miércoles, 13 de mayo de 2015

MAY 13 SIT EC y POL



MAY 13 SIT EC y POL

ZERO HEDGE


What Peter Schiff Said To Ben Bernanke. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015, "You said you weren’t monetizing the debt when you talked to Congress. You said the Fed was going to sell the bonds, but none of them have been sold. They’ve all been rolled over. So how are you claiming victory when you haven’t exited? You haven’t raised rates, you haven’t shrunk the balance sheet. You were wrong in the past. You didn’t see the financial crisis coming. You told us there was no housing bubble. You said subprime was contained. So you were certainly wrong then. So how do you know you’re not wrong now? Is there anything that might change your opinion and get you to rethink and maybe admit that your outlook is wrong?"

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A Generational Storm Is Coming. by Bill Bonner via Bonner & Partners, Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. You are heirs to claptrap, nonsense, bogus theories, and trillions of dollars in debt. The systems, programs, and institutions your parents set up are mostly worthless scams. Worse, they produce outcomes contrary to their stated goals.

All of those assertions take more time to explain and prove than we have time for now. But here’s a little example that you will appreciate…

[Here only subtitles: go to http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-05-13/generational-storm-coming for the full article. This is a wishful thinking though it contains some real truth ]

25 Years of Poverty
A Suicidal System of Credit
Time to Wipe the Slate Clean
Either you break free from the jackass things your parents have done to you … or you deserve what you get.
Congratulations, chumps.
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"We The People" Need To Circle The Wagons: The Government Is On The Warpath. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. Have you ever wondered why the Constitution begins with those three words “we the people”? It was intended to be a powerful reminder that everything flows from the citizenry. We the people are the center of the government and the source of its power. That “we” is crucial because it reminds us that there is power and safety in numbers, provided we stand united. We can accomplish nothing alone. Unfortunately, we have been ousted from that protected circle, by the courts, the politicians, and the corporations - replacing us with yes-men, shills who dance to the tune of an elite ruling class. To put it a little more bluntly, stop thinking like mindless government robots and start acting like a powerhouse of citizens vested with the power to say “enough is enough.”
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45% Of US Voters Are Worried The Government Will Use Military Training Exercises For Power Grab. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. Mainstream media reporting on the controversy over the Jade Helm 15 military exercises, set to take place over eight weeks across several U.S. states, was primarily about characterizing and demonizing Texans concerned about the exercises as backwater, paranoid rednecks with wild fantasies about an imminent government takeover. While exercises like these will always cause the imagination of some to run amok, the key point here is this: concerns that U.S. military exercises will be used to exert more power over states is not a fringe view.
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America's Class Segregation Problem In 4 Charts. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015 Based on Harvard Political scientist Robert Putnam to whom “a family’s socioeconomic status has become more important than their educational aptitude in predicting whether an eighth-grader would graduate from college according to WSJ.

“One surreal night of mass chaos, indiscriminate pillaging, violent street clashes, and widespread arson notwithstanding, race relations in America have generally improved over the last five or so decades. Even as the nation's focus has shifted back to the issue of racial discrimination on the heels of several high profile incidents of apparent police misconduct, America has at least managed to overcome overt racial segregation and steer generally (but not always) clear of the types of egregious civil rights violations that still existed a century after the Emancipation Proclamation.

“However, one type of segregation that has certainly not disappeared but has instead only grown is class-based segregation. The following four charts demonstrate how the interplay between income and education has served to exacerbate the class divide among America's youth, curtailing opportunities for the poor in the process.

SEE more graphs: The Parent Gap; Soft skills, Predicting College Graduation..

“Don't worry America, we're sure the "wealth effect" from QE will start to trickle down to the lower tax brackets any day now and when that day comes all your problems will be solved at which point you can write to PIMCO and explain how great of a man their newest adviser is.”

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ETF Issuers Quietly Prepare For "Market Meltdown" With Billions In Emergency Liquidity. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. Looking for signs that the country's largest asset management firms believe a market meltdown may be on the horizon? Look no further than Vanguard and several other large ETF providers who have set up billions in credit lines with banks to guard against the possibility that a wave of redemptions could wreak havoc on illiquid credit markets.

[[ According to INVESTOPEDIA
www.investopedia.com/terms/e/etf.asp
DEFINITION of 'Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF)' An ETF, or exchange traded fund, is a marketable security that tracks an index, a commodity, bonds, or a basket of assets like an index fund. Unlike mutual funds, an ETF trades like a common stock on a stock exchange.
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www.investopedia.com/.../exchange-traded-products-etp.asp
Exchange traded products include exchange traded funds (ETFs), exchange traded vehicles (ETVs), exchange traded notes (ETNs) and certificates.
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www.investopedia.com/terms/e/etf-futures-and-options.asp
A variety of derivative products based on exchange-traded funds. ETF futures are contracts that represent an agreement to buy (or sell) the underlying ETF ...
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economictimes.indiatimes.com
ETF Definition: ETFs or exchange traded funds are similar to index mutual funds. However, they trade just like stocks.]]

“Essentially, ETF providers are worried that in a pinch (i.e. when ETF sellers outnumber ETF buyers), they will be forced to liquidate assets into structurally thin markets at fire sale prices in order to meet redemptions, triggering a collapse in the underlying securities (like HY bonds)”.
In case it isn’t clear enough from the above that ZIRP is in large part responsible for this, consider the following:

"These funds offer daily or even intraday liquidity to investors while holding assets that are hard to sell immediately, thus making the funds vulnerable to liquidity risk," U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Stanley Fischer said in a speech in March in Germany, pointing directly to ETFs and saying they have mushroomed in size while tracking indexes of "relatively illiquid" assets.

In the final analysis, these liquidity lines are essentially distressed loans when drawn down, and the effect is to create yet another delay-and-pray ponzi scheme whereby liquidation is temporarily forestalled by borrowed money.

Recall that Howard Marks recently warned investors against ignoring the fact that an ETF can't be more liquid than the underlying assets and the underlying assets can be highly illiquid. So while Marks may have wondered rhetorically what could happen in a worst case scenario, the market is itself now quietly taking steps to avoid that moment as long as possible
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It's Only Fair To Tax The Wealthy, Obama Says: "They Are Society's Lottery Winners". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. "when I say that, I’m not saying that because I dislike hedge fund managers, or I think they are evil, I’m saying that you’re paying a lower [tax] rate than a lot of folks who are making $300,000 a year... There’s a fairness issue involved here. And by the way, if we were able to close that loophole, I could now invest in early childhood education to make a difference. That’s where the rubber hits the road. That’s … where the question of compassion and ‘I’m my brother’s keeper’ comes into play. And if we can’t ask from society’s lottery winners to just make that modest investment, then really this conversation is for show."
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Forget Mattresses, Greeks Are Stashing Their Cash In Cars. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. As Greek empty their bank accounts at a record pace, waiting for the capital-controlling, bank-holiday-based 'other shoe' to drop on Grexit, devaluation, and drachmatization; they are not stashing their cash in the proverbial mattress. Instead, as The Telegraph reports, there is a slightly surprising sign that Greece is in the classic throes of a bank run (as we saw in Russia last year): car sales jumped by 47% in April.
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The US Is In Recession According To These 7 Charts. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. The evidence continues to mount...
So here are seven charts that scream "recession" is here...
1- Retail Sales are weak - extremely weak. Retail Sales Ex-Auto-gas have not dropped this much YoY outside of a recession...
2- And if Retail Sales are weak, then Wholesalers are seeing sales plunge at a pace not seen outside of recession...
3- Which means Factory New Orders are collapsing at a pace only seen in recession...
4- Which means Factory Orders are collapsing at a pace only seen in recession...
5- And Durable Goods New Orders are negative YoY once again - strongly indicative of a recessionary environment...
6- Whole sale Inventories/Sales.  Which is not going to improve anytime soon since inventories have not been this high relative to sales outside of a recession.  In fact, the last time durable goods orders fell this much, The Fed launched QE3 - indicating clearly why they desperately want to raise rates imminently... in order to have some non-ZIRP/NIRP ammo when the next recession hits.
- And just in case you figured that if domestic prosperity won't goose the economy, Chinese and Japanese stimulus means the rest of the world will save us... nope!! Export growth is now negative... as seen in the last 2 recessions.
- And deflationary pressures (Import Prices ex-fuel) are washing upon America's shores at a pace not seen outside of a recession...
- And just in case you figured that if domestic prosperity won't goose the economy, Chinese and Japanese stimulus means the rest of the world will save us... nope!! Export growth is now negative... as seen in the last 2 recessions.
- And deflationary pressures (Import Prices ex-fuel) are washing upon America's shores at a pace not seen outside of a recession...
7- Employed Population %. But apart from that, given that US equities are at record highs, everything must be great in the US economy... [irony. Fact :in 2014 a little bet up –almost similar- than in 2005-9]
Wait a minute.
 [So, if this is not recession  how we can called ..  soft recession? Or soft transitional to an eminent crash?  See below:  Import Prices Plunge For 9th Month In A Row, Biggest Drop Ex-Fuel Since 2009]
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China Lashes Out At US: "Refrain From Provocative Action". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. While apparently the US does not have its hands full already with orchestrating (and profiting from) two proxy regional wars, one in Ukraine and one in the Middle East, and feels compelled (by shareholders of US "defense" companies) to prove to the world it has long since lost its globocop status when China roundly ignores American threats, China wasted no time to do just that and overnight Beijing strongly condemned a proposed U.S. military plan to send aircraft and Navy ships near disputed South China Sea islands to contest Chinese territorial claims over the area. It didn't end there and China escalated verbally to a near breaking point when Beijing urged “relevant countries to refrain from taking risky and provocative action.”
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Gold & Silver Surge On Heavy Volume As Dollar Dives After Retail Sales Slump. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. Is bad news good? For now, stocks levitate in their ubiquitous run-stop opening ramp manner, bonds are leaking higher in yield but precious metals and currencies are extremely active...
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"QE Doesn't Work... But We Can't Wait For More". Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. It is perhaps an emblematic description for our current bubble age; QE doesn’t work but “we” can’t wait for more. Maybe that is just the logical evolution of monetary magic, since QE was brought on with almost mythical properties that were going to cure a lot of financial and economic ills (Bernanke the former). Now resignation (Bernanke the latter) has left it with only the hope that it can just save us from the worst downside, even without any real expectation of a true upside in the economy. In other words, markets hope for the QE zombie, where the economy is kept from death by it, with full recognition now that it will never regain full life either.
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Import Prices Plunge For 9th Month In A Row, Biggest Drop Ex-Fuel Since 2009. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. US Import Prices fell 10.7% in April (missing expectations of a 9.7% decline) making this the longest streak of YoY declines outside of a recession in history. In fact, YoY Import Prices have only risen 5 times in the last 36 months. This is also the 10th monthly decline in import prices (-0.3% vs +0.3% expectations) with with Food and Beverage prices dropping the most and non-fuel-related import costs dropping the most since 2009 and imports ex-fuel and food fell 2.2% YoY in April. The biggest price deflationary pressures appear to come from ASEAN with overall manufactured goods sliding 0.4% against non-manufactured rising 0.5% in April.
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US Retail Sales Hint At Recession, Weakest Since Financial Crisis. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. Despite bouncing back last month at the fastest pace in a year, April just printed the slowest YoY growth since Nov09 at just 0.9% (retail sales has still missed expectations for 4 of the last 5 months). Against expectations of a 0.2% MoM rise in April (considerably slower than the 0.9% pop in March), Retail Sales missed with a 0.0% change. Ex-Auto and Gas MoM also missed with a mere 0.1% gain (aghainst +0.5% exp.) but it was the control group that saw the biggest miss, printing 0.0% (against hopeful expectations of a 0.5% gain). There was widespresd weakness with outright declines in autos, furniture, gas, food, electronics (AAPL hangover), and general merchandise.
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The Central Problem With Central Banks: They Become The Greater Fools/Bag-Holders. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. The conventional view is that the Fed will never need to print-and-buy more than a few hundred billion dollars to stem the tide of selling. But the conventional view has a fatal flaw that Greenspan outlined in his Foreign Affairs article: when markets go bidless, "animal spirits" may be beyond calming. Once central bank buying fails to stem the tide, markets will truly panic. Can central banks double, triple and quadruple their balance sheets almost overnight to absorb the mass dumping of risk-on assets? Will there be no consequences, political and financial, to central banks becoming the greater fools who will buy even as asset values are crashing?
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Chicago "Junking" Triggers $2.2 Billion Payment, Deepening Financial Crisis. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. Following an Illinois Supreme Court ruling that struck down a pension reform plan aimed at closing a $100 billion funding gap, Moody's downgrades Chicago to junk, giving the city the dubious distinction of being the only major city "in recent history" to carry such a low rating other than Detroit. Chicago now faces accelerated payments to creditors of more than $2 billion.
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015 - 07:45
  • Obama, McConnell missteps undercut trade pact in U.S. Senate (Reuters)
  • Bears Beware: Rout Puts Investors on Wrong Side of Central Banks (BBG)
  • U.S. Set to Rip Up UBS Libor Accord, Seek Conviction (BBG)
  • Greece’s Creditors Said to Seek EU3 Billion in Budget Cuts (BBG)
  • Amtrak train derails in Philadelphia, killing at least five (Reuters)
  • Oil glut worsens as OPEC market-share battle just beginning (Reuters)
  • China Stimulus Aims at Restructuring Trillions in Local-Government Debt (WSJ)
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Greece Is Now Just A Political Issue. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/13/2015. The troika wants the Syriza government to execute things that run counter to their election promises. No matter how many people point out the failures of austerity measures as they are currently being implemented in various countries, the troika insists on more austerity. Even as they know full well Syriza can’t give them that because of its mandate. Let alone its morals. It’s a power game. It’s a political game. It always was. But still it has invariably been presented by both the international-press and the troika as an economic problem.
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WASHINGTON BLOG

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Timothy McVeigh and the Oklahoma City Bombing. Posted on May 13, 2015 by WashingtonsBlog . Cover-up? False flag? Wacky conspiracy theory?
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LATINO NEWS

A 40 años del asesinato de Roque Dalton. Érase un hombre a su pluma y fusil atado. Pablo A. Jofre Leal
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Chile. El naufragio de la democracia secuestrada. Andrés Figueroa Cornejo
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PRESSTV

Who’s supporting terror in Middle East? . Wed May 13, 2015 This edition of The Debate focuses on the real sponsors of terrorism in the Middle East.
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‘US uses ISIL to fight its dirty wars’ Wed May 13, 2015 Stephan Lendman says the United States uses ISIL to fight its dirty wars.
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NATO to stay in Afghanistan after 2016. Wed May 13, 2015 The NATO secretary general says the alliance will keep some troops in Afghanistan beyond 2016.
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Greek economy back into recession. Wed May 13, 2015 New data show that Greece’s economy has slipped back into recession after contracting by 0.2 percent in Q1.
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‘US abuses Minsk II deal on Ukraine’ . Wed May 13, 2015 The US is abusing the framework of the Minsk II agreement on Ukraine to pursue its own agenda in the region, a geopolitical analyst in Europe says.
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‘IAEA request may impact Iran security’. Wed May 13, 2015 A commentator says there has to be an opportunity for Iran to reject IAEA’s request to inspect its military sites because it will impact Iranian national security interests.
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