viernes, 8 de junio de 2018

JUN 8 18 SIT EC y POL



JUN 8 18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ

BIG News of the day:  Frontrunning: June 8  [ Press the blue ]
  • Trump vows to 'straighten out' G7 trade ahead of tense meeting (Reuters)
  • With Kim, Trump trusts his gut over note cards (Reuters)
  • First Argentina, Then Turkey, Brazil. Now South Africa Reels (BBG)
  • These Are the Dealmakers Behind Trump and Kim (BBG)
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ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


"We see this divergence as significant
and leads us to favor de-risking strategies in equities..."

Over the past month, US Investment Grade credit has steadily underperformed its corresponding equities, punctuated by a significant credit widening yesterday. Despite CDX IG 5Y widening 3bps yesterday afternoon to 67bps, there was little SPX reaction and only a modest rise in the VIX
See Chart


And it's not just US markets.
While there has been a similar divergence in credit and equity in Europe (exhibit below), the divergence is less notable in our opinion because European equity has traded down on an absolute basis.
See Chart:

This suggests European equity investors are already focused on the risk and the debate is about magnitude rather than direction. US equity investors are, in contrast, bidding up stocks despite this growing international concern.

Simply put, there is a higher potential for equity investors to recognize European issues as a threat to global growth than for US credit investors to shrug off European risks as irrelevant for US companies.
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[[ Big Corp don’t swallow easily their lethal poison .. A FACT prevail: neoliberalism is dying  ]]

"...even though the SPX tape was ‘unch',the violence being felt on the buyside was powerful...distress in the formerly ultra-crowded Emerging Markets could be 'spilling-over'..."

BOTTOM LINE—it looked like a quant “gross-down” event, potentially “triggered” by the EM stress “spill-over.”
See Chart:


"What happened yesterday was alarming, and further underscores for me how ephemeral the nominal liquidity is becoming..." -- RJ O'Brien's John Brady, on Thursday's treasury squeeze.]

However, the “constant” has been Emerging Market stress EM “vol events” are a “fact of nature” in Fed tightening cycles.  One month ago it was Argentina, then Turkey (both ongoing)…most recently yesterday, the failed interventions in Brazil escalated the already precarious state-of-affairs within the country, while this morning it seems the EM selling has become more indiscriminate, with ZAR, INR, PLN, RUB, KRW, MXN, HUF showing the “bleed.”  This is classic carry-trade unwind, with massive inflows over the prior multi-year “suppressed vol” regime finding very “skinny exits” on the way out.
See Chart: Emerging Markets FX


Is it possible that some of this “butterfly flapping its wings” distress in formerly ultra-crowded Emerging Markets could be “spilling-over”—say at a Multi-Strat fund—into  more liquid strategies like Equities Quant?  Without question the stress is nowhere close to the level seen during the most-famous example of this occurring back in Aug ’07, but the “tremors” and flow-through are definitely reminiscent.  
See Chart:
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Description: https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/styles/teaser_small/public/2018-06/bubble%20trouble%202.jpg?itok=tLubm7vh
"Haven’t we seen this movie before?Technology takes over the stock market late in a recovery cycle, seemingly making the bull ageless, stimulating investor greed bolstered daily by watching a chosen few (FANGs) rise to new heights, and convincing many that tech is really a defensive investment" - Jim Paulsen
See Chart:
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo

President Trump is once again showing voters how he doesn't need the cooperation of Congress to achieve his core campaign promises.
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[[ Not only anti-Asian.. he is also anti-Latino ]]
“I’m not sure if the mayor is a racist,...
 but this policy is certainly discriminatory.”
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US-WW ISSUES (World & War):  M-East .. plus
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo

Is Trump is saying something and do the opposite?

"Whether you like it or not, and it may not be politically correct, we have a world to run and in the G-7, which used to be the G-8, they threw Russia out they should let Russia come back in cause we should have Russia at the negotiating table."
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"Escorting [a head of state] with jets is one of the highest security protocols that the air force can provide," a South Korean source told SCMP.
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Venezuelans’ interest in buying Bitcoin
has increased significantly over the last three months...
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US  inside  GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..News


President Donald Trump criticized Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for being so angry about the new US tariffs and accused Canada of hurting American dairy farmers.
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The summit will officially start Friday in the Canadian province of Quebec and run until Saturday. US President Trump is expected to leave the summit early to fly to Singapore, skipping the climate session. Russia announced its permanent withdrawal from the G8 in 2017; the group was thereafter renamed the G7.
RELATED:
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Still this clintonian stupidities?  they are losers . We need new Elect rules with 3rd Opt & Prop Reprt
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[[ Our patriarchal West is full of hypocrisy ]]
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[[  Sex is best relax for people under stress.. no question about.. hands & good food after helps a lot]]
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[[ Ger, Spain & England are now best among whites .. Now the time is back to dark colors ]]
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UK Needs Trump  Better if said:  May Needs Trump.. NO ONE ELSE in the whole world
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RT SHOWS
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to break with Empire: 


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3

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In Case You Missed It
The Real Story of How Israel Was Created   By Alison Weir    Continue
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Shame Must Belong To All Of Us    By Dan Rather     Continue
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Appeasement as Global Policy    By James Petras    
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COUNTER PUNCH 
Focus on US issues


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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars:  its profiteers US-NATO


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DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis: Trump captured by Deep state to reproduce old cronyism without alter-plan


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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers..


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