jueves, 30 de enero de 2020

ND JAN 30 SIT EC y POL



ND  JAN  30  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


Market Machines desperately keep trying to ignite momentum. In the immortal words of one veteran trader looking on as the so-called market exploded back to unchanged after WHO did what everyone had feared and declared this a GLOBAL PANDEMIC  "THIS ENTIRE MARKET IS A F**KING JOKE!" :

  • 0640ET *WHO: PERSON-TO-PERSON VIRUS SPREAD IN JAPAN, VIETNAM, GERMANY
  • 1240ET *CDC CONFIRMS FIRST PERSON-TO-PERSON U.S. CORONAVIRUS INFECTION
  • 1440ET *CORONAVIRUS IS INTERNATIONAL HEALTH EMERGENCY: WORLD HEALTH ORG

So panic-buy?
See Chart:

The message from the rest of the world:
China continue to be closed, but A50 futures tumbled back to recent lows today - lowest close since June...
European stocks all slumped today...

In the US : The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq all managed to surge into positive territory - after the worst possible set of news headlines...
See Chart:

Well engineered short squeeze to keep The Dow  (most shorted stocks) green in 2020...
See Chart:

For some reason, cyclicals were suddenly panic-bid on the bad news (corona virus?)...
See Chart:

Trannies and Small Caps are notably in the red year-to-date and The Dow is clinging to UNCH before the WHO Doublespeak sparked a rebound...
See Chart:

Bonds and stocks are ridiculously decoupled...
See Chart:
Nasdaq  vs  Stocks  (3Y Yield)

Treasury yields extended their decline on the week before a ridiculous spike after the WHO news.
See Chart:

30Y tested down to a 1 handle... (and 10Y below 1.55%)
See Chart:

And perhaps most notably, the yield curve has re-inverted with 3m10Y now at -3bps...
See Chart:

Before we leave rates-land, we also note that the market is panic-pricing in almost 2 rate-cuts now for 2020
See Chart:
Market-Implied  # of rate cuts by end 2020

The B-dollar trod water for a =4th day, roundtripping overnight strength with selling in the EU/US day...
See Chart:

YUAN ended weaker but no thanks to panic-bid after WHO... after WHO  it came up
See Chart:

Commodities chopped around like everything else...
See Chart:

Regarding US:  As Bloomberg noted, copper's slump may be an indication that we’re due for a bigger pullback in the U.S stock market. The metal, which is viewed as an indicator of Chinese economic health, has fallen for 11 straight sessions. It’s now at its lowest level since September, when trade tensions with China dominated headlines and the S&P 500 slid more than 3% in three weeks.

Now, it’s the coronavirus that’s prompting concerns about the Chinese economy. With the country hitting pause on production, construction, and other economic activity, industrial demand concerns are pushing copper lower. And since American and Chinese manufacturing are highly correlated, this slowdown could translate over to U.S. equities.
See Chart:
In other words:  the worse debacle is coming.

WTI traded down to a $51 handle to a critical support level...
See Chart:

Finally (always some stupidity)  some have wondered IF THE SURGE in Bernie Sanders has also weighed on stock market sentiment..
See Chart:

It could be the other way around: Sanders surge will affect negative only to billonaire’s speculators inside the neo-liberal market.
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RELATED:

The coronavirus outbreak should be treated for what it is: a potential harbinger of human and economic calamity.
See Chart:

Of course this will affect the US Economy: they are interconnected.
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The Federal Reserve's motto: "making the rich richer, and the poor poorer for over a century."
See Chart:
The top 1%  holds 56% of all household equities (Corp, non Corp & Mutual Funds)

See more interesting charts at:
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The largest boat with billionaires that get out from the Titanic is still alive:

And just like that, Amazon has recovered its rightful place among the other $1+ trillion market cap FANG companies.
Here is a summary of the fourth quarter highlights:
  • Q4 Net Sales $87.4B, above the consensus estimate of $86.17B, and above the high end of the company's own range of $80-$86.5BN
  • Q4 EPS $6.47, smashing expectations of $4.11
  • Q4 operating income $3.88 billion, up 2.5% y/y, and also smashing estimates of $2.75 billion
  • Q4 AWS Net Sales $9.95B, also modestly beating expectations of $9.89B, and up 34% Y/Y, a modestly slowdown from 45% a year earlier

Despite the otherwise impressive outlook, taking the midline of Amazon's Q1 revenue guidance of $71BN would indicate another modest slowdown in total revenue, the lowest since March 2018.
See Chart:

Another potential blemish: after the company's profit margin nearly doubled to an impressive 7.4% in Q1 2019, largely thanks to the increasing contribution from AWS, in Q2, Q3 and then again in Q4, profit slumped again, and the profit margin of 4.4% was the lowest going back to Q1 2018.
See Chart:
Amazon Profit Margin

Meanwhile, even though AWS beat revenue expectations of $9.89BN, reporting $9.95BN in sales, the growth rate continues to decline, and in Q4 dropped to 34%, the lowest on record.
See Chart:
Amazon Web Services  Growth  YoY

Online stores, seller services, Amazon Web Services, subscription services (mostly Prime) and other (mostly advertising) all saw gains.
None of the potential red flags mattered to investors however, who focused on the solid beat and the impressive guidance, and pushed the stock as much as 15% higher, to a new all time high above $2,100 and a market cap over $1 trillion.
See Chart:
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VIRUS IRONY?

So once again, bonds were right all along?
The Dow is down 200 points this morning, erasing all the mid-week gains... didn't we learn the lesson last week?
See Chart:
See more interesting charts on this matter at:
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IF DOW got a virus.. put it in special hospital .. It can infect & kill the whole neo-liberal economy. And put it together with other suspected of similar infection. Why? because loneliness can cause depression & and dep can cause attempts of suicide. We need these relics of neoliberalism in museums, not incinerated.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

IRONY ON TRUMP CRAZINES

...we need to keep a close eye on such "experts," because they seek to use state power to control their enemies, and that means conservatives and libertarians in particular.
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This Irony doesn’t need special comment.. is ironic per-se.. by default
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The end of privacy as we know it?
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"We will follow the evidence wherever it leads, no matter how high. … The rule of law will prevail."
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...media outlets pushing this agenda should be recognised as “fake news and part of the media wing of the Democratic Party.”
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The temporary postponement of the Ukrainian aid was practically irrelevant considering that U.S. assistance efforts have long fueled the poxes they promised to eradicate...
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"I think this is an important question.One that deserves to be asked."
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There’s a very good reason that Virginia wants to disarm civilians with  a rash of new, unconstitutional laws...
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That is illegal: unconstitutional. IF allow it means that State separatism is allow
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The people who wrote that letter seem tobelieve ordinary people are too stupidto figure things out for themselves...
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Stocks, Bond Yields Tumble because neoliberal system is obsolete. It benefit the rich
It would appear that WHO has no choice but to declare emergency now
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That is a xenophobic Appch.. it is like saying that US pork sent to Chine were infected with corona virus, as 1 person said. IF one US couple is infected  just create the anti-virus & put all people coming from China in special hospitals or at least said to the Nation in which states they are & how they’re treated.
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"But I guess here we are..."
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Hillary was and is above the Law. She started in Libya when she made a deals with one Saudi  yihadist group (the one who  killed Pres. Gadafi brutally)  while other yihadist  group surrounded the US Emabssy in Bangazi. They called Hillary to get military aid & it never arrived (4 US Embassy staff were killed). Hillary was laughing and perhaps ultra happy  with GOLD from Libya that disappear. She was never investigated nor indicted from all of this. US Pres. Obama helped her. Trump never order to reopen the case.  Now is time to do it.   
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

...a clip out of Paris stokes Twitter coronavirus controversy...
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Palestinians prepare UN draft resolution condemning what Abbas dubs “the opposite of peace”.
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...radioactive brine may be dramatically increasing the cancer risk for people who come in contact with it.
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"We observed a greater number of men than women in the 99 cases of 2019-nCoV infection. Mers-CoV and Sars-CoV have also been found to infect more males than females..."
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WHO: World Health Organization  sided Agst China to break their economy

"For all of these reasons, I am declaring a public health emergency of international concern over the global outbreak of the novel coronavirus..."
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TOO MUCH WRONG INFO ENLARGING THIS ISSUE IN THE WEST-PRESS & TV
THE FACT: the worst global pandemic that put at risk the life of the whole humanity is WW3 and that  is a multi-billion-business of US evil Corp: MIC
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Racist ‘pandemia’ got the US SENATE:
Tom Cotton says China is lying about the full extent of the outbreak...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

- UK on Final Lap to Long-Awaited Divorce From EU  Fue una piedra en el zapato del EU
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

China:  PCCh vs. epidemia corona :  DARLE LA VUELTA  Xulio Ríos
ISR:  Israel explota la tragedia del Holocausto  Richard Silverstein
Película 1984:  El comienzo del fin de la privacidad  Luis C Muñoz
Haití:   Data estadística: estan clínicamen muertos  Valéry Daudier
BRA:   El PT cumplió 40 años, ¿y ahora?  Julián Rodrígues
Mundo:  China, Trump y debilidad del crecimiento  Eduardo Lucita
España   La economía ilícita en España  Armando Fernández
COL:  El macondo milenario   José Javier Capera

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ALAI NET:

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

OMS declara la emergencia internacional ante la propagación del coronavirus  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/341518-oms-declarar-coronavirus-emergencia-internacional
Congreso de Chile aprueba la ley 'Gabriela', que amplía el concepto de feminicidio  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/341569-congreso-chile-aprobar-ley-gabriela-feminicidio 
China enviará aviones chárter para devolver al país a residentes de Wuhan que están en el extranjero  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/341589-china-enviar-aviones-charter-regresar-residentes-wuhan 
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

-Trump Declared the Third Nakba   By Gideon Levy
- US Returns to Ashes of 1945   By Finian Cunningham
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team

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ASIAN NEWS
Press TV


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