jueves, 24 de enero de 2019

ND JAN 24 19 SIT EC y POL



ND JAN 24 19  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

[[ At the end of this Article read my note on Bernie Sanders ]]

"FAIR"-ER SHARE...

Elizabeth Warren has never been a friend to the wealthy. But in the age of Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez AOC, merely advocating for "holding the rich accountable" simply doesn't penetrate like it did back in 2008. And that's because, on the left flank of the Democratic Party, you're not really a progressive unless you believe that the existence of billionaires is a policy error.

In keeping with this new "Democratic socialist" spirit, Warren is now calling for a 'wealth tax' on all Americans with more than $50 million in assets in what looks like a strategy to one-up AOC's call for a 70% marginal tax rate on all Americans earning more than $10 million a year as Warren jockeys for mantle of the "one true progressive candidate" in what's looking like an increasingly crowded primary field (one that, thanks to the entry of South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, now features a gay progressive millennial).

See Chart 1:
Growth of $100 Mill Fortune with and without a wealth 

Here's more from the Washington Post:

Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman, two left-leaning economists at the University of California, Berkeley, have been advising Warren on a proposal to levy a 2 percent wealth tax on Americans with assets above $50 million,as well as a 3 percent wealth tax on those who have more than $1 billion, according to Saez.

After initially considering a 1% wealth tax on fortunes over $10 million, Warren and her team over the last two weeks decided that a 2% on fortunes over $50 million would make more sense. According to the Warren team's calculations, the wealth tax would raise $2.75 trillion over ten years from about 75,000 families, a number equivalent to less than 0.1% of the US population (of course, that estimate is probably contingent on the US economy avoiding a punishing, prolonged recession).

See Chart 2:
The top 1%  now own as much as the bottom 95%

Warren's campaign has embraced the Democratic Party's recent leftward drift, even publishing an op-ed in the NYT praising AOC's 70% marginal tax rate proposal. Warren's team argued that the tax is only fair, because, according to their calculations, the wealthiest Americans face a tax burden of 3.2% of their relative wealth, while regular families face 7.2%.

NOTE ON BERNIE SANDERS

[[ Bernie Sanders’ candidacy is already gone.. he had the chance of running as independent and pushing the Third Option in American Politics . as demanded by middle Dem cadres.. and he failed and betrayed.. He preferred to endorsed the master of corruption: Hillary.. Many of the Sanders supporters & sympathizers went out from Dems party and either abstain, vote Green and even vote for Trump, the lesser evil compared to the worse Hillary. Who trust B. Sanders now?. I don’t think he has real supporters. He can buy some supporters but real democratic socialists are with AOC & E W. If Sanders run it will be for the benefit of Trump and GEOpis .. that will be his final betrayal to democratic socialism. Political history will condemn Sanders if he attempt to divide solid forces of Democ-socialismo nowadays. ]]     
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Chinese markets bounced back to unch on the week overnight...
See Chart:


US markets were a rollercoaster of trade and shutdown headlines - Wilbur Ross admitted "miles and miles" to go until we have a trade deal with China and stocks puked. Algos ramped us into the US open, then dipped on weak PMIs, then The White House unleashed Larry Kudlow to save the world and he did briefly but we retested lows after that before the machines went back to work to rescue stocks from their 50-day moving averages...
See Chart:


And here's the fun-durr-mental reason they're buying stocks...
See Chart:
S&P  vs  Forward EPS


Big dump (Ross) and Pump (Kudlow) in the dollar today...
See Chart:


And yields ended near the lows of the day...
See Chart:


Noisy day in yuan today...  it went up
See Chart:


Another chaotic day in crude markets but copper continues to trade lower (despite a bounce in china stocks)...
See Chart:


Finally, "hope" hits its lowest since Trump was elected...
See Chart:


And spot the difference - Fed Rate change expectations for 2019 and the S&P 500...
See Chart: 
Since this contradict previous charts, it is fake.. you will see.

"Data Dependence" at its best!
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Intel is trading down over 6% in the after-hours after missing earnings and revenues (below the lowest estimate) andslashing its Q1 earnings and revenue expectations.
See Chart:
See more charts at:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio



The U.S. Senate has blocked legislation that incorporates President Trump’s proposal to fully open the government and includes his demand for $5.7 billion to help build a border wall.
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"the administration could use $681 million from treasury forfeiture funds, $3.6 billion in military construction, $3 billion in Pentagon civil works funds and $200 million in funds from the Department of Homeland Security."
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The partial government shutdown is in its 34th day and counting, and it is starting to have a significant effect on the economy.
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"If these protections are rolled back, Google will be complicit in limiting the rights of working people across the United States."
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...SHOCKER!!
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With "Socialist Sandy" and "Mad Maxine" running things, it's bound to be one hell of a show...
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US-W ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo


BEWARE THE 'RECESSION-DENIERS'

COMPLACENCY

Complacency is back and comes in the form of recession denial in the face of global slowing data. We didn’t see the slowdown coming but we are confident it will not produce a recession so the narrative goes. Not even a risk of a recession. You’re hearing it from the Fed, the White House, the IMF and every Wall Street firm, the ECB and the BOJ, the chorus is sung with uniformity: NO RECESSION.

But how can anyone be sure that the slowdown in data will not produce a recession?
After all recessions come not only on inversions of yield curves, but historically they are coming at the end of business cycles with low unemployment rates and waning confidence.
See Chart:


The moment when optimism gets replaced by rising pessimism, which is exactly what we are seeing now:
See Chart:


I don’t know when a recession hits, but someone has to explain to me how you can keep positive earnings growth going with a marked global slowdown in everything everywhere.
And I mean everything and everywhere. See the global examples below.

See Charts:
France Economic Output
Germany Plunge
USA: Philly FED Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey ( 3 charts)
Korea, Singapur, Japan & China (hitting the breaks)
To see these charts OPEN
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"For a long time, the US has been eager to replace international law with its geopolitical interests and values so as to legalize its interference."
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"By always making the same diagnosis,mistakes are repeated and accumulated.No wonder the pace of recoveries is slower, weaker and more indebted..."

The virtuous cycle of credit turns into a vicious cycle of unproductive debt when we incentivize mal-investment and prevent technology substitution by implementing massive government stimuli and liquidity injections.
See Chart:
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SOURCE:
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"Washington must know by now that it’s one thing to start a war, but quite another to finish it..."
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Americans residing or traveling in Venezuela "should strongly consider departing Venezuela. Commercial flights remain available."
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"Instead of letting  ZTE and Huawei off lightly, it needs to crack down on them. If these companies came to dominate the 5G market, they would present an unacceptable security risk for the rest of the world."
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3


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SHOWS RT

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

Franci    Macron en su torre de marfil   Rafael Poch
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VEN     Venezuela rompe relaciones   Álvaro Verzi
            Todas y todos con Venezuela  Ángel Guerra

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COL     “El ELN, con la guerra a las espaldas”  Carlos Medina
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Áfric    La ratonera libia  Guadi Calvo
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ECON  Derechos y dinero  Antonio Lorca Siero
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Corrupc   Al olor de la carroña  Carolina Vásquez
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ALAI NET




            COL: Falsa promesa para quienes abandonan Ven  U N R



            Venezuela Trump juega con fuego   Atilio Boron  

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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Lo que quiere comprar Pompillo es el petróleo de Ven y eso no esta en venta
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3

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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics

David Swanson   The World Will End in Fire
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies

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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’s team

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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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