domingo, 2 de septiembre de 2018

Sat SEP 1 18 SIT EC y POL



Sat  SEP 1  18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


The future of US Economy.. is everything awesome?
"A shock turns into a crisis when the system is unprepared for it. The system is often at its most vulnerable near the end of the global economic cycle when excesses have built up and managing risks may have been neglected."


Key Points
  • It’s been 10 years since a U.S. financial shock turned into a crisis in the global financial, market and economic system.
  • A shock turns into a crisis when the system is unprepared for it. The system is often at its most vulnerable near the end of the global economic cycle when excesses have built up and managing risks may have been neglected.
  • The global economic, financial and market system now seems better prepared to manage the shocks of the past were they to repeat in the future. But there are other increased vulnerabilities including: high debt levels, political fragmentation, dependence on international sales, little fiscal or monetary policy ammunition, and the rise of passive investments.
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Let’s see them:
Hundreds of shocks turned into relatively few crises that hit stocks
See Chart:


Oil consumption relative to GDP continues to decline
See Chart:


Inflation (CPI year-over-year % change) for selected countries
See Chart:


Current accounts in balance
See Chart:


Valuation comparison by industry: March 2000 peak and July 2018
See Chart:


Global debt has nearly tripled since 2001
See Chart:


IMF expects debt-to-GDP to worsen for the U.S.
See Chart:



Companies in most countries get most of their sales from outside their borders
See Chart:


Central bank balance sheets have bloated since 2008-09 global financial crisis
See Chart:


Passive may exceed 50% market share by 2021

Different vulnerabilities may mean different risks
Market watchers tend to look for the signs that in the past signaled a shock was developing into a crisis. Yet, there are some reasons to think that the probability of a repeat of a past crisis or something similar has eased. The changes we have seen should help reduce the vulnerability of the global system to shocks like those of the past. 

Of course, risk has not been entirely eliminated from the system Vulnerabilities have shifted which may make the shocks that pose the greatest risk of a crisis somewhat different than those of the past. Of these, the potential risk posed by a shock from higher interest rates coupled with a stronger U.S. dollar may pose the greatest threat to a vulnerable financial and economic system.
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On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero... 
but how does it happen?
See Chart:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo


"If we don’t make a fair deal for the U.S. after decades of abuse, Canada will be out. Congress should not interfere w/ these negotiations or I will simply terminate NAFTA entirely & we will be far better off."
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Illinois is broke

According to a new report by Moody’s Investors Service, Illinois’ unfunded pension liabilities equaled 601% of state revenues in 2017, a U.S. record.
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...though McCain’s pathological hatred of Russia
made him stand apart from his“deep state” peers.
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...stained with crimes of ecocide.
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo


"The underperformance of non-US equities to US equities is reaching levels normally only exceeded in bear markets."
See Chart:
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...the country is expected to be a net oil exporter for every year until 2024, when oil production is forecast to exceed consumption due to expected start-up of new developments...
See Chart:
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Russia’s contract with NASA to carry astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS) will end in April 2019...
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"Cryptocurrencies show promise as economies
stumble under sanctions and other pressures..."
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"In 2013, top Obama Administrationofficials described their policy in the Syrian War as one of keeping the war going...The Trump Administration seems to be slipping into that same destructive set of priorities in Syria. "
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Pro WW3 policies continue
“We must push the boundaries of technology and own the high ground in this era of great power competition and beyond.”
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Two weeks after the school bus bombing the US began soliciting contractors to train Royal Saudi Air Force pilots on American soil, records show. 
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US  inside  GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


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RELATED 1:
RELATED 2:
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RT SHOWS

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Keiser Report   Episode 1274   Max and Stacy discuss the legacy of John McCain: from the Keating Five to what CNBC calls the ‘anti-dollar awakening.’
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am NEW FOCUS: alternat to neo-fascist regimes, breaks to HR, Peace & support to US-terrorism 


                Increíble prop:  armar a los docentes en las escuelas AG y DM
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BRA        ’La Justicia’ impugnó la candidatura de Lula  Boicot to Elec may come
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ARG       Sin país no hay universidad  Alejandro Grimson
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ALC        Plebiscitos y movimientos antisistémicos  Raúl Zibechi
                -Feministas denuncian alza de feminicidios en Puerto Rico  WRS
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FEM       Aborto & Cta Rica La discusión es aborto legal o aborto clandestino FP
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ECON    ARG 10 mitos y verdades del G20  Asamblea NO al G20
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OPIN     -El retorno de la historia  José María Agüera
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                - TLC sólo beneficia a empresarios multimillonarios Pedro Echeverría
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                -Sindicación de trabajadoras sexuales  Gloria Marín Viento Sur
                - Ocupación, autogestión, cambio político S Cuadra  Viento Sur
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Ecua       -Moreno, un neoliberal más  Alberto Acosta y John Cajas
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Cuba      -La fuerza creadora del pueblo   Yassel A. Padrón
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                    Debates :  Machismo y antifeminismo  Teresa Maldonado
                    ETA Persistencia del conflicto vasco en el Estado español  T M
                    Ciencia: Ecologismo, el rigor y futuro de la humanidad L R et al
                    E Cano: segurid en Am Lat: la fantasía de buenos y malos  DL
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Keiser Report   Fraude perfectamente legal
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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