lunes, 6 de enero de 2020

ND JAN 6 20 SIT EC y POL



ND  JAN 6 20  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco
 
ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

The assassination was intended to escalate America’s presence in Iraq to keep control the region’s oil reserves, and to back Saudi Arabia’s Wahabi troops to support U.S. control of Near Eastern oil as a buttress to the U.S. dollar.
The mainstream media are carefully sidestepping the method behind America’s seeming madness in assassinating Islamic Revolutionary Guard general Qassim Suleimani to start the New Year. The logic behind the assassination this was a long-standing application of U.S. global policy, not just a personality quirk of Donald Trump’s impulsive action. His assassination of Iranian military leader Suleimani was indeed a unilateral act of war in violation of international law, but it was a logical step in a long-standing U.S. strategy. It was explicitly authorized by the Senate in the funding bill for the Pentagon that it passed last year.

The assassination was intended to escalate America’s presence in Iraq to keep control the region’s oil reserves, and to back Saudi Arabia’s Wahabi troops (Isis, Al Quaeda in Iraq, Al Nusra and other divisions of what are actually America’s foreign legion) to support U.S. control of Near Eastern oil as a buttress to the U.S. dollar. That remains the key to understanding this policy, and why it is in the process of escalating, not dying down.

The media and public discussion have diverted attention from this strategy by floundering speculation that President Trump did it, except to counter the (non-)threat of impeachment with a wag-the-dog attack, or to back Israeli lebensraum drives, or simply to surrender the White House to neocon hate-Iran syndrome.
The actual context for the neocon’s action was the balance of payments, and the role of oil and energy as a long-term lever of American diplomacy.

THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DIMENSION
The major deficit in the U.S. balance of payments has long been military spending abroad. The entire payments deficit, beginning with the Korean War in 1950-51 and extending through the Vietnam War of the 1960s, was responsible for forcing the dollar off gold in 1971. The problem facing America’s military strategists was how to continue supporting the 800 U.S. military bases around the world and allied troop support without losing America’s financial leverage.
The solution turned out to be to replace gold with U.S. Treasury securities (IOUs) as the basis of foreign central bank reserves. After 1971, foreign central banks had little option for what to do with their continuing dollar inflows except to recycle them to the U.S. economy by buying U.S. Treasury securities. The effect of U.S. foreign military spending thus did not undercut the dollar’s exchange rate, and did not even force the Treasury and Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to attract foreign exchange to offset the dollar outflows on military account. In fact, U.S. foreign military spending helped finance the domestic U.S. federal budget deficit.
Saudi Arabia and other Near Eastern OPEC countries quickly became a buttress of the dollar. After these countries quadrupled the price of oil (in retaliation for the United States quadrupling the price of its grain exports, a mainstay of the U.S. trade balance), U.S. banks were swamped with an inflow of much foreign deposits – which were lent out to Third World countries in an explosion of bad loans that blew up in 1972 with Mexico’s insolvency, and destroyed Third World government credit for a decade, forcing it into dependence on the United States via the IMF and World Bank).
To top matters, of course, what Saudi Arabia does not save in dollarized assets with its oil-export earnings is spent on buying hundreds of billion of dollars of U.S. arms exports. This locks them into dependence on U.S. supply o replacement parts and repairs, and enables the United States to turn off Saudi military hardware at any point of time, in the event that the Saudis may try to act independently of U.S. foreign policy.
So maintaining the dollar as the world’s reserve currency became a mainstay of U.S. military spending. Foreign countries to not have to pay the Pentagon directly for this spending. They simply finance the U.S. Treasury and U.S. banking system.
Fear of this development was a major reason why the United States moved against Libya, whose foreign reserves were held in gold, not dollars, an which was urging other African countries to follow suit in order to free themselves from “Dollar Diplomacy.” Hillary and Obama invaded, grabbed their gold supplies (we still have no idea who ended up with these billions of dollars worth of gold) and destroyed Libya’s government, its public education system, its public infrastructure and other non-neoliberal policies.
The great threat to this is dedollarization as China, Russia and other countries seek to avoid recycling dollars. Without the dollar’s function as the vehicle for world saving – in effect, without the Pentagon’s role in creating the Treasury debt that is the vehicle for world central bank reserves – the U.S. would find itself constrained militarily and hence diplomatically constrained, as it was under the gold exchange standard.
That is the same strategy that the U.S. has followed in Syria and Iraq. Iran was threatening this dollarization strategy and its buttress in U.S. oil diplomacy.

THE OIL INDUSTRY AS BUTTRESS OF THE U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND FOREIGN DIPLOMACY
The trade balance is buttressed by oil and farm surpluses. Oil is the key, because it is imported by U.S. companies at almost no balance-of-payments cost (the payments end up in the oil industry’s head offices here as profits and payments to management), while profits on U.S. oil company sales to other countries are remitted to the United States (the payments end up in the oil industry’s head offices here as profits and payments to management), while profits on U.S. oil company sales to other countries are remitted to the United States (via offshore tax-avoidance centers, mainly Liberia and Panama for many years). And as noted above, OPEC countries have been told to keep their official reserves in the form of U.S. securities (stocks and bonds as well as Treasury IOUs, but not direct purchase of U.S. companies being deemed economically important). Financially, OPEC countries are client slates of the Dollar Area.

HOW A “DEMOCRATIC” NATION CAN WAGE INTERNATIONAL WAR AND TERRORISM
Continue reading g at
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After an ugly open last night in futures trading, the machines went on a buying spree lifting the majors back to unchanged. Notice the weakness at the Asia open and European open and buying panic at US open...
See Chart:

And we note that AAPL and its volatility remain notably decoupled...
See Chart:

VIX and stocks remain decoupled but for the 4th day in a row, vol was clubbed like a baby seal intraday...
See Chart:

The 30Y Yield found support from a few weeks ago and bounced (still lower yield on the year)...
See Chart:

The B-dollar extended its decline from Friday's highs...
See Chart:

Similarly, the yield curve steepened off support, after flattening dramatically in the first two days of the year...
See Chart:

Commodities were bid last night (crude and PMs) as mideast tensions rose but the US equity market open prompted selling...
See Chart:

Finally, while the dollar is clinging to support against its also-declining fiat friends, its is collapsing against gold...
See Chart:
US Dollar vs. fiat  and US Dollar vs. Gold
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

Our soldier’s life deserve respect. Trump= Chaos. We must demand  Trump’resignation
Defense Secretary  Esper: "There has been no decision to leave Iraq. Period."
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Scott Ritter made clear IRAN’s PEACE intention. It is US who wants “tactical-nuke” Iran
Here his recent INFO:
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Here yesterday message that I sent:
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There are troubling signs here!
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

One more probe that IRAN  intention is PEACE 
US intelligence claims for Soleimani assassination looking "razor thin"...
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Jens Stoltenberg did confirm that NATO has halted all training missions inside Iraq...
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I do have a hypothesis on NATO but i need more EVIDENCE to support it: Meanwhile read:
My hypotheis:
1st I do believe that NATO is deeply involved in US attack to IRAN, they depend on Pentagon & main US architects of US foreign wars (big business as Michael Hudson confirmed). 2nd  RU is very aware of these moves with special focus on UK (one of main military supporters of NATO). When UK military moved 2 big destroyers to IRAN –sea containing tactical-nukes, RU immediately sent nuke missiles to IRAN (they can destroy those 2 basis and hit London’s banks). In short: IRAN has nuke power to hit UK: more than 50% of NATO power. As soon as I get evidence on this Hyp I will send it. 3rd  The reason why IRAN won’t take the initiative to attack UK-NATO is because US depend on it & will respond. But if they get more nuke missiles the correlation of forces will change and they will have to make a deal not to attack each other, as happen with JFK deal with RU.
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CNN's Starr reports the B-52s will be "available for operations against Iran if ordered"...
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I don’t think India will hit Iran. It is the US who wants to use India space to Hit Iran ( very risky operation). And this is not a matter of ‘the 1st who strike wins’. Satelites are in high alert and will respond automatically to any attack on RU-China-Iran. One single missile to Yellow Stone will create multiple explosion and earth quakes in the west South, while other missiles on Geogia and Penta ++ will leave US without power. SO: MAD will prevail. US-RU don’t want this.
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

-Iran's FM Zarif Barred From Entering US to Take Part in UN Security Council Meeting - Reports   This is illegal:  The UN doesn’t belong to USA. UN SHOULD MOVE to EU OR..
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION
ECON:  Empiezan los 20, ¿los "terribles 20"?  Andrés Piqueras
COL: La 1ra  toma guerrillera del E L N  Isabel Torres y A Carbonell
ARG:  Ni reactivación ni crecimiento  Mario Hernandez
MX:  El EZLN contra el Trump Maya (I)  Óscar García 
España:  Desafíos ineludibles  Albert Recio 
US:  La trampa de Tucídides   Jorge Majfud
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ALAI NET ORG
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RT EN ESPAÑOL
Cámara de Represent de US. busca limitar la capac de Trump para acción militar contra Irán https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/339038-presidenta-camara-representantes-eeuu-busca
-Trump afirma que tiene derecho a bombardear objetos culturales iraníes https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/338997-trump-tener-derecho-bombardear-objetos-culturales
-11 preguntas (y resp) para entender qué sucedió en la Asamblea Nacional de Ven  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/339032-11-preguntas-respuestas-entender-asamblea-nacional-venezuela
-US niega al canciller iraní una visa para asistir a una reunión del Consejo de Seguridad de la ONU  ILEGAL:  la ONU NO PERTENECE al US: Es hora de cambiar la sede. https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/339096-eeuu-canciller-irani-visa-consejo-onu
-POMPEO al verdadero promotor en EE.UU. del asesinato del general iraní Soleimani   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/339024-pompeo-prom-asesinato-general-irani 
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

-Putin’s Hour Is At Hand   By Paul Craig Roberts
-Pence Lies About Soleimani  By Stephen Robinson
-US Outlaw State   By Finian Cunningham
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

-Gaither Stewart  Iran and US State Terrorism
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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