JAN 25 17 SIT EC y POL
ZERO HEDGE, BLOOMBERG & WS-J
ECONOMICS
World context:
We have
an economic crisis - centered on the persistent elusiveness of real growth,
rather than just monetized debt masquerading as 'growth'; and a political
crisis - in which even ‘Davos
man’, it seems, according to their own World Economic Forum polls, is anxiously losing his faith in 'the system' itself.
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As the attached chart shows, we are now 11.2 months removed from the bottom of the last
correction. Which to InvesTech means "the
market is overdue for at least a 5% correction."
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Unfortunately, at least for those of us that
prefer not to day trade our primary residence, America's home flippers are making a big come back in 2016 with
home flips accounted for 6.1% of all U.S. home sales, the highest share since
2006 when flips accounted for 7.3% of sales.
…
As Bloomberg
points out, the cities where home flipping seems to be the most
pervasive are all the same ones that suffered the biggest boom/bust during the
last cycle. Perhaps we could suggest that the people of Las Vegas need to
just do all their gambling INSIDE the casinos from now on.
Of course, rising home prices are responsible for luring
Americans back into the home flipping game...because everyone gets to
look like a genius real estate investor in a rising market.
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The trend in 'actual' earnings has been
dismal.. but the trend in 'hope' has been exceptional. Will hope prove right?
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We are heading into a new depression. It is not coming. It is already here but
we are only in the beginning so it may not be easy for many people to
see just yet. Once it is easy to see it will be too late for any meaningful
actions to mitigate the effects. Just as you must
prepare for a tornado ahead of time, you
must prepare for economic conditions early.
We have 20 trillion in debt, over 200 trillion in
unfunded liabilities and over a quadrillion in derivatives held by the banks.
Our GDP is only about 17 trillion a year and world GDP is only about 60
trillion. It does not take a math wiz to realize that even if we are not paying
any interest at all on this massive debt, there is no way to ever pay it all
back short of some type of default.
That is what depressions do. ... That means we are in for a very bad ride in the near
future.
The depression of the 1930’s
was a deflationary one in nature. People
lost their jobs, prices fell and cash was king. People holding bonds did very
well. In an inflationary depression,
prices rise, people will get paid in increasingly worthless paper and bonds
will collapse. Banks will enact bail-ins to stay solvent and people will go
broke while holding piles of cash.
In the end the inflationary
depression will end with the currency collapsing and people losing everything
they have that is not fully owned. Eventually
we will see deflation as prices fall due to the destruction of the monetary
system. At this point most people will be financially devastated. Those that
make it to this point with their wealth in tact will be the new wealthy class.
So how can a person survive
something like this? You simply
need to focus on the needs of your family over this period of time. .. If your home is paid for, your car is paid for and you have a
supply of energy or a way to produce it yourself, it will not matter to you how
fast prices are changing or how much money you bring home every week. You
will be able to live outside of the rapidly changing economy. The rapid changes
that will destroy others will only provide you a glancing blow.
Those that survive on credit will
be devastated as their access to credit is cut off and they become unable to
continue making payments on their possessions. They will be
devastated even if they still have a paying job.
The whole of the production and distribution system depends
on 30 day credit. When the credit system ceases to function, goods will stop
being produced and transported. This will lead to
high prices and few goods to buy. So even if you have a bag full of money you
may not be able to buy what you want at some point.
Just like a tornado that tears
through a community, a depression can leave the people without the resources
they need unless they have them hidden away safely for future use following the
event. This is why having resources, real physical goods, put
away now will allow you to thrive when the system fails. When the system
resets, you will not get a second chance to do it right. You only have one shot
and that requires you to finalize your preparations now while you still can
make a difference.
The whole point of preparing for
this type of upheaval is to maintain a standard of living that you find
acceptable. Lack of preparation in
this type of event will likely find you living much poorer than you would like.
If you are successful in maintaining your standard of living and preserving
your wealth throughout this event you will have won the battle and set yourself
up for a better future when things stabilize.
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In
short, the water affordability crisis is not something that is a few decades
off, or even a single decade off: More
than 40 million American citizens could find themselves unable to afford water
in the next five years if both stagnating incomes and increasing water prices
stay on their current trajectories. Resource scarcity breeds conflict.
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It's
your choice, America - you can
keep your cartels and the captured government that enables and protects them, or you can fix what's broken and unaffordable.
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Although the stock market is giddy from President Trump’s pro-growth
policies, there is another constituent not quite so enamored with recent
developments...the more Trump pushes on the fiscal accelerator, the harder the Fed will
lean on the brake.
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POLITICS
T racist attack on Latinos immigrants are very aggressive and
fascistic
While we are sure Mayors de Blasio (New York) and Emanuel (Chicago) are
compassionate men who want nothing more than to ensure the safety of illegal
immigrants in their cities, we couldn't help but notice that, following Trump's
decision to defund so-called Sanctuary cities, the sound and fury spewing forth from various
municipalities today was perfectly correlated with the size of taxpayer-money
they received from Obama.
…
As
Reuters reports, U.S. President Donald Trump's attempt to strip municipalities of federal dollars
for shielding illegal immigrants threatens $2.27 billion in annual funds for
the nation's ten largest cities, a
Reuters analysis of federal grants found. While Trump has the authority to cut
some kinds of funding to the cities, cuts to other federal funding would
require an act of Congress. The total amount remains
unclear, as federal money can be filtered through state governments or granted
directly to social-service organizations or other groups. The
numbers do not include federal money for law enforcement, which was excluded in
the executive order, and programs like Medicaid, which are administered by
state governments.
Trump plans to make good on his campaign pledge to block
federal funding to states and cities where local law enforcement refuse to
report undocumented immigrants they encounter to federal authorities, White House
press secretary Sean Spicer said.
"The
American people are no longer going to have to be forced to subsidize this
disregard for our laws,” Spicer said.
Spicer said an executive order signed by Trump on Wednesday directs the
Secretary of Homeland Security to look at federal
funding to cities to figure out "how we can defund those streams."
..
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"Our negotiating positions are totally
different. Mexico is being hung out of an skyscraper window by its feet,"
a Canadian government source said. "Mexico
is in a terrible, terrible position. We are not."
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So how
much did Blackstone promise to give to the Obama library for this
huge grift, um, parting gift?
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WORLD ISSUES and ME
"If a trade war developed between the two
countries, both China and the U.S. would be negatively impacted," the
People's Daily warned in a commentary. "In the end neither side would win,
it would bring harm to other countries and that harm would be brought to others
without benefits to the U.S. or China." Here is a quick look at the
biggest losers...
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The Trump administration is
preparing a set of executive orders aimed at isolating the US and which would
allow the United States to "drastically reduce" its role and involvement in
the United Nations and other international organizations, "as well as begin a process to review and potentially abrogate
certain forms of multilateral treaties, officials said." The order calls for
then enacting “at least a 40% overall
decrease” in remaining United States funding toward international
organizations.
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Faced
with a Tweeter-in-chief, how are investors to navigate what’s ahead? Is there a
strategy behind President Trump’s outbursts; and if so, how shall investors
position themselves to protect their portfolios or profit from it?
…
So what have we learned from our Tweeter-in-Chief?
- Trump likes to take credit, but does not like to own problems
- There’s method to what appears to some as madness
- New policies may be hiding in plain sight
More subtitles:
Not
owning problems
Trump says he is a "winner." To defend this
brand, he disavows any potential problems.
New policies may be hiding in plain sight
Fiscal policy.
Taxes.
Trade.
Defense.
Regulation.
So what does
it all mean for investors?
TO READ IT, OPEN:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-01-25/tweetonomics-axel-merk-implications-realdonaldtrump
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Bush torture center to be re-opened.. though is only a draft,
say today
Earlier today, the New York Times published a 3-page draft of
an executive order, allegedly penned by the Trump administration,
entitled "Detention and
Interrogation of Enemy Combatants" that calls for, among other things,
the reopening of
CIA "Black Site" prisons around the world that were previously
utilized by the Bush administration.
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DEMOCRACY NOW
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Boycott
the Banks: Actor Shailene Woodley Calls for Action Against Funders of Dakota
Access Pipeline
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
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Obama’s Munchausen Syndrome by Proxy: Chelsea
Manning as Bait By James
Petras
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Defense Secretary Mattis Emphasizes NATO
Commitment On First Day By
Tom Vanden Brook
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Why Trump Won’t Scrap ‘Obsolete’ NATO By Finian Cunningham
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Will Trump Hop on an American Silk Road? By Pepe Escobar
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State-Sanctioned Torture in the Age of Trump By Marjorie Cohn
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US Is No Longer A Full Democracy, EIU Warns By Nyshka Chandran
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Nonviolent Action: Why and How it Works By Robert J. Burrowes
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COUNTER PUNCH
Paul Street The Deep
State v. Trump
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Michael J. Sainato Dem
Senator Received Donations Before and After Failing to Prosecute Trump
Nominee’s Bank
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Patrick Cockburn As
Syrian Peace Talks Begin in Kazakhstan, Russia Takes Center Stage
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Norman Pollack Swastika:
The Hillary-Donald Show
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William John Cox The
US Voter’s Rights Amendment Explained
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
Trump Foiled Soros' Master Plan to Impose New World Order - Hedge Fund Manager https://sputniknews.com/politics/201701261050016570-trump-foiled-soros-world-order-tpp-plan/
RELATED
Is There Anything He Doesn't Fund? Soros Closely Connected to DC Women's March https://sputniknews.com/us/201701241049960639-soros-funding-women-march/
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Over 2,600 Militants Laid Down Arms in Syrian Wadi Barada Valley - Russian MoD https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201701261050018003-syria-militants-arms/
RELATED
How Mainstream Media 'Legitimized' Terrorists, Letting Them Gain Ground in Syria https://sputniknews.com/politics/201701251050006177-syria-terrorists-media/
Dejar
con vida a los terroristas .. no es también una forma de legitimarlos?
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Anti-TPP Mood in Senate in Ratification Showdown https://sputniknews.com/politics/201701261050018873-australia-tpp-mood/
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India to Buy Hundreds of Missiles for Russian Self Propelled Air Defence System https://sputniknews.com/military/201701261050004061-india-russia-kvadrat-system/
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Turkey Building 'Great Wall' on Border With Syria (VIDEO)
Does not expropriate Syria’ land?
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RT SHOWS
On contact President
Obama’s legacy with Glen Ford
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WASHINGTON BLOG
If there is any goal that might
attract support from across the political spectrum, it’s creating more fulltime
jobs in the U.S. But this laudable goal is dead-on-arrival (DOA) unless we
first fix these four things. Why is
job growth stagnating? Many point to automation, and yes, that is a systemic
dynamic that will only expand going forward.
But much of the stagnation is the
direct result of the high costs and structural failures in these four inputs to
the job market. U.S. healthcare costs
more than twice as much per person as healthcare per person in our
advanced-economy competitors. Why would anyone open a business in a nation so
poorly run that healthcare costs twice as much as it does everywhere else?
The American people are not healthy. Obesity /
obesity-related diseases and opiate addiction are both epidemic. Workers
struggling with lifestyle-caused chronic diseases cost more to hire and to
help.
If you set out to destroy the
nation’s ability to create jobs, you’d impose the unaffordable healthcare
system we have, and the overly complex and costly tax / regulation system we
have. And you’d push your students to
get useless credentials instead of the real-world skills, moxie and values they
need to get ahead and fulfill their potential in a fast-changing economy.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
El futuro como laberinto Paul Walder
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Debiera ser la razón: basada en análisis de la
contradicciones Glab, Nac y Locales
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Cuando el periodismo legitima
represiones Darío Aranda
El periodismo alternativo también es víctima de
la represión. 1 de RT fue ya encarcelado
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Neolib sin TPP y con Wall contra Mx indica que
el neolib no sirve ni a la oligarquía. Hoy se postula su reemplazo fascista
(nacionalista y militarista ) a favor de corp que fabrican armas y guerras =
Trump
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[[ El rechazo es contra el asalto al poder por la oligarquía con
su sistema electoral (super-Pacs, superdelegados, primarias cerradas a favor de
2 Pdos) lo que facilito el fraude 1ro del clan Clinton y luego de Trump. La
democ fue suprimida. El pueblo aún cree en su reconstrucción pacífica, mientras
Trump usa la violencia armada. Ocurrió antes con MLK. Hoy es posible que
renazcan panteras negras y de todos los colores, esta vez. Lo digo porque antes de la
elecciones los ex soldados se unieron a las marchas de nativos contra mafiosos
mafiosos del gas y petróleo. Esa alianza volverá. A eso vamos. ]]
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Lo que viene ya ha llegado Stgo Alba [[ Llegó
hace mucho tiempo y lo que viene es REV social.]]
[[ La desigualdad explosiva
llego al tope, lo que viene es su explosión social .. quizá sea una Rev
anti-capital neoliberal (anti banca
mafiosa y big corp). Quiza mescle capitalismo y socialismo. Ya hay de esto y
crecen las Asoc de productores y Coops. Ver R.Wolff, G Alperovitz, D
DeGraw, Michael Hudson y art recientes
de Chris Hedges. En
la marcha de mujeres de Pitt hubo socialistas que le dieron tono anti-oligarquico
(anti-Trump, anti-Clinton) al evento. Lo
mismo ocurrió en NY, CA, Seattle, DC y Boston. Trump cree que basta el poder
polit-militar para derrotar al pueblo. Esta vez se equivocan. ]]
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Donald Trump ungido emperador por el
rabino sionista Marvin Hier Carlos
de Urabá
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Lenin y Trotsky frente a la burocracia y a
Stalin Eric Toussaint
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Que
de un informe sobre daños que ocasiono NAFTA a MX? Que de la complicidad de la
DEA en el tráfico de drogas Mx-USA?.. Que
de salarios no-pagados y “otros” abusos a trabajadores de Mx en empresas de
Trump en USA? Que sobre la ilícita expropiación
de tierras de MX dos siglos atrás?
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PRESS TV
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Israeli
settlements 'flagrant violation of INTERNATIONAL LAWS
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Trump
plans to establish ‘safe zones’ in Syria
(it already failed with Obama)
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US
silence on settlements shocks it stand to reason: His yerno, el VP y otros en su régimen are
jews (no sé si zionists). Eso es lo que avinagra
“the T-salad”
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Return of torture: Concerns vs. rejections Its a crime against
humanity, unethical n illegal policy
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Trump signs
executive order for Mexico fighing neigbors is not smart policy, is the opposite.. The
Mx wall is not the problem .. his mental wall of racism n xenophobia is ..
Result: 20M votes out of GOP
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‘Trump's support emboldens
Netanyahu’ No es el amor al cerdo .. es Israel como
paraíso para la evasión fiscal lo que cuenta en esto .. además del lavado de
dinero sucio..
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‘US president to reopen CIA black sites’ : overseas prisons
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Trump’s order fuels fresh pipeline protests illegal n order to
resume the projects.
Va quedando claro para quien gobierna
T ademas de su bolsillo pues tambien invierte en esto
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Germany slams Israel over settlement nuestro ex-aliado nos da lecc de decencia in
Geo-politics
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‘Trump to end Obama warmongering on Russia
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