FEB 9 17 SIT EC
y POL
ZERO HEDGE. ECONOMICS
Is
the U.S. economy about to get slammed by a major recession?
…
Is the U.S. economy about to get slammed by a major
recession? According to Gallup, U.S. economic confidence has soared
to the highest level
ever recorded, but meanwhile a whole host of key
economic indicators are absolutely screaming that a new recession is beginning.
And if the U.S. economy does officially enter recession
territory in 2017, it certainly won’t be a shock, because the truth is that we
are well overdue for one.
Donald Trump has inherited quite an economic mess from Barack Obama,
and it was probably inevitable that we were headed for a significant economic
downturn no matter who won the election.
One of the key indicators to watch is average weekly hours.
When the economy shifts into recession mode, employers tend to start cutting
back hours, and that is happening right now. In
fact, as Graham Summers has pointed out, we just witnessed the largest percentage decline in average
weekly hours since the recession of 2008…
READ THE WHOLE ART AT: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-02-09/recession-2017-things-are-happening-usually-never-happen-unless-economy-starting-dec
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Per data from the U.S. Department of
Agriculture's latest farm income report, the deadly combination of rising input
costs, lower grain prices, a strong dollar and excessive leverage looks likely
to force many of America's midwest farmers out of business in 2017.
Earlier this week the U.S Department of Agriculture released
its biannual report of farm incomes which paints a very bleak picture for the
American farmer. In its first
forecast for 2017, the USDA sees real farm cash
receipts down 14% versus 2015 and 36% from the previous high set in 2012 as
farm debt continues to soar and leverage surges to all-time highs.
As the Wall
Street Journal notes, the deadly combination of rising input costs, lower grain prices, a strong
dollar and excessive leverage will likely force many of America's
Midwest farmers out of business in 2017.
See all the graphics and comments at: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-02-09/midwest-farm-bubble-continues-collapse-farm-incomes-expected-crash-2017
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INVERSION IS DOWN
“The
bulls and the bears have met at the crossroad. However, neither is ready to
commit capital towards their inherent convictions. So, for 43-days, and
counting, we remain range bound waiting for what is going to happen next... Every bull market in history has ultimately crumbled
under the weight of fundamental realities. Despite the many hopes
to the contrary, this time will be no different."
…
One of the primary
problems with fundamental measures, such as P/E ratios, is the “duration mismatch.”
“What is truly ironic is
that when it comes to buying ‘crap’ we don’t really need, people will spend
hours researching brands, specifications, and pricing. However,
when it comes to investing our ‘hard earned savings,’ we tend to spend less
time researching the underlying investment and more time fantasizing about our
future wealth.”
This “mentality” leads
to what I call a “duration mismatch” in investing. While valuations give us a fairly
good assessment about future returns, such analysis is based on time frames of
five years or longer. However, for individuals,
average holding periods for investments has fallen from eight years in the
1960’s to just six months currently.
The point to be made here is simple. The time frame required for fundamental valuation measures to
be effective in portfolio management are nullified by short-term investment
horizons.
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Stocks
Soar To Record Highs As Trump Drops The 'T'
Word, Sparks Biggest Short-Squeeze Since Election TAX
PLAN
Can you spot the moment when President Trump said the word
"tax"...
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Trump
Says He Will Announce "Something Phenomenal On Taxes In Next 2-3
Weeks" - Market Turmoils The opposition to
Trump is relentless.. It is not
Trump.. is the inherited Econ .. idiot!
After a few hours of relative calm, President Trump
has injected some renewed chaos into capital markets this mornings
after comments that he will release "something phenomenal on taxes in the
next 2-3 weeks" among other things...
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How did that work out for them?
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When you look at trends in US Econ you get frustrated.. When
you see graphs showing days of UPS in volatility, you get happy..
Considered that Trump inherited the Econ mess (hiden) by Obama and knowing that people like “truth”
from Trump (not matter how ugly they are), then SEE
here one happy truth not said by Trump, but for the Swiss National Bank:
The Swiss National Bank reported that the value
of its portfolio of US stocks rose again in the fourth quarter, increasing by 1.6% from $62.4 billion as of Sept. 30 to a
record high $63.4 billiion at the end of the year.
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Over the past few months interest rates and the value of the dollar
have risen sharply, and monetary policy’s quantitative indicators have
contracted. These monetary restrictions have worsened the structural impediments to U.S.
economic growth that existed before the election and continue today...
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"Attention has focused on President Trump,
but developments on the other side of the world may prove more important."
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POLITICS
PARADOGICAL but true: we feed the worse terrorist of our time
The
story begins in the 1970s when Henry Kissinger and Richard Nixon struck a deal with
the House of Saud - a deal which
gave birth to the petrodollar system...
…
The terms were simple
The Saudis agreed to ONLY accept U.S. Dollars in return
for their oil and that they would reinvest their surplus dollars into U.S.
treasuries.
In return, the U.S. would provide arms and a security
guarantee to the Saudis who, it has to be said, were living in a pretty
rough neighbourhood. As you can see, things went swimmingly (chart below)
Saudi purchases of treasuries grew along with the oil price
and everyone was happy. (We’ll come back to that blue box on the
right shortly)
The inverse
correlation between the dollar and crude is just about as perfect as one could
expect (until recently that is... but again, we’ll be
back to that).
And, as you can see
here, beginning when Nixon slammed the gold window shut
on French fingers and picking up speed once the petrodollar system was
ensconced, foreign buyers of U.S. debt grew
exponentially.
Having the world’s most vital commodity exclusively priced in
U.S. dollars meant everybody needed to hold large dollar reserves to pay for it
and that meant a yuuuge bid for treasuries. IT’S GOOD
TO BE THE KING.
TO READ THE WHOLE ART OPEN http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-02-09/grant-williams-death-petrodollar-and-what-comes-after
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WAR: Here expenses only on mercenaries … Real cost is much
further than 11 bill.. and much even if
civilian infra-structure of towns & cities destroyed and life killed
or disable is counted
Since the air war against the so-called Islamic
State kicked off in August 2014, the United States has spent on average $220,000 per dead ISIS fighter
in the 'war on terror'.
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THE BEST FROM TRUMP SO FAR:
Last week, a federal judge provided a long
overdue victory for alternative
political parties in the United States.
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"It was not we who started the war against you in 9/11, it was you and
your dictators in our land... The main characteristic of any
American or Western Head of State is that he must be a Machiavellian president
and a professional, accomplished liar. He must be an expert in deceiving his audience and the
entire nation."
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Trump's
opponents are never given time to mount an attack. Their
queen - the MSM has been
removed from the board; and their favorite piece - the Celebrities are locked in a war of
attrition while Trump gets the rest of his pieces on the board. Remember, these are all Tactics but Strategy flows from [its] Tactics.
Sooner or later the Left will find itself in some terrible position and the Strategy to drain the swamp will present itself.
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WORLD ISSUES and ME
After years of
'close encounters' of the Russian-kind, it appears the US military has
found a new nation to fly close to. Nine
months after China demanded US "immediately cease" spying near its
borders, CNN
reports that there was an "unsafe" close encounter between a US Navy P-3 Orion aircraft
and a Chinese surveillance aircraft Wednesday in the general vicinity of the
contested Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea.
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FEAR to WW3: the main reason to get out from US.. Ruso-fobia
spread by OB-Clinton’ war-mongers
Obama warned everyone back in 2009 that "elections have consequences." Now, eight years
later, we learn that apparently the "consequences" of running around
the country for nearly a decade threatening to raise taxes, "spread the
wealth around" and pursue any number of other socialist
policies are a record number of people renouncing their U.S. citizenship.
..
[ This is an intentional distortion from followers of the dirty
couple Obama-Clinton, similar to other against Sanders. Now we know the
oligarchical connection of frauds & lies spread by corp media. People had
defeated both of them.. OB-Clintons are the losers. Don’t pay attention to them.]
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DEMOCRACY NOW
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
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COUNTER PUNCH
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Jack Rasmus Trump
As Neoliberal Free Trader
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Miriam Pemberton Trump’s
Fake Populism on Military Spending
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
US Appeals Court Upholds Suspension of Trump’s Travel Ban https://sputniknews.com/news/201702101050527597-us-court-upholds-suspension-ban/
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IS Afg-War connected to oil or to poppy business? .. Or both..
Never Ending War? US General Calls For More Troops in Afghanistan https://sputniknews.com/military/201702101050528731-never-ending-war-more-troops/
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Russia Sanctions Review Act Targets Moscow, US President Trump – Ambassador https://sputniknews.com/us/201702101050529763-russia-sanctions-review-target-trump-moscow/
Related
Nothing Behind Sanctions on Russia Except for 'Need to Save EU Solidarity' https://sputniknews.com/politics/201702091050506898-sanctions-russia-eu-solidarity/
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Que de
accidents rusos con soldados USA y/o sirvientes
de la OTAN? Y que de acc a la inversa?
Kremlin Confirms Accidental Russian Airstrike Kills Turkish Soldiers in Syria https://sputniknews.com/politics/201702091050514274-turkey-russia-strike-syria/
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RT SHOWS
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WASHINGTON BLOG
Brandon Turbeville
Activist Post
BrandonTurbeville.com
Activist Post
BrandonTurbeville.com
While many were hoping against all odds that a Trump
administration would live up to some of its campaign rhetoric and begin to back
away from imperialistic foreign adventures, it seems those hopes are being dashed by the day as Trump and his team
are giving every indication that they are moving toward war with Iran.
Even on the campaign trail, Trump
expressed irrational anti-Iran sentiment suggesting that the Iran nuclear deal
signed with the Obama administration was “terrible” and that the United States
was essentially forced to pay Iran not to build a bomb. Of course, this rhetoric was nothing but fantasy since the only loser in
the deal was the Iranians, who were never in violation of any international
provisions against nuclear proliferation, did not have a nuclear weapon, a
nuclear weapons program, or even the ability to create one. In reality, Iran
never should have had to sign any deal with the world’s self-appointed guard
dog. Still, Trump represented the release of Iran’s frozen assets as extortion
(against the United States no less). For those who are unaware, the money that
was allegedly “paid” to Iran was actually Iranian money the United States had
frozen in the past as a result of prior fits of war hysteria.
⇒ Keep Reading
⇒ Keep Reading
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
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No hay política sin lucha identitaria Sadri
Khiari
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ARG
“Tetazo nacional” Inédita
protesta de mujeres por igualdad de derechos
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Keiser
report 1030 El auge del bilateralismo
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PRESS TV
Does he was confused with Ben Laden?.. similar face
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Trump:
McCain ‘emboldens' al-Qaeda terrorists
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9/11
‘mastermind’ tells why US was attacked
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