lunes, 12 de noviembre de 2018

Nov 12 18 SIT EC y POL



Nov 12 18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

FUTURES SLIDE AMID EURO, CABLE ROUT; DOLLAR SOARS TO 2018 HIGH

Volumes were subdued with many banks closed for Veteran's Day in the US. Futures on the Nasdaq were flat after large-cap tech shares on Friday dragged the gauge down 1.7%.

See Chart:


Europe saw a sharp selloff in both the EUR and GBP this morning, with the EURUSD breaching 1.1300 to the downside, the lowest print since July 2017 as Brexit deal momentum once again faded, while the Italian budget negotiation failed to make progress ahead of another looming deadline.

See Chart:


With Asia mixed and European risk assets sliding, the Bloomberg dollar index printed fresh YTD highs: “King dollar has staged a return,” Credit Agricole's FX strategist Valentin Marinov said, adding that investors had piled back into the dollar after last week’s Fed meeting confirmed a rate-tightening path. "Euro and pound are both hurt by political risk and that is aggravating  underperformance versus the dollar,” Marinov added.

See Chart:


With Asia mixed and European risk assets sliding, the Bloomberg dollar index printed fresh YTD highs: “King dollar has staged a return,” Credit Agricole's FX strategist Valentin Marinov said, adding that investors had piled back into the dollar after last week’s Fed meeting confirmed a rate-tightening path. "Euro and pound are both hurt by political risk and that is aggravating  underperformance versus the dollar,” Marinov added.

See Chart:

See more Charts at:
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Whether measured in in BTU/oil barrels equivalent or in US dollars, the reversal in energy balances from a deficit into a surplus happened in October 2018.

The reason: as of October, the US is now energy independent for the first time,which is a seismic change considering that just 10 years ago, America was spending 3% of GDP buying foreign energy in 2008, but its energy trade balance is now positive.

See Charts:


Helped by higher prices, total oil production has hit a record level in the US, reaching a combined 15.9 million b/d (crude oil and NGLs) in the past month and almost 2mn b/d above last year.

See Chart:


The larger-than-expected surge in North American oil volumes has come primarily from the Permian, Canada's oil sands, and more recently, the Gulf of Mexico.

See Chart:

See more chart at:
SOURCE:
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-12/october-2018-us-now-energy-independent
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The Permian oil differentials are less of an issue for the bigger companies

In recent months, pipeline capacity shortage in the Permian has been the center of shale drillers and oil analysts’ attention as much as the surging production from this fastest-growing U.S. oil region that has helped total American crude oil production to exceed 11 million bpd for the first time ever.

See Chart:


The majority of company executives and industry analysts expect that the Permian bottlenecks and the wide WTI Midland to Cushing price differential are transitory issues that will go away by the end of 2019, when many of the new pipelines out of the Permian will have started operations.  

A total of 70 percent of executives surveyed expect the oil price differentials between WTI Midland and Cushing to have a slightly negative impact on oil production growth in the Permian over the next six months. That’s compared to 17 percent who see significantly negative impacts, and 12 percent expect no impact.

See Chart:

Shale pioneer Mark Papa, currently chairman and CEO at Delaware Basin-focused Centennial Resource Development, also sees pipeline constraints overcome by the end of 2019, but warned that constraints in the longer term could be coming with shortage of workers.
“Some of the other issues like personnel and water handling issues are some of the more long term issues,” Papa has recently told Bloomberg.
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Is there manipulation of prices? ..  Or is a fabricated data on the miracle Permian oil?

“Hopefully, Saudi Arabia and OPEC will not be cutting oil production. Oil prices should be much lower based on supply!

See Chart:

“If we believe that Saudi Arabia will cut supply we’ll see what happens in December, but this will tighten up the market and should rally things up a bit,” said Bart Melek, head of global commodity strategy at TD Securities in Toronto.

“I wouldn’t be too surprised to see crude head back closer to recent highs, maybe not to the October levels, but certainly off the recent lows.”

For now, that's not happening.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


[[ Could be either Dems & Reps.. The billionaires of both of them are allow to invest & buy elections (starting with the press) .. Los superpacks crearon la corrupcion de Hillary.. plus]]
"The AVIS employee didn't know what to do. [ after placing it? ] No one wanted to touch the boxes or take responsibility for them."
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"The prospect of Presidential Harassment by the Dems is causing the Stock Market big headaches!"

Last Wednesday's euphoric post-midterm election market surge, which was the second biggest post-election rally since 1982...
... is now history, with the S&P virtually unchanged, and the Nasdaq now below last week's post election ignition point.

See Chart:

Which, paradoxically, is what Trump "predicted" two weeks ago when the president said that the market would drop if democrats won the election. In retrospect, it appears he may have been right.  [[ we got tramped double .. by his words and by his facts ]]
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With the two giant wildfires in northern and southern California projected to result in $25 billion in damages, the shares of California's two largest utility owners have crashed the most in  nearly two decades
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


The US Treasury said the Iranian Central Bank has been officially cut off the SWIFT financial messaging system. The disconnection, which comes at a time when Iran's economy is reeling and its currency is tumbling as a result of restricted oil exports
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Isn't it obvious that repeating the policies of 2009 won't be enough to save the system from a long-delayed reset?

Isn't it obvious that repeating the policies of 2009 won't be enough to save the system from a long-delayed reset?

2019 is shaping up to be the year in which all the policies that worked in the past will no longer work. 
The vast flood of low-cost credit and liquidity encouraged corporations to borrow money and use it to buy back their stocks, boosting per-share earnings and sending stocks higher for a decade.
The success of these policies has created a dangerous confidence that they'll work in the next global recession, currently scheduled for 2019.

When all central banks pursued roughly the same policies, capital had options. Now that the Fed has broken away from the pack, capital has only one option: the U.S. The Federal Reserve should have begun normalizing rates etc. back in 2013, and if they'd been wise enough to do so then even baby steps over the past 5 years would have led to a fairly normalized financial environment.

See Chart:


NOW Central banks have inflated assets into the stratosphere, there's $300 trillion in global financial assets sloshing around seeking higher yields and capital gains. How much of this $300 trillion can central banks buy before they destabilize currencies? How much can they buy before they run out of political goodwill?

See Chart:

Isn't it obvious that repeating the policies of 2009 won't be enough to save the system from a long-delayed reset?
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US equity futures are stumbling lower following a WSJ report that the Trump administration is expending its China trade war beyond tariffs to counter IP theft.

US equity futures are stumbling lower following a WSJ report that the Trump administration is expending its China trade war beyond tariffs to counter IP theft.
Nasdaq futures are leading the decline..

See Chart:


For now, the post-Midterms gains have been erased...
See Chart:
SOURCE:
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Adding insult to injury, the US is paying "hundreds of billions of dollars" for the privilege of "losing hundreds of billions of dollars" with these countries on trade.
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


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RT SHOWS

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos


REBELION

USA       Empate con sabor a poco  Atilio A. Boron
                
               
              Trump: el arte de caer de pie  Rodolfo Bueno
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BRA        Lecciones de una democracia en crisis  Guilherme Boulos
                Bolsonaro: democ entre la economía y la seguridad  EC
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                Arg: Recesión, ajuste y repres preventiva  JC. Gambina
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MX         éxodo: Con el norte bien claro  Eliana Gilet
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Españ      El "efecto llamado" fascismo  Rosa María Artal
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Cuba      ¿Para qué necesitamos un presidente?  Ariel Dacal Díaz
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ALAI NET

                El capital y la democracia descartable Santiago Mayor   
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             Vacas sagradas   Gustavo Espinoza M.
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Ecuad    Correísmo y morenismo   Juan Paz y Miño C.     
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Chile     ¿Ruido de sables en el ejército?  Arturo A Muñoz           
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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3


Celebration of Killing and Dying?  By Camillo Mac Bica    Continue
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The Prevalence of Myth over History  By Paul Craig Roberts    Continue 
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Crucifying Julian Assange   By Chris Hedges
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics


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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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DEMOCRACY NOW
Political News on our Rulers


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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