miércoles, 20 de septiembre de 2017

SEP 20 17 SIT EC y POL



SEP 20 17 SIT EC y POL
ND denuncia debacle d Globaliz neoliberal y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics




While equity implied vols are compressed to record lows - what could possibly go wrong with unwinding a $4 trillion balance sheet? - it appears FX traders are a little less sanguine about the market's reaction to today's FOMC decision.
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We would like to do the Fed a favor and "explain" inflation, or the lack thereof as the Fed laments, with just one chart.   
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Is 'the committee to save the world' about to 'unsave the world'? Not according to The Fed who see their balance sheet unwind as boring a "watching paint dry." More than a few market participants believe otherwise, including BofA who recently warned..."the paint may be drying but the wall is about to crumble."
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The dollar spiked higher and the yield curve spiked lower following The Fed's hawkish statement. 2Y yields hit their highest since Dec 2008...
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With the Fed set to unveil its first balance sheet reduction in modern history - an event that is largely priced in - what traders are far more interested in, is what will happen to the Fed's "dots"...
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Gross vega outstanding in levered and inverse VIX ETPs has reached a "staggering" $375 million, an all-time high following a surge of 50% just in September alone!
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Today's the day. On Nov 25, 2008 The Fed announced it would begin buying assets for its own account to save the world. In Oct 2014, The Fed ended its QE3 buying program but continued to reinvest the proceeds to maintain its $4.4 trillion balance sheet. Today, Janet Yellen announced the balance sheet will be allowed to normalize, with reinvestments slowed/stopped starting in October.
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While the scale of the public pension underfunding is unprecedented, with estimates ranging from $3 - $8 trillion, there is another taxpayer-funded retirement benefit that has been promised to union workers over the years that puts pensions to shame...at least on a percentage funded basis.
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"The process that the Federal Reserve has undertaken has been a long and arduous one cloaked in disinformation. It is a process of dismantlement... Daytrading investors are utterly convinced they have the Fed by the short hairs. I say, the situation is actually in reverse."
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Fed's Asset Bubbles Now At The Mercy Of The Rest Of The World's Central Bankers


“Like watching paint dry… Rates can go up, down or nowhere. Balance sheet run-off can be done at most any speed. But as long as U.S. equities remain the AAPL of sovereign wealth funds’ eyes, the Fed has a lot more room to maneuver than we think and they should take advantage of that fact.”
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Strip an economy of capital, productive incentives, talent and yes, ethics, and what are we left with? An economy spiraling toward an inevitable collapse.
Financialization is destroying the real economy, but few in power seem to notice or care. The reason why is painfully obvious: those in power are reaping vast fortunes from the engines of financialization--for example, former President Obama:Obama Goes From White House to Wall Street in Less Than One Year.

Financialization necessarily hollows out the real economy, as Gordon Long and I detail in this new video program: The Results of Financialization - Part I (34 minutes)  https://youtu.be/P0F0d8Xi36k 

The key dynamic is that financialization creates irresistible incentives to ramp up debt and leverage at the expense of the real economy. Those who fail to exploit financialization will underperform the market and be fired.

As Gordon explains, if a CEO refuses to load a company up with debt, a private-equity financier with access to cheap Federal Reserve credit will scoop up the company in a private buyout, fire the management, extract immense profits by loading the company with debt, then take the hollowed-out shell public again, reaping another windfall of financialized gains.

How can corporations pay out more to shareholders than they actually earned? Easy--financialization.

Another key dynamic in financialization is limitless liquidity and super low interest rates set by central banks--rates that are so low and liquidity so abundant that corporations can roll over their debt and actually add more debt and keep their interest payments unchanged.

This dynamic inevitably leads to zombie corporations--corporations with low rates of growth and profitability and high debt loads that in an unfinancialized economy would be recognized as insolvent and liquidated.

As we explain, financialization skews the risk-reward in favor of financial games, so real-world investments no longer make sense. Why risk building a factory in the U.S. or training workers when the pay-off is uncertain, when there are so many ways to reap immense fortunes via financial games that are ultimately backstopped by the Federal Reserve or federal agencies (i.e. the taxpayers)?

Strip an economy of capital, productive incentives, talent and yes, ethics, and what are we left with? An economy spiraling toward an inevitable collapse. The metaphor I've used to explain this in the past is the Yellowstone forest fire. The deadwood of bad debt, extreme leverage, zombie companies and all the other fallen branches of financialization pile up, but the central banks no longer allow any creative destruction of unpayable debt and mis-allocated capital; every brush fire is instantly suppressed with more stimulus, more liquidity and lower interest rates.

As a result, the deadwood sapping the real economy of productivity and innovation is allowed to pile higher.
The only possible output of this suppression is an economy piled high with explosive risk. Eventually Nature supplies a lightning strike, and the resulting conflagration consumes the entire economy.
I explain all this in greater detail in my short book Why Our Status Quo Failed and Is Beyond Reform.
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"As prices have risen to new highs the volume has waned and waned and waned again. This we find anomalous, for volume should always follow the trend and in this instance the trend is up while the volume is most assuredly down."
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After July's housing sales data horrors, yesterday's permits rebound prompted some hope (despite last week's 9.7% collapse in mortgage applications) but August's existing home sales just crushed that dream, dropping to one-year lows. Following a 1.3% MoM decline in July, August saw existing home sales tumble 1.7% MoM (against expectations of a 0.2% rebound) and up just 0.2% YoY.
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Weak reviews for iPhone 8, dismal pre-orders, and connectivity issues for Apple Watch have slammed AAPL shares to their lowest since August 1st earnings. This has pushed the Nasdaq dramatically lower...
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In what may be one of Janet Yellen's last, and certainly her most difficult in recent history meetings, tomorrow the FOMC will not hike rates but will announce the start of its balance sheet normalization programme, while revising its economic projections and hinting whether the December meeting is "live" for one more 2017 rate hike. Here's what else to look forward to...
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POLITICS
La seudo democ y sist  duopolico es obsoleto por fraudulento y corrupto. Urge cambiarlo





"If the US wants to really continue with this sanctions game, it need also be prepared to face the reality that its not 1989, and that the world may not be willing to treat dollars and US sanctions in the way the US expects it to. The likely response will only be the latest evidence that the US 'unipolar moment' is over. "
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"It goes beyond a financial crisis, it's a social, political catastrophe..."
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North Korea, Iran, Venezuela are targets in "compassionate" America's war on the "wicked few." It's almost as though Washington felt its hegemony threatened...
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"Rand Paul is a friend of mine but he is such a negative force when it comes to fixing healthcare. Graham-Cassidy Bill is GREAT!   ENDS OCARE!" 
[[ Trump pined the ultra-conservative ]]
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WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo





The Kurds are expected to vote on their political status in late September. A vote in the affirmative would mean that Iraq would lose a chunk of its northern areas, which includes the crucial Kirkuk oilfield and its surrounding reserves.
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No hay cárceles para todos: la demanda LIBERTAD dará más fuerza al Mov Autonomista .. LA REPRESIÓN de hoy juega EN FAVOR DE LOS CATALANES


Spanish police arrested top-ranking Catalan officials including the region’s junior economy minister Josep Maria Jove, as Madrid launched a crackdown on Catalonia over the upcoming Independence referendum.
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Bloomberg’ wishes?  Or: Why to pay holders of bonds due in 2027 & in USD?  F.. them!


Intermediaries tasked with processing Venezuela’s $185 million interest payment due Sept. 15 haven’t received the cash to do so.  Several holders of bonds due in 2027 haven’t received a payment, according to Bloomberg.  
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DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis: Trump captured by Deep state to reproduce old cronyism without alter-plan
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Global Econ-Pol crisis leads to more business-wars:  profiteers US-NATO under screen


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3



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President Hassan Rouhani Speech at UN    Video and Transcript
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COUNTER PUNCH 

SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
The nasty business of US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered ..


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The US wants full control of UN… but the UN do not need the US anymore. Check attack on Ven-Cuba
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Russia-Backed Syrian Army Counterattacks al-Nusra Front in Idlib Zone  https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201709201057558408-russia-nusra-syria-army-idlib/
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Trump on Iran Nuclear Deal's Future: 'I Have Decided'  he refused to announce it.  https://sputniknews.com/us/201709201057556922-trump-decision-iran-deal-no-comment/
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'Ignorant, Absurd, Hateful Rhetoric' - Iran's President on Trump's UN Speech  https://sputniknews.com/world/201709201057558772-iran-trump-un-speech/
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'Secret Monetary Policy': Who Manipulates Gold Prices and Why  https://sputniknews.com/business/201709201057560325-who-manipulates-gold-prices/
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72nd United Nations General Assembly Morning Session Day 2 (VIDEO)  this & more: https://sputniknews.com/world/201709201057551922-unga-day-2-video/
·         20:21
·         18:37
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Ask the CIA .. they may know that hearing defects & brain injury is normal in a spy: they hear only what they have to & their brain is ultra-sided pro war. So, normal if suffer paranoia-schizophrenic
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RT SHOWS
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America fight to break with collapsing Empire:  leftist view on alternatives


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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers.. Titles distorted n incomplete sentences


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