APR 22 17 SIT EC y POL
ND denuncia debacle d Globaliz neoliberal y
propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ
ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal
globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics
When future historians look back at
the beginning of the 21st century, they’ll note that we grappled
with many big issues. However, historians will not view these ideas
and events in isolation. Instead, they will link
them all, at least partially, to an
overarching trend that is intimately connected to today’s biggest problems: the “hollowing out” of the middle class.
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Three
weeks ago we introduced the real "50 Cent" - the mystery trader whose pattern of huge,
near-daily trades on the VIX is turning heads in the options market. Having
reportedly suffered $89 million in losses so far in
2017 however, the trader is not giving up on his strategy and just doubled-down...
On Wednesday morning, the trader, nicknamed "50
Cent" by Macro Risk Advisors because of their predilection for contracts that cost
roughly that much, bought an additional 100,000 VIX
calls betting that the index will climb about 40% by May.
Sending VIX Call volumes to near-record highs...
Still, positioning from hedge funds suggests the trader
might be on to something. They haven't been this
bullish on the VIX since March 2016, according
to data from the US Commodity Futures Association.
Notably, 50 Cent's options would become
profitable only if the VIX climbed to between 19 and 26, according to
data compiled by MRA.
….
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...There's Central Bank manipulation.
Here are three questions most alert investors are asking:
- Question #1: When will financial assets ever ‘correct’ and fall in price?
- Question #2: How much does overt propping by the central banks have to do with today's elevated prices?
- Question #3: How much does covert propping by central banks play a role in these inflated markets?
As I’ve outlined
before, that economic boom the central banks have been staking everything on
been MIA the entire time during the “recovery” following the Great
Recession. And there’s no sign of it
showing up any time soon.
The latest Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast for the US stands at a
paltry 0.5%:
To explain this in depth, let's tackle those questions above
one at a time, in reverse order.
Question #3: How much does
covert propping by central banks play a role in these inflated markets?
Now let’s look at the CME's Central Bank Incentive Program
("CBIP"). Here’s the notice from the CME webpage.
But there’s nothing remotely on here that looks anything
like a CME option or future product:SEE DOCT at http://media.peakprosperity.com/images/SNB-Balance-sheet-2017-04-21.jpg
The Fuse Is Lit...
Many people might be tempted to shrug their shoulders and
say “why should I care if the central banks are monkeying around the in the
markets?”
In Part 2: The Coming Conflagration, where we answer Question
#2 and the all-important Question #1 raised above, it becomes abundantly clear
why all of us should care -- deeply.
…
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"You are not an investor. One can only be an investor in functioning markets. There
have been no functioning markets since at least 2008, and probably much longer.
That’s when central banks started
purchasing financial assets, for real, which means that is also the point when
price discovery died. And without price
discovery no market can function."
A recent graph from Citi and Haver illustrated it this way: OPEN Image Location at: https://3r8md7174doo44lgpk3kou79-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/CentralBanksMoreAndMore350.jpg
Note the rise in central bank
balance sheets before 2008. There’s nothing innocent about it.
As an aside, I like this variation from the Twitter account
of “Rudy Havenstein”, which came with the comment:
Here is a chart of the well
being of the American middle-class and poor over the same period.
OPEN THE WEB-SITE OF
THE AUTHOR of this
article: Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth
blog, GO TO https://www.theautomaticearth.com/2017/04/you-are-not-an-investor/
As I said a few weeks
ago in Our Economies Run on Housing
Bubbles, the housing bubbles created in this way are
essential in keeping our economies going, because it is through mortgages
-loans in general- that money is created in these economies.
If this money creation machine
would stop, so would the economies.
Tyler Durden observes today via Bank of America that BoJ
and ECB have bought more assets so far in 2017 than central banks ever have
before. One may wonder at what point the term ‘asset’ will lose its rightful
meaning to the same extent that ‘investor’ and ‘markets’ have:
A quick, if familiar, observation to start the day courtesy of Bank
of America which in the latest overnight note from Michael Hartnett notes that central banks (ECB & BoJ) have bought $1 trillion of
financial assets just in the first four months of 2017, which amounts to $3.6
trillion annualized, “the largest CB buying on record.” As
Hartnett notes, the “Liquidity Supernova
is the best explanation why global stocks & bonds both annualizing
double-digit gains YTD despite Trump, Le Pen, China, macro…”
The bubble created by artificial
demand cannot be allowed to burst all at once, it has to be done “gradual and
predictable.” As if that is possible, as if the Fed controls the
bursting of bubbles it has itself created. And Yellen is not going to call you
or me, she could not care less; she’s going the call the pigs she fattened up
most. The Fed is more than anything a bunch of academics, seduced exclusively
by textbook theories that are shaky at best, to transfer wealth to the most
sociopathic and hence seductive financial predators, at everyone else’s expense.
And that expense is humongous. At
the same time that the Fed and the rest of the world’s central banks fattened
their balance sheets as seen in the graph above, this is what happened to US
debt vs GDP: See image at: https://3r8md7174doo44lgpk3kou79-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/FREDUSNominalDebtVsGDP-1-1.jpg
The Fed bubbles, intended to keep
market players whole, are blown at the expense of the real economy. Imagine if all
those $20 trillion and counting in central banks’ bubble blowing would have
been used to prop up Main Street instead of Wall Street; everybody would have
been better off except for the ‘investors’ who are not even real investors.
A great representation of all
that’s wrong in this comes courtesy of this Lance Roberts graph. A chilling
illustration of the price you pay for setting S&P records. To see this graphic open https://3r8md7174doo44lgpk3kou79-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/MarginDebtCreditBalanceVsSAndP.jpg
These days, every rising asset
price, every single bubble, comes at the expense of enormous increases in debt.
And there are still people who wish to claim that this is not a
bubble. That it is OK to get into deep debt to purchase a home, or stocks, with
leverage: can’t miss out on those rates! And sure, that
is still true in theory; all you have to
do is get out in time. If only the Fed can get out in time, if only you can get
out in time.
Good luck with all that, but
you’ve been warned, you’re hereby on notice. The odds that you’ll be able to
‘get out in time’ are vanishingly small. And even if you do, most
others just like you won’t. And neither will the Fed academics. They have the
most so-called ‘money’ at their disposal, and the least sense of what to do
with it. But they have their advisers in
the private banking industry to tell them all about where to put it: in one
bubble or another; anywhere but the real economy.
Great article! To read
the whole art Open the author’s one : https://www.theautomaticearth.com/2017/04/you-are-not-an-investor/
instead of the source used here:
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A few days ago Charles Schwab, the investment brokerage firm, announced
that the number of new brokerage accounts soared 44% during the first quarter of 2017.
More specifically, Schwab stated that individual investors are opening up stock
trading accounts at the fastest pace the company has seen in 17 years. Anyone remember what happened 17
years ago?
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"Thousands
of new doors opened and rents soared. This created a bubble, and like housing, that
bubble has now burst." - Richard Hayne, Urban Outfitters CEO, March 2017
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POLITICS
La seudo democ y sist duopolico es obsoleto por fraudulento y
corrupto. Urge cambiarlo
"The
American empire is becoming increasingly insecure and desperate, which also makes it
increasingly dangerous. Empires don’t
reform. America is tired
of being controlled by a small group of unaccountable, incompetent,
greedy, unethical crooks running around stealing everything in sight. Enough is enough."
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Indeed, both
futures have come to pass and are merely economically separated and
dispersed into diverse geographic locations...
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WE ARE THE WORST TERRORIST ENEMY OF THE WORLD. Only Trump make
Qst like below:
Between alleged interference in
U.S. elections by Russia, recent nuclear posturing by North Korea, and chemical
weapon atrocities in Syria – it’s hard to keep
track of which country is supposed to be the bona fide number one “enemy” of
the United States.
[ Real allies we don’t
have it ..
pay ones n terrified puppets we
do.. Most Nations hate us, It is a FACT
]
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"Yes,
we seemed to have lost today. The alt-right held their ground. If we
wanna take action against them, we need to be better
organized and better trained... A shocking number of our comrades
went in there with absolute no combat training. We need to set up seminars..."
[[ The battle is not
with guns .. yet. Our
brigades should be first ready to put down this regime via Referendums at local
State and region-levels .. Secession is an option where there is work done
in this perspective. The first task is
to get our soldiers support.. Bring
them home should be our 1st command
No more wars .. PEACE IS THE
SOLUTION. We should foster “Dismantling nuke heads worldwide” now ]]
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Yesterday, a massive US power grid failure was
seen across the entire United States in one simultaneous
fashion. Many have speculated about a
cyber attack (or blamed it on the Russians), but it is more
likely a Space Weather Event. [ Perhaps
is our own experiment ]
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WORLD ISSUES and ME
Global depression is
on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo
“The missing [missiles] were either brought
down by S-300 battery or were taken over by Russian electronic jamming and were
plunged into the sea,” explains Dr. Karasik. “Now, this alternative theory
means that the US and Russia have already clashed if you will—technically—with
the use of the TLAMs (Tomahawk missiles) and then being intercepted or taken
over by Russian control.”
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"It
Was Good While It Lasted: Sit back, relax, the bear market in bonds may
be over. It would not be unreasonable to
expect at least a 50 bps decline from peak to trough in G3 yields following
a peak in yield momentum."
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DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis:
Trump captured by Deep state to reproduce old cronyism without alter-plan
GREAT COVERAGE ON MARCH FOR SCIENCE .. We love Amy Goodman and her staff
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Global Econ-Pol
crisis leads to more business-wars:
profiteers US-NATO under screen
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US
political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3
Why Does North Korea Want Nukes? By Paul Atwood
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Why Washington is Terrified of Russia, China By Pepe Escobar
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US Issues War Threat Against Iran By Bill Van Auken
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Bannon Down, Pentagon Up, Neocons In? By Jim Lobe
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
The nasty business of
US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered .. pro RU view
Nuestros alumnos
condenados al fracaso pero el maestro queda en el aula
CENTCOM Releases Video Showing Daesh Using Civilian Human Shields https://sputniknews.com/military/201704231052893612-centcom-daesh-human-shields/
VIDEO URL: https://youtu.be/CCL2doj7O-U
RELATED
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Mattis Dismisses North Korean Threats as Watchdog Site Says Nuke Test Zone Ready https://sputniknews.com/asia/201704231052894506-mattis-dismisses-threat-nuke-test/
RELATED 1
Something Big Coming? White House
Invites All US Senators for Briefing on North Korea Next Week https://sputniknews.com/us/201704211052870775-white-house-senators-north-korea/
RELATED 2
DPRK Could Use Nuclear Arms Against Australia Amid 'Toeing the Line' of US https://sputniknews.com/politics/201704231052896312-north-korea-threatens-australia-nuclear/
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THE LOSER don’t accept reality in Syria.. they should
look for plastic bags to hide our soldiers
West Looking for 'Tools to Squeeze Russia-Led Coalition From Syria' https://sputniknews.com/politics/201704221052878810-west-syria-russia-coalition/
RELATED 1
West Inflates Number of Casualties in Syria to Justify Intervention – Assad https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201704211052843676-assad-west-casualties-syria/
RELATED 2
Assad Not Ruling Out Russian Ground Troops' Help in Syria https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201704211052855225-assad-russia-ground-troops/
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RT SHOWS
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The Big Picture
Is
this the death of whistleblower-based journalism? Wishful thinking
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Keiser Report
Episode
1061 Max and Stacy ask
whether or not it’s the end of easy money.
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WASHINGTON BLOG
Flash points on US
politics: internal contradict.. Hugh Smith good articles reproduced
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America fight
to break with collapsing Empire: leftist
view on alternatives
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Sin
feminismo estúpido –de genero- la izquierda es más coherente y constructivo
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Keiser
Report 1061 "Madre mía, ¡este hombre está
loco! Vamos a comprar oro"
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No
hay USD para ciencia pero si para derrocharlo en nuke-desfiles por los mares
del mundo
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PRESS TV
Global situation described
by Iranian observers.. Titles often distorted by ISR-Mossad
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‘US
to help allies against Russia meddling’ as usual, to aggravate diff
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'59% of Britons live in areas
where diesel pollution threatens health'
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