sábado, 27 de enero de 2018

THE PIE IS SHRINKING SO MUCH The 99% Are Beginning To Starve




[[ MY MESSAGE:  NEOLIBERAL SYSTEM IS NOT FOR YOU..
WE HAVE TO PUT IT DOWN! ]] Note from Hugo Adan.

 
This chart 5 depicts the remarkable (and recent) concentration of wealth in the hands of the few, who now garner the vast majority of gains in the nation’s household income
Unfortunately we couldn’t copy chart 5, is blocked. Go to the website above

How much longer until the pitchforks come out?

[ Here only extracts: go to the original version above ]

Social movements arise to solve problems of inequality, injustice, exploitation and oppression. In other words, they are solutions to society-wide problems plaguing the many but not the few (i.e. the elites at the top of the wealth-power pyramid).

The basic assumption of social movements is that Utopia is without reach, if only the sources of the problems can’t be identified and remedied.  Since inequality, injustice, exploitation and oppression arise from the asymmetry of power between the few (the financial and political elites) and  the many, the solution is a reduction of the asymmetry; [-REV -] that is a tectonic realignment of the social structure that shifts some power—economic and/or political—from the few to the many.

In some instances, the power asymmetry is between ethnic or gender classes, or economic classes (for example, labor and the owners of capital).

Two dynamics assist a social, political and economic resolution [-rev-] that transfers power from those with too much power to those with too little power:
 
1) the engines of the economy have shifted productive capacity definitively in favor of those demanding their fair share of power, and
2) the elites recognize that their resistance to power-sharing invites a less predictable and thus far more dangerous open conflict with forces that have much less to lose and much more to gain.

In other words, ceding 40% of their wealth-power still conserves 60%, while stubborn resistance might trigger a revolution that takes 100% of their wealth-power. History provides numerous examples of these dynamics.

The Expanding Pie Fueled Expanding Entitlements
Writer Ugo Bardi recently drew another distinction between Left and Right social movements: Traditionally, the Left has emphasized rights while the Right has emphasized duties.

As rights manifested as economic entitlements rather than political (civil liberty) entitlements, rights accrue economic costs.

I would argue that the cost was also paid by higher productivity enabled by the technological, financial and social innovations of the Third Industrial Revolution, roughly speaking the interconnected advances of the second half of the 20th century.

These advances can be characterized as expanding the economic pie; that is, generating more energy, credit, technological tools, opportunities, security and capital (which includes financial, infrastructural, intellectual and social capital) for all to share in a socio-political-financial allocation broad enough to make everyone feel like they were making some forward progress.

This long-term, secular expansion of the pie naturally generated more demands for additional entitlements and rights, as the economy could clearly support the extra costs of allocating additional wealth and resources to the many. 

But in the 21st century, the expansion of the pie stagnated, and for many, it reversed. Adjusted for real-world inflation many households have seen their net incomes and wealth decline in the past decade.  .. Despite the endless media rah-rah about “growth” and “recovery,” it is self-evident to anyone who bothers to look beneath the surface of this facile PR that the pie is now shrinking. This dynamic is increasing inequality rather than reducing it.

THE SHRINKING PIE AND STAGNANT PRODUCTIVITY

It is a truism of economics that widespread increases in productivity are required to generate equally widespread increases in income and capital, i.e. productive wealth. To the consternation of many, productivity has stagnated since 2010; no wonder household income for all but the upper crust has gone nowhere.

If we glance at a chart of productivity, we see a strong correlation with speculative investment bubbles (the dot-com and housing bubbles 1995-2005) and speculative spikes fueled by central bank monetary stimulus (2009-10).  With bubbles and monumental excesses of central bank stimulus, productivity quickly sinks to its secular trend line: DOWNWARDS. [ see chart below ]


This next chart depicts the long-term trend line of productivity through all four industrial revolutions. Note the decline concurrent with the 4th Industrial Revolution (mobile telephony, the Internet, AI, robotics, peer-to-peer networks, etc.) and the depletion of cheap-to-access-and-refine oil:


The unwelcome reality is that the economy is changing in fundamental ways that cannot be reversed with policy tweaks, protests or wishful thinking.

Consider the percentage of the gross domestic product (GDP) that goes to employee compensation (wages and salaried). Labor’s share of the GDP has been in a downtrend since 1970, which not coincidentally was the peak of secular productivity:


In this below chart of the distribution of wealth in the U.S., we find the same correlation to the downtrends in productivity and labor’s share of the economy.  The income growth of the bottom 90% of households (the many) topped out in the early 1980s and has declined precipitously since, while the wealth of the top 0.1% (the few) has more than tripled since the late 1970s:


This next chart depicts the remarkable (and recent) concentration of wealth in the hands of the few, who now garner the vast majority of gains in the nation’s household income:
See chart 5: Distribution of Wealth in the US since 1917 in the source of this Art:
 
OR GO TO THE ORIGINAL SOURCE:
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