miércoles, 15 de abril de 2020

APR 15 20 ND SIT EC y POL



APR  15 20  ND SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


Today was a bloodbath for economic data (and that is before tomorrow's horrific continuation of jobless claims) with almost every item experiencing record collapses (from Empire Fed to Retail Sales to Homebuilder and Homebuyer Sentiment). In fact the last four weeks - despite analysts knowing it was all coming - has seen the fastest crash and most disappointing collapse in US Macro data ever...
See Chart:

And while The Fed keeps printing money to rescue the (INSERT YOUR CHOICE OF - stock market, junk bond market, banks, airlines, or 'Average Joe' Americans), it's not working...
Or put another way...

The chart below illustrates why it is that the government must ensure that bear markets never happen. There is too much at stake to end the "casino economy" when people’s net worth is so crazily hitched to the stock market. Question is – at what cost??pic.twitter.com/abaXPwFvBD
— David Rosenberg (@EconguyRosie) April 14, 2020

But The Fed would never "manipulate" markets?

And even the big bounce in stocks stalled after The Dow managed to scramble back to a 50% retracement of the drop...
See Chart:

On the week, Small Caps are down almost 5% and Nasdaq up around 3%...
See Chart

Sending Nasdaq to its highest since Oct 2000 against the Russell 2000..
See Chart:

And FANG Stocks extended gains - almost back to their record highs...

Bank stocks were ugly for the 3rd day but Goldman was bid after an ugly open...
See Chart:

HY Bonds were down again... despite The Fed put...

Treasury yields plunged today led by a huge drop in long-end yields (30Y -12bps, 2Y -1bp)...
See Chart:

10Y UST Yield back below 70bps (biggest yield drop in almost a month)...
See Chart:

The yield curve flattened notably today...
See Chart:
UST 2Y 30Y Yield spread

The B-dollar Index  surged higher today (biggest jump in a month) after dropping for 5 of the last 6 days (NOTE that the dollar reversed lower as soon as the US cash equity market opened)...
See Chart:

WTI closed below $20 today (but Brent was harder hit)...
See Chart:

WTI Crude Futures:  This is the lowest close since Feb 2002...
See Chart:

Gold futures were lower today (not entirely surprising given the big surge in the dollar) and compressed the premium to spot...
See Chart:

Finally, as Gerard Minack notes, the key to my medium term view is not what is happening now amidst the Covid-19 crisis. The key is that these arrangements remain in place in the recovery phase. The crucial difference is that I expect fiscal policy, backstopped by QE, will remain expansionary in the recovery phase, unlike in the post-GFC expansion when fiscal policy was typically tightening as QE programs were deployed.

I don’t expect many markets to price today the prospect of this seismic policy change...However, it may be that gold is now sniffing out this shift.
See Chart:

Through the past few years gold has behaved as a deflation hedge. The spot gold price was highly correlated to the value of negative yielding debt. That correlation is breaking down. Market alchemy may be transforming gold from a deflation hedge to an inflation hedge.

And as far as inflation is concerned... Avocado prices have never been more expensive at this time of year...
See Chart:
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If the US banking sector is facing $100BN in loan losses, then the Fed will have no choice but to once again step in and bail out the US financial sector.

See Chart:  Loan Loss Reserves to total loans

What if instead of using JPMorgan as a benchmark, one takes the financial crisis as a reference: after all, we already know that both GDP and unemployment will be far, far worse in Q2 compared to even the worst levels of the financial crisis, something today's Empire Fed number vividly demonstrated...
SEE CHART: 
Empire State Manufacturing
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"...nobody should be bailed out. No company should be bailed out. No individuals should be bailed out.Everybody needs to deal with the consequences of their own actions."
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...anyone with the discipline and emotional courage to confront the most brutal facts of our current reality realizes that ‘normal’ is still far away.
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Sorry cash-strapped small businesses: if only you were big businesses with one or more politicians on your payroll, all of this could have been avoided.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


Bernie Sanders (I-VT) may have sold out and endorsed a credibly accused sexual predator after his pie-eyed supporters  emptied their pockets to chase a pipe dream, but fellow socialist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), has not.

On Tuesday, AOC opened the door to discussing a sexual assault allegation against former Vice President Joe Biden, ,,when  “all women" crowd suddenly can't seem to find their voices over.

During an online conversation with The Wing, AOC was asked about the accusation against Biden by a former staffer, Tara Reade, who claims Biden forcibly penetrated her with his fingers in 1993 in the halls of the Capitol. 

"What you're voicing is so legitimate and real. That's why I find this kind of silencing of all dissent to be a form of gaslighting," AOC told the questioner.

"I think it's legitimate to talk about these things” said AOC.  "A lot of us are survivors, and it's really, really hard and uncomfortable," she said, adding that not discussing these allegations is the "exact opposite of integrity."

Ocasio-Cortez also said that it's "not okay" to prioritize winning against Trump over addressing ‘MeToo allegation’ because they are "very legitimate thing[s]."

So, while the MSM and Bernie Sanders are busy supporting an accused sexual predator - the Democratic Socialists of America are not endorsing Biden.
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This is not good...
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"At these prices, you would think you’d want to fill up every cavity that we have in this country."
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What is worse.. waste of money or waste of stupidity:  fracking damage tectonic plates undergroung.. one single bomb overt & we will have huge mess
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Snitching on friends and neighbors is good; publishing anything contrary to official propaganda is bad. Welcome to the brave, new, Orwellian world...
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Notice that you are offending the ‘purity’ of the fascist KING.. don’t say “sorry” to compensate your fault .. you have to vote him..then we’hav Orwellian world
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WHY NO?  Japan is selling a pill that no only prevent you from CV it also stopped it. 

...the longer that these shutdowns persist, the more impatient many Americans are going to become...Already, we are starting to see protests pop upall over the nation...
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Check “World News” at 5 pm, in my TV I got in channel 13.3.
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At this point the quarantine or Lockdown is obsolete.  All you need is take precautions

People in big cities can’t be arrested with the story-tell of corona virus. The militarization of this issue make no sense.. it is a waste of money. Open the health market to get basic things like masks & disinfecting-sprays.
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... feeding at the trough of U.S. taxpayer generosity with a sense of arrogance and entitlement... As a country, we will either live with the short-term pain of discipline or the long-term pain of regret...
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


We must stop US military drills now. Recent science Repot said: it spread CV infestatio
Iranian vessels came as close at 10 yards during US military drills in surprise provocation..
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The other reason: US military drills  put at risk life of millons since it open doors to WW3..  IF WW3  happens there will be also many other pandemics because the  pollution  of environment at global scale. The pest ‘drills’ worse than CV-19
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DT want to bomb them too, using the coverture of CV? No limits to US blackmail & exto
"The economic shock represented by the coronavirus pandemic will lead to a severe recession in Mexico in 2020."
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Presid Trump: Mx oil is theirs.  LIve them alone … you playing dangerous game
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

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ALAI ORG

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

Trump suspenderia el Congreso si los Dems no salen de cuarentena para aprob cargos nominad   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350081-trump-amenaza-suspender-congreso
OMS: Tres vacunas del covid-19 están en ensayos clínicos y otras 70 en desarrollo  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350039-oms-tres-vacunas-covid-ensayos-clinicos
US y UE enfrentarían 4 oleadas de CV si se permiten que la pandemia azote África  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350034-advierten-eeuu-europa-enfrentar-coronavirus-africa
Qué es la 'muerte civil' de Perú a quienes no paguen multas por saltar la cuarentena?   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350004-peru-aplicar-muerte-civil-pagar-multas-cuarentena
11 navíos iraníes acosan peligrosamente a 6 buques de guerra del US. en golfo Pérsico  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350071-buques-iran-acercamientos-eeuu-golfo
Trump dice que US Posible  "ha pasado el pico" de la pandemia del coronavirus  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350079-trump-dice-eeuu-probablemente-pasado-pico-covid
Bachelet pide a países de Am-Lat que permitan retorno de sus ciudadanos   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350060-bachelet-pide-paises-america-latina-retorno-ciudadanos-pandemia
La Reserva Federal señala la "drástica y abrupta" contracción de la economía de US  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350059-reserva-federal-contraccion-economia
La petrolera más rentable del mundo ofrece crudo gratis durante tres meses   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350065-saudi-aramco-ofrece-aplazar-pagos
OMS responde a Trump: "Nos centramos en frenar la pandemia y salvar vidas"   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/350018-director-general-oms-pandemia-vidas
América Latina está al borde del abismo económico  https://actualidad.rt.com/video/350020-america-latina-esta-borde-abismo
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

-Robert Hunziker  Abrupt Ecosystem Collapse
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

-German Lawyer Sent to Psychiat Ward for Org Protest Against CV Lockdown By KN Tienen  espacio en el Psychitric para Dino Trump por cortar fondos a la OMS
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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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