sábado, 13 de octubre de 2018

Oct 13 18 SIT EC y POL



Oct 13  18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


"A bubble created from monetary policy gives way to a deep hangover..."
See Chart:


Monitoring the Globla buildup of DEP
See Chart:


When China devalues the yuan and introduces the biggest tax cut in 38 years and a constant monetary stimulus to bail out its banks, what is it really telling us? That everything is fine? No, that things are not going well with the Asian giant  No economy launches a massive undercover bailout of the financial sector, cuts rates and implements huge tax cuts as well as devaluing if everything goes smoothly.
See Chart:

The cracks in the building always appear first with currencies. Countries that have become accustomed to the idea that “this time is different” and that debt does not matter, started to multiply their indebtedness in foreign currency. Debt in dollars from emerging countries soared to 41% of their total debt.

In the first three months of 2018, global debt rose 11% to a record of 247 trillion dollars (according to the IIF), and that of emerging markets soared by 2.5 trillion to an all-time high of 58.5 trillion. .
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"Nobody can defy the laws of economics forever.  Whether it is an individual, a company or the nation as a whole, reality always catches up with everyone eventually."
See picture:

So the can will keep getting kicked down the road until everything collapses.  Charles Hugh Smith made this point as he wrapped up his most recent article

Everywhere we look in the U.S. economy, we see sky-high fixed costs. Investors who overpaid for commercial real estate will default once their business tenants close down, homeowners who overpaid will default once one of the household’s primary jobholders loses his/her job, state and local governments that have feasted on a decade of rising tax revenues will suddenly face staggering deficits as tax revenues crater–the list of those with high fixed costs and no wiggle room other than bankruptcy is essentially endless in America.

Here’s the difference between a recession and a depression: you can’t get blood from a stone, or make an insolvent entity solvent with more debt. Losses will have to taken, and nose-bleed fixed-costs will have to be slashed; reality will eventually have to be dealt with.

But everyone will resist this process because high fixed costs are the gravy train everyone depends on. Slashing fixed costs destroys the income needed to support asset valuations which are the collateral for the stupendous mountains of debt that define the U.S. economy. Once that debt is written down, the entire financial system collapses.

 It didn’t have to be this way.
America could have chosen another path, but it didn’t.
So now we are steamrolling toward a date with destiny, and the people of this country will soon receive a very harsh lesson about economic reality.
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"46% of locals say they want to move out of the area within the next few years"
See Chart:

Catering to the exodus

To serve the real estate needs of soon-to-be former Bay Area residents, East-Bay broker Scott Fuller - a real estate broker of 18 years, launched LeavingTheBayArea.com, which helps clients design a relocation strategy. After helping clients sell their home "within a timeframe that works for you," Fuller will "partner you up with a real estate specialist" in the desired destination city in order to perform an "in-depth needs analysis" in order to coordinate the move. 
See Chart:
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"We Saw Similar Setups In 2000 & 2007" - Chartist Warns Of "Deeper Selloff"

Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Jaffray, to issue an ominous warning.
'As if by magic' the machines lifted stocks to their critical moving-average support/resistance levels...
See Charts:


But that hasn't "fixed" the technical break...
"We've broken back below these January lows. That's a little bit more of an ominous signal from the chart perspective," said Johnson on CNBC's "Trading Nation" this week. 2018...
See Chart:


"We saw similar set-ups to that in 2000 and also in 2007," two of the largest and most recent prolonged sell-offs.
2007...
See Chart:


But, we lie as StockBoardAsset's Alastair Williamson notes, in a series of ominous-er and ominous-er tweets,
To See Charts OPEN:
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"While the de-risking emanating from systematic investors should be largely behind us, this does not mean that equity markets are no longer vulnerable."
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The final debacle:

Is this week's 6% market drop the start of the Big One?

In my assessment, the biggest crime of the Fed was the decision under Greenspan to try to eliminate the business cycle by replacing it with a credit cycle. Here’s what that looks like in chart form:
See Chart:


Now, why would central banks prefer credit cycles? Easy! They're a lot more fun. When they're expanding, everybody loves you. You get invited to Davos and people love celebrating you at parties.
“The~ Donald Trump, 10/10/18
 Fed is making a mistake, they’re so tight. I think the Fed has gone crazy.”

But if Trump was concerned on Wednesday, he must have been spitting nails on Thursday as the market carnage continued:
See Charts:

Is this really it?
See Table:

Conclusion
Whatever it is, it’s likely a lot more than the -6% we’ve seen so far.
SOURCE:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

Trump is trying to square a globalized world through a national-based American capitalism. It won’t work...
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" It is exactly the sort of massive corporate miscalculation that has triggered catastrophic government crackdowns on major American firms in the past. The breakups of Standard Oil and Bell come to mind..."
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“They walk us in, and they make us look like dummies. Like we messed up... I don’t understand why they played that game on us.”  Case Pennsylvania
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The NYT has leaked Jared Kushner tax records revealing that he paid little to no federal income tax from 2009 to 2016. Here is how he did it.
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[[ Law and order vs paid mobs to create chaos in America. The FBI should uncover those who financed those mobs & FED Court should indict those who incurred in violence & defamation]]

"...the only means of exacting justice available to those of us who have been wronged by men just like him." 
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"We are not passive, we are not civil, and we will not apologize..."
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"But photos and video from the wreckage of the base showed the distinctive contours of the F-22’s squared tail fins"
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


"...if AfD has an upside surprise in Bavaria this weekend, it will ‘shake the pillars of heaven’ as it were and shift the global macro story away from the U.S. mid-terms and back towards the unfolding political crisis in Europe."
RELATED:
Italy Declares War On Merkel And The EU   This will not end well...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


Related 1
Related 2
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RT SHOWS

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Max and Stacy discuss the catastroph breakdown in trust caused by a failure to tell the truth.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION
BRA        Un huracán llamado Bolsonaro   Raúl Zibechi
                Bolsonarismo: ¿Qué viene después?  Vanessa Dourado
ECOL      Forst y Yasuní muestran el camino ¡Un triunfo con repercusi global!
PAL        Esta era su tierra   Robert Fisk
Cuba      Dinámica de gastos básicos en Cuba (y II) Betsy Anaya y Anicia García
                Este Proyecto de Constitución propone otro país  J A Fernández
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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3


TRUMP  "Why Do You Work For A Murderer?”   By Fred Hiatt    Continue
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In Case You Missed It  'Here Are Your Enemies'  By Ryan Parry and Josh Boswell
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US-China War is Inevitable?   By Finian Cunningham    It does includes RU
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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