jueves, 30 de agosto de 2018

Thu AUG 30 18 SIT EC y POL



Thu AUG 30  18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

 BLOOD BUTH

VIX and stocks have notably decoupled...
See Chart:


"NOT A BUBBLE"
See Chart:


The Dollar index rallied on the day but reverted once again at unchanged on the week...
See Chart:


The Brazilian Real was battered non-stop until BCB intervened for the first time in over 3 months...
See Chart


But the Argentine Peso was the day's biggest loser - crashing 10% at the close (though notably worse intraday), crossing 41/USD at its worst...
See Chart:


Treasury yields dropped 2-3bps on the day...
See Chart:


With 30Y back at 3.00%...
See Chart:


And the decoupling between stocks and bonds in the last two weeks has been ridiculous...
See Chart:


Gold was also clubbed around the open...but futures held above $1200...
See Chart:


Finally, just a little note of interest, US economic data has been more disappointing than Emerging Markets recently relative to expectations...
See Chart:
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...as for this widely used assertion that this is the “most hated” bull market ever, let’s just look at the facts. Unlike opinions, they can’t simply be made up out of thin air...

As per Bob Farrell’s Rule #7: Markets are strongest when they are broad and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue chip names.”
See Chart:


Now, as for this widely used assertion that this is the “most hated” bull market ever, let’s just look at the facts. 
Unlike opinions, they can’t simply be made up out of thin air:
1. The household asset share that is in the equity market, at over 32 per cent, has already taken out the 29 per cent bubble peak in 2007, and has only been exceeded once before and that was in the dotcom mania of the late 1990s. Only 3 per cent of the time in the past six decades has the equity exposure been this high.
2. The liquid asset ratio for U.S. equity portfolio managers is all the way down to historic lows of 2.7 per cent. They certainly aren’t bearish.
3. Net inflows to equity funds at the peak of the last two bull markets were $1.6 trillion, and it is true that net inflows this time since the cycle began have totalled $250 billion. Maybe this is what the so-called pundits are talking about. But then they fail to take into account all the ETF activity, which has totalled $2.4 trillion in the past nine years-plus. This then brings the cumulative participation by the retail investing public to a record $2.7 trillion. How can anyone forget ETFs??
4. Market Vane bullish sentiment is 61 per cent, and this is a ‘hated market rally’? You can’t be serious. In the AAII survey of retail investors, only 29 per cent are bearish — 36 per cent are bullish and the remaining 35 per cent are neutral. Where’s the hate?
5. In the just-released University of Michigan index, the mean expected probability of higher stock prices a year out came to 63 per cent. Only 3 per cent of the time in the past have households felt this good about the equity market outlook. No hate; love only.
6. If there is a hate on, it is on the bond market, where speculators have never before strapped on such a one-sided negative bet on prices. And in the August consumer sentiment survey published by the University of Michigan, 75 per cent said they are bearish on rates while a mere 4 per cent said they were bullish.
7. Gallup just did a poll of households and found that 55 per cent of them are participating in the stock market. So a slight majority certainly do not have anything close to a “hate” on for this rally.
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If we were investors in Turkey, Ukraine, Argentina, or any of the other nations on the left side of the chart, we would be worried.
See Chart:

see more Charts at
SOURCE:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo


"...properly understood, the Second Amendment goes hand in hand with opposition to federal military spending and to limiting a standing army to a mere fraction of the size of the state-controlled militias..."
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"treading on very, very troubled territory"
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"The first half of it is 58 pages, and second half isn't done yet…It needs an executive summary if it goes over a hundred"
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo



After more than seven years of war with the goal of changing the Syrian regime,the target has now become Hezbollah.
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"The European Union is almost as bad as China, just smaller."
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"This abscess needs to be liquidated... Ihope our Western partners will not give in to [rebel] provocations and will not obstruct an antiterror operation.."
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“They’re trying to make up for lack of business by cutting their currency. It’s no good. They can’t do that. That’s not, like, playing on a level playing field.”
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US  inside  GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


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RT SHOWS

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Keiser Report    Episode 1273   Max and Stacy discuss the myth of the knowledge economy and the real containment policy of trade tariffs on China.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am NEW FOCUS: alternat to neo-fascist regimes, breaks to HR, Peace & support to US-terrorism 


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PAL        Estamos mejor sin sionismo blando de Uri Avnery  Haidar Eid
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OPIN     Oponer la palabra al silencio  Marcelo Colussi
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ALC        -La migración en la agenda regional  Marcel Lhermitte
                - seguridad en Am Lat: la fantasía de buenos y los malos  Denisse L
                Guatemala   Despertar la rebeldía y la rebelión  Kajkoj Máximo
                ARG  Indignación con la Iglesia   Renata Padín
                ARG contra el Gatillo Fácil  Nadie es capaz de matarte en mi alma
                BRA La situación de Lula y el cronograma electoral  Amílcar Salas
                BRA Es o no posible derrotar el golpe en estas elecciones?  V A
                MX -Educación y sindicalismo  Pedro Echeverría 
                COL  -Política, corrupción y guerra  Hernando Llano Ángel
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USA       Democracia sin trabajadores  Lourdes Vitabar
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3


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Israeli Spying on Trump   By Philip Giraldi    Continue
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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DEMOCRACY NOW
Focus on Trump policies & the Econ & Pol crisis he creates


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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