viernes, 15 de febrero de 2019

ND FEB 15 19 SIT EC y POL



ND FEB 15 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


THE US  DEBACLE! … Mr. Trump: A Court is being set for you .. Do you plan to create another Pearl Harbor for WW3? .. too late. The best you can do is arm a PEACE strategy: it implies 1-disolve NATO and PENTA: Bring Troops Home, and take out from Govt the war-mongers that create the mess in VEN, starting with Bolton & others. 2- Call RU-Ch and other super-power to DISMANTLE NUKES. 3- Call for New Deals (like FDR) and the first one should be TAXING all billonaires, if they refuse, confiscate their Bank assets. 4- Make a Deal with E-Warren and AOC TO DISMANTLE  the duopoly party system & introduce the third party option in the electoral system. Buying Election must be considered a crime against Democay penalizing with jail. Mr Trump: you did not create this Econ collapse.. you inherited from previous US Gobts. SO, do not resign without implementing this Peace Strategy.. plus other suggestions from democratic Socialists. The aim of Democratic Socialism is to create a balance between Labor and productive Capital. It is that we need now. That is that  FDR did in previous recession. Follow his example.  
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Here data on US Econ debacle:
 

2019 is off to the best start to a year since 1991 for the S&P 500...
See Chart:
S&P500 YTD Peroformance


As Earnings expectations have their worst 3-month drop in four years...
See Chart:


And macro data collapses...
See Chart:


This is the biggest weekly collapse in US Macro data since June 2011..
See Chart:


So, Stocks are back near record highs, earnings expectations have collapsed to 6-month lows and US Macroeconomic data is the weakest in 18 months (and crashing)
Futures show the craziness better as markets went vertical at the cash open but Dow (up) and Nasdaq (down) diverged notably...
See Chart:


Dow futs closed over 600 points higher than the overnight lows on the shittiest week's macro-economic data in 8 years!! "Goldilocks, my ass" as one veteran trader said.
VIX tumbled to a 14 handle and credit spreads collapsed on the week...
See Chart:


And before we leave equityland, here is the S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF!!!
See Chart:


While stocks soared, bonds were not playing along (again)...
See Chart:


Sending the yield curve notably flatter once again...
See Chart:


And 30Y Yield closed back below 3.00%...
See Chart:

The dollar dipped for the second day in a row but ended higher on the week...
See Chart:


The S&P has gained 22 days this year as of yesterday, or 71% of the trading sessions. If this pattern holds, it'll be the best three-month period since second quarter of 1955, when the SPX jumped 12% and closed up 26% on the year.
Probably nothing to worry about...
See Chart:


But if there's nothing to worry about, why did The Fed signal its extreme dovishness and why did the world's central banks suddenly restart the printing press?
See Chart:
….
SOURCE:
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"That cash is not disappearing into the vaults of billionaires, but is being reinvested in firms that do have good uses for it - like capital investment and worker retention..."


In a widely discussed New York Times op-ed, Senators Chuck Schumer and Bernie Sanders excoriated share buybacks as “corporate self-indulgence,” diverting profits away from investment and worker compensation

Is this true?

Logically, there is no basis for believing that a firm prevented from buying back its stock will, in consequence, increase investment or compensation. If it can’t find other ways to return excess cash to its owners, it can always park it in, say, Treasuries. More importantly, other companies do need cash for equipment, R&D, attracting workers, and the like. And it makes sense for investors to re-allocate funds from companies that don’t need it to those that do.

So if buybacks are happening for sound economic reasons, we would expect to see them at firms whose return on capital is falling—that is, companies with deteriorating investment opportunities. Is this the case?
See Charts:

Take a look at the left-hand graphic above, which plots the growth in buyback activity between the first halves of 2017 and 2018 and the change in return on capital relative to the post-crisis (post-2010) average. The relationship is as we would expect. Firms that experience a deterioration in return on capital boost buybacks, which is a logical way to return underperforming cash to investors. And, as expected, the sector in which buybacks increased the most—Information Technology (IT)—is also the sector that experienced the biggest decline in return on capital.

Now look at the right-hand graphic. This one shows that the three sectors experiencing the largest decline in return on capital - IT, Health Care, and Energy - account for nearly 80 percent of the rise in buyback activity in the first half of last year.

In short, Schumer and Sanders have this wrongThe data show clearly that buybacks are being undertaken overwhelmingly by companies that should be returning cash to investors - companies that don’t have good uses for it. That cash is not disappearing into the vaults of billionaires, but is being reinvested in firms that do have good uses for it - like capital investment and worker retention.
And isn’t that what Schumer and Sanders say they want?
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"The fact is, dark money is the #1 secret life force of today’s rigged financial markets. It drives whole markets up and down. It’s the reason for today’s financial bubbles..."

Read This:

That dark money goes to the biggest private banks and financial institutions first. From there, it spreads out in seemingly infinite directions affecting different financial assets in different ways.
Yet these dark money flows stretch around the world according to a pattern of power, influence and, of course, wealth for select groups.

These is not built upon conspiracy theories. To the contrary, alliances make perfect sense and operate publicly. Even better, their exclusive dealings and the consequences that follow are foreseeable — but only if you understand how the system works and follow the dark money flows.
Dark money rules the world, and it could keep the bull market running longer than most people expect, even though the eventual turnaround could be ugly.
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In a whirlwind media tour that culminated on Friday, 95-year-old Charlie Munger was critical of the wealth tax, the national debt, printing too much money and - once again - Elon Musk. 

Listen this VIDEO:
...
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IS AMERICA FOR SELL?  Pero como si nos dijeron que la Econ de Trump es un exito

Foreign Investors dumped over $77 billion in US treasuries in December - the most on record - even as yields fell amid the carnage of the Mnuchin Massacre...
See Chart:
Foreing Net Transaction in US Treasuries


Interestingly, Norway, UK, and Belgium (often noted as a proxy for China buying), along with China and Japan, all added to their US Treasury horde in December.
The big sellers were France, Brazil, and Germany:
See Charts 1-2-3:
Chart 1: France


See Chart 2: Brazil


See Chart 3: Germany


BUT.. Foreing Investors already hold Significant  Dollar Debt
See Charts:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

Are we at war now?.. Who authorized?  If nobody .. Why Nat Emergency?

Can the Dems stop Trump? It's unclear - but they will almost certainly try.
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"In the end, Manafort acted for more than a decade as if he were above the law..."
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Nothing can make New Yorkers happy: first, they demand that Amazon abandon its plans for a Long Island City HQ2, and now that Jeff Bezos has complied with their demands, they are threatening to boycott the online retailer.
           
            [[ The Law is the Law.. they have to compensate the labor.. enslavement is over!.]]
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US-World ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


Will require massive structural reforms...
[[ All Imperial Economic Power has benn movilized… Will they be able to defeat people power in VEN and the power of Latino American brigades?  I don’t thing so. They have to use military attack (mercenary troops have been sent to COL) and RU & China will counter attack drastically. Then all the rhetoric from IMF and other puppets won’t make sense. Is the US imperial military power (NATO) that will be defeated this time, and once they fall, all the rest fall. ]]
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Here we go again.
See Chart:
China Total Social Financing
See other Charts at:
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


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Guaido:  una rata disfrazada de payaso.. el ‘hasme reir’ de los militares VE
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos


REBELION


               El mapa del fascismo gobernando el mundo  Niti y Guillermo
               Oda al pueblo rebelde afgano   Hjalmar Jorge
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            Ecologia  Sostenible vs. regenerativa  Daniel Christian
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Machis   Masculinidad y machismo  Bárbara Favant
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Opin    Anatomía de las fake news contra Ven  Ismael Hernández 
            Neoliberalismo con vaselina  Joseba Pérez
            La ancianidad   Jaime Richart
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Perú     Precipitaciones y devastación en el Sur   Juan Edo Gil
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ALAI ORG

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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PARA MAÑANA :

INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
….
COUNTER PUNCH
….
GLOBAL RESEARCH
DEMOCRACY NOW
….


PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

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