WHAT
KILLED THE MIDDLE CLASS?.
This is what Sanders have been denouncing over and over .. and
It is the main reason why we shout vote him more than ever ..
Not other candidate representing the 1% will be able to defend this thesis.
This is what Sanders have been denouncing over and over .. and
It is the main reason why we shout vote him more than ever ..
Not other candidate representing the 1% will be able to defend this thesis.
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If the four structural trends highlighted below don't reverse, the middle class is heading for extinction.
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Extracts:
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Everyone knows the middle class is fading fast. I've covered this issue in depth for
years, for example: Honey, I Shrunk the Middle Class: Perhaps 1/3 of Households
Qualify (December 28, 2015) and What Does It Take To Be Middle Class? (December 5, 2013)
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This raises an obvious question: what killed the middle
class? While many commentators try
to identify one killer cause (for example, the U.S. going off the gold standard
in 1971), the die-off of the middle class is more akin to the die-off in honey
bees, which is the result of the interaction of multiple causes (factors that
increase the toxic load dumped on bees and other pollinators by modern
agriculture).
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So where do we begin this detective story? With the
engine of all real prosperity, productivity. This chart reveals that wages stopped rising with productivity around
1980.
Here's another look
at the same phenomenon. Image location: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2015/productivity8-15.png
and this other one on
“Productivity has been slipping since
around 2003: Alan Greenspan:"Productivity is Dead” . Image
location: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2016/productivity2a.png
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SO, LET’S SUMMARIZE CAUSES
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Cause #1: declining productivity, which means the pie of
real wealth is no longer expanding.
Exhibit #2: middle class wage earners have not received
any of the gains. Wages as a
percentage of GDP have been falling for decades, with occasional blips up in
tech/housing bubbles:
See : Wages & Salaries as % of GDP (2015.June, 30). Image
location: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2015/GDP-wages8-15a.png
Inflation-adjusted household
income has dropped back to levels first reached in the 1980s. Image
location: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2015/household-income8-15.png
More recently, wages have
actually declined, regardless of educational attainment: Image at: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2015/declining-wages.png
Income gains have all flowed to
the top 10%, with most of the gains being concentrated in the top 5% and
top 1%: Image location at: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2015/income-growth4-15.png
If the middle class didn't
receive any of the gains, who did? ANSWER: Corporate profits have soared to unprecedented levels: See image at: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2016/corp-profits3-16c.png
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Cause #2: all the gains in the
economy have flowed to corporations and the top 10% of financiers, managers and
technocrats.
But wait a minute--hasn't the
rising stock market enriched the middle class? SHORT ANSWER:
no. Middle class
household wealth has absolutely cratered since the top of the housing bubble in
2007, and hasn't recovered. See image location at: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2015/middle-class-wealth.png
Why? Middle class wealth is based
not in stocks but in the family home. The middle class does not own
enough financial assets to have participated in the latest stock market bubble,
while the majority did not recover the wealth lost in the housing bubble bust. This
is the cost of allowing the financial sector to financialize housing and
mortgages in the 2000s. See image on Ownership of
Society at: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2016/ownership-assets2-16.jpg
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Cause #3: the middle class
doesn't own the "right" assets to benefit from systemic
financialization and financial speculation.
How about rising costs? The federal agencies tasked
with measuring inflation assure us inflation is near-zero. But these measures
underweight big-ticket costs like healthcare and higher education, where costs
have exploded higher, greatly increasing the burden on the middle class: See image at: http://www.oftwominds.com/photos2015/higher-education8-15.png
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Cause #4: soaring costs of
big-ticket expenses such as higher education and healthcare. Saving
$10 on cheap jeans imported from Asia does not make up for 135% jumps in
tuition and college fees, and $100 decline in the cost of a laptop computer
does not make up for healthcare insurance and out-of-pocket expenses in the
tens of thousands of dollars per household.
Correspondent Kevin K. submitted this article and
accompanying note: Colleges with the biggest tuition hikes (my ala mater
University of Hawaii-Manoa clocked in with an increase of 137% since 2004.)
"It looks like the article linked above didn't do
much research since:
University of California Davis
2004 in-state tuition $5,684
2015 in state tuition $13,951
Percentage increase 145.44 percent"
University of California Davis
2004 in-state tuition $5,684
2015 in state tuition $13,951
Percentage increase 145.44 percent"
There is no way middle class
households with declining real incomes can pay soaring costs imposed by
state-enforced cartels and gain ground financially. If the four
structural trends highlighted above don't reverse, the middle class is heading
for extinction, the victim of financialization, the glorification of financial
speculation via central bank-central state policies, the decline of
productivity and rising costs imposed by state-enforced cartels.
Gordon T. Long and I discuss the decline of the middle class
and other key topics: Listen VIDEO at: https://youtu.be/-BBL-fJd9Lo
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