OCT 17 17 SIT EC y POL
ND denuncia debacle d Globaliz neoliberal y
propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ
ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal
globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics
[[ Big Corp and p- Bankers request more money to
recycle the farce: buying their feces ]]
If everything's so awesome... why are investors
buying Dow protection with both hands and feet?
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Just like during the peak of the last bubble, retail
is once again becoming the last bagholder; now it is only a question of how
long before the rug is pulled out. For now, however, enjoy the Dow
23,000.
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[[ Are we been cursed by neocons? If this idiocy works we’re unlucky to get them in power Why to go to election?
We should either pray to witch Hillary or to devil to stop the
curse ]]
The 4th quarter of years
ending in “7? have historically exhibited the stock market’s worst quarterly
performance of the decadal cycle...
….
“Given our current
year “2017”, we were recently pondering the unfortunate fate that has befallen
the stock market during the most recent years ending in a “7”. There was the
market top of 2007, the Asian crisis in 1997 and the crash of 1987.
It got us wondering if this was just some recent fluke – or if there really was a sort of a curse around
“7” years. So we got out
our history books (i.e., we scrolled to
the left on our chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average) to check
previous “7” years going back to 1900. As it turns out, 7 does indeed appear to be quite unlucky.
Consider the track record for the back half
of “7″ years:
- 2007: “Just” a 10% drawdown, but also a cyclical market top
- 1997: Asian Crisis…swift 17% drawdown
- 1987: “The Crash”…20% decline, with a 41% drawdown
- 1977: Cyclical bear market…9% decline, with a 15% drawdown
- 1967: Up 5% for half, but 12% drawdown, all in the 4th quarter
- 1957: Straight down from July…13% loss, with 20% drawdown
- 1947: Mostly unscathed…2% gain, with ”just” a 7% drawdown
- 1937: Major bear market…Down 29% with 41% drawdown
- 1927: Roaring bull…9% drawdown, but a gain of 21%
- 1917: Cyclical bear market…22% decline, with a 31% drawdown
- 1907: Cyclical bear market…24% decline, with a 35% drawdown
NO so fast.
As the 4th quarter gets under way (and just in time for
Friday the 13th), we took a fresh look at performance in “7” years. What we discovered is that the lion’s share
of the poor-performance during “7” year 2nd halves actually took place during
the back half of those periods, i.e., the 4th quarter.
Specifically, of the -7.88% average historical return
during the 2nd half of “7” years, a full 730 basis points, or -7.30%, of the
loss took place in the 4th quarter alone. That ranks it
as the worst average performance of any quarter of the decadal cycle.
Further, of the -21.69% average historical drawdown
during the 2nd half of “7” years, 15.93%, or nearly
1600 basis points, took place in the 4th quarter alone.
Not surprisingly, that equates to the worst average drawdown of any quarter of the decadal cycle.
[[ In short: if we believe this stupidity we prove
we’re Christian of the medieval time. ]]
…
Source :
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Since
1970, every
time asset values have risen above 520% of households disposable income (the
dashed line in the chart) then the US has been in a bubble and a subsequent crash has followed.
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It appears that President Trump's action last week has scared
lawmakers, as taking the subsidy 'punchbowl' away from healthcare providers has
been suddenly met with a
bipartisan deal that Republican Senator Alexander says would maintain Obamacare
safeguards for two years. Healthcare stocks are soaring back from the
recent weakness to new record highs...
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"This sort of 'it doesn’t matter what you pay for
an asset' is the type of thinking that prevails at tops. The idea of a new paradigm also permeates
market participants’ thinking..."
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Owning an asset regardless of
price is what created the dotcom bubble. It didn’t work then, and it won’t work
now. Chasing
momentum after an epic 5-year monster bull run, regardless of how compelling
the narrative, is not my idea of smart investing. Let’s see - feverish froth,
frantic “I will miss the new era”
buying and New Yorker magazine covers that reek of “even my Grandmother is now aware of this trend” is not a great
setup.
See image at: https://d33wubrfki0l68.cloudfront.net/a5f221a3316c895d35cf1b5b61fdc662523b0565/b578a/img/posts/05/20171017-fang.png
…
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POLITICS
La seudo democ y sist duopolico es obsoleto por fraudulento y
corrupto. Urge cambiarlo
Another stupidity
from the usual crook lady:
“WikiLeaks is unfortunately now practically a fully owned subsidiary of Russian
intelligence..."
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HILLARY’ corruption still in the news, not being
formally indicted and still out of jail
FBI
Uncovered Russian Bribery Plot Before Obama Approved Uranium One Deal, Netting
Clintons Millions
"They also obtained an eyewitness account indicating Russian nuclear officials had
routed millions of dollars to the U.S. designed to benefit former President
Bill Clinton’s charitable foundation during the time Secretary of State Hillary Clinton served on a government body that provided a favorable decision to
Moscow."
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"Let’s be clear here: President Trump
did not just announce that he was “de-certifying” Iran’s compliance with the
nuclear deal. He announced
that Iran was from now on going to be in the bullseye of the US military. Will Americans
allow themselves to be lied into another Middle East war? "
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"[Trump]'s an oblivious idiot... it’s hard for journalists to cover him in an unbiased manner...
"
[[ Trump
can easily change THE ZIONIST-ISRAELI CURSE .. HOW?
1-Take
out the military from your staff = restore faith on democracy.
2- Stop
threatening N-K-China, Iran and VEN and use policy of Peaceful Negotiation in
Foreing-Pol issues.
3- Get
immediately out of Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan: The war in Syria n Iraq is lost
and there are evidence of our collusion with Islamic terrorists. In
Afghanistan, the usual suspect will be armed by our enemies and we will lose a
lot of American soldiers, if we continue a war race.
4-
Focus on post-neoliberal agenda as FDR did it during a similar crisis. We have
human and tech resources to foster a post-neoliberal agenda and be part of the
multi-power system ad portas. No-space for a single supremacy anymore. This
implies:
A-
Get back to Gold to support our
USD and foster a basket of strong currencies to create one single money for
international trade and bank deposits. Otherwise cryto-currencies will prevent
uses of huge resource for H-Dev = end of Fed-Banks
B- Lead the world policy to dismantle Nuclear weapons world-wide
C- Cut ties with war-mongers of Israel, UK. Re-settle alliance with
RU-China-EU-n LA
D- IF WE DON’T DO SO, the whole humanity will suffer the consequences of
world recession and WW3. The world will make USA responsible for both
H-disasters. ]]
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WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is
on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo
In a dramatic de-escalation of recent hostilities in Iraqi Kurdistan,
where in a blitz campaign the Iraqi army recaptured Kirkuk, effectively
regaining control of the oil-rich region, the Kurdish
Peshmerga forces told Sky News Arabia that it has agreed to return to the 2003
Iraq border, which if confirmed would be a major concession to Iraq.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Global Econ-Pol
crisis leads to more business-wars:
profiteers US-NATO under screen
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US
political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3
Courage of Syrian Arab Army and Allies
against US Backed Terrorism Bouthaina
Shaaban
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How Netanyahu Pulls Trump’s Strings By Robert Parry
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Trump’s Media Furore... US Democracy On Thin
Ice By Finian Cunningham
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
The nasty business of
US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered ..
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US
Resumes Visa Processing for 6 Muslim Nations After Court Ruling for Nationals from Chad, Iran, Libya,
Somalia, Syria and Yemen
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Stinky fur from N-K: We
Won’t Negotiate Until We Can Strike US East Coast
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RT SHOWS
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America fight
to break with collapsing Empire: leftist
view on alternatives
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Beatrice Fihn: Si mas armas nucleares existen algún día serán
usadas"
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La escuela, entre lo normal y lo correcto Eileen Sosin Martínez
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Especial A la caza del Che
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PRESS TV
Global situation
described by Iranian observers.. Titles distorted n incomplete sentences
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