martes, 2 de octubre de 2018

Tue Oct 2 18 SIT EC y POL



Tue Oct 2 18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

The US Economic situation today:

Big Caps for the first two minutes... and then Small Caps...
China remains closed for Golden Week but offshore yuan was extremely active overnight, flash-crashing below key support and back...
Another odd day in Italian stocks – yesterday they were panic bid and slumped to unch, today panic sold and bid to unch..

But BTPs were blasted higher in yield to 4-year highs…
See Chart:


In the US, The Dow surged to a new record high today... but Small Caps collapsed. Powell spooked stocks very briefly at around 1245ET...rebounded, then faded... The Dow went out near HoD, Russell near LoD... (on the day, the S&P was unchanged, Dow up and the rest red)...
See Chart:


Another major divergence between big (Dow) and small (Russell 2000) stocks as the former soars relative to the latter and erases any relative performance YTD...
This is the biggest outperformance of Dow over Small Caps since Oct 2011.
See Chart:


Small Caps and Mid Caps have both rolled over hard, with only Big Caps holding on...
See Chart:


And while tech and financials were weak, the former's relative outperformance has stalled...
See Chart:


And while all this uncertainty is swirling, the spread (risk) of US HY Corporates is at its tightest since July 2007...
See Chart:


Despite gain on the Dow, UST Bonds were also bid, with yields 1-3bps lower on the day... leaving them all lower on the week...
See Chart:


and the yield curve flattened...back below Fed rate hike levels...
See Chart:


The Dollar ended the day higher but sold off overnight gains into the European close before bouncing in the afternoon...
See Chart:


Finally, we thought this might be interesting for some - it now costs the average worker 1164 hours work to buy The Dow (versus the average 225 hours that it costs from 1960to 1995...
See Chart:

[[ In short: all capital gains at the expenses of labor = fake economy ]]
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“The investor’s chief problem – and even his worst enemy 
is likely to be himself.”

As I noted on Friday, that support from the major Central Banks is now reversing at a time where global economic growth has peaked and the fiscal support in the U.S. is fading.
See Chart:

This is an interesting analysis with more charts..  in this art at:
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"This is the great irony of the claim that public school teachers are underpaid. By socializing education, state governments have removed the very market forces that determine wages. So there is no way to measure what a teacher actually 'should' be paid."
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But wait – are these the Boom Times?!
See Chart:

The US is “on an unsustainable fiscal path, there’s no hiding from it,” explained Fed chairman Jerome Powell during the press conference.  Read…  The Fed’s Not Backing Off: Powell’s Standouts & Zingers at the Press Conference  
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The incredibly shrinking junk bond spread just passed a historic landmark when the Corporate High Yield index broke below the lowest spread since before the financial crisis this morning, dipping to 309bps, the tightest level since late 2007.
See Chart:
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WTI held above $75 today but did not extend yesterday's surge gains ahead of tonight's API print. After last week's surprise build, crude was expected to build again, and did but it was Cushing that surprised with the biggest rise in stocks since March.

“It shows that the market is not convinced about the ability of the producers’ group to replace Iranian barrels,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd. in London.
API
  • Crude +907k (+1.5mm exp)
  • Cushing +2.018mm (+800k exp) [Genscape +600k]
  • Gasoline -1.703mm
  • Distillates -1.197mm

A second weekly build for crude and the biggest weekly rise in Cushing stocks since March...
See Chart:


WTI hovered just above $75 ahead of the API print, holding most of yesterday's impressive gains, and thoroughly unimpressed at the crude builds from API..
See Chart:

“The market bounces around a lot,” Michael Lynch, president of Strategic Energy & Economic Research, said. “As of now, people are hedging on the side of fear rather than working the probabilities.”
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


Republicans have benefited from Trump's victory,
not just emotionally, financially as well.
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The attack is now direct.. tit for tat might be also direct to whom defame him

In a massive, front page story, the NYT has accused President Trump of participating in "questionable" and "dubious" tax strategies "including instances of outright fraud" that greatly increased the fortune he received from his parents.
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Is it a mother of money:  big corruption = big money?

"We can't have that on the court" 
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"I haven't read that report, but the Goldman Sachs economic team almost at times look like they are the Democratic opposition."
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"It’s a very scary time for young men in America when you’re guilty until proven innocent... This is a very difficult time.
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Partial tit for tat.. the vilified Presid can open other moral ‘mistakes’ from them

Trump could declassify them with the stroke of a pen... 
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IF you do the right thing.. you are suspicious.. what kind of inhuman world is this?

"...if you think a little beyond the surface level about why he’s doing this now and what his real motives are, it becomes clear nobody should take this move at face value."

[[ “Capital and labor are two sides of same coin who has to have similar value for the economic purpose of balance and sustainable growth”.. Who say it?  Did you study the basic of economics?.. If so,  take it as face value ]]
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"Ford's public testimony to the Senate Judiciary Committee was sufficient.."

With Arizona Senator Jeff Flake waffling over whether he will ultimately vote to confirm Trump SCOTUS pick Brett Kavanaugh, NBC News - the news organization that Lindsey Graham has accused of colluding with Democrats to sabotage Kavanaugh's nomination - has confirmed that the FBI will not interview Dr. Christine Blasey Ford as part of its expanded background-check probe into Kavanaugh.

Though many suspected this was the case when the bureau neglected to reach out to Ford over the weekend, the way NBC tells it, this fact could become ammunition for Democrats who are seeking a further delay of a confirmation vote.

[[ Who are behind this paid news?..  Senator Lindsey Graham gave clear answer to this Qt  at the beginning of Sept; THERE IS A “SUPER CELL” whiting the White House which planned to overthought Pres Trump”  Who exactly? .. “part of Deep State lead by OBAMA-CLINTON CABAL”.. Then Senator L Graham make several question that describe the legal context to be used by  “Obama-Clinton cabal” to put down Trump. This “cell” of ultra-right Democrats are behaving like real neo-nazis when try to put down the Presid. They are using the Press first and naïve ladies paid to vilified Trump. Then they will use the legalities for military action against him. Those are been described by LG questions. Read:   “WE ARE AT WAR Coup plotters will be dealt with Accordingly” Sep 5 2018, published in several US media.]]
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"journalistic integrity has been destroyed over this case." 
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US-WW ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


Russia's Defense Minister confirmed transfer of 49 pieces of military equipment, including radars, control vehicles and four launchers...
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If the Russian system became operational, the U.S. "would then be looking at the capability to take out a missile that could hit any of our countries in Europe and hit America."

[[ I’m afraid of WW3 .. that will be the last resource of Trump.. By declaring War to RU-China .. he will get the whole US political power to destroy his enemies inside.. but at the cost of millions inside-outside US .. since RU-China will respond automatically. Since this option is at the hand of Trump, then it could happen that Senator Graham said: in time of War Coup plotters inside the military “will be dealt with accordingly”.]]
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With the shale revolution in danger, the number of uncompleted wells in the Permian jumped by 80% to 3,630...

The US now pumps a record 11 million barrels a day in oil, surpassing both Saudi Arabia and Russia, and becoming the world's largest oil producer. Behind this historic achievement is America's most productive region, the Permian Basin in west Texas and New Mexico, where approximately one-third of the nation's daily supply is extracted from the ground via hydraulic fracking.

However, the shale revolution has overwhelmed the region’s infrastructure with massive supply - driving up costs, depressing regional oil prices and slowing the pace of growth, according to Reuters.
See Chart:  blocked
Go to main source:

Since mid-2016, the number of drilling rigs in the Permian rapidly increased, but the momentum is now slowing, in part because of the deep discount of Permian oil versus WTI.
See Charts:
BLOCKED TOO

Meanwhile, Jean Laherrere at Forecast For U.S. Oil & Gas Production shows the Permian oil production peaking sometime in 2019.
See Chart:
The same : blocked too

And so with logistical hurdles surpassing oil price as the key extraction bottleneck, one wonders if we have finally hit peak shale?
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3




RELATED
International relations and security analyst Mark Sleboda didn't mince words when analyzing the envoy's remarks in an interview with Radio Sputnik's Loud & Clear. 

Hutchison "just threatened a preemptive attack on Russia. That's what she did today, and she said it twice — she doubled down on it," he said.

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov said in August:
"A preemptive attack on Russia would of course be met with a full-range attack back," Sleboda said, underscoring the catastrophic potential for a hot war between the two nuclear powers. "The statements are so ludicrously apocalyptic that I'm afraid it is impossible really to take them seriously," he added.
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RT SHOWS

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Keiser Report   Rise of the zombies (E1287)   Max and Stacy discuss the zombie banks kept alive on ‘free’ money, leading to zombie corporations surviving on pension funds
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos


REBELION

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ALC        Chi-Bol fallo de La Haya: hora de la política y la diplom  Atilio Boron
                Perú -El fracking amenaza la Amazonia peruana  Luis Hallazi
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                -El futuro económico no es lo que solía ser  Paul Krugman
                -La marihuana protagoniza la nueva burbuja financiera F Jiménez
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                -El dólar flotará entre bandas: La de Macri y la de Lagarde  Mario H
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ARG       -Pasado y presente de un debate estratégico  Juan Dal Maso
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Opin      -Los Estados Unidos y la paz mundial  Jordi Córdoba
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Cuba      -Violamos la Constitución ¿y qué?   René Fidel González García
                -Miradas feministas al trabajo  Sara Más
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COL        -El discurso del pres Duque en la ONU: caso Ven  Alberto Pinzón
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ALAI
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                El fracking amenaza la Amazonia peruana   Luis Hallazi
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RT           https://actualidad.rt.com/
 
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BRA Cartas sobre la mesa   Brasil: ¿Vuelta a la democracia?
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3


One Click Closer to Annihilation   By Philip Giraldi   Continue 
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Child Concentration Camps in US In Texas  By Eric London    Continue
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics


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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies


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DEMOCRACY NOW
Focus on Trump policies & the Econ & Pol crisis inside US


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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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