viernes, 1 de febrero de 2019

ND JAN 31 19 SIT EC y POL



ND JAN 31 19  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


...elected officials “have not included the true costs of the government in their budget calculations and have pushed costs onto future taxpayers.

It’s only a matter of time until this system built on debt and theft comes crashing to the ground.
See Figure:
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"...if the trade war get resolved, use that rally to get completely flat to short. No matter what, the economic cycle is ending, it is just a matter of how long the trade war resolution euphoria extends it..."
See Chart:
See More charts at
SOURCE:
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Tomorrow at 830am, the BLS is expected to announce that in January the US added 165k payrolls, a sharp drop from December's 312K, while both average hourly earnings and unemployment are expected to remain unchanged at 3.2% and 3.9%, respectively.
That said, the 800,000 furloughed workers in the past month and recent hard data makes the post-shutdown jobs report more of a focus than usual.

Below, courtesy of RanSquawk are the key highlights of what Wall Street expects:
·         Non-farm Payrolls: Exp. 165k, Prev. 312k
·         Unemployment Rate: Exp. 3.9%, Prev. 3.9% (the FOMC projects unemployment will stand at 3.5% at the end of 2019, and 4.4% in the longerrun)
·         Average Earnings Y/Y: Exp. 3.2%, Prev. 3.2%
·         Average Earnings M/M: Exp. 0.3%, Prev. 0.4%
·         Average Work Week Hours: Exp. 34.5, Prev. 34.5
·         Private Payrolls: Exp. 170k, Prev. 301k
·         Manufacturing Payrolls: Exp. 17k, Prev. 32k
·         Government Payrolls: Prev. 11k
·         U6 Unemployment Rate: Prev. 7.6%
·         Labour Force Participation: Prev. 63.1%

EXPECTATIONS:
Arguing for a weaker report:
·         Winter weatherLast month’s blockbuster payroll report likely received a boost from mild winter weather of around 75k. However, some of this reflected the unwind of a sizeable drag in November. Additionally, January weather has been warmer than usual, and our population-weighted snowfall series was slightly below average during the January payroll reference week (see chart below). Taken together, we expect the net effect of weather on January payroll growth will be a small or moderate drag (perhaps between -10k and -25k).
See Chart:
Payrolls vs. Snow-falls in Winter Months
Read more subtitles at:
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With the options market tilted net short,the spike in November natural gas prices turned into an old-fashioned short squeeze.  Optionsellers.com and the many net short NG traders had to cover their positions...
See Chart:
Market Price vs. Nearby Op-Ex Price Magnet
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


Jumping on the "tax the rich" bandwagon, senator Bernie Sanders has proposed to expand the estate tax on wealthy Americans, including a rate of up to 77% on the value of estates above $1 billion.
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US empezó a estallar antes del WW3?

It's called 'frazil' ice...
[[ Cuando una bomba estalla sobre un reactor atómico cercano a otros (60-100 Millas) los ‘otros’ también estallan …  a este se llama “reacción por simpatía”.  Al parecer Japon descubrió otra reacción por ‘simpatía”: la de LAb atómicos cercanos por fallas en uno de ellos. Que otros avances hay sobre “fallas” en experimentos nucleares. Hay 3 webs al respecto ]]
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After telling NPR's "Morning Edition" on Tuesday that Warren's plan for a 2% annual tax on households with a net worth greater than $50 million was "ridiculous" and nothing more than a "good headline," Warren hit back - tweeting  "What's “ridiculous” is billionaires who think they can buy the presidency to keep the system rigged for themselves while opportunity slips away for everyone else… The top 0.1%, who'd pay my #UltraMillionaireTax, own about the same wealth as 90% of America. It's time for change”.
[[ The unknown mosquito Schultz  - a billionaire assumed ‘candidate to the Presidency’-  got what he deserves:  a  slap on the mouse that silence him out of US politics ]]
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With an ever-growing chorus of 'soak the rich' rising from the left-er of the leftists, it is becoming increasingly important to know what "rich" is - How much would you have to earn in a year in the U.S. before someone considered you rich?
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US: the zombie’s world:

"An enormous amount, enough fentanyl to kill—they estimate—57 million people. That’s more than the combined population of the states of Illinois, New York and Pennsylvania."
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US-World ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo



As a result, Russia's Rosneft could become an owner of 49.9% of the company's equity, unleashing yet another diplomatic crisis as Moscow becomes the defacto minority owner of one of the largest refiners on US soil.
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Grandes estafas entre banqueros:

While credit spread and leveraged loan prices rebounded sharply in the past month, the pain for leveraged loan funds has continued with another $935 million in outflows in the week ended Jan. 30, extending the losing streak to 11 weeks.

Bloomberg reported earlier today: private equity giant Apollo let some of its lenders off the hook as it agreed, or rather was forced to put up more equity to close its acquisition of a $1 billion portfolio of energy-related investments from General Electric.

The PE firm had to rely on additional equity contributions from outside investors and some of its own partners to replace a $275 million loan that a group of lenders led by Royal Bank of Canada had failed to syndicate. The partially failed deal highlights how private equity firms have been making some concessions to help banks clear a pipeline of unsold loans that grew to over $3.6 billion when investors pulled back from risky investments at the end of last year.

A similar approach was taken by CVC Capital Partners, which agreed to contribute more equity to allow its buyout of ConvergeOne to close this month, Bloomberg previously reported. CVC’s banks, however, are still stuck with over $1 billion of unsold loans for that deal.  As we reported previously, Royal Bank of Canada, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Bank of Montreal had agreed to provide debt financing for Apollo’s acquisition, which was announced in October. They were forced to fund the loans before the new equity injection came in.

While credit spread and leveraged loan prices rebounded sharply in the past month, the pain for leveraged loan funds has continued with another $935 million in outflows in the week ended Jan. 30, extending the losing streak to 11 weeks. According to Lipper, $718 million was pulled from mutual funds and $216 million from ETFs. In total, investors have pulled $3.15 billion from the funds year-to-date.

This week’s exodus is the latest in a string of outflows for leveraged loan funds which started in mid-November, and which included four of the biggest weekly withdrawals on record. The 11 week stretch of outflows is the longest such streak since 2017 according to Bloomberg data.
See Chart:
Exodus Extends: Net US loan fund flow
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One little mistake & does it.. WW3 will start

Another close call over the Baltic...
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US is getting ready for WW3.. What about bunker for our Nation?  Why only d rich have it?

Reuters reported that the US is preparing to suspend compliance with the Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces Treaty, citing four US officials.
[[ Maduro is right: The US wants WW3 and they will have it.. How to avoid it? .. Besides what I said already.. and additional political measure is to impeach Trump and then demand the renunciation of all his executive command. QUE SE VAYAN TODOS! as happen en Arg. That implies the dismantle of the FED and the creation of Independent regional States.. that could be the course of the REV in America.. according to different analyst of the current crisis ]]


"...those who are advocating for new interventions in Syria and Venezuela appear to have little interest in the real costs of intervention. They see the political advantages of saying they 'did something', even if those things will turn out to be disastrous."
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Defenders of Democracy?

"Over the past few days, the intensity of anti-government protests in Venezuela has declined despite attempts of the US-led bloc to warm them up through both public and clandestine measures..."
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


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SHOWS RT

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

VEN    Venezuela y el “capitalismo del desastre”  Reinaldo Iturriza
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Áfric   Quiero que me hables del tiempo  Cristina Bocanegra
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Ecuad   Los pasos descolonizadores   Ibsen Hernández
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ALAI NET

                  Sobre el veto a la Ley de Comunicación Corape, et al
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El Salvador   Enero en la memoria   Arpas
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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

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A Lawless Government   By Paul Craig Roberts
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A Pale Blue Dot   Must read - By Carl Sagan
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’s team

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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

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