sábado, 4 de junio de 2016

JUNE 4 16 SIT EC y POL



JUNE 4 16  SIT EC y POL
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CA LISTA PARA GOLPEAR CORRUPCION CLINTON con el VOTO y en la CALLE
ESTA CORRUPTA CRMINAL DE GUERRA SE CREE POR ENCIMA DE LA LEY
CREE QUE SUS MENTIRAS, FRAUDES y DESONESTIDAD QUEDARAN IMPUNES
OLVIDO QUE EL JUICIO DEL PUEBLO ES MAS SEVERO QUE EL DE LAS CORTES

LAS MAQUINAS DEL FRAUDE SERAN CHEQUEADAS. El reconteo dirá la verdad
SU CANTO DE VICTORIA antes de concluido el conteo final lo ahogara el pueblo
LA PRENSA MERCENARIA y sus POLL INVENTADOS YA NO LOS CREE NADIE
SUS BILLONES MAL HABIDOS, jamás vencerán  nuestra voluntad democrática

CA :  sepulta otra vez a esta horrible defensora del WS y las Corp mafiosas
TU FUTURO y el de TODA LA NACION AMERICANA ESTA EN TUS MANOS
VOTA POR SANDERS  y defiende tu derecho a decir NO AL FRAUDE ¡
Sanders es el único candidato honesto en la contienda electoral. VOTA POR EL!
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READ THIS : WHAT DOES CALIFORNIA HAVE IN STORE FOR HILLARY ON T... - See more at: http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com/
 
A  new poll (USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts, and Sciences/Los Angeles Times . Frequency Questionnaire) indicates that these voters overwhelmingly favor Bernie Sanders and that if they turn out in large numbers on Tuesday, Bernie will win the crucial California primary. – Read the entire poll at: https://gqrr.app.box.com/s/sn7x8f76hfbdltnpmq8xpqb9jcwve88f
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ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS

TO THOSE NON CONVINCED THAT OBAMA IS LEAVING THE ECON IN SEVERE CRISIS
1-


This isn’t a cause for panic or to assume that the financial system is going to crash tomorrow. But it’s clearly a disturbing trend... the proverbial powder keg in search of a match. And when future pundits write the history of the financial crisis to come, whether it happens today, tomorrow, or years from now, you can bet they’ll wonder how the entire system failed once again to see something so dangerous... and so obvious.


On July 1, 2005, the Chairman of then President George W. Bush’s Council of Economic Advisors told a reporter from CNBC that,

“We’ve never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide basis. So, what I think is more likely is that house prices will slow, maybe stabilize, might slow consumption spending a bit. I don’t think it’s gonna drive the economy too far from its full employment path, though.”

 Of course, we now know that he was dead wrong.

The housing market crashed and dragged the US economy with it. And Bernanke spent his entire tenure as Fed chairman dealing with the consequences.

One of the chief culprits of this debacle was the collapse of the sub-prime bubble.
Banks had spent years making sweetheart home loans to just about anyone who wanted to borrow, including high risk ‘sub-prime’ borrowers who were often insolvent and had little prospect of honoring the terms of the loan.

When the bubble got into full swing, lending practices were so out of control that banks routinely offered no-money-down mortgages to subprime borrowers.

The deals got even sweeter, with banks making 102% and even 105% loans.
So basically these subprime home buyers were getting paid to borrow money.
Of course, we know how that all turned out. By 2008 the entire system crashed, and the post-game analysis had some pretty obvious conclusions:

Bad things tend to happen when you pay people to borrow money, especially when they’re not particularly creditworthy.

Thank goodness no one in finance engages in such risky behavior anymore!
Or do they?

Today, subprime is back.

There’s been a lot of talk lately about a growing bubble in the subprime auto loan market, and even student loans.

All over the world now there are governments that are issuing sovereign bonds with negative yields… and many of these governments are totally bankrupt.

In other words, the government is getting paid to borrow money.

So it’s not much different than when banks paid subprime homeowners to borrow money ten years ago based on a misguided premise that home prices always go up.

Now they’re just paying subprime governments to borrow based on a misguided premise that governments will ALWAYS pay. (Just like Greece!)

The key difference is size. At the peak of the housing bubble ten years ago, there was about $1.3 trillion worth of subprime mortgages in the financial system.
That $1.3 trillion bubble was enough to bring down several major banks and cause cascading damage across the global financial system.

Today’s bubble is EIGHT TIMES the size of the last one, with more than $10.4 trillion worth of government bonds that yield negative interest.
And what’s even more concerning is how quickly it’s growing.

In January 2016, the total amount of government bonds in the world with negative interest totaled $5.5 trillion.

One month later in February the total had grown to $7 trillion. By May it was $9.9 trillion. And today it’s $10.4 trillion.

So this gigantic sovereign bond bubble where governments are being paid to borrow money has practically doubled just in the last several months.

This isn’t a cause for panic or to assume that the financial system is going to crash tomorrow.

But it’s clearly a disturbing trend… the proverbial powder keg in search of a match.

And when future pundits write the history of the financial crisis to come, whether it happens today, tomorrow, or years from now, you can bet they’ll wonder how the entire system failed once again to see something so dangerous… and so obvious.
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2-

The right question to ask is not what happens to stocks when the Fed starts hiking rates, but what happens to stocks when the Fed is hiking rates during an earnings recession. And, as BofA claculated recently, "Hiking during a profits recession usually hasn’t ended well." The details: "The Fed has only embarked on a tightening cycle during a profits recession three other times, which typically spelled downside for the S&P 500."


In short: if corporate earnings are already contracting, typically an early indication of economic slowdown, nothing good comes out of a rate hike as shown in the table below.


But wait, there's more, because if the Fed thinks that "one and pause" will help the S&P500, it may want to check the evidence. As BofA adds, "a pause doesn’t portend good things: our Global Investment Strategy team recently noted that equity returns have been generally negative in tightening cycles in which the Fed paused for one to two quarters between the initial and second rate hike." More: "in cycles where the Fed has paused one to two quarters between the first and second hike, equities have been in the red over the next three and six months, and were up just 3% in the twelve months following the initial hike."


In other words, having missed its rate hike window for this summer, absent a June jobs report that somehow surges to 250,000 or more, the Fed is now stuck until September at the earliest, at which point it will go into hibernation again until after the presidential election, at which point everything wil be in flux.

This also means that now that the Fed can admit defeat because the US economy just hit a brick wall as per the BLS, Yellen's next move to be priced in by the market may not be a rate hike at all, but a cut. Yes, a 25 bps buffer is hardly enough, but it may have to do. While for now the US economy does not support a recession-type response by the Fed, S&P 500 profits are i already in a recession, and it is they that make a rate hike here impossible.

Ironically, now that the US economy is finally cooperating with a dovish relent, all that Yellen will need is some very bad news or FX volatility out of China to help complete the cycle.
Time for another "Shanghai Accord" maybe, this time everything that was agreed upon in February but in reverse...
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As the Fed has rushed headlong into boosting interest rates, it forgot one small thing: combining a duration estimate of 5.6 years with a total notional exposure of $17trn, and current Dollar price of bonds of $105.6, indicates that, to first order, a 100bp shock to interest rates would translate into a $1trn market value loss. That is using the more conservative estimate of the bond market. Using the broader bond market sizing of $40trn, the market value loss estimate would be $2.4 trillion. And just like that the Fed is trapped.

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BRIEF NEWS ON ECONOMICS :  ZERO HEDGE
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POLITICS

How can the US possibly be in a position to take over whatever they feel like, defend themselves if it only outspends China by roughly $381 billion a year...

 
Citing SIPRIS: Stockholm International Peace Research Institute data, howmuch was able to show the change in share of the world's total for each country, and not surprisingly the United States has the largest share each and every year by a staggering amount. In dollar terms, based on 2014 constant USD, the US has gone from spending $555 billion in 1990 and having 37.1% of the share, to spending roughly $595 billion in 2015, which accounts for 34.4% of the global military spend. China, which comes in at a very distant second, spent an estimated $214 billion in 2015, which accounted for 12.4% of the global spend - but the important thing to note with China is that the $214 billion spent in 2015 represents an increase of 874% from 1990 when the country spent an estimated $22 billion on its military, which at that time was just 1.5% of the global total.

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ME & WORLD ISSUES

The US aircraft carrier CVN-65, the USS Harry Truman, has begun striking at various Islamic State targets from the Mediterranean Sea on Friday. This is the first time a carrier group has launched airstrikes from the area since the 2003 invasion in Iraq.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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IN CASE YOU MISS IT:
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE




. The next phase of American military imperialism
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Syrian opposition activists in southern Syria say Israel has played a vital role in Jabhat al-Nusra’s recent gains in Quneitra and Daraa
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60 percent of the more than 3,200 people killed and 5,700 wounded in the conflict through September 2015 were killed in coalition airstrikes
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Next Time Someone Says Nothing Is Made in the USA Anymore, Show Them This
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The Anglo-American drive to establish a global regressive social order has pushed billions of workers on five continents into destitution.
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Who’s the Fascist? . By Margaret Kimberley
If Trump is a fascist then he will fit in nicely with the pantheon of horrific men we are told to respect and venerate
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We ought to consider why 69% of Democratic voters who live in 40 countries preferred Bernie Sanders.
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“I ain’t got no quarrel with them Viet Cong. No Viet Cong ever called me nigger.”
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RT SHOWS


Keiser Report. Episode 923   In this episode of the Keiser Report, Max and Stacy discuss how America lost its mojo while the UK became 'the most corrupt country on Earth.'
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The US economy only added 38,000 jobs last month; Ameera David weighs in. Then, Ameera sits down with Worth Wray, chief economist at STA Management, to talk about the jobs report and US economy.
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Afshin Rattansi goes underground on whistle-blowers; the BBC & ISIS hostages in Fallujah with Amnesty International. Plus former News Editor of News of the World, Neville Thurlbeck reviews this week’s headlines.
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Redacted Tonight  Hillary’s potential jail time, Superdelegates don’t matter, Monsanto may double in size   Many networks are declaring an end to the Democratic primary race, but they forget one important detail: the date that the Democratic Superdelegates vote. Hillary’s e-mail scandal is also far from over.
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Tonight’s Rumble discusses how the media continues to ignore climate change. In tonight’s Conversations with Great Minds, Thom discusses the...
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WASHINGTON BLOG




A group of Russian-American political analysts have issued a detailed  warning  to US citizens.  They note that allowing the regime in Washington to attack or provoke Russia might leave the US in ruins and tens or hundreds of millions of Americans dead.  This could happen after a US attack on Russia, a provocation interpreted as an attack, or even simply a mistake, as has nearly happened numerous times in the past.

The analysts understand that Americans are still “excited” by war, since they are part of a relatively young country that has almost always been on the giving rather than the receiving end of the gun.  However, in contrast, Russians have been invaded by Europe numerous times and have lost tens of millions of citizens.  They “hate and fear war … but are also ready for it” with powerful and advanced weapons systems, the analysts say.

Contrary to prominent US corporate and government propaganda, “American anti-ballistic missile systems are incapable of shielding the American people from a Russian nuclear strike.” Russia will not initiate an attack, but if attacked itself, it can hit US targets with its “long-range nuclear as well as conventional weapons.”

“Even if the entire Russian leadership is killed in a first strike”, a prospect that makes some US elites giddy, “the so-called “Dead Hand” (the “Perimetr” system) will automatically launch enough nukes to wipe the USA off the political map.”
Keep Reading
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH


Europa. Los nuevos miedos. Ignacio Ramonet
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Después de haber dado poder al 1 por ciento y empobrecido a millones... El FMI admite que el neoliberalismo es un fracaso  Benjamin Dangl
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Hernando Calvo Ospina  La enorme fuerza de la solidaridad Plataforma Canaria de Solidaridad con los Pueblos
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Perú  Yo sí voto nulo Carlos Flores. Buscas un puestito en Gbno de Keiko? .. you’re barking the wrong tree .. Ella va a perder .. el anti-fujimorism es mas grande que tus deseos ..  perita de olmo.
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Déficit de Pierre Bourdieu en la educación en AL Oscar Martínez. La familia extensa es inmenso capital humano cuando los 2 padres tienen que trabajar y los hijos quedan al cuidado de los abuelos. Mas grande aun, si estos tienen secundaria completa. La familia nuclear del US no tiene este recurso.
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PRESS TV


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