miércoles, 29 de agosto de 2018

Tue AUG 28 18 SIT EC y POL



Tue  AUG 28  18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


Record-er and Record-er...
China stocks limped lower overnight but ended unch thanks to a late surge..
See Chart:


But US equities could not hold a solid momo ignition no matter what...
See Chart:


With cash equities sliding into the red near the close... (Nasdaq was the day's leader, and Trannies the laggard)
See Chart:


VIX has decoupled from stocks in the last two days..
See Chart:


Bonds and Stocks remain decoupled also...
See Chart:


The Dollar Index rebounded into the green this afternoon
See Chart:


Gold tested down to $1200 today...
See Chart:


Still, while US Stocks went nowhere, maybe 'active' investors should consider Venezuela (IBVC +30,000% YTD!)
See Chart:
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...in today's fraught environment it can be well and truly said that the chartmonkeys have become deaf, dumb and blind to everything happening on Planet Earth external to the gaming tables where they slosh around in their cups.

But Donald J. Trump will not go down without bringing the house down.
And most destructively of all, he will cluelessly push his Deficit Finance War against America's born and unborn taxpayers until the bond pits fracture from the inflow of $2 trillion per year of government debt that either the Fed is dumping or Uncle Sam is issuing.

In fact, as dramatically conveyed in the blue line in the chart below, real median household income has gone exactly nowhere since the turn of the century.
See Chart:


So how do you get a 55% gain in the inflation-adjusted stock market index on just 5.4% more labor input?
You don't, unless there has been a spectacular explosion of productivity, which there has most surely not been.
See Chart:

Unfortunately  Wall Street stock indices have discarded such possibility. “To wit, back in June 2007, the S&P 500 earnings peaked at $85 per share, but that reflected fully $55 per share of after-tax interest expense. Fast forward to the LTM period ending in December 2017 when earnings per share posted at $110 per share, but reflected only $19 per share of after-tax interest expense.
In other words, more than 100% of the gain over the past 11 years was due to the drastic financial repression of the central banks and its impact on corporate interest expense.

So interest expense is marching back up the hill, and it's not remotely priced-in---not any more than the next recession or the generational fiscal catastrophe that looms in the 2020s as 80 million baby-boomers pile onto the social security/medicare wagon.

Still, consider the fact that in the June 2007 quarter, the inflation-adjusted aggregate net income of the S&P 500 companies was $240 billion, and during Q2 2018 it was $280 billion on an apples-to-apples basis (i.e., gross of the lower tax rate ).

That's a 15% gain in real profits over nearly 11 years---a figure that self-evidently does not remotely warrant a 55% gain in the S&P 500 index.

Stated differently, even with the new tax rate---which represents only a one-time stepchange in profits, not a permanent growth factor---aggregate net income (not per share) came in at $295 billion for the quarter ending in June. At the same time, those earnings reflected collective corporate balance sheets sporting some $7 trillion of stated debt and related liabilities.

As we said, there has never been a greater Fake Bull in recorded history.
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"In 8 of the 12 cases analyzed, the impact on the economy was negative... In 3 other cases, it was completely neutral..."
See Chart:


Central Banks Balance Sheet vs Global GDP
See Chart:


Merry Lynch also show THE POOR QUALITY RESULTS:
See Chart:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo



America has radical financial leverage at this moment precisely because of the ‘strong dollar’. Make no mistake. This is not just the result of Fed hiking rates...
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WHISFUL thinking?:

The just proposed NAFTA 2.0 is - in Trump's words - a “very special” and “incredible” deal. However, according to some experts, it may meet neither of Trump’s main goals. If anything the deal could do the opposite, biting the president politically...
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo


"Imagine 36,000 armored vehicles — tanks, armored personnel carriers and armored infantry vehicles"
               
                [[ Whoever study Russian’wars knew that they will hit the heart of his enemy ]]
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"What we see right now is the situation is completely out of control,
and getting worse"
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A message of "concern" raising "the possibility"
that assistance could be cut – CNN

[[ PENTA should cut relations with Saudis.. It’s stupid to think they will help Yemen.. Otherwise  -soon or later- our nation will demolish Penta’ irracionatity ]]
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Hardliners are on the ascendancy as the economy crumbles amidst US sanctions...
[[ IRAN’ economy is not crumbling..  our piracy is .. we are getting  isolated on Iran issue ]]
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"The rebels had reason to carry out a false flag operation" - Joshua Landis of the University of Oklahoma, widely considered the world's foremost Syria expert

[[ Syria war is lost.. It is stupid to sacrifice more US soldiers’ life on it.. Una retirada honrosa es mucho mejor que una derrota desastrosa .. Just provide some money for Syria reconstruct ]]
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Good news. There is a plan to send top financiers of Geopis & Dems to the moon.. that pest we detest


...IF NASA WENT TO THE MOON IN THE LATE 1960S. HOW DID THEY MISS THE “HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS OF TONS OF ICE”?
[[ It would be wonderful si congelan esa peste overthere  ]]
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US  inside  GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


'Fix is In': Trump Close to Firing Jeff Sessions - Report  Trump’s version of cleaning the swamp
RELATED 1:
RELATED 2:
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Is here a Trump experience on swimming deep inside the swamp? I don’t want to hear that..
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RT SHOWS

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Keiser Report   Episode 1272   Max and Stacy discuss the historic first attempt at a (failed) national cryptocurrency and why it is likely to lead to further hyper-bitcoinization.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am NEW FOCUS: alternat to neo-fascist regimes, breaks to HR, Peace & support to US-terrorism 


Boliv      -La Bolivia de Evo y el 2019   Katu Arkonada
                -“Techo e' paja”, conducirá programa de TV  Joaquín Ayma
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ECON    Programa contra el ajuste: FRENO AL FMI  VV.AA.
                -Tiros al pie: economía y xenofobia  Carles Manera
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FEM       parejas con defect psicolog: Porque te temo, te ataco  Carolina V
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UE          migrantes y refugiados en la ruta de los Balcanes  Bosnia-Herzeg
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CULT      U vs neoliberalis  Educación superior en mundo globalizado Matías C
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                - Carne caliente   Gustavo Duch 
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OPIN     -Lo válido del zapatismo   Guillermo Almeyra
                No hay insurgencia indígena no valida, cualquiera el error de lideraz
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ALC        -Aportes recientes del EZLN para Guatem y Centro-Am Sergio Palencia
                La rev sandinist nació abajo y tiene que regresar abajo y ser anti-imp
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BRA        Critica a L Boff   Sobre esperanza, y "esperancismo"  AI y SL
                Si generar nueva Iq con memoria hist y convic anti-Imp es la meta es
correcto. Deslegitimar Gbno actual es tarea inic. La clave es la Organ
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VEN       "El éxodo es el mayor de Latin-Am en 50 años" Y no es solo la crisis
Econ.. es el miedo al terror imperial. Ninguna de las 2 causas se
puede luchar desde fuera. El bombardeo USA no va a ser posible,
Brasil lo dijo y Maduro puede pedir apoyo Ru-Ch y adiós al teatro.
Que Maduro es dictador.. quien no lo es. La democ no le importa
al imperio.. quedo claro en Chile. Lo que quieren es el petroleo de
Ven y eso solo se defiende con apoyo antimperial del contexto .
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COL        -Hay gente que paga por comer mierda de la prensa corp  W Harley
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                - Jorge Majfud: Democracia sin trabajadores  Lourdes Vitabar 
                Bolivia 21060: El decreto imperial   Miguel Pinto Parabá
                USA  En defensa de Donald Luis Casado aquí nadie en sano juic lo d
                Perú, Xenofobia hacia VEN es anti patriótica   Ricardo Jimenez A.
                Si vienen a trabajar hay apoyo, pero si vienen a hacer Polit contra
                Maduro, que se vayan. Nuestra neutralidad Internac no se discute
                ….
                Perú   Con el sable desenvainado   Gustavo Espinoza M.
                - La Red Atlas contra Latinoamérica  Manuel E. Yepe  
                COL lo que dejó la Consulta Anticorrupción   G J González
                US-MX apuro de Trump y Peña Nieto por firmar TLC sin Canadá G V
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3


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The Other Side of John McCain  By Max Blumenthal   Continue  Arming Terrorists
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Parenthood in the Age of Fear  By Mary Louise Kelly   Continue
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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DEMOCRACY NOW
Focus on Trump policies & the Econ & Pol crisis he creates


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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