martes, 12 de junio de 2018

JUN 12 18 SIT EC y POL

JUN 12 18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ

FIFA       -Familia peruano-americana de escasos recursos lista pa viajar a RU en apoyo a equ PE
-Favor enviar INFO sobre avión, hotel y transp-inter FIFA + entradas a Estadios al mínimo costo. Somos 15 listos para viajar si hay Bonos para personas de escasos recursos. Si es así
Por favor enviar e-mail a Hugo Adan: zegarrahug@outlook.com or llamar : 215-285 7235
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ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

Latest on the US Economic collapse: See below: WHAT'S WRONG WITH THE ECONOMY: 9 TOXIC DYNAMICS

Here the latest:

Tech outperformed Financials once again..
See Chart:


Treasury yields remained in a very narrow range once again with the long-end modestly outperforming the short-end ahead of tomorrow's FOMC...
See Chart:


But while overall yields didn't move much the yield curve tumbled to a fresh 11 year flat...
See Chart:


The Dollar Index spiked on headlines that Jay Powell is planning on a press conference at every FOMC Meeting... This broke the dollar closing price out of its 18-day tight range).
See Chart:


Finally, after February's rapid PANIC correction, the markets heading back into EUPHORIA territory once again
See Chart:
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...automation could destroy as many as 73 million U.S. low skilled, low wage laborers by 2030, a recent report by McKinsey Global Institute stated.

In fact, automation could destroy as many as 73 million U.S. low skilled, low wage laborers by 2030, a recent report by McKinsey Global Institute stated.

The dire prediction that robots could take a bulk of the middle-class jobs — has led many of macro strategists to believe that significant economic disruptions are coming to America.

Karen Harris, Managing Director of Bain & Company’s Macro Trends Group, presented her fascinating keynote tilted Labor 2030: The Collision of Demographics, Automation, and Inequalityat the Strategic Investment Conference 2018, in March.
See Graphic :


Harris also warned, “this will have all sorts of unpleasant effects in the next decade.”
See graphic 2:


Automation is coming after jobs, from fast food burger flippers to accountants. CBSN examined which jobs are the most at risk:
See Chart:
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See more charts at
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Beneath the surface signals of an eternally rising stock market and expanding GDP, we all sense something is deeply, systemically wrong with the U.S. economy...
Read This
Beneath the surface signals of an eternally rising stock market and expanding GDP, we all sense something is deeply, systemically wrong with the U.S. economy. These nine structural dynamics generate secondary dynamics, all of which are toxic to social mobility, sustainable prosperity, accountability and democracy:

1. The financialization of the economy, which transformed services, credit, risk and labor into commodities that could be traded globally. Financialization generates enormously asymmetric returns: those with access to low-cost credit, global markets and expertise in finance collect the lion's share of gains in income and wealth.

2. The technological transformation of the economy, which has placed a substantial scarcity premium on specific tech/managerial/communication skills and devalued ordinary labor and capital. As a result, the majority of gains in wealth and income flow to those with the scarce skills and forms of capital, leaving little for ordinary labor and capital.

The first two dynamics drive three other dynamics that have hollowed out the productive economy:

3. The end of cheap fossil fuels. The fracking boom/bubble has obscured the long-term secular trend: the depletion of cheap-to-access and process oil. As many analysts have observed (Nate Hagens, Gail Tverberg, Richard Heinberg, Chris Martenson et al.), the global economy only grows if energy and credit are both cheap.

4. Globalization, which transformed the developing world into the environmental dumping ground of the wealthy nations and enabled the owners of capital to offshore waste and labor.

5. The destructive consequences of "growth at any cost" are piling up. "Growth" is the one constant of all existing political-economic systems, and none of the current Modes of Production (i.e. the structures that organize production, consumption, the economy and society) recognize that "growth" is not sustainable.

6. The dominance of debt-funded speculation as the means of "getting ahead"as opposed to producing products and services of intrinsic value that serve the core needs of communities.

7. The economy's gains in income and wealth are concentrated in the very top of the wealth-power pyramid: the top 5%--entrepreneurs, professionals and technocrats, etc., and within this class, most of the gains go to the top 1/10th of 1% --the existing owners of wealth, and financiers/speculators with access to cheap credit.

The net result is the bottom 95% have few opportunities to "get ahead" outside of gambling in the asset bubbles du jour: the stock and housing market. While the average middle class household may be able to borrow enough to speculate in the housing bubble, two factors limit the odds of success for ordinary investors/gamblers:
A. The gains in housing are concentrated in specific markets; outside these hot markets, gains are modest.
B. Asset bubbles eventually pop, leaving those still owning the assets with losses. The risks are thus intrinsic and high. The average investor/gambler lacks the experience needed to recognize the bubble has stopped expanding and exit the market before ll the other speculators rush for the narrowing exit.

8. The devaluation of ordinary labor and capital means the bottom 60% of the economy that lacks the requisite skills with a scarcity premium in the Emerging Economy have lost easy access to the ladder of social mobility.

9. The concentration of wealth and power in the hands of the self-serving few corrupts the economy and democracy. The U.S. economy is dominated by insider and elite rackets, skims, scams and cartels/quasi-monopolies, all of which corrupt the economy by creating perverse incentives for exploitation and gaming the system to benefit the few at the expense of the many.

This corruption in service of maximizing private/personal gains at the expense of the system itself also corrupts the mechanisms of governance, which are now little more than cloaking devices that protect insiders and elites from scrutiny and consequences.

The 20% above the bottom 60% may appear to have some access to social/economic mobility, but this is largely an artifact of the bubble economy since 2009. Once the bubble deflates, the illusion of social mobility for the "middle class" between the bottom 60% and the upper 20% vanishes.

The "upper middle class" between the bottom 80% and the top 5% is being squeezed by the over-production of elites, i.e. the over-abundance of those with college degrees and the relative scarcity of secure jobs within the top 5%. As a result, credential inflation is rampant, with Masters Degrees replacing Bachelors Degrees as the default for a white-collar job, and PhDs replacing Masters diplomas as the new default for positions that lack security and upward mobility.

In other words, the number of people who qualify for and desire a slot in the elite class (top 5%) far exceeds the number of slots available. As Peter Turchin has explained, this competition generates social disorder at the top of economic heap as the top 20% fight over the few positions open in the top 5%. The disgruntled, frustrated losers far outnumber the relatively few winners.

These nine dynamics are mutually reinforcing, meaning that each dynamic strengthens one or more of the others, reinforcing each other so the sum of the nine is far more powerful than a mere addition might suggest.

See Chart: How Systems Collapse
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Buy his book Money and Work Unchained : is $9.95 for the Kindle ebook and $20 for the print editionRead the first section for free in PDF format. 
 If you found value in this content, please join him in seeking solutions by becoming a $1/month patron of my work via patreon.com.
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Lenders are extending longer loan terms that are more prone to default, to consumers who are taking on the most debt since the "recovery" started. Don't worry - it's not "sub-prime", it's "near prime". 

The article notes that the timeline of most loans has been extended significantly, naturally yielding a higher interest rate for the bank. 
See Chart:


Already – with the economy growing nicely and interest rates still historically low – subprime auto loan defaults are trending upward, and are now above their Great Recession levels. So it’s reasonable to assume that when the next recession hits, hundreds of thousands of Americans who bought cars they couldn’t afford with money they didn’t have will find those never-ending payment terms more than they can handle. The sector will become a high-profile casualty and today’s “comfortable” investors will be a lot less so.
See Chart:
See more charts at
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A crook investor?  Some people believed that Warren Buffett stole the money from the FED. The money was given to him for quick recycle of US  Economic System ,  not to take out from there

"...no one rings a bell at the top (or bottom) of any market...But it seems pretty clear from Buffett’s actions that it might be a good time to take some money off the table and wait patiently for the compelling opportunities yet to come."

Warren Buffett is notorious for almost NEVER selling. His famous quip, “Our favorite holding period is forever,” means that he likes to find wonderful businesses that are selling at a discount, buy as much of them as possible, and enjoy the returns of that investment indefinitely.
In other words, if you’ve acquired a fantastic, well-performing asset at a cheap price, why sell?
And he practices what he preaches. Buffett rarely sells anything.
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo


The big question is, is the United States reserve currency status soon to be in jeopardy?
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A nasty –though legal- way of dealing with bankruptcies

The decision could open the door to a flood of "vertical" mega-mergers...
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Kim said it was "urgent for North Korea and US to make the bold decision to stop irritating and hostile military actions against each other..."
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US-WW ISSUES (World & War):  M-East .. plus
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo


After last week's biggest inventory build since 2008, headlines confirmingRussia is seeking a roll-back of oil-cuts saw selling pressure ahead of the API data which confirmed last week'ssurprise builds in crude, gasoline, and distillates.
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US  inside  GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..News


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RT SHOWS

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Keiser Report   Episode 1239   Max and Stacy discuss innovations in poverty as America invents a new way to be poor despite being ‘rich’ on paper. In the 2ND half, Max interviews Christian Saucier of EquibitGroup.com about disintermediating the stock settlements industry controlled by a duopoly.
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to break with Empire: 


PAL        -Ley antisemita USA ayuda a crear Estad  Israel   Sheldon Richman
                -Amnistía Internac informa de crímenes de guerra en Raqqa  Brett W
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ECOL      -Impactos invisibles de la era digital  Silvia Ribeiro
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                -Pichardo: ”OEA desestabiliza gob que no responden a Washington”
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ALC        Hondur: Berta Z C :la continua lucha de pueblos originarios Eo Gabon
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ARG       -Aborto:   Un modelo de nación en juego  Diana Carolina Alfonso
                --La crisis del neoliberalismo criollo  Mariano Massaro
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COL        --La tormenta (II)   William Ospina
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Mund    --Elegida presidenta en la ONU sin aval yanqui?  Manuel E. Yepe
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USA       -Guerra económica o "guerra absoluta"?   Jean-Claude Paye
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ALAI-Chile    No a la impunidad   Mariana Zegers
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ALAI       -Cumbre de Singapur:  abrirá un camino a la paz?  Luis Manuel Arce

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                Las semifinales: Portugal-Brasil, Argentina-Alemania
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Quest   Es posible que familia peruana de escasos recurs en US reciba apoyo para viaje al Mundial?
                Si hay esa posib x favor INFO a Hugo Adan: zegarrahug@outlook.com o call: 215-285 7235
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3


The 1st QT:  to Kim is Why he accepted the blackmail “sanctions” before the Summit?
The 2nd QT: Why he signed any Doct with Trump if the blackmail ‘sancrtions’ was not solved?
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A Tale of Two Summits  By Finian Cunningham   Continue
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Scapegoating Iran    By Chris Hedges     Continue
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No, Israel Is Not a Democracy   By lan Pappe    Continue
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Why Venezuela and Syria Cannot Fall    By Andre Vltchek    Continue 
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COUNTER PUNCH 
Focus on US issues


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ADRIAN KUZMINSKI   The Politics of Virtue
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars:  its profiteers US-NATO


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DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis: Trump captured by Deep state to reproduce old cronyism without alter-plan


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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers..


Trump, Kim end summit, but was the deal clearly worded?
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