lunes, 3 de agosto de 2020

AUG 3 20 ND SIT EC y POL



AUG 3  20 ND SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics



"Either the risks to the recovery--COVID case spike, election concerns, fiscal cliff--need to subside and the market broadens or these risks will ultimately topple the winners, too."

Yesterday we published the latest weekend note from Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson in which he explained why he believes that in the long run his bullish take on risk assets would be validated, for the simple reason that long-absent inflation would finally emerge due to the launch of helicopter money which has triggered a record surge in M2 money supply...
SEE Chart:


Goldman warned that virtually all market gains comes from a handful of stocks (specifically, five of them Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet and Facebook), which have soared more than 35% since the start of the year, while the rest of the market remains in the red.
See  Chart:
The five largest stocks have returned  35% YTD, the other 495 declined by 5%
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Is everything awesome?

Another day, another nicely engineered short squeeze...
See Chart:
“Most Shorted” Stocks

And a better than expected ISM print (ignoring the decline in the Markit PMI) sparked a bid in value/cyclical stocks...
SEE Chart:

All helped lift the broad markets today (despite a late-day drop on McConnell comments about the Democrats )"not budging" on negotiations... (Small Caps managed to outgain tech on the day thanks to that late drop)
See  Chart:

NOTE the cash open saw an immediate panic-bid in Nasdaq and dump of Small Caps, but the latter quickly reversed.

AAPL & MSFT accounted for more than half of The Dow's gains today, but gun stocks surged more on the back of huge surge in background checks...
See Chart:


Momentum continues to keep the dream alive...
See Chart:


The rally in stocks held up despite a big surge in the dollar (which has been highly inveresely correlated with stocks for much of the last four months)...
See Chart:
Dollar Index (inv)  vs  S&P 500


Bloomberg Dollar Index:  Biggest 2-day jump in the dollar since early June..
See Chart:


Treasury yields were higher on the day skewed to long-end underperformance amid the massive Google issuance (2Y +0.5bps, 30Y +4bps)...
See Chart:


But even with those rate-locks and rotation, UST 10Y yields barely budged by the close...
See Chart


Gold scrambled into the green as the dollar started to leak lower...
See Chart:   Dollar / Gold


Finally, there's this: Bloomberg reports that income-oriented investors have less reason than ever to favor U.S. corporate bonds over stocks. The gap between the yield on the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate Bond Index and the dividend yield for the S&P 500 Index shows as much. Both yields were about 1.9% at the end of last week, according to data compiled by Bloomberg
See Chart:


Corporate yields have been as much as 11 percentage points higher on a monthly basis since the 1970s, as shown in the chart. The most recent peak was 2.4 points, reached in November 2018. But then again with The Fed's foot on the throat of all price discovery, it makes sense that everything is the same, no matter the risk differentials.
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With the presidential elections are looming, we hope that we don't need to answer "why" this massive spending is about to be unleashed.
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First, when putting together the actual data for the first three quarters of fiscal 2020 and adding the Fiscal Q4 estimate of $947BN in new issuance, the Treasury will borrow a record $4.5 trillion in Fiscal 2020, more than it borrowed in the previous view years combined!

SEE CHART:
Marketable Debt Borrowed Per Fiscal Year
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With spreads between value and growth at record levels and an explosion of speculative listings through IPOs and SPACs underway, today’s market environment shares numerous features with prior peaks in 2000 and 2007.
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Despite this, Kailash will not abandon a previous approach whose logic we understand (although we find it difficult to apply) even though it may mean foregoing large, and apparently easy, profits to embrace an approach which we don’t fully understand, have not practiced successfully and which, possibly, could lead to substantial permanent loss of capital.  

As any student of the markets will instantly see – the bolded statement is plagiarism. Those words were written by Warren Buffett in 19673 in response to pressure to pursue the “nifty fifty” whose exorbitant valuations were rationalized using a slew of new valuation methods.
SEE CHART:
In  the last 3 years, growth has experience meteoric outperformance overvalue
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio


"If the dollar loses that status then the foundation crumbles and the whole house of cards topples..."               
The dollar WILL crash. That’s the goal. There will be a new digital dollar and it will be centralized and controlled by the Federal Reserve banking cartel. It will likely all be tied together with your mandatory vaccine too.  The beast system will be rolled out and it may be sooner than we expect.
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...and that is where the demands stop having much to do with COVID and starttaking advantage of a crisis...
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What’s likely is the Fed will convert us to a cashless society and adopt a social credit system... it will mean the total enslavement of humanity...
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Meanwhile, the global coronavirus outbreak is expanding at an unprecedented clip of 250k new cases a day...
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DeBlasio justified the decision to not follow the normal permit process, saying that that message “transcends all normal realities because we are in a moment of history where this had to be said and done"...
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“Do we buy insulin or groceries? It’s a hard juggle,”
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This Fourth Turning still has five to ten years left before it burns itself out. One thing is for sure. It will not de-intensify before a climax is reached, with clear winners and losers. Much bloodshed is likely to befall the globe before its finale...
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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

For anyone who ever thought America's role in Syria was somehow about "protecting human rights" or "promoting democracy"...
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With the fall semester officially starting this week in some parts of the US, the question of how public schools will reopen for the fall semester, and how much in-person learning to allow, if any, is weighing on the minds of millions of Americans.
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos

REBELION

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ALAI NET ORG

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EL RESTO PARA MAÑANA

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