sábado, 18 de abril de 2020

APR 17 20 ND SIT EC y POL



APR  17 20  ND SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


...welcome to "real life" in America!
SEE CHART:

Here's a brief primer for all the top 10%ers who have no idea of what life is like for America's 60% Underclass:

1. Income is insecure as shift/hours per week/gigs are all uncertain.
2. When you are at your job, you're overloaded with work: the pressure never lets up.
3. You have long commutes, long hours.
4. There are insufficient rewards and recognition for your labors: low pay, no stock options, supervisors pressured to fire people, not praise them.
5. There's no trust or community at work; you're either competing for miserable pay in the gig economy, or you work with a constantly shifting mix of people. There's no trust or support.
6. Every day is an object lesson in unfairness: all you see are workers being treated unfairly while invisible bosses skim huge paychecks or millions/billions in stock options.
7. You cannot value or have pride in your work because the product/service is garbage, as defined and dictated by your overlords, who care only about maximizing profit by whatever means are available, i.e. lowering quality and hiding this from customers.
8. There are few avenues for advancement, unless you want to become a slave-driving crew chief for another lousy dollar or two an hour.
9. There's no way to get ahead, as your wobbly paycheck barely covers expenses, and any savings are wiped out by dental emergencies, car repairs, desperation-soaked loans to relatives, etc.
10. The constant overwork and all the anxieties of economic insecurity have undermined your health.

If you have any doubt that the Fed and Wall Street will some day be dismantled, please re-read this "real life in America" list as many times as needed to break through the obsession with the free money machine of a Fed-pimped euphoric stock market.
See CHART:
SOURCE:
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SHORT NEWS ON ECONOMICS:


What more is being priced in by further economic misery? To the increasingly depressed it smacks dangerously of depression alongside a Marie Antoinette-esque “Let them eat stocks” from Wall Street...
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The "TL;DR version" of the U.S. reopening guidelines is simple: 
There is no “plan"...
SEE CHART:
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 Don't think it won't happen just because it hasn't happened yet...
Here's a partial list of commodities that are in Overcapacity / oversupply:

1. Overvalued assets
2. Overpriced income streams (as income craters, so will the asset generating the income)
3. Labor: low-skill everywhere, high-skill in sectors experiencing systemic collapse in demand
4. AirBnB and other vacation rental properties
5. Overpriced flats, condos and houses
6. Overpriced rental apartments
7. Overpriced commercial office space
8. Overpriced retail space
9. Overpriced used vehicles
10. Overpriced collectibles
I think you get the idea.

Here is a weekly chart of crude oil (WTIC). Note the weakening of price as the global economy slowed in 2018-2019, the modest rise as the Federal Reserve began "not QE" printing of currency in September 2019, and the complete collapse as oil producers jockeyed for control via crushing price wars/over-production and global demand plummeted.
                SEE CHART:
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The tapering continues, and after purchasing as much as $650BN in assets per week three weeks ago, the Fed's QE has shrunk to "just" $125BN weekly starting next week.
The chart below summarizes all the Fed Treasury and MBS buying completed and scheduled since the relaunch of QE on March 13:
SEE CHART:
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And on a year-over-year basis, LEI crashed 6.6% - the biggest annual drop since September 2009...

The US Conference Board's leading economic index crashed 6.7% in March - the biggest monthly drop since the series began in 1959...
SEE CHART
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Nasdaq stocks soared on the week (second week in a row) as Small Caps and Trannies disappointed...
See Chart:

Sending tech stocks back to dotcom levels of exuberance relative to domestically-focused smaller cap stocks...
See Chart:

But bonds were not buying it (even as The Fed tapered again)...
See Chart:

Crude Black gold was not buying it... 
See Chart:

Nasdaq futures plunged back into the red from strong gains overnight... and the last hour saw more complete panic-buying as Small Caps surged back towards their limit-up overnight highs...
See Chart:

Treasury yields were all lower on the week with the long-end outperforming..
See Chart:

B-Dollar Index gained on the week, but mainly thanks to the surge on Wednesday...
See Chart:

 Ok, ok... one chart...the S&P 500 Fwd P/E is now at 19.47x... its highest since Feb 2002 and well above the peak in Feb 2020...
SEE Chart : 
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"Are we there yet?" Unfortunately, from a public policy and business practice perspective the US is moving in the wrong direction. 

Corporate Profits: In 2019, operating profits for US companies totaled $2.075 trillion, essentially unchanged from the prior year. That flat performance represents the fifth consecutive year of no growth in corporate profits. It would be flat out wrong to characterize the economy’s recent performance as the “best” when corporate profitability has stalled for 5 consecutive years.
See Chart:

Even if the current recession proves to be short in time, it still will be historic in terms of the scale of decline in operating profits. 

The peak to trough decline in operating profits during the Great Financial Recession was 40%. But that drop in operating profits occurred against a 3% peak to trough decline in Nominal GDP. 

Corporate Debt: At the end of 2019, nonfinancial corporations had outstanding debt and loans of $10.1 trillion, nearly double what these firms on their balance sheet at the start of the last decade. A relatively large part of the debt binge was used for financial engineering (i.e. stock buybacks) instead of engineering for innovation and making things. 
See Chart:

Finance vs. Economy: The last decade saw the greatest divide ever between finance and the economy. At the end of 2019, household holdings of equities stood 2 times the level of disposable personal income, an all-time high. Also, the market value of domestic companies to Nominal GDP stood at a record 1.9 times, exceeding the prior record high of 2000.
See Chart:

The US economy has the potential to be the “best”. But to be the “best” it needs to clean up corporate balance sheets and follow best policies and best practices.
Best policies means the capital markets fairly and freely price and allocate credit and capital. Best practices means firms focus on innovation and making things.
 “Are we there yet?” Unfortunately, from a public policy and business practice perspective the US is moving in the wrong direction.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

The fund contains a total of about $14.2 billion for both private and public colleges and universities across the US...
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Arms industry lobbyists are addressing this pandemic and preparing for the next by pushing weapons sales...
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...the notion that the system is designed to enrich a few and enslave many has never been more clear... policy makerspick winners and losers. Oligarchs pick policy makers...
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THE AIM IS to START WW3
By Hugo Adan   4/17/2020
OPEN:  THE AIM IS to START WW3  at: 
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


There could have been a US-Russian entente, if you will. That would havestood in the way of Chinese hegemony, but that is not happening...The Chinese have a very long memory...
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Saudi Arabia’s oil-dumping strategywasn’t aimed at Russia, it was aimed at US shale oil producers. But not for the reasons you’ve read about in the media...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

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ALAI ORG

COL:  El confinamiento mata   Mauricio  Castaño
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RT EN ESPAÑOL

 Banco Mundial: la crisis del CV será " más profunda que la Gran Recesión"  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350355-banco-mundial-CV-recesion-pobres
Quiénes son los grandes 'ganadores' de la pandemia de coronavirus?    https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350048-quienes-son-grandes-ganadores-pandemia
Cambridge: la pandemia CV no comenzó en Wuhan y surgió antes de lo que se estima https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350273-cientificos-sugieren-brote-coronavirus-comenzado-septiembre 
US fuerza militar secreta se prepara para trasladar la Casa Blanca si hace falta  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350246-newsweek-fuerza-tarea-militar-secreta-prepara-asegurar-eashington
¿quién está multiplicando su fortuna en la crisis?    https://actualidad.rt.com/video/350290-virus-desigualdad-esta-multiplicando-fortuna
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

- Are We Brewing a New Feudalism?  By Paul Craig Roberts
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

Kathleen Wallace  Bernie’s Political Funeral 
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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