son financiados por la oligarquia financiera.. Que se partan no importa a Nadie. Lo que sí importa a la nación es crear un fuerte partido socialista y formar un Frente Popular para las elecciones presidenc ]]
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"Actually, the only regime change that is needed is in Washington and it would include Jeffrey, Bolton, Haley, Pompeo, and Miller...None of them are capable of acting to advance any American national interest, which they wouldn’t recognize even if it hit them in the butt. "
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


The third-largest French bank acknowledged violations of U.S. sanctions laws against Iran, Sudan and Cuba starting as far back as 2003 and extending to 2013, and agreed to pay $1.34 billion in all to resolve the settlement.
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"Global economic activity is slowing down, and things are shifting very rapidly now.  The weather is already getting very cold, the mood of the nation is very dark, and it would only take a very small push to send us completely tumbling over the edge."

Bloomberg is admitting that the global economy is heading toward “a generalized slowdown”
These developments suggest the synchronized growth that the global economy has enjoyed in recent years is likely to be replaced by a generalized slowdown. Just take a look at the data out of Japan and Germany this week, which showed the world’s third- and fourth-largest economies contracted in the third quarter.

How many signs is it going to take before people start understanding what is happening?
Wells Fargo just notified about 1,000 employees that they will be laid off.  Job losses are starting to mount, and it is likely that we will start to see these sorts of news stories on an almost daily basis now.

And as the shaking on Wall Street accelerates, we are going to see more financial firms get into trouble.  In fact, we just witnessed the total collapse of OptionSellers.com.  The following comes from a notice that they sent to investors informing them that they lost all their money and that the firm is being liquidated…

I am writing to give you an update on the situation here with your account.
We have spent the week unwinding our short natural gas call position as expediently as possible.

Today which was to be the final day of liquidation, the market flared as prices appear to have been caught in a “short squeeze.”

The speed at which it took place is truly beyond anything I have seen in my career. It overran our risk control systems and left us at the mercy of the market.
In short, it was a rogue wave and it overwhelmed us.
Unfortunately, this has resulted in a catastrophic loss.

Our clearing firm, FC Stone now requires us to liquidate all positions. We hoped to have this done today. If not, it will be completed tomorrow.

Your account could potentially be facing a debit balance as of tomorrow. OptionSellers.com will be processing fee credits over the course of the coming days to help alleviate debit balances. What these will be will be determined after all positions are cleared.
This has in effect, crippled the firm. At this point, our brokers at FC Stone have been assisting us in liquidation.

Our offices will remain open and we will all still be here to answer your questions and process account closings. We will do everything in our power to ease what discomfort we can.
I am truly sorry this has happened.
I will be updating you again via memo in 24 hours.
Regards,
OptionSellers.com

Those investors are among the first to be completely wiped out, but they certainly won’t be the last.

Global economic activity is slowing down, and things are shifting very rapidly now.  The weather is already getting very cold, the mood of the nation is very dark, and it would only take a very small push to send us completely tumbling over the edge.
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


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RT SHOWS

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos


REBELION

BRA   Interrogantes en la era Bolsonaro  Claudio Katz
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ARG   Y Macron se fue a la guerra  Rafael Poch
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Europ   Un frente antifascista europeo?   Héctor Illueca
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ECOL   consumismo y colapso de la civilización   Rómulo Pardo
ECON   Qué es un empleo útil?   Michel Husson
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Perú   El asilo de Alan García   César Zelada
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Cuba   El Partido y la Constitución  J. A. Téllez
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Mund   EEUU abandona el tratado nuclear  Francesc Casadó
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Mex     AMLO y sus tres presiones  Guillermo Almeyra
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ALAI NET

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3


Syria - Back In The Arab Fold   By Moon Of Alabama    Continue
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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