lunes, 13 de agosto de 2018

San AUG 12 18 SIT EC y POL



San AUG 12 18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

Is there a “CAPTURE” of Zero Hedge in process ? See Domestic & Foreign politics
The Art below start with a kinky title suggested by a “neoliberal hero”.  Read the end.:


"Without a safety net this time, the current crisis in Turkey may well reveal the fragility of the global financial system once again..."

The Run Ends At The Highs
It always fascinates me how technical analysis is, more often than not, confirmed by some event. As I noted in last week’s missive:

While on an intermediate-term basis these macro issues will matter, it is primarily just sentiment that matters in the short-term. From that perspective, the market retested the previous breakout above the March highs last week (the Maginot line) which keeps Pathway #1 intact. It also suggests that next week will likely see a test of the January highs.”

See Chart:


“With moving averages rising, this shifts Pathway #2a and #2b further out into the August and September time frames. The potential for a correction back to support before a second attempt at all-time highs would align with normal seasonal weakness heading into the Fall.”

As shown in the updated “pathway chart” above, the market did indeed attempt to test all-time highs in the market. But, as I noted, the overbought condition provided the fuel for a correction given the right catalyst.

That catalyst appeared on Friday as the Lira plunged and Turkey edged closer to an economic crisis. As Daniel LaCalle noted:
“The Turkish Lira collapse should have surprised no one.
Yet, in this bubble-justifying market, it did.”
See Chart:


We will come back to Turkey in a moment, but the important point here is with the market overbought, and extended following the recent run, we have been suggesting that holding onto cash in the short-term may be wise. As noted last week:
“With our portfolios nearly fully allocated, there are not a lot of actions we need to take currently as the markets continue to trend higher for now. We will continue to monitor our exposure and hedge risk accordingly, but with the weekly ‘buy signal’ registered, we are keeping our hedges limited and are widening our stops just a bit.

As noted above, a short-term correction is needed before adding further equity exposure to portfolios.” 

Also, last Tuesday, I discussed the bond yields were potentially signaling a problem for the market.
“On a very short-term basis, the 10-year Treasury yield has started a potential-topping process. Given that ‘yield’ is the inverse of the ‘price’ of bonds, the ‘buy’ and “sell” signals are also reversed.
As shown below, the 10-year yield appears to be forming the ‘right shoulder’ of a ‘head and shoulder’ topping formation and is currently on a short-term ‘buy’ signal. Such would suggest lower yields over the next couple of months.”
See Chart:

“The two ‘bond buy; signals above aren’t a rarity. The chart below expands this view back to 1970. There have only been a few times historically that yields have been this overbought and trading at 3 to 4 standard deviations above their one-year average.”
See Chart:


Continue reading :  Here one more chart & and interesting  subtitles to be opened
A Risk Without A Backstop.
While many will likely quickly compare the current “Turkey Tragedy” with “Greece” and deem it to be a “non-event,” there is one difference you may want to pay attention to.

During the entirety of the Greek, Ireland, and Cyprus economic disasters, not to mention Brexit, the Federal Reserve was hard at work suppressing interest rates and pushing an unprecedented amount of liquidity into the financial markets. Not only was the Fed fast at work, but was joined by the Central Banks of Europe, China, Japan, and England. The chart below shows the timeline of the Greek crisis as compared to the S&P 500 and the Fed’s balance sheet.
See Chart:


Read this title:
By Doug Kass
“A bull market is like sex. It feels best just before it ends.” – Warren Buffett
[[ No more sex.. al parecer fue W B a quien le cortaron los cojones ]]
...
Read the full article at:
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California’s real estate market could be in the beginning stages of a correction to fair value, after nearly a decade of speculation forced much of the median-priced single-family homes out of reach of the middle class...

Housing Affordability Peaked At 1Q 2012 
See Chart:
See More charts at:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo


"The impacts of prosecuting Assange would ripple around the world as officials in other governments followed the most powerful nation’s example. Withno means of holding governments accountable, despotism would proliferate, triggering cascading crises and worldwide disruption..."
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Amid growing diplomatic tensions between the US and Turkey, Turkish TV station 'A Haber' on Saturday presented a detailed segment on 'The American Empire and its Media'showing the surprisingly close interrelations between U.S. mainstream media and key foreign policy institutions.

Based on official membership rosters, the following illustration for the first time depicts the extensive media network of the CFR and its two main international affiliate organizations: the Bilderberg Group(covering mainly the U.S. and Europe) and the Trilateral Commission (covering North America, Europe and East Asia), both established by Council leaders to foster elite cooperation at the international level.
See Chart:


In a column entitled “Ruling Class Journalists”, former Washington Post senior editor and ombudsman Richard Harwood once described the Council and its members approvingly as “the nearest thing we have to a ruling establishment in the United States”

However, media personalities constitute only about five percent of the overall CFR network. As the following illustration shows, key members of the private Council on Foreign Relations have included:
  • several U.S. Presidents and Vice Presidents of both parties;
  • almost all Secretaries of State, Defense, and the Treasury;
  • many high-ranking commanders of the U.S. military and NATO;
  • almost all National Security Advisors, CIA Directors, Ambassadors to the U.N., Chairs of the Federal Reserve, Presidents of the World Bank, and Directors of the National Economic Council;
  • some of the most influential Members of Congress (notably in foreign & security policy matters);
  • many top jounalists, media executives, and entertainment industry directors;
  • many prominent academics, especially in key fields such as Economics, International Relations, Political Science, History, and Journalism;
  • many top executives of Wall Street, policy think tanks, universities, and NGOs;
  • as well as the key members of both the 9/11 Commission and the Warren Commission (JFK)

Eminent economist and Kennedy supporter, John K. Galbraith, confirmed the Council’s influence: “Those of us who had worked for the Kennedy election were tolerated in the government for that reason and had a say, but foreign policy was still with the Council on Foreign Relations people.”

And no less than John J. McCloy, the longtime chairman of the Council and advisor to nine U.S. presidents, told the New York Times about his time in Washington: “Whenever we needed a man we thumbed through the roll of the Council members and put through a call to New York.”

See Graph: Council on Foreign Relations

It was not until the 2016 election that the Council couldn’t, apparently, prevail. At any rate, not yet.
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"Trump cancelled the Iran deal because a different group of billionaires are now in control of the White House, and of the rest of the US Government. Trump’s group demonize especially Iran; Obama’s group demonize especially Russia. "
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A new report suggests the Kentucky senator
is single-handedly preventing war with Iran...

[[ Read Rand Paul.. don’t pay attention to the “capture” in process of Zero Hedge ]]
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"They are using me as a test case to try to bring an EU style web censorship"
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The dirty war inside:

"...we have more than 100 publications signed up, and I expect that number to grow in the coming days."
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"We certainly won’t do [an interview] after Sept. 1, because we’re not going to be the ones to interfere with the election"
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo


"We have significantly reduced our investment in US assets. In fact, the dollar, which is considered to be the international currency, becomes a risky tool for payments."
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"...suffice it to say this ain’t over by a long shot, and it could lead to big trouble... and don’t let’s forget that Turkey presently hosts millions of Syrian refugees."
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US  inside  GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


RELATED 1:
RELATED 2:
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USS Carney Guided-Missile Destroyer Enters Black Sea  It seems US-UK are Starting WW3
The United States’ guided-missile destroyer USS Carney has entered the Black Sea for maritime security operations, the US Navy’s Sixth Fleet said in a statement.
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RELATED 1:
RELATED 2:
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RT SHOWS
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am NEW FOCUS: alternat to neo-fascist regimes, breaks to HR, Peace & support to US-terrorism 


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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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