miércoles, 26 de junio de 2019

ND JUN 26 19 SIT EC y POL



ND  JUN  26 19  SIT EC y POL  

ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


By Tyler Durden

In an effort not to bury the lead, we note that crypto currency's rebirth accelerated dramatically today with Bitcoin spiking above $13,500 intraday (up over $2000 in the last 24 hours - Bitcoin's biggest daily dollar rise since Dec 2017)...
See Chart:


Helped by the extreme dovishness of The ECB, The Fed, and various Fed-Speakers since. However, perhaps it is as simple as this chart...
See  Chart:


Bitcoin is protection from the idiocy of policymakers... rather like gold...
See Chart:


US equities were juiced overnight by Mnuchin's trade deal comments then gave it all back as humans realized the machines had misunderstood his grammar - "deal WAS 90% done" is different from "deal IS 90% done."
See Chart:


Trannies and Nasdaq outperformed while Small Caps, Dow, and S&P were weakest...another weak close...
See Chart:
Trannies and Nasdaq outperformed while Small Caps, Dow, and S&P were weakest...another weak close...


Today's strength was a rebound in cyclicals as recent outperformance of defensives was dumped...
See Chart:


The Dollar dipped today but remains in a tight range for the 3rd day since the FOMC day dump...
See Chart:

Finally, the following are the dates of the last all-time high for various assets (h/t bullmarkets.co)...
  • Nikkei - 1989
  • Oil - 2008
  • Gold - 2011
  • Silver - 2011
  • Corn - 2012
  • Bitcoin - Dec 2017
  • DAX - Jan 2018
  • Russell 2K - Aug 2018
  • NASDAQ 100 - Apr 2019

BUY-AND-HOLD?
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Insolvency isn't restricted to private enterprise; governments go broke, too...
Official inflation, growth in the economy (GDP) and increases in wages are typically pegged at around 2% to 3% annually. But cost increases in local government and agency services are soaring at rates far above the modest rates of economic expansion.

Here's a list of tax and fee increases hitting residents of one of the counties I call home; the list includes taxes/fees raised in 2017 and 2018:

1. Property taxes: between 6.5% and 10%, depending on the property class
2. Gasoline tax (county), from 8.8 cents to 23 cents, phased in over 3 years
3. General excise tax, up 6.3%
4. Garbage fee (commercial): up 27%
5. Sewer fees: up 44%
6. Electricity (base rate): up 7.4%
7. Annual vehicle safety inspection fee (state): up $5.81
8. County water service: up 8%
9. Accommodation fee (a.k.a. hotel tax) (state): up 10%

All these increases are manifestations of the Ratchet Effect: organizations and institutions only know how to expand, so budgets, head counts, administration, etc. are always ratcheting higher.

The Ratchet Effect sets up The Rising Wedge Model of Breakdown: as complexity, costs and layers of management all ratchet higher, the organization loses the flexibility required to deal with outright declines in revenues. As a result, any sustained drop in revenues causes the institution to break down, i.e. fail systemically.
See Chart:


At some point, the trickle of businesses closing becomes a self-reinforcing flood. As vacant storefronts become the norm, cities respond to the loss of tax donkeys by launching desperate marketing campaigns which do nothing to address the real problem, high costs: come spend money in our commercial districts! These campaigns fail to move the needle, and as the economy slips into a long-delayed recession, city revenues plummet, triggering even more onerous fees and taxes.
See Graph:
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"The points where we’ve observed rapid increases in inflation overlap those periods where the economy was running near full capacity yet government deficits were expanding. We’re approaching a similar situation at present..."
See Chart:
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With the 10-year real yield now sitting below 20 basis points, the corporate undead continue to roam...
Globally, the stock of negative-yielding debt crossed a record $13 trillion on Thursday, according to data from Bloomberg. That represents 26% of GLOBAL SOVEREIGN DEBT supply and 15.3% of nominal worldwide GDP for 2018. Stateside, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 2%, down from 3.25% in November.
See Chart:
Weeckly Change In NegativeYielding DEBT


With the 10-year real yield now sitting below 20 basis points, the corporate undead continue to roam.  
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio



"We're not going to be invited."
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The magazine recently celebrated Marx's 200th birthday... says his ideas "can still teach us about the past and present."
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Marx is of course one of the most serious analyst on Capitalism. Good luck
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... a wealth tax would almost certainly be anti-growth... while economic indicators might not tumble immediately, the American economy would eventually become less dynamic and competitive...
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“Dynamic & competitive”?..with the highest unemployment rates and VIX Ec-uncertainty at top level, with inflation getting up & up, with the 10-year real yield now sitting below 20 basis points: THIS IS ECON COLLAPSE,..not even the billionaires can reproduce their capital without the help of QEs and other free-money from FED banks.. Read Tyler Durden last report in https://nd-hugoadan.blogspot.com/  or go to https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-06-25/bonds-bitcoin-bullion-jump-stocks-dump-powell-pullback-trade-talk.  If you don’t like his view, Check this  PAUL CRAIG ROBERTS EXPOSES THE DIMINISHING AMERICAN ECONOMY OR THIS According to Federal Reserve reports, 40 % of American households cannot raise $400 cash.  See Chart:  https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2019-06-25_9-53-24.jpg?itok=opAKedH-  Or this one with different charts: The Diminishing American Economy  By Paul Craig Roberts.  OUR Economy is collapsing, that is why we want to go to WW3: OUR SUICIDE and holocaust at world level.
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...before trying to do anything to make things better, make sure you aren’t making things worse...Yet it’s very hard advice to follow if you are looking after not just a human body, but a larger economic body...
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... SumOfUs presented a proposal to Mastercard’s shareholders, calling on the company to establish a “human rights committee” that would monitor payments to the “far right.”
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo



Here we go again with Washington's favorite "no boots on the ground" mantra...
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Xinophobia is still ramping.. Does this help Trump policies on trade? Or is his policy?

Is 'Orwellian trolling' a thing? 
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Preferential tax rates and tax holidays appear to be two of the financial incentives that are being considered...
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In the first five months of 2019, imports of agricultural products from the US crashed 55.3% YoY. Much of decline was due to a 70.6% YoY decline of soybeans in the same period...
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What about uranion residuals & gases if Trump WW3 Starts?

...opponents of a carbon tax can now adopt the slogan: “Do it for the children!”
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Here we need to understand that Iran would instantly retaliate, and Tehran has no small capabilities for that. In other words, it would be a full-scale war...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

Cuba:  Vamos a descentralizar?  René Portuondo
Trans: : El infierno de las mujeres trans en prisión  Keyling T. Romero
Opin:  El antídoto contra la opresión  Carolina Vásquez
ARG:  La izquierda y la crisis  Ariel Petruccelli
México :  La crisis en la frontera sur  Manuel Aguilar Mora
España: El eterno retorno  José Manuel Barreal
Cuba: Los conceptos y los hechos Alina B. López Hernández
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ALAI ORG

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

Paul Edwards   Fool Me Twice
John Steppling  The Monkey’s Face 
Evaggelos Vallianatos   A World of Shadows 
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’  team


-Trump Admin Moves 100 Migrant Kids Back to “Child Jail” Despite Concern over Inhumane Conditions.  A confesión de culpa, relevo de pruebas: Debe ir a la Carcel
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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..

Tiny Rouge Force  in Somali
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