viernes, 21 de diciembre de 2018

DEC 21 18 SIT EC y POL



DEC 21 18  SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics


CNN's Fear & Greed Index just hit 5... an all-time record low (most extreme fear)...
See Chart:

But since the trade war truce, US equities have dramatically underperformed..
See Chart:

  • Worst week for S&P since Aug 2011 (5th week lower in last 6)
  • Worst week for Russell 2000 since Sept 2011 (5th week lower in last 6)
  • From the 52-week highs:
  • Dow -16%
  • S&P -17%
  • Nasdaq 100 -21% - BEAR
  • Nasdaq Composite -22% - BEAR
  • Trannies -23.6% - BEAR
  • Small Caps -26% - BEAR
  • First it was the Russell 2000. Then the Nasdaq Composite. Today it's the Nasdaq-100 that crossed a bear-market threshold by retreating 20% from a peak. The index's record was set Aug. 29, the same day as the broader Nasdaq index.
Since The Fed, Gold, the dollar, and the long-bond are all up around 0.5%, while stocks collapsed around 6%...
See Chart


On the day, we can see where Fed's Williams tried desperately to jawbone markets higher - but ended up admitting that the balance sheet runoff is on auto-pilot...
See Chart:


VIX term structure remains inverted and spot VIX topped 31 for the first time since Feb today...
See Chart:


Credit markets were a bloodbath this week with loans collapsing bidless...
SEE Chart
https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/2018-12-21_9-07-42.jpg?itok=tIsfkHl6


Bonds & Stocks were dumped the last two days...
See Chart:


On the macro side, things are not awesome...
See Chart:
US Macro Surprise Index


Actually, there are over $17 trillion reasons to worry!!
See Chart:
Global Equity Market Cap


Who could have seen that coming?
See Chart:

We give the final word to none other than Dennis Gartman who said this morning - "Stock prices continue to plunge and there is nothing else that one can say other than that... the internals remain manifestly, harshly, overwhelmingly, one sidedly, shockingly, dismayingly, margin call-creatingly bearish"
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"... skeptics will keep saying 'do deficits really matter?' but they tend to forget that deficits matter when financial markets decide they matter. "

According to the founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, the US dollar could soon fall as much as 30% which could leave it looking like the Turkish Lira. The chairman of Bridgewater Associates, Ray Dalio has warned that the US economy is on the verge of a major currency crisis due to the unaffordable buildup of debt.

Dalio warned recently in an interview through Bloomberg that the US might have to go through a similar type of inflationary debt crisis which is currently being suffered by emerging market economies like Argentina and Turkey.

Triple-digit inflation has taken countries around the world by storm in 2018. Argentina, Iran, Turkey, Sudan, Yemen, and Zimbabwe currently have annualized inflation at the hundred and 111%, 187%, 38%, 127%, 27% and 170% and that’s not even mentioning the total destruction of the Bolivar in Venezuela.
See Chart:
Inflation Mater


The United States currently has unprecedented DEBT levels which have been exacerbated thanks to the Federal Reserve artificially propping up the economy through a zero interest rate environment over the past decade. The access to easy credit has allowed consumers to blow up asset bubbles since the financial crisis of 2008.

See Chart
America’s Finances

Ray Dalio’s ideas about the US dollar has come from his recent book “A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crisis” in which he analyzes 48 historical debt crisis in order to show how they took place.
He states that most debt crises are very similar although Dalio distinguishes between those that are “inflationary” and “deflationary”.

See Chart:
USA CDS
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Short News
Prepare for another potential "seismic bout of volatility" - US corporate pensions may need to boost their equity portfolios by as much as $64 billion into year-end...
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Americans earning over $200,000 are flocking to Cook County, Illinois...
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"China is basically trying to steal the future of Japan, the U.S. and Europe, by going after our technology" - Peter Navarro
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The report is a sobering view that the economy is far from great, but is actually completing a turning point as the next economic downturn is in sight.
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What are dealers so scared of...?
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"2018 continues to the be the worst year on record with 93% of assets currently down"
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"When we ask for advice we are looking for an accomplice.”
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''we're gonna need another dove..."
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With record redemptions confirming the Fed made a "policy mistake", and with concerns that Fed tightening cycles always end with a financial "event" to BofA, it is unclear "we will avoid disorderly devaluation of US dollar driven by capital flight."
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"...credit spreads are all that matter. Stocks are simply backing up in sympathy with the widening of credit spreads."
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"...if there wasn’t this fear bid, gold would probably be down huge likely more than it was after April 18. That it’s not and is in fact at multi-month highs is a testament to the level of anxiety permeating global markets right now."
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Spending growth outpaced income growth for the 10th month in a row...  See Charts
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Retailers are stacking up inventory at a record holiday pace, but will buyers show up?
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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambio



"we wanna make sure ladders are ready to send over to our undocumented friends and help them"
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"If the Dems vote no, there will be a shutdown that will last for a very long time. People don’t want Open Borders and Crime!"

Shutdown is a Cul d’sac for Trump.. un callejón sin salida. He has to offer the main Avenues of politics to the Nation.. Just call for cancelling Students debt & oth debts
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Blame whatever you want: pensions, corruption, property taxes or perpetual budget crises, but there’s no denying Illinoisans are fleeing the state. Here are the six key facts you need to know:
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It all started during a phone call with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
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US-W ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K-, D rest in limbo

Lambe-culo de los Saudis too?

“Your post goes against our Community Standards on nudity or sexual activity...”
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"It’s the kind of client Standard Chartered or HSBC would bend over backwards for..."
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
GEO-POL n GEO-ECO  ..Focus on neoliberal expansion via wars & danger of WW3

This policy is another big mistake of Trump. To corrected he has to provide money for the return of migrants to their small countries and don’t be obsessed with this news.. is suicidal
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SHOWS RT

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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Lat Am search f alternatives to neo-fascist regimes & terrorist imperial chaos


ALAI NET

                La “Patria Financiera” goza de perfecta salud   Sergio Ortiz   
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RT EN ESPAÑOL

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PARA MANIANA
INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis: neofascism & internal conflicts that favor WW3
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COUNTER PUNCH
Analysis on US Politics & Geopolitics
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO  allies
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DEMOCRACY NOW
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ
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PRESS TV
Resume of Global News described by Iranian observers..


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