sábado, 6 de julio de 2019

ND JUL 6 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  JUL  6 19  SIT EC y POL 
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

Sorry for those who suffer the panic from this trembor
I do suffer this panic in Peru several time..when it go above
7.5 we called terremoto. Earth quake That is dangeropus, it
destroy houses and cut electricity cords in streets. I t also
Breaks water reservoir’s (dumbs) an all this mean death.
Sorry anyway for the panic. Hugo Adan
….

ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

"The rich have gotten richer and they’ve gotten richer faster. The drive or the desire for consumption has just gone upscale."
by Tyler Durden  Sat, 07/06/2019 
On July 1, manyus included  - wrote lengthy articles, pointing out that the longest US economic expansion in history is now a fact.
See Chart:
Duration of US Business cycles (in Months)

Sadly, when peeling back the layers of the centrally-planned onion, the reality is far less euphoric, and as Reuters writes today, this historic expansion - mostly of asset prices - achieved just one thing: it made the rich richer while crushing the middle class, with Reuters  reporting that the number of billionaires in the United States has more than doubled in the last decade, from 267 in 2008 to 607 last year.
John Mathews, Head of Private Wealth Management and Ultra High Net Worth at UBS said: “The rich have gotten richer and they’ve gotten richer faster. The drive or the desire for consumption has just gone upscale.”
At the same time, the signs of struggle and stagnation for lower income levels have also been presenting themselves. The wealthiest 20% of Americans hold 88% of the country's wealth, a share that has grown since before the crisis. On the other end of the spectrum, "the number of people receiving federal food stamps tops 39 million, below the peak in 2013 but still up 40% from 2008 even though the country’s population has only grown about 8%" as the middle class was crushed and as millions dropped out, and down, into the lower class.
See Chart:
Richer faster

However: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently state: “The benefits of this long recovery are now reaching these communities to a degree that has not been felt for many years. Many people who in the past struggled to stay in the workforce are now getting an opportunity to add new and better chapters to their life stories. All of this underscores how important it is to sustain this expansion.”
We’re guessing Powell didn’t read our recent article about income inequality and the decline of the middle class. It includes these two charts that are so simple, even a Fed chair could understand them
See Chart:
….
----
----
In June, The Fed dumped Mortgage Backed Securities at the fastest rate since the QE unwind started, breaching its “up to” cap for the first time...
Where is the Fed’s “U-Turn” that Wall Street promised us?
In June, the Fed shed Treasury securities at the slower pace announced in its new plan for QT, but it dumped Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) at the fastest rate since the QE unwind started, breaching its “up to” cap for the first time. And it is experimenting with the opposite of its QE-era “Operation Twist” – Operation Untwist?
Total assets at the Fed fell by $34 billion in June, as of the balance sheet for the week ended July 3, released Friday afternoon. This includes $15 billion in Treasury securities and a record $23 billion in MBS, for a total of $38 billion, less some other balance-sheet activities unrelated to the QE unwind. This trimmed its total assets to $3.813 trillion, the lowest since September 2013. Since the beginning of the “balance sheet normalization” era, the Fed has shed $648 billion. Since peak-QE in January 2015, it has shed $687 billion:
See Chart:
QE Unwind at work: FED total assets

Treasury Runoff.
In June, three issues matured, for a total of about $21 billion. The Treasury Department redeemed them and paid the Fed for them. The Fed reinvested $6 billion of this money into new Treasury securities but allowed $15 billion to roll off without replacement. So the balance of Treasuries dropped by $15 billion, to $2.095 trillion, the lowest since September 2013:
See Chart:
QE Unwind at Work:  FED Treasury Securities

Read these subtitles:
--Operation Untwist”
--Mortgage-Backed Securities
In June, the balance of MBS fell by $23 billion to $1.533 trillion. This was not only the biggest run-off since the QE unwind started but it also exceeded the $20 billion cap – another first! In May, the run-off had hit the cap of $20 billion for the first time, but didn’t exceed it:
See Chart:
QE Unwind at Work: FEDs MBS

The action on MBS confirms that the Fed is eager to get rid of them as soon as possible. Its new plan calls for getting rid of all of them, even if it has to sell them outright if pass-through principal payments slow down too much, as it said. Starting late this year, it will begin to replace MBS with Treasuries. Meanwhile, the Fed is making hay while the sun shines – given the surge in mortgage refis and pass-through principal payments and the prospect that when mortgage rates snap back, this flow of pass-through principal payments slows down.
Let me just throw this out there for us to kick around: The Fed has already accomplished more with its verbiage so far this year than it had in the past when it cut rates all the way down to zero and did trillions of dollars of QE. We’re already seeing the first results. Here’s why. Read…  The Fed’s Stealth Stimulus Has Arrived
….
----
----
You're not crazy. The world we now live in is...
READ THIS:
BIZARRO ECONOMICS
Evidence that the economy is sliding into recession continues to mount.
GDP is slowing. Earnings warnings issued by publicly-traded companies are at a 13-year high. The most reliable recession predictor of the past 50 years, an inverted US Treasury curve, has been in place for the past quarter.
Yet the major stock indices hit all-time highs earlier this week. And every one of the 38 assets in the broad-based asset basket tracked by Deutsche Bank was up for the month of June — something that has never happened in the 150 years prior to 2019.
It has become all-too clear that markets today are no longer driven by business fundamentals. Only central bank-provided liquidity matters. As long as the flood of cheap credit continues to flow (via rock-bottom/negative interest rates and purchase programs), keeping cash-destroying companies alive and enabling record share buybacks, all boats will rise.

BIZARRO ENERGY POLICY
Like it or not, our economy and our way of life remains incredibly dependent on fossil fuels.
Given that, reason would dictate we should treat our remaining — and finite — fossil energy deposits as national treasures, to be put to the best and highest possible use, and conserved as much as possible.
But in today’s bizarro world, we instead rush as fast as we can to extract and burn as much as we can. At an economic loss.
It’s true that the decade-long shale oil revolution has yielded a staggering amount of production from America’s soils .The US accounted for 98% of global oil production growth in 2018 and is on track to hit a record 13.4 million barrels per day of production by the end of 2019.
But those volumes won’t last. As we’ve carefully explained in our Crash Course video chapter on Shale Oil, these shale basins are a short-lived bonanza given their extreme exponential decay (85% of a shale well’s lifetime output is extracted by year 3) and the fact that the most-promising plays have already been drilled. What’s left is increasingly just dregs.
BIZARRO ENVIRONMENTAL DESTRUCTION
And if the above weren’t bad enough, when we look at what we’re doing to the natural systems we depend on to simply exist, the data is downright horrifying.
A full listing of recent depressing scientific findings would read encyclopedic. So I’ll just stick to the big picture: species extinction is happening at the highest rate ever, short of a massive meteor slamming into the planet.
The world’s plants are disappearing 500x faster than they should. The global animal population has decreased by 60% since 1970. The UN now predicts a million more species will go extinct within the next few decades.
But in today’s bizarro world, there’s a perverted incentive to sacrifice biological capital for financial capital.
ACTION
Read this article:
SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-07-06/bizarro-world-herd-has-truly-gone-mad
----
----
The multi-year low for natural gas prices are likely to deal a further blow to the coal industry, already caught in a death spiral...
Henry Hub prices spiked in the fourth quarter of 2018 due to record levels of demand, cold weather, and historically low inventories. But prices remained elevated, over $4/MMBtu, for only a brief period of time. Production continued to soar, so traders were not overly concerned about market tightness.
In March, prices continued to ease, and prices have eroded steadily in the last few months. Prices dipped below $2.30/MMBtu recently, hovering in that range for the first time in roughly three years. As recently as December, ‘prices were twice as high as they are now’.
See Chart:

The gas rig count continues to decline, recently falling to 173 in the last week of June, down from over 200 at the start of the year.
Meanwhile, overseas gas markets are also suffering from oversupply and low prices.
In Europe, too, gas markets are oversuppliedHigher volumes of LNG are arriving on European shores at a time when Russia is hoping to defend market share. “As two of the world’s largest gas producers, Russia and the US are natural competitors in what seems to be a race to the bottom, not only in the lucrative Asian market but now also in Europe. Both countries have sent increasing amounts of gas to Europe despite the low price environment,” Carlos Torres-Diaz, head of gas markets research at Rystad Energy, said in a statement.
Some US exporters are not covering their operational costs. Nevertheless, US exports to Europe during the first five months of 2019 increased by 6.9 Bcm versus the same period last year,” Torres-Diaz said.
----
----
ETFs continue to take over every corner of the capital markets...
….
What are the PRO vs. CON of ETFS. We need the opinion of Michael Hudson and other socialist Economists: Richard Wolff .. the list is large..their op urgent We need to know if they can be reformed and used by a Socialist State.
See Chart:
Why credit derivatives are losing their mojo?
….
----
----
This is other reason why neolib-system is obsolete. Our return to gold is urgent if & if
As was the case in 1929, the combination of the peak of the credit cycle coupled with trade protectionism potentially pose a serious economic challenge to the post-Bretton Woods fiat currency system...
There are growing signs that the global economic slowdown is for real. As was the case in 1929, the combination of the peak of the credit cycle coupled with trade protectionism in the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act are similar conditions to those of today and potentially pose a serious economic challenge to the post-Bretton Woods fiat currency system
Therefore, we must consider the consequences if monetary policy fails to contain the developing recession and it turns into a full-blown slump. Complacency over broken markets is no longer an option, with rising prices for gold and bitcoin signalling the prospect of a new round of currency debasement to avoid market distortions unwinding
This article shows why this outcome could undermine fiat currencies entirely and looks at the alternatives of bitcoin and gold in this context.
Gold, the only money that survives all
In all history, its rarity, desirability and chemical stability tell us that gold is the most secure form of money. It is only in the advanced economies in the West, where we have fallen for decades of government propaganda that gold no longer has a monetary role, that people have forgotten its proven qualities as the ultimate money.
It stands to reason that as the purchasing-power of state-issued currencies is increasingly threatened by over-issuance, the west’s collective amnesia will be replaced by a reassessment of gold as the proven protection from collapsing fiat currencies.
 CONCLUSION
It is very likely the recent strength in both gold and bitcoin is linked to changing perceptions of risk to the global economy. It has become increasingly clear in recent weeks that the coincidence of the end of the expansionary phase of the credit cycle coinciding with trade protectionism has damaged global trade very severely, and the effects are now extending into domestic economies. This being the case, we can expect a renewed acceleration of monetary inflation. While supporting government finances through new bouts of quantitative easing, the wealth-transfer effect of monetary inflation will increasingly undermine the productive economy.
That is why gold and bitcoin prices could turn out to be an early warning of an acceleration in the rate at which fiat currencies will lose purchasing-power. If leading nations through their central banks fail to protect their currencies, then these two alternatives to fiat currencies will have only just started to rise.
….
----
----

US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

Home prices are up.. this benefit the rich not common people. It’s part of neolib Econ
Sales in tech-heavy and ultra-expensive San Mateo and Santa Clara counties plunged...
====
We need the police.. but there are issues of misusing power.. business concern:right
If only they were homeless and shooting-up heroin in the bathroom...
====
Chasing of speeding cars are dangerous.. We must use high tech to cont-speed-runner
The state of Indiana is still arguing that there are virtually no eighth amendment limits on what it can seize using civil asset forfeiture...
Chasing speed runners  cost life, traffic jumps ++ They don’t solve but worsen P
====

"Escobar's team has sought interviews with 6,000 people who were returned last month." 
Texas Democratic Rep. Veronica Escobar (D) has reportedly been sending staff members into the northern border town of Ciudad Juárez to track down migrants ejected from the United States under the "remain in mexico" policy, and coach them on how to exploit a legal loophole that would allow them back into the USA. 
Read more at:
----
----

US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

“Reports concerning [the nature of] Russia’s military presence in Venezuela have been debunked many times.” 
….
VEN & IRAN did the right thing: get the support of RU. Syria too, but here are other countries involve in the Issue Oil (ISR, Saudis, London) + Turkey + US Corp
====
Cue Trump tweet threatening "big mistake"
...
IRAN has the right to have their own nukes since ISR is a threat (100+ Nukes). US  has not right to talk not get involved in this issue. But our business is WMD. Is it right to sacrifice life of UIS soldiers in this stupid adventure?  For T.. Yes
====
Deutsche Bank  our mirror in advance. It’ll happen here too. Only Socialist State will solve Prob

Job cuts across Deutsche Bank are now expected to total 18,000 to 20,000, while the size of the "bad banks" has quietly grown from €50 billion to €80 billion.
….
Workers & some managers will work for a Socialist State. The new bosses will be the middle financiers who are now against Trump Neol-policies. The State will be controlled by the alliance of working classes elect-democ with new rule
====
“Yes, we need gun control; we need to disarm our bureaucrats, then abolish the agencies.”
….
YES, we need to de-throne many bosses in our FFAA & abolished some agenc. Penta-NATO apparatus will be dismantle & new Institut will be created. Our National Security will be in the hand of our armed civilian Nation.
====
 
SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

-AOC Challenge Hits Twitter: US Netizens Mock Ocasio-Cortez Visit to CBP Border Facilities More conservative distortion: more robust & high her political stature
----
----

NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

RT EN ESPAÑOL
----
----

GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

----
----

PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

----
===

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario