lunes, 8 de octubre de 2018

Sund Oct 7 19 SIT EC y POL



Sund  Oct 7  19  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


“How did you go bankrupt?”
“Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.”

 [[ Another 2008? For financial speculators Economic crisis means big business: HOW CAN WE PROFIT FROM IT?” is their Qt . Check 1-2 3 below  ]]
1-

“How did you go bankrupt?”
“Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.”
- Ernest Hemingway, The Sun Also Rises

Yet for some reason financial market psychology suddenly shifted from euphoria to terror. Long-term interest rates spiked...
See Chart:


...the dollar rose...
See Chart:


...and stocks tanked. The NASDAQ especially was slammed by the sudden reversal of its previously-bulletproof FAANGs:
See Chart:

What happened? 
Apparently the weight of accumulating problems finally became too great to ignore. Interest rates had been rising for a while as inflation bumped up against Fed targets, but traders only noticed when the 10-year Treasury yield pierced 3%. This cycle’s housing boom had been moderating since June, but lately the bottom seems to have dropped out, generating headlines like this:


And the emerging market crisis – easily managed if the dollar just went back down – suddenly feels permanent as rising interest rates pull the dollar along for the ride. Here’s a recap of last week’s EM action, courtesy of Doug Noland’s Credit Bubble Bulletin:

The South African rand sank 4.3% this week, with the Chilean peso down 3.0% and the Colombian peso falling 2.0%. Asian currencies were under notable pressure, with the South Korean won down 1.9%, the Indonesian rupiah 1.8%, the Indian rupee 1.7%, and the Thai baht 1.6%. The Russian ruble declined 1.6%, the Polish zloty 1.3% and the Turkish lira 1.3%. As for major equities indices, stocks in both Turkey and India sank 5.1%. Equities fell 4.4% in Taiwan and 3.7% in South Korea. Argentine stocks sank 9.8%, with Mexico down 2.9%. 

As much as currencies and stocks were under pressure, the more ominous EM moves were in bond markets. Ten-year (local) sovereign yields surged 33 bps in Indonesia, 26 bps in Russia, 21 bps in South Africa, and 14 bps in Hungary. And dollar-denominated EM debt provided no safe haven. Venezuela’s 10-year dollar yields surged 70 bps to 38.55%; Argentina’s 64 bps to 9.90%; and Turkey’s 52 bps to 7.86%. Ten-year dollar yields jumped 19 bps in Indonesia, 19 bps in Chile, 18 bps in Russia, 17 bps in Mexico and 14 bps in Colombia.

The lesson? 
When market psychology changes it frequently does so overnight from the point of view of people who weren’t paying attention. But for those who were watching things deteriorate under the surface, the change is actually long overdue.

So the real question isn’t “why is everything changing?”, but “why did it take so long?”
And of course: “If this is the start of another 2008-style Great Unraveling, HOW CAN WE PROFIT FROM IT?”

Right now the obvious answer to the second question is to short everything in sight, joining the long-suffering short sellers who on Thursday and Friday made back a small bit of their past few years’ losses. Here, for instance, is last week’s action in the most shorted of all stocks, TESLA case (full disclosure — DollarCollapse staff are happily short this one):
See Cart:

And last but definitely not least: “How far out of control will central banks allow the leveraged speculating community to spin” before they reverse course and start cutting interest rates and ramping up next-gen QE programs — and how deeply negative will interest rates have to go to stop the bleeding?

If this sounds like paradise for precious metals, that’s because it is – in theory. Negative interest rates offset the carrying costs of gold and silver stored in vaults, making bullion obviously superior to dollars/euros/yen stored in bank accounts. An added attraction is the new generation of gold-backed debit cards and cryptocurrencies that add portability to these ancient forms of money.

History doesn’t repeat perfectly of course, but this set-up is close enough.
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A decade of 0% interest rates allowed America to borrow without consequence. Payback time is just starting. Next year’s interest expense will be a stunning 50% higher than 2017 thanks to rising interest rates and still-expanding budget deficits.

See Image:
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3-

“There are a lot of people waiting for the world to end because of this bond market...”
See Chart:


We await the contagion.
And if The Fed keeps up its pace of balance sheet normalization, things are about to even uglier, even faster...
See Chart:

See more interesting charts at:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

               
            [[ The angry mob will get the response described by Sen Graham ]]

"You don’t hand matches to an arsonist and you don’t give power to an angry left-wing mob
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DID DEMOCRATS JUST KILL THE "BLUE WAVE"?  .. wishful thinking or Qt.. take it as warng: repr

"The Left hopes that they have further sullied Republicans in this episode, but they have shown to many that the Republicans is the party of fairness and themselves extremists..."

[[ The fact is that is coming a new round of fake ‘Ec-prosperity’. See 1-2-3 above. So Trump’ blah-blah-twits: will take advantage of it. The labor will be heavily impoverish and the FEM paid rage won’t be able to connect with labor their discontent.. Wrong Feminist uprising during the Kav theater has been hit and it will vanish soon. The only way for the left to respond current chaos is to fight for Econ balance between labor and finances as FDR did it in time of Econ crisis. So we have to get the Labor unions out of the bureaucratic tentacles of the octopus monster  (the one with double head: Dems & Gopis parties)  financed by same big Corps. All economic demands against explosive inequality and salaries oppression has to be put together with the pol-democratic demands for new electoral rules (A- third option must be introduced so they will have proport represent  in the senate whatever their % get in election. B- Elimination of super-pack to buy election and eliminations of super delegated to manipulate them. C – the press for political debates must be public and accessible to 3 parties, so C-SPAN org must have the monopoly of electoral debates. If rulers  don’t allow this pacific transit to put together the labor Econ & political demands against big Corp’ rule .. then we have the other option: get ready for socialist revolution.  In short: the assumed “blue wave” was fake .. it was a paid Mov. The red wave doesn’t exist either: the expected victory with Kav was transit and it didn’t restore credibility in Trump policies nor will allow chances for polit legitimacy in the Senate to whatever policy Trump propose .. unless is WW3 that both parties support. That will’ve a suicidal and a huge threat to American life and the whole humanity.  So Trump doesn’t have any choice but a geo-economic negotiation with RU and China..  The main problem is to dismantle nukes & get PEACE .. I don’t think Trump is able to do what FDR did it.. nuke neutrality 1st & then dismantle Nukes. FDR couldn’t do d 2nd  part. He was defeat by FED courts who dismantled his New Deal instead. Trump won’t be able to do it either. He don’t even has the mind & power to face this issue. There is nothing we can get with him and a lot of to lose at Nation level. That is the reality in Amer politics, we wanted or not. ]]
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Still, eight of the metro areas on the top 20 list were in California, which has an unemployment rate of 4.2%, slightly higher than the national rate...
See Table:
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"The ACLU used to be cash poor but principle-rich. Now, ironically, after Trump taking office, the ACLU has never become so cash-rich, yet principle-poor. "

[[ Peace of cake for Kap-Trump?.. How to get out from this riddle?  3 options..  Op 1: trash ACLU, we don’t need it. Op 2: Cut their wings, neutralize them. Op 3: Re-structure the system, actors & instit players & allies. So, redefine US policies inside-abroad. Best option with a new Trump as US Presid ]]
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"justices can’t afford to hold grudges"
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Still, eight of the metro areas on the top 20 list were in California, which has an unemployment rate of 4.2%, slightly higher than the national rate...
See Table:
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Because if you’re going to tell people you’re their savior, you better be ready to be held to a higher standard."
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo



"at this time we have no reason to doubtthe statements from the companies named in the story."
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Bangladesh saw its ultra-rich club expand by 17.3 percent between 2012 and 2017... by far the most of any other world nation.
See Chart:
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Desperate for funding to fend off a financial crisis fuelled in part by mounting debt to China, Pakistan is playing a complicated game of poker that could hand Saudi Arabia a strategic victory in its bitter feud with Iran at the People’s Republic’s expense.
See Figure:
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China is a major focal point in the report, mentioned more than 200 times...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


RELATED:
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RT SHOWS

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos


REBELION
BRA        Nace un monstruo   Atilio A. Boron
COL        Estado colombiano en crímenes de lesa humanidad  Renán Vega
                -El fascismo en Colombia  Horacio Duque
OPIN     Che, su época, la nuestra  José Bell Lara
                -Dos vías opuestas para Brasil  Hedelberto López
                -Inmigrantes también merece un buen salario  Marco Dávila
                -La proscripción del silencio   José María Agüera
                -Krugman y la contracultura  Sergio P. Páramo
USA       Mujeres pagadas para difamar a la cárcel Si al juez Kavanaugh
ALC        Costa Rica  A casi un mes de la huelga general indefinida  J S
                -Chile festeja, Bolivia llora… y la diplomacia inglesa gana  J Guahán
                ARG Punto de encuentro entre discurso nazi y neoliberalismo J E
                ARG  -¿Asamblea constituyente?  Alejandro Teitelbaum 
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ALAI NET
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En Estado no-isl-USA la falsa esclava sex de un Juez ira a la cárcel por difamación
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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