miércoles, 26 de febrero de 2020

ND FEB 25 SIT EC y POL



ND  FEB  25  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

EL CRASH FINANCIERO ACTUAL

Mi reacción al articulo:
BLOOD BATH:

                My Comment as introduction:
                Hugo Adan . Feb 25-2020

Esperabamos esta caida Econ pero después de las elecciones. Con una fuerte inyección de USD (QE + Bailouts) puede Trump reciclar la debacle final y salvar a los de arriba. Pero es el efecto de este crash en las clases medias (capital productivo pequeño) y en el labor o “pobretariado” .. es esto lo que va a definir la suerte política de la reelección de Trump. 

Si condona la deuda a los egresados de Univ y a los millennials.. podría competir con Sanders, pero muy difícil que le gane porque el efecto de la inyección de USD para el pobretariado y las clases medias es muy lento y la Nación está ya a punto a estallar. 

Lo peor que le podría ocurrir a Trump es iniciar el WW3 en el Middle East, eso solo TRAE MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction) with RU and China. Mas fácil seria el retiro inmediato de tropas y sobre todo la COVERSA o DEAL con RU-CHINA y otras potencias nucleares para el desmontaje del arsenal nuclear a nivel mundial y esto tampoco tendría efecto inmediato. 

Además esto requiere desmontar el sistema keynesiano basado en el gasto estatal en armas y guerras fuera (de esto depende la Econ del US) y Trump adolece de plan post-neoliberal o anti-keynesiano. 

Lo peor es que adolece de credibilidad interna y externa y aun si gana una guerra rápida contra Siria e Iran con ayuda de la OTAN e Inglaterra es imposible que esa temporal victoria ayude a definir su re-elección. RU-China y sus aliados están preparados para el contra-ataque inmediato. 

Iniciar el WW3 es un suicidio para nuestra nación. El temporal chovinismo nacionalista pro-WW3 y el efecto de la victoria temporal se disolverá pronto aun si  la Prensa oficial oculta nuestras bajas y/o se corta el internet. 

Con Trump no tenemos futuro asegurado y con la guerra mundial menos aun. La pandemia guerra mundial es peor que la pandemia corona-virus. Todos esperamos su derrota electoral si no ocurre la guerra mundial y/o su  renuncia inmediata. Si no lo hace pronto, su caída posterior será peor:  no tiene chances de gobernabilidad si gana con el fraude actual. Trump generará el reino de caos interno y eso desatara en una guerra civil interna de impredecibles consecuencias.  
….
….
WHO, CDC, and HSS all dropped the honesty hammer today:
  • WHO SAYS REST OF WORLD IS NOT YET READY FOR VIRUS SPREAD
  • CDC OFFICIAL SAYS CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC IS LIKELY
  • AZAR SAYS U.S. MAY NEED UP TO 300M MASKS FOR HEALTHCARE WORKERS
And just like that 'complacency'  is gone...

From "Extreme Greed" to "Extreme Fear" in a week..
See Charts:
Fear and Greed Index

So, rates, FX, and commodities were right after all...
See Chart:

Year-to-date, gold and bonds are up around 7.5%, stocks are down around 5%
See Chart:

Nasdaq briefly touched unchanged on the year, all the other majors are now red for the year...
See Chart:

All European majors are now red for the year.
Will stock investors ever learn? As Morgan Stanley's Chris Metli warned, sentiment hasn't shifted... yet:

"...in conversations with clients yesterday and today it feels like most discretionary traders want to look through the systematic supply and any economic disruptions, and still don’t see a reason to deviate from the secular growth trade. While the market will naturally follow the macro news flowthe fact that investors haven’t become materially more bearish and there was not a full flush of positioning makes QDS concerned about further downside moves and would be a seller of rallies more than a buyer of dips."

Nasdaq broke below 9,000 and The Dow tested down to almost a 26k handle.
See Chart:

All major US equity indices tumbled through critical technical support levels. Dow and Russell 2000 broke below their 200DMA, Nasdaq well below its 50DMA, and S&P below its 100DMA...
See Charts:

“Those tech lines should matter -- it tells you the psychology is changing,” said Mark McCormick, global head of FX strategy at TD Securities.
“When markets are not trading on growth or fundamentals, a turn in sentiment nearly always leads to a drawdown in the things that are overbought and trading at a premium.”

The number of NYSE-traded stocks that retreated in the past two days has been the highest of the almost 12-year bull market... and worst breadth since Sept 2000...
See Chart:

FANG Stocks crashed almost 10% from last week's highs...
See Chart:

This was The Dow's biggest 2-day drop since VIXmageddon in Feb 2018
See Chart:

The big banks have been clubbed like baby seals, crashing over 10% in the last 3 days..
See Chart:

VIX exploded higher again, pushing above 30 for the first time since Dec 2018...
See Chart:

US HY Corporate Bonds OAS credit extended its losses as stocks caught down to their reality...
See Chart:

Credit spreads blew out in cash and CDS markets...
See Chart:

Treasury yields were down around 5bps across the curve...
See Chart:

UST 30Y Yields extended the decline at record lows, trading with a 1.78% handle!!!
See Chart:

The yield curve continued to flatten dramatically...

The short-end is now pricing in 2.5 rate-cuts by the end of 2020...
See Chart:

The B-dollar drifted lower today after two strange days...
See Chart:

Commodities were all lower today (gold outperformed, but still fell), despite a weaker dollar...
See Chart:

And WTI tumbled below $50
See Chart:

Global Liquidity Proxy:, we note that stocks have played catch down to the retreat in global liquidity...
See Chart:

We also note that Europe and US are notably underperforming China since the Covid-19 crisis began to make headlines...
See Chart:

It is clear someone - cough, Xi, cough - doesn't want their stock market going down...
See Chart: China is going up

And China's resurgence is all about leverage - outstanding margin debt rose to a four-year high of 1.1 trillion yuan ($157 billion), according to data compiled by Bloomberg... that won't end well!  [ Xenophobic wishfully thinking? ]
See Chart:

So, what happens next?
See Chart:
Nasdaq now vs. Nasdaq Y2K  [Final collapse?]
….
----
----


"It only takes one missing part to stop a line,"
See Chart at:
====


"No one knows how long or painful this will be...”

WTI traded to a $49 handle ahead of the inventory data, and tried hard to rally back above $50 after the data hit...
See Chart:
….
----
----


US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


Governments hate secession because itmeans fewer tax donkeys and businesses to tax and fewer people to push around...


When the Soviet Union began its collapse in 1989, the world witnessed decentralization and secession on a scale not seen in Europe since the nineteenth century. [[ Secession is taken as synonymous of separatism ]]

This period served as an important reminder that human history is not, in fact, just a story of ever increasing state power and centralization…. But in spite of many efforts by separatists worldwide, there have been few changes to the lines on the maps.

This has certainly been the case in Europe and the Americas, where from Quebec to Scotland to Catalonia to Venice demands for independence have been met with trepidation and sometimes outright threats of violence from central governments.

Countries Don't Like to Get Smaller
This is partly due to the fact state organizations—that is, the people who control them—have little motivation to give up the benefits conferred by bigness. States that control larger geographic areas and larger populations have greater ability to project their power and get more power.

Totalitarian States Require Bigness
This relationship between bigness and state power has been illustrated in the fact totalitarian states are virtually always large states.

Continued Movement toward Smaller States

Continue reading at:
----
----

Another intention of COVID 19 revealed:  Freedom of expression cut. Open fascism?
All the official reassurances won't be worth a bucket of warm spit..
====

“We've trained our eyes on [Bernie]. Something the rest of the field has failed to do eight debates prior and a year in a campaign,”
====

"If we had a healthier economy we could better withstand... But the bigger problem is that the Fed's cure is actually worse than this disease,"
….
The US war with RU-China in the middle East (Siria & Iran) is the biggest PIN
====
The invented/exaggerated fear to COVID 19 became a shoot to the foot
“It’s all stopped...zero,”
====
"...corporate media’s credibility keeps setting new lows, and they keep grasping for the same increasingly blunted instrument of blaming the All-American shitshow on Russia..."
====
Witness testimony alleges spies discussed “kidnapping or poisoning Julian Assange in the embassy” and staging it as “an accident”.
====
The state has just $58,655 in its rainy day fund...
====
...the U.S. public's confidence in elections is one of the worst of any wealthy democracy.
….
La democracia en US no existe: la mataron las fundaciones de millonarios que compran votos. Hoy como nunca tenemos 2 grandes negociantes del fraude: Bloomberg  y Trump, plus la mafia peodofila de los Clinton en el Pdo Dem. La democracia no existe, lo que tenemos es Polyarchy (oligarquías controlando elecciones con reglas que ellos burlan desde hace tiempo en forma descarada) 1ra vez que tenemos candidatos Presid honestos como Sanders y E Warren que los están denunciando y ganándoles la batalla. Merecen nuestro apoyo.
====


US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

La dictadura China es blanda comparada al US y su Economia es exelente

Big Brother’s on full display in China right now, but he could be on his way here before too long...
….
Rickards debió aplicar la dystopia de Orwell “1984” 1ro al US y luego a China pero se dejó ganar por la pandemia política US conocida como Xenophobia. Le recomiendo lea el articulo Bloodbath, la parte final refiere la Econ China.
====
The WW3 PANDEMIC is more real & severe than COVID 19
“The threat of a pandemic spreading around the globe is a real one... A quick-moving pathogen has the potential to kill tens of millions of people, disrupt economies and destabilize national security...”
====
...was the virus scare just the right 'crisis not to waste'?
====

SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

----
----

NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION
====
ALAI ORG

====
RT  EN ESPAÑOL

US impone sanciones contra 13 entidades en Rusia, China, Irak y Turquía https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344064-eeuu-impone-sanciones-13-entidades-rusia-china-irak-turquia  Que Ley y Etica avala sanciones del US?
OMS en China: el mundo "no está preparado" para enfrentar la epidemia del coronavirus  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344085-jefe-mision-oms-china-mundo-no-esta-preparado-coronavirus
Irán acusa a US . de PRO-guerra nuclear al incorporar ojiva nuclear en  sus submarinos  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/344050-iran-acusar-eeuu-hacer-guerra-nuclear-mas-probable-ojiva-submarinos
Cacerolazo en Colombia en protesta por los asesinatos de excombatientes FARC  https://actualidad.rt.com/video/344108-cacerolazo-colombia-protesta-asesinatos-excombatientes-farc
Precandidatos demócratas asedian a B Sanders en debate electoral en Carolina del Sur  https://actualidad.rt.com/video/344100-precandidatos-democratas-asedian-sanders-debate-electoral
----
----

INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

----
----

COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics
Manuel García, Jr.   Climate Change and Voting 2020
----
----

GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

----
----


DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

----
----


ASIAN NEWS
Press TV

----
===

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario