viernes, 25 de septiembre de 2020

SEP 24 20 ND SIT EC y POL P-1

SEP  24  20 ND SIT EC y POL  P-1

ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

 

ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS

Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

 

STOCKS PUMP'N'DUMP AS STIMULUS HOPES (& THE DOLLAR) SLUMP

The B-Dollar Index tumbled intraday, ending the 4-day win streak and biggest surge since March...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm157E.jpg?itok=cXL7KVs7

 

Stocks hit session highs on speculation that talks about a new round of economic stimulus will resume amid growing concern over a resurgence in coronavirus cases around the world. Then reversed on reports that "no talks" were scheduled between Mnuchin and Pelosi. A record daily surge in COVID cases in France didn't help...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-24_13-00-42.jpg?itok=iMX2I_dM

 

Small Caps bounced off 200DMA (but then retraced back below it), Dow bounced off 100DMA at the open...

See Charts:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-24_12-28-22.jpg?itok=0QLm4Uzr

 

The S&P 500 broke down into the red for 2020 today (below 3230.78) but the machines made sure it closed above it...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-24_12-59-53.jpg?itok=dx65NQ-D

 

VIX Election uncertainty pushed higher once again...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmA161.jpg?itok=VH7DBemv

 

Despite Oil's modest gains, XOM slipped lower, pushing its dividend yield above 10% once again!...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm952E_0.jpg?itok=lKRWeGxI

 

As Bloomberg notes, the world's second-biggest oil explorer by market value has pledged to defend the payout, which has increased for 37 consecutive years, but stubbornly low crude prices have meant a reliance on borrowed money to fund it.

SPACs were spanked (after SEC concerns)...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm89A2.jpg?itok=LaJi6ahA

 

Momo's short-term run against value appears to have its upper limit once again...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmDDA1.jpg?itok=Zi3m5tqB

 

Treasury yields remained in an insanely narrow range once again (10Y yields traded inside a 2bps range today). On the week, 30Y is down around 5bps, 2Y unch...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm72E7.jpg?itok=QJXY9ck0

 

Driving Bond vol (MOVE) back down to record lows (the biggest divergence from VIX in over 30 years)...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmD8F6.jpg?itok=BWwzD9lD

 

10Y Real yields pushed higher again...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm6908.jpg?itok=3vrnSt9a

 

WTI pushed back above $40 as the dollar weakened...

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-24_12-44-34.jpg?itok=yEu7_Lx_

 

Finally, in case you were wondering if it's over yet? @BearTrapsReport notes thatone rule of thumb we learned years ago - when you see a 3% drawdown, they only rarely happen alone, they often come as a cluster. The Nasdaq fell -3.1% on Wednesday, underperforming the other major US indices.

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-24%20%283%29.png?itok=GqMC_SUZ

 

Looking at all of the -3% Nasdaq drawdowns over the past decade, a trend is clear... Large drawdowns come in clusters, they are rarely isolated events. With every big drawdown we see, there is an increased probability we see another one.

See Chart:

Dow then and now

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm1FC1.jpg?itok=dEFz1N0a

….

SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/dollar-dumped-spacs-spanked-silver-surged-bond-volatility-hits-record-lows

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THE $88 TRILLION WORLD ECONOMY IN ONE CHART 

According to the World Bank, the global economy could ultimately shrink 5.2% in 2020 - the deepest cut since WWII.

This voronoi-style visualization from HowMuch relies on gross domestic product (GDP) data from the World Bank to paint a picture of the global economy - which crested $87.8 trillion in 2019.

SEE CHART:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/88-trillion-dollar-world-economy-2019.jpg?itok=eZXVX7tz

 

Top 10 Countries by GDP (2019)

In the one-year period since the last release of official data in 2018, the global economy grew approximately $2 trillion in size—or about 2.3%.

The United States continues to have the top GDP, accounting for nearly one-quarter of the world economy. China also continued to grow its share of global GDP, going from 15.9% to 16.3%.

SEE CHART:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2020-09-24_9-16-04.jpg?itok=hTxHFbpq

 

2020 Economic Contractions

The following interactive chart from Our World in Data helps to give us some perspective on this turbulence, comparing Q2 economic figures against those from the same quarter last year.

See Chart:

Economic decline in the 2nd quarter of 2020

US -9.5% DECLINE 

FASCISM BLOCKED THE CHART

Go to main source to see it:

SOURCE:  https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/88-trillion-world-economy-one-chart

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Triple Trouble

Markets have run into trouble in September and 3 major problems have emerged and unless these problems are solved, markets may have to contend with the distinct possibility of having topped for now...

Yesterday President Trump refused to commit to a peaceful transition should he lose. I won’t bother with the politics of it all, but clearly Americans are dropping their expectations for a clear election result, rather one that is close enough that either side may contest it and the US may be dragged through an extended legal process before a winner is determined.

Trust me, that’s not a good scenario anyone really should want. It has chaos written all over it and in this context perhaps the $VIX Rising chart continues to rear its ugly head as it still hasn’t invalidated the potential patten, but rather keeps building it:

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/VIX-18.png?itok=kXr81BOq

 

Another problem related perhaps to the previous two is the US dollar, problem #3.

Sven Henrich say:

The dollar was forming a bullish pattern

See Chart in twitter

https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1308857803155664896?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1308857803155664896%7Ctwgr%5Eshare_3&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fmarkets%2Ftriple-trouble

 

More about the Fed's balance sheet update here: https://elliottwavetrader.net/p/analysis/202009246374375.html…

See Chart

https://twitter.com/LynAldenContact/status/1309253997535125505/photo/1 

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Tax evasion continue: after buying Gold comes this: fake nationalism

HEDGE FUNDS FLOCK TO FLORIDA AS WEALTHY AMERICANS SEEK LOWER TAXES 

"Last week, New Jersey adopted a millionaires tax, and a ballot measure in Illinois calls for raising taxes on the wealthy."

….

From tax evasion (buying gold & kryptos) to lower taxes. We need an FDR back: either confiscation of their riches or New Deal with Tobin tax to all billionaires . Stop the fake hurricane to Florida !

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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS

Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio

 

JUSTICE SLEEPS AND "WE, THE PEOPLE" SUFFER: NO, THE US SUPREME COURT WILL NOT SAVE US 

“The Constitution is not neutral. It was designed to take the government off the backs of the people.”

- Justice William O. Douglas

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There are 2 ways of killing black American: shoot them & exclude them from prosperity

IS INSURANCE MORE EXPENSIVE IN BLACK NEIGHBORHOODS? 

...renters insurance annual premiums were about 20% higher in predominantly Black neighborhoodsthan predominantly white ones...

Amid the recent Black Lives Matter protests, much of society has been re-examining explicit and implicit sources of discrimination against Black people in America. What are the conscious and unconscious ways our society and economy harm Black citizens?

See Chart:

Cost of renters insurance in California

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bar-chart.png?itok=iMreWKPN

 

California have a substantially higher percentage of Black residents than the state average of 5.9%.

Is there any correlation between the percentage of Black residents in a city and companies charging more for renters insurance?

Let’s see, the following chart plots renters insurance prices versus percent of population that is Black from the same list of cities as above.

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/scatterplot-wm-1.png?itok=FsdvElJE

 

Examining our own rates

Looking at the industry at a whole, we see a troubling correlation. Is Goodcover also more expensive in Black neighborhoods? To find out we looked at how Goodcover would rate for the same policy and location compared to the top 10 insurance companies in the state using the government pricing data. We found a far lower, statistically insignificant (p = 0.079) correlation as shown below.

See Chart:

Average Renters Insurance Premium vs. Percentage of black cities

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/scatterplot-with-gc-wm-1.png?itok=lK6OsKjw

 

Is Goodcover more expensive in Black Neighborhoods?

See Chart:

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/insurance-more-expensive-black-neighborhoods

The data shows that the insurance industry charges renters in California more if they live in Black neighborhoods, but Goodcover doesn’t.

We don’t have a good explanation for why this is happening. To be clear, we don’t believe the insurance industry is intentionally raising prices on Black neighborhoods because they have a higher percentage of Black residents. There are many potential causal factors, which is one reason why racial discrimination in housing is such a systemic problem.

Our own pricing is based on statistical analysis that controls for factors that influence risks like fire, theft, water damage, liability (which together account for 85% of our price). 

Continuing the conversation  [ vs. giving up rights or no correcting Syst-defects ]

1-      At Goodcover, we believe it is our responsibility both as a company and as an industry to understand and address our systemic biases.

2-      Eliminating pricing disparities because of the composition of a community is attainable, and the  right thing to do. Our industry needs to keep vigilant in re-examining our processes so we banish discrimination from the ways we serve our policyholders and the public

SOURCE:  https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/insurance-more-expensive-black-neighborhoods

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Sweeting & distorting the evil pill of Rusophobia: meddling in elections

SECRET REPORT EXPOSES CIA'S BRENNAN OVERRULED DISSENTING ANALYSTS WHO CONCLUDED RUSSIA FAVORED HILLARY 

"There are things in there that people don’t know... It will change the dynamic of our understanding of Russian meddling in the election.”

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Rusophobia assumed ‘meddling in elections’  continue

TOP REPUBLICANS URGE FBI, DOJ TO INVESTIGATE HUNTER BIDEN'S $3.5 MILLION MOSCOW PAYDAY 

"The report shows that the FBI has been aware of some misconduct for years"

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Usual election Law with new names now: Biden-Bloomberg fraud

"HE WHO CHEATS BEST, WINS?" - BLOOMBERG BACKS LAWBREAKERS-FOR-BIDEN IN FLORIDA 

In this election the ideologues have been radicalized on all sides to view the threat of the other side winning as existential to their future...

….

This comparing to Trump’ fraudulent distortions is almost nothing. Let’s take one case of many: the mass-testing of CV with unreliable vaccine that hides the privatization of US health Syst & Pharma benefactors, will infect & kill more people. The worse in Trump: his open pro-war approach + crazy manufacturing of weapons: he put our life in danger by promoting WW3 & place at risk the life of whole world if WW3 comes up. We need PEACE no www3. We need nuclear weapons dismantle World-wide. We don’t need Trump re-election any longer. We don’t need the election of Biden, similar war monger. Both Trump & Biden are very dangerous persons for our future and the future of whole humanity.

We need a 3rd choice to stop the coming anarchic violence. We need new electoral rules that warrant Peace & sane governability: 50% of power for the winner, 30%  for the 2nd more vote party and 20% of power for the third option or 3rd party. It doesn’t matter the amount of votes that the 1st, 2nd & 3rd party receives. What matter is the right distribution  of power for senate, house & gobernors across the nation. That is the only way to  assure governability, legitimacy & social peace. We need to dismantle the dogma ‘patria’ to win the war for peace. Whoever win this election  (Biden  or Trump) will destroy America. Many states & region with create a separate government from the FED. PEOPLE REFEREMDUM will decide a new future for America.

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The Fraud in process: your dystopia my utopia. Reality: collapse of Dems-Reps Syst

WISCONSIN AUTHORITIES INVESTIGATE ABSENTEE BALLOTS FOUND IN DITCH, AS FBI PROBES DISCARDED PRO-TRUMP BALLOTS IN PA 

A "horror show"

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For debate:

TOP TWENTY LESSONS LEARNED IN 2020 

"1... Governments are fully capable of doing the unthinkable, and doing so suddenly with no exit plan, little consideration of cost, and a callous disregard for individual rights."

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La peste pedofila Hillary back in US news: it smell of rotten mafia

JOHN DURHAM INVESTIGATING FBI HANDLING OF CLINTON FOUNDATION PAY-TO-PLAY ALLEGATIONS 

Recall Hillary's State Department authorized $151 billion in Pentagon-brokered deals to 16 countries that donated to the Clinton Foundation - a 145% increase...

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The stock market has the bless of devil: the best friend of FED..don’t need Gold

PETER SCHIFF: THE STOCK MARKET NEEDS THE FED MORE THAN GOLD DOES

"...the markets want an even bigger commitment. Again, you’ve got a bunch of drug addicts that need more drugs than the drugs that they already have..."

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BRAINARD WANTS TO BE NEXT FED CHAIR, BUT BIDEN HAS PEGGED HER TO HEAD THE TREASURY: REPORT 

"Brainard has expressed more interest in being Fed chair than in leading the Treasury, but wouldn’t turn Treasury down if offered."

….

And maybe Trump wanted her in the Supreme Court seat. Who is this lady?

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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)

Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

 

This is a false flag. FACT is: we are promoting war Agst Iran to favor ISR neo-fascism

Iranian Drones Buzz US Aircraft Carrier; Helicopter With 'Russian PMCs' Crashes In Libya

Description: https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/styles/teaser_small/public/2020-09/iran%20drone%20teaser.jpg?itok=9w07zYBn

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps released several close-up photos of the US Navy’s aircraft carrier USS Nimitz and its escort ships in the Persian Gulf.

….

This false flag only reveal US intention to attack Iran: the start of WW3

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HOW SAUDI ARABIA PUT OPEC'S FUTURE AT STAKE 

OPEC’s 60th birthday should have been reason for celebration, but its largest producer Saudi Arabia is increasingly putting its own interests before the cartel’s objectives and has put the very existence of OPEC at stake...

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Remember:  the Saudi terrorist colluded with Republican bosses were the authors of 9/11 attack.  Their intention was to expand power over the OIL of Irak & the drugs from Afghanistan, and they got it at a very high human cost. Saudis are now and will be the best beneficiaries of US attack on RU oil. SAUDIS were and are now enemies of US Nation. They are now colluded with ISR to take Syrian oil and advance over Iran. This is perfectly clear in world panorama.

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The world geo-political temperature is high.. anything could happen

SEOUL OUTRAGED AFTER NORTH KOREAN SOLDIERS SHOOT & BURN BODY OF "DEFECTOR" AT SEA 

South Korean fisheries official found by NK patrol boat & "poured oil over his body and burnt it in the water."

….

More than ever we need an independent ONU from US  Syst of power

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Naked US Piracy Agst Iran and VEN

IRANIAN TANKER LOADS VENEZUELAN CRUDE FOR SALE ABROAD AS US THREATENS SEIZURE  

Iranian tanker has sat in PDVSA’s port with transponder off and remaining offline in Venezuelan waters...

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Main World press in the hands of big US Corporations

"CONFIRMED" HAS BECOME A MEANINGLESS WORD IN MAINSTREAM NEWS REPORTING 

The western media class does not exist to tell you the truth about the world, it exists to distort your understanding of the world for the advantage of the powerful...

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Israel believe that their neo-nazi power is assured with these allies: opium dream

THIRD ARAB NATION WILL REACH PEACE DEAL WITH ISRAEL IN NEXT 2 DAYS: US ENVOY  

Speculation rampant... Oman, Morocco, or even Saudi Arabia?

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Today most profitable business very competitive.. they don’t  say who will kill more

NOVAVAX LAUNCHES 'PHASE 3' COVID-19 VACCINE TRIALS AS UK, FRANCE POST RECORD NUMBERS: LIVE UPDATES 

Meanwhile, daily numbers in Spain declined from the prior day...

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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS

GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

 

- Munich Security Conference Head: Building New Wall Between Russia, West Over Navalny Not Productive

- Any Meaningful Talks With Pakistan Can Only Be Held in Atmosphere Free of Terror - India's UN Envoy

- Trump Blasts 'Weak as Hell' Biden for 'Anti-Police Crusade', Surrender to 'Flag Burners'

- Not a 'Silver Bullet': UK Scientists Say First COVID Vaccine Unlikely to Stop People Catching Virus

- RDIF, LAXISAM to Supply 35Mln Doses of Sputnik V COVID-19 Vaccine to Uzbekistan

- 'Shouldn't Have Happened': Kim Jong-un 'Greatly Sorry' for Shooting of Missing S Korean National

- Police Officer Who Was Shot During Louisville Protests Shows Up for Roll Call in Less Than 24 Hours

-US puppet: Norway Negotiating to Resuscitate Cold War-Era Military Deal With US

- Seattle Cop Put on Administrative Leave After Riding Over Man's Head With Bike

-More RU’phobia: US Attorney General Says Sub-Source of Steele Dossier Was Probed for Alleged Russia Ties

- Residents of Syria's Palmyra Get Russian Humanitarian Aid

- Charging Officers for Taylor’s Death Would ‘Indict System’ That’s ‘Broken From Top to Bottom’

-Fascist talk: Why the Left 'Is Biggest Threat to America, Western Civilization'

- America’s ‘Failed Economic System’ Solely Protects Rich During Pandemic

- Pompeo Closed 'Outs' Chinese Consulate in NYC as Another 'Hotbed for Espionage'  In July, the US closed a Chinese consulate in Houston, Texas. Stupic xenophobic attitude

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