miércoles, 6 de mayo de 2015

MAY 6 SIT EC y POL



MAY 6  SIT EC y POL

ZERO HEDGE


When The Elites Wage War On America, This Is How They Will Do It.  by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.com.  Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. The consequences and patterns of war, whether by one nation against another or by a government against the citizenry, rarely change. However, the methods of war have evolved vastly in modern times. Wars by elites against populations are often so subtle that many people might not even recognize that they are under attack until it is too late. Any defense the American people might muster against elitist dismantling of constitutional liberties would inevitably turn to "insurgency". So using CFR member Boot’s views on counterinsurgency as a guideline, here is how the elites will most likely wage open war on those within the American population who have the will to fight back.


The recent exposure of the nationwide JADE HELM 15 exercise has made many people suspicious, and with good reason. Federal crisis exercises have a strange historical tendency to suddenly coincide with very real crisis events. We may know very little about Jade Helm beyond government admissions, claims and misdirections. But at the very least, we know what “JADE” is an acronym for: Joint Assistance for Deployment and Execution, a program designed to create action and deployment plans using computer models meant to speed up reaction times for military planners during a “crisis scenario.”
As far as I know, no one has presented any hard evidence as to what “HELM” really stands for, but the JADE portion of the exercise explicitly focuses on rapid force deployment planning in crisis situations, according to the government white paper linked above.

I would further note that Jade Helm exercises are also joint exercises with domestic agencies like the FBI and the DEA.  Again, why include domestic law enforcement agencies in a military exercise merely meant to prepare troops for foreign operations?  I often hear the argument that the military would never go along with such a program, but people who take this rather presumptive position do not understand crisis psychology.

So if Jade is actually a crisis-planning system for the military and the military is training for domestic operations, what is the crisis it is training to react to? It’s hard to say. I believe it will come down to an economic disaster, but our economic and social structures are so weak that almost any major event could trigger collapse. Terror attacks, cyberattacks, pandemic, a stiff wind, you name it. The point is the government expects a crisis to occur. And with the advent of this crisis, the ultimate war on the American people will begin.
Here is how the elites will most likely wage open war on those within the American population who have the will to fight back. This comes from Max Boot :  Lessons from the History of Guderrilla welfare: see video https://youtu.be/WxMCcqRc9C0  and Invisible army. [Here only sub-titles]

1- Control Public Opinion. Boot stresses the absolute necessity for the control of public opinion in defeating an insurgency.
2-Control The Public. Another main tenet Boot describes as essential in defeating insurgency is the control of the general population in order to prevent a revolution from recruiting new members and to prevent them from using the crowd as cover.
3-Isolate Population Centers. There is a reason why certain American cities are being buried in technologically sophisticated biometric surveillance networks, and I think the Malayan example holds the key.
4- Decapitate Leadership. The liberty movement has always been a leaderless movement, which makes the “night of long knives” approach slightly less effective.
5- Fourth-Generation Warfare. The final method for war against the American people is one Boot does not discuss: the use of fourth-generation warfare. Some call this psychological warfare, but it is far more than that. Fourth-generation warfare is a strategy by which one section of a population you wish to control is turned against another section of the population you wish to control. It is warfare without the immediate use of armies.
6- Know Thy Enemy. I have outlined the above tactics not because I necessarily think they will prevail, but because it is important that we know exactly what we are dealing with in order to better defend ourselves.

Crisis is the best weapon the elites have at their disposal, and exercises like Jade Helm show that they may use that weapon in the near term. The defense that defeats crisis is preparation — preparation not just for yourself, but for others around you. War is coming, and while we can’t know the exact timing, we can assume the worst and do our best to be ready for it as quickly as possible.
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China To Establish Yuan-Denominated Gold Fix In Bid To Upend London Benchmark. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. "China conducted trial runs for the planned launch of a yuan-denominated gold fix last month, in a sign the world's second-biggest bullion consumer was moving closer to creating a benchmark price," Reuters says, in yet another example of Beijing's rapidly expanding global influence.
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The Complete UK Election Preview. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. The UK General Election will be held tomorrow. The polls close at 10 pm. We should have a pretty clear picture of the overall seat count by 5 to 6 am on Friday morning. The result, as SocGen notes, is almost certain to be a hung parliament. Then the fun will really start. However, at the macro level the implications of the election may be less pronounced than many anticipate. Monetary policy has been de-politicised through the BoE’s independence, the formation of a coalition government is likely to involve convergence towards centrist positions, and a minority administration that pursues policies outside the mainstream would be unlikely to survive given its fragile parliamentary basis. In either case, the political system is unlikely to deliver radically different macroeconomic outcomes.
[ The purpose of all “democratic election” is to recycle the current dominant system. However there are times when popular elections, specially REFERENDUMS, are used to change the system. It happens in Chile anti-Pinochet mass mov (1972), in Peru mass Mov against Fjimori (2000), in 2001 elecction of Argentina to put down Videla-neoliberal  puppets. The re-election of FDR in America is also the case. They demand a lot of independent people participation out of the regular party system. The one in UK will just recycle the old corrupted and chaotic system .]  
Here are the possible outcomes (along with SocGen's probabilities)...

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Peter Schiff: The Embarrasment Of Fed Transparency. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. In the eight years that the Fed has issued GDP forecasts in the prior Fall, only once, in 2010, did the actual economic performance come in the range of its expectations. A more sinister possibility is that the Fed is not really forecasting at all but cheerleading. By forecasting strong growth, the Fed may be hoping to engender optimism, with more spending and hiring hopefully to follow. Kind of like a field of dreams recovery -- if the Fed forecasts it; it will come. Based on what we have seen thus far in the year, fantasies about a 2015 recovery should be evaporating.
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Ultra-Secrecy Surrounds Barack Obama's New Global Economic Treaty. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. "If you want to hear the details of the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal the Obama administration is hoping to pass, you’ve got to be a member of Congress, and you’ve got to go to classified briefings and leave your staff and cellphone at the door. If you’re a member who wants to read the text, you’ve got to go to a room in the basement of the Capitol Visitor Center and be handed it one section at a time, watched over as you read, and forced to hand over any notes you make before leaving. And no matter what, you can’t discuss the details of what you’ve read."

[This is the time when WHAT IF analysis became useful. It is the only way to go beyond wishful thinking and mere speculation. It is a tech approach that correlates selected macro variables from politics, economics, sociology and social psychology to answer a single foreign policy question. The software used in Pitt wasn’t based in SPSS, it was based on the old Macintosh “what if program”. It was circulated the last decade of the previous century among researcher-teams of Pitt. I did belong to a team financed by the WB.  I guess there are more quick & sophisticated ones right now. I know that WB scholars were using a very advanced one in 2002-3. In 2004 a Prof from CMU created a new one; a very handy one. Secrecy in foreign policy issues?. There is not such a thing as secrecy. There are choices available to different parts of a macro-system and all dependents on the human resources they have to picked up, and depends on the real value of economic resources a nation have for the coming future.]  
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Meet The FBI's Secret 'Eye In The Sky' Overseeing The Baltimore Riots. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. The FBI provided "aerial support" to the Baltimore Police Department during last month's riots, The Washington Post reports. The operation, uncovered accidentally by a man sitting in his backyard and one of his Twitter followers, involved two small planes flying "precise formations" over West Baltimore over the course of three nights. Did Ohio-based Persistent Surveillance Systems provide the 'eye in the sky'?

[ LA TIA,  Hugo Adan. Mayo 6, 2015
La tía es una araña blanca que teje una inmensa web en la parte alta de la puerta de entrada a una choza de selva  amazónica. Los machiguengas dicen que la tía tiene mil ojos y estos selváticos agradecen que la tía les cuide la casa del infierno de mosquitos que ingresan por la noche. Saben que  algunos de esos mosquitos se alimentan de la sangre de humanos. Además, la tía avisa de un posible vendaval con lluvia fuerte que puede poner en peligro la choza. En donde se oculta la tía cuando eso está por venir? Sin duda en el interior de la casa y eso no preocupa a nadie. Lo que si preocupa es que algún niño travieso trate de destruir la web lanzándole piedras. El niño es severamente castigado si se lo ve que está  haciendo eso o intentando hacerlo. Uno de 3 hermanos traviesos murió por la picadura letal de una tía, su veneno es peor que el de una serpiente o de una matinga (lagartija venenosa que salta de rama en rama para vengarse de alguien que le destruyo la bolsa donde dormía). El niño que murió picado fue exactamente el que tiro las piedras; los otros dos hermanos ni nadie más fueron picados por la tía. Es la prueba que arguyen los nativos para decir que la tía tiene mil ojos, pero que jamás podría gobernar en el interior de sus casas. Cuando hay que limpiar el interior de la casa los nativos saben que hay rincón que no hay que tocar. Allí puede estar la hembra del arácnido que cuida la casa en la parte alta de la puerta. Los nativos machiguengas conviven con la muerte como los citadinos de NY con la CIA, la DEA y otros arácnidos también letales que se alimentan de los narcos, los mafiosos y otros mosquitos desagradables del contexto social. Me tocó vivir en una choza machiguenga cuando hice trabajo voluntario de alfabetización integral (ALFIN) en Peru y hoy me toca vivir con estos otros arácnidos en el US. Con una arañita de casa me hice amigo, bajaba cuando me veía entrar a la cocina, pero no cuando venía con mi esposa que la quería matar, no bajaba. Ya la  había intentado matar con una escoba pero sin suerte. Ambas se tenían miedo. Cuando mi tia -asi le puse de nombre- bajaba a tomar agüita yo le ponía la palma de la mano y antes de colocarla en el sink jugaba con ella dos veces al yo-yo y luego la ponía cerca del agua dentro del sink. Un dia no la encontré a mi tia; mi esposa logro barrerla. Me sentí triste,  no tenía con quien jugar pues mis hijos ya se habían ido a las universidades. A los otros arácnidos de Pitt no los veo, pero sé que existen, que se meten a mi Toshiba y a veces les pongo unas pornos para que se entretengan. Se que estos arácnidos tienen mil ojos como la tía de los machigengas, pero jamás podrán gobernar mi casa ni decidir la suerte del conjunto de mi entorno social. A muchos no nos gusta estos arácnidos, podríamos incinerarlos con fuego si quisiéramos, pero .. y quien nos libraría de los mosquitos de la noche?. Quien nos avisaría de una tormenta por venir?.  Y que si al quemar su telaraña, quemamos la  casa?]   
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It Begins: US Government Issues $700,000 Fine Against A Digital Currency. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015 By going after Ripple (a major player in the industry), FinCEN is trying to scare all the smaller players into ratting out their customers. You don’t see rich, stable countries doing this sort of thing.  

[Obama has a misperception of this country: the fact that the 1% of the nation is super-rich, doesn’t  mean that the whole nation is rich. Most people are unhealthy and obese, so miserable. Our economy is not stable, it is the most volatile in the world and people like to live the life of ostrich: when they  see dangers in the future they put their head in the hole (in their pocket, to be exact). A recent survey said that Two-Thirds Of Workers Plan To Fund Retirement With Inheritance, HSBC Finds. “That 66% of working age people indicated they plan to depend at least partially on an inheritance they may or may not receive to fund their retirement. Ironically, a quarter of respondents in the same survey said they planned to spend all of their money before they die”. Most people here do not make plans beyond expending their money during weekends. It is an exception that non-rich people try to protect their future with other that the collapsing dollar. Thus, we see few -no-rich people, in an unstable country “doing that sort of things]
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There Will Be No 25-Year Depression. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. The good news is that there will be no 25-year recession. Nor will there be a depression that will last the rest of our lifetimes.
The bad news: It will be much worse than that.
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Mapping Income Mobility: The Best (And Worst) Places To Grow Up. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. A new study from Harvard economists Raj Chetty and Nathaniel Hendren seeks to quantify the financial impact of where America's children are brought up. More specifically, Chetty and Hendren measure "the percentage earnings gain from growing up in each county [in America] relative to an average place for children in low-income families." Spoiler alert: Baltimore is not a good place to spend your childhood if you are poor...
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German Greens Propose Radical Greek Debt Solution. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. "Austerity is broken and has failed... Moreover, today’s short-term crisis management, which merely moves from one payment to the next, needs to stop... Future reforms should no longer target ordinary citizens, but above all the wealthy and the profiteers of 'nepotism'."
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Obama's Real Motive Behind The Iran Deal: A Backdoor Channel To Sell Weapons To Saudi Arabia. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. For a long time there was confusion about the "quo" to the Saudi Arabian "quid" over its agreement to side with the US on the Iranian "nuclear deal" (which incidentally looks like it will never happen simply due to the Russian and Chinese UN vetoes). Then over the weekend we finally got the answer: the details are quite familiar to anyone who has seen the US Military-Industrial Complex in action: the US pretends to wage an aggressive diplomatic campaign of peace while behind the scenes it is just as actively selling weapons of war.
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Capital Controls Hit Greek Banks: FX Trading Curbed As Credit Lines Cut. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. While officials have begun their own versions of capital controls by raiding pension funds, confiscating local government cash, and surcharges on withdrawals (and transfer ceilings); it appears the market participants themselves have now imposed their own share of capital controls. As Bloomberg reports, international securities firms are curtailing trading with major Greek banks - pulling credit lines and restricting FX trading limits - as fear of Grexit looms.
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The Problem Isn't Over-Production; It's Mal-Investment!. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. Mr. Max Ehrendfreund, writing in the Washington Post’s Wonkblog, believes that he has discovered something new: that the world is producing too much and doesn’t know what to do with it. His solution, of course, is to confiscate the overproduced products, such as oil and cotton, from its rightful owners and give it to the people who need it. This phony problem and its statist solution goes back at least as far at the 1930’s socialist calls for “production for use” vs. the hated capitalist concept of “production for profit“.
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Corporate Kleptocracy: 6,300 Examples Of America's Malignant Malfeasance. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. What follows is a remarkable data base of Corporate Fines and Settlements. From blatant cartel price-fixing or not disclosing the dangers of the company's heavily promoted medications to destroying documents to thwart an investigation of wrong-doing, the list is stunning and reads like a who's who of Corporate America and Top 100 Global Corporations. In other words, these were not wrist-slaps for minor oversights of complex regulations - these are blatant violations of core laws of the land and while the PR spins how corporate profits benefit widows and orphans, this vast wealth is concentrated in the top 1% and the top 5%.
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Greek Deal On Monday "Not Possible" MNI Reports Despite Troika Attempt To Reconcile Differences. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. With the crucial May 12th €774mm Greek IMF payment looming (and thus even more critical May 11th deadline for the Eurogroup's decision to release around €7bn in additional funds to Greece), the much-discussed 'splintering' of the Troika (The Institutions as the Greeks would prefer we describe them) appears to be gradually un-splintering. Today's statement from the EU talks that the members of the Troika "share the same objective" may reassure some after the 'limbo' of serious disagreements between the European Commission and The IMF. However, with various 'red lines' remaining unaddressed, EU sources say a deal on Monday is not possible.
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Crude Pumps (And Dumps) After DOE Show Biggest Inventory Draw In 8 Months. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. Confirming last night's API inventory data, DOE just reported a 3.882 million barrel drawdown in total crude inventories (considerably more than the 1.5mm bbbl draw expected). This is the biggest draw since early September. The initial spike took WTI Crude prices above $62.50 but that is fading now...
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California Adopts "Unprecedented" Restrictions On Water Use As Drought Worsens. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. California water regulators are getting worried. The state has now approved a set of sweeping conservation measures designed to cut water consuption by up to 36% in some areas to combat a severe drought that has now killed some 12 million trees and threatens to turn California into a modern day Dust Bowl.
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US Productivity Suffers First Consecutive Quarterly Plunge Since 1993. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. Well this cannot be good. US output per hour (for the non-farm businesses) - or non-Farm productivity - plunged 1.9% in Q1. This follows a 2.1% slump in Q4 2014 and is the first consecutive quarterly plunge since 1993. This was driven by a 0.2% decline in output as hours worked increased 1.7% with manufacturing productivity suffering a 1.1% drop in Q1 (driven by a 1.2% decline in output).
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ADP Employment Tumbles To 15 Month Lows As Manufacturing Jobs Plunge. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015. Following March's dismal drop in the ADP Employment report (the biggest miss in 4 years) and missing for 3 straight months, April printed a very weak 169k (against notably lowere expectations of a 200k rise). Even worse, February and March was revised even lower. This is lower than the lowest economist estimate. Large companies were particularly weak with smaller businesses adding the bulk of the meager jobs print. The esteemed Mark Zandi blames this on "the fallout from the collapse of oil prices and the surging value of the dollar."
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/06/2015 - 07:06
  • ‘Flash Crash’ Overhaul Is Snarled in Red Tape (WSJ)
  • ECB Considers Tighter Noose on Greek Banks (BBG)
  • Dollar Falls as U.S. Data Cast Doubt on Fed Policy Tightening (BBG)
  • Market U-Turn Rams Hedge Funds (WSJ)
  • Greece makes 200 million euro IMF payment due Wednesday (Reuters)
  • Greek unemployment was 25.4 percent in February (Reuters)
  • J.P. Morgan’s Barista-Turned-Banker Sees Good Things Brewing (WSJ)
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FUTURE FAST FORWARD

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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE

Iran is Falling to a Nuclear Agreement Trap
By Akbar E. Torbat
While the regime leaders pretended that they had made a good agreement, Lausanne deal is a shameful agreement in Iran’s contemporary history.
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Chaos – not Victory – is Empire’s Name of the Game
By Peter Koenig
The Washington / NATO strategy is not to 'win' a war or conflict, but to create ongoing - endless chaos.
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The Choice Before Europe
By Paul Craig Roberts
Europeans have to decide whether the threat is Russia or Washington.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH

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LATINO NEWS

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El mar, un cementerio. La tierra, una cárcel. Hhorror detrás de políticas europeas anti-inmigración
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PRESSTV

US Navy ends escorts through Hormuz. Wed May 6, 2015 The Pentagon says the US Navy ships will no longer accompany US and UK flagged cargo vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz near the Persian Gulf.
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S Arabia’s ‘Operation Renewal of Atrocities’ . Wed May 6, 2015 S Arabia on April 21 announced the end of the first phase of its military operation against Yemen, but it's airstrikes have continued in a new phase.
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Houthis gain ground in south Yemen. Wed May 6, 2015 Ansarullah fighters make considerable advances in the southern Yemeni province of Aden.
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