lunes, 29 de enero de 2018

JAN 29 18 SIT EC y POL 1



JAN 29 18 SIT EC y POL 1
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

Status of the US economic crisis today:
Worst day for stocks and bonds in 6 weeks...
See chart: 

VIX remains notably divergent...

Energy, Utes, Tech, and Financials took a dive today...

Airlines saw no bip-buyers...
Krishna Mohan, Jitesh Thakkar, Jiongsheng Zhao, James Vorley, Cedric Chanu and Andre Flotron

The Dollar rebounded - most since October - briefly but once it tagged Trump's rescue bid highs, it rolled over for the rest of the day

The Dollar's modest gain was enough to spook commodities which were all lower today...
See chart: 

Finally, we noted that investors can now earn 35bps more yield on a 2Y Treasury note than on the S&P's dividend yield - the most since Aug 2008...
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" What the net effect will be in 2018 remains to be seen, but the organic trend is down and negative. A familiar pattern that has presaged recessions to come."

I’ll leave you with another macro chart to noodle on. Federal receipts as a percent of GDP have been falling to negative, including in 2017:
See chart:
See more charts here:
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The dollar bomb: 
Description: https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/styles/teaser_small/public/2018-01/20180129_pump.jpg?h=26033a8d&itok=uZ06XO5R"All seems to be well. Or does it?"

Most early business cycle indicators suggest that the global economy is pretty much roaring ahead. Production and employment are rising. Firms keep investing and show decent profits. International trade is expanding. Credit is easy to obtain. Stock prices keep moving up to ever higher levels.  All seems to be well. Or does it?

Unfortunately, the economic upswing shows the devil’s footprints: central banks have set it in motion with their extremely low, and in some countries even negative, interest rate policy and rampant monetary expansion.
A destructive side effect of fiat money is that the economy’s level of debt keeps rising over time: The growth of credit keeps outpacing production gains. This is because in a fiat money regime, credit-financed investments fall short of their expected profitability, and credit-financed consumption is unproductive. Quite a few investments turn out to be “flops. The economy gets caught in a debt trap. Credit-financed consumption and government spending make it even worse. To be sure: IT HAS BECOME A PROBLEM ON A GLOBAL SCALE.
See charts in the  Source of this art:
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Policy makers around the world might feel like patting themselves on the back for slaying the deflationary dragon in recent years - even Japan has enjoyed sustained price gains - but as Bloomberg's Mark Cudmore warns   "not so fast."
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"There seems to be a very large consensus that markets have entered into a 'permanently high plateau'...this fairytale-like mindset has created an overwhelming sense of complacency... The next bear market will not be like the last, because it will be spread across the entire financial ecosystem.."
See chart:
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We highlight major spending announcements by S&P 500 companies since tax reform was passed, including one-time bonuses, base wage increases, hiring plans, capex, charitable contributions and more.
See charts:
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Aside from credit worthiness and employment status, auto lenders rely mostly on LTV ratios and maturity variations to measure risk. However, little attention is given to the performance of the asset that backs the loans.

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"We are not far from a point where nobody will be able to believe anything official in this land...These are conditions that can blow a society up for real."
For those of us who are not admirers of President Trump, it’s even more painful to see the Democratic opposition descend into the stupendous dishonesty of the Russian Collusion story. When the intelligentsia of the nation looses its ability to think — when it becomes a dis-intelligentsia — then there are no stewards of reality left. Trump is crazy enough, but the “resistance” is dragging the country into dangerous madness.
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POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo


"...in the Swiss resort, there’s almost a sense of euphoria, it is extraordinary, and I think there’s a sense of complacency...but out there among the masses, there’s an avalanche of discontent..."
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WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo


“Hezbollah will not need to equip themselves with ships like Israel, but we must assume they will use asymmetric warfare to challenge Israeli technology like land-to-sea missiles or suicide ships like you see in Yemen,”
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"The only precedent for the scale of the central bank balance sheet expansion of the past nearly 10 years was during World War II..."


This raises the critical issue of central bank credibility. For the risk raised by the Fed’s attempt to normalize is that a stock market downtown may force it to reverse course; and with such a reversal there is a much greater risk of a resulting loss of central bank credibility.
This is because markets may conclude that central banks will never be able to exit so-called unorthodox monetary policy.
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"On Jan. 29, 2018, a US EP-3 Aries aircraft was intercepted by a Russian Su-27. This interaction was determined to be unsafe due to the Su-27 closing to within five feet and crossing directly through the EP-3's flight path."
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DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis: Trump captured by Deep state to reproduce old cronyism without alter-plan


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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars:  its profiteers US-NATO


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3


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COUNTER PUNCH 


Elizabeth Currans – Sylvanna Falcón  Feminist Progress is Not Linear
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
Geopolitics & the nasty business of US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered ..


RELATED:
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RT SHOWS
CrossTalk   Bullhorns: Memo-gate
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to break with Empire: 


                -llama que encendió Primav Árabe en Túnez vuelve a arder   Emma G
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Israe      Qué significa ser israelí hoy   Marcelo Svirsky
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Econ      - recuperación econó en manos de una minoría  OXFAM/Intermon
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Iran        Ent a kurda Maryam F: El “engaño” del gobierno de Irán  A Pérez
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Cultu     -The Deuce :  Periferias  Guillermo Paniagua
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                -contra la persecución a op:  Sin miedo y con pluralidad de voces
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ECOL      -Cuba: Lo que el viento trae a Cuba 
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ALC        -USA y su impacto en Amé Lat y el Caribe  Silvina M Romano
                - de Ven a Boliv: Cómo se produce una “rev de colores”?  Rafael B
                -BRA: -  - Lula y los vericuetos de la justicia  Barbara Ester
                                - La condena a Lula y el futuro de Brasil  Ariel Goldstein
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Cuba      -“Árbol que nace torcido”   Cooperativas no agropecuarias   Ariel D
                -Sin contratos con la trata   Alejandra García
                -Los héroes y los escaños parlamentarios   Milena Recio
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                - ¡Pobre del pobre!, vuelve Piñera    Cecilia Vergara
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                Con idiotas en el poder de ambas Koreas es difícil la unificación
                Que pena que se pierda esta hermosa ocasión para avanzar
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Los cárteles mexicanos cambian droga por petróleo  que raro que no entren al bitoin
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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers..


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