miércoles, 3 de octubre de 2018

Wed Oct 3 18 SIT EC y POL



Wed  Oct 3 18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

US Economic situation today

Flesh wound or Death blow for bonds?
Yields spiked by the most since Nov 2016 (the day of and following President Trump's election).
See Chart:


The yield curve steepened dramatically...


All of which is fascinating given that Treasury Futures net speculative positioning is already at record shorts...
See Chart:


As Bloomberg's Cameron Crise notes, this yield move is entering the "danger zone" for stocks. The 30bps spike in the last 5 weeks falls into the cohort whereaverage and median equity performance has been negative over the following five weeks. Do with that information what you will, but realize that with this kind of price action the bond market is not the equity market's friend.
See Chart:


Treasuries are now at their cheapest relative to stocks since June 2011...
See Chart:


And before we leave the bond market, we must note one potential additional factor of today's ugliness as Comcast's massive IG issue started trading and dominated the market - with a solid bid (were marginal TSY holders rotating into Comcast)..
See Chart:


 Finally, we note that the last seven days have seen notable selling in the last 75 minutes of the day (obviously it hasn't slowed the rally, but still notable)...
See Chart:
----
----


"We may go past neutral.
But we’re a long way from neutral at this point, probably."

Well, as of Powell's latest speech, the answer appears clear: Powell will push above, and perhaps far above, the neutral rate. And, as the following chart, every time this has happened, a bear market has inevitably followed.
See Chart:
----
----


American exceptionalism is waning, as its human capital yield has collapsed from 6th to 27th over the period.

World Bank President, Dr. Jim Yong Kim, describes human capital as "the sum total of a population’s health, skills, knowledge, experience, and habits."

Over the past quarter-century, there has been tremendous progress in global health and education investments with Finland at the top of the list. However, the study confirms that American exceptionalism is waning, as its human capital yield has collapsed from 6th to 27th over the period.
See Chart:  Blocked
….
SOURCE:
----
----

US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


Republican Gov. Larry Hogan said the FBI report was "shocking and disappointing, but it doesn’t come as a complete surprise."
----
----

"These are not genuine people who are concerned about Dr. Ford or anything else, these are paid activists..."
----
----

"These are not genuine people who are concerned about Dr. Ford or anything else, these are paid activists..."
----
----

US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


"Euroland, Japanese previous buyers of 10yr Treasuries have been priced out of market due to changes in hedge costs. Lack of foreign buying at these levels likely leading to lower Treasury prices."
----
----

Once EURUSD took out the 1.15 stops, the pair tumbled as low as 1.147, the lowest level since late August. Meanwhile both the USD and 10Y yield afterburner were unleashed, and are finally depressing S&P futures...
----
----

"This trade war will initially favor the US but we will gradually lose the advantage as the rest of the world builds new pipes to bypass us. Something similar happened to the UK, our predecessor hegemon. We don’t know what a new world financial order would look like but the US dollar would not be on top of it..."
----
----


SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
RT SHOWS

----
----
----


NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos


REBELION
Españ    Soberanía, democracia y socialismo  Illueca, Monereo y Anguita
                -La peor tiranía   Jaime Richart
ECOL      -La bendición del plástico  Julio García Camarero
ALC        -Un mundo distante  Carolina Vásquez Araya
                -Boli, Chil y salida al mar: algunas notas para la reflexión A Borrello
                -Perú   Referéndum y trampas  Gustavo Espinoza
                -Nicaragua    Una carrera de desgaste
                ARG  -La izquierda en l lucha por derecho al aborto  Ana Sanchez
                MX  -Niñez migrante: entre la violencia institucional y social  P R
----
COL        -Continúa persecución a líderes y lideresas sociales  varias ORG             
----
----
ALAI
----
----
RT en ESPAÑOL
---
----
----
----
----
----
----
----


INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3


----
----
----
----
Will Organized Human Life Survive?   By Noam Chomsky    Continue
----
----
----
----
----


PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
----
===

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario