NOV 15 16
SIT EC y POL
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Chicago Mayor Rahm
Emanuel: "You are safe in Chicago. You
are secure in Chicago. You are supported in Chicago. Now
administrations may change but values and principles as it relates to inclusion
do not."
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ZERO HEDGE
ECONOMICS
Higher
rates and a stronger dollar are making money tighter: so tight in fact, that
some are wondering if the Fed's next move may be to delay the next rate hike,
if not proceed to outright easing.
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Large,
broad stock market rallies like last week’s can either kick-start a major
up-move or signify an exhaustive end to a rally.
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For a
record 27th straight month, US import prices declined in October (-0.2% YoY)
despite a surge in fuels and lubricants (up 7.2% MoM). China continues to
export its deflation abroad with imported prices at the lowest since Oct 2010
even as Asia near-East saw a surge in export prices.
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Manufacturing
firms in New York State reported that business activity was essentially flat in
November, with the general business conditions index climbed out of negative
territory for the first time in four months, rising eight points to 1.5 above
the expected -2.5. However, in a troubling sign, both employment indicators
declined notably, while inventory levels hit a 4 year low, as optimism about
the future posted a modest decline.
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US
retail sales beat expectations in October (+0.8% vs +0.6% exp) and September's
gains were also upwardly revised (driven by a surge in gas prices which sparked
a decline in spending on food services). This data revision sends year-over-year
gains to a 4.3% - the highest since Nov 2014 - leaving Janet and her friends
fewer excuses to hike rates in December. Department Store sales crashed over 7%
YoY as non-store retailers grew at almost 13%.
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WTI Crude prices are lower after API reported a
bigger than expected build in crude inventories (+3.66 vs +1mm exp) and the biggest Cushing build since August. The
machines managed to tag the stops at the high of the day for WTI as gasoline
drew down (though less than expected) but Distillates saw the biggest build since
September.
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Just
as Morgan Stanley warned, be careful getting too
bearish into the OPEC meeting as OPEC's
ability to engineer a short-squeeze (via well-placed but meaningless
headlines) trumps any dismal fundamentals. Sure enough, WTI is surging by the most in 7 weeks
to pre-Algiers levels on spurious headlines today, which builds on a reversal
yesterday that started as President
Obama discussed the Iran Deal.
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It appears today was the "opposites" Day
- After days of carnage, the Mexican Peso surged
- After a meltup, US financials tumbled (but were magically bid late on to close green
- The divergence between Nasdaq and Dow began to close
- After 6 straight down days, bonds rallied and the curve flattened
- EM Stocks and Bonds rallied after bloodbathing
- Copper traded lower
Some was more of the
same..
- Dollar Index surged to new cycle highs - biggest surge in 18 months
- USDJPY exploded over 109.00 to 5 month highs
- Offshore Yuan crashed to another record low
- Stocks continue to rise
- Despite the crazy vol, VIX dropped to 3-week lows with a 13 handle
….
Stocks started the day off badly, but bounced back valiantly
as JPY and Oil soared...
Image at: http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2016/11/14/20161115_EOD10.jpg
The Dollar Index rose for the 7th day in a row (the biggest
surge since May 2015)
See more images at: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-15/theyre-buying-everything-stocks-bonds-oil-surge-vix-tumbles-13-handle
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It's
ugly out there in Risk-Parity (RP) fund land as losses on bonds outweigh gains
on stocks as correlations normalize (and volatility drops) echo the plunges
experienced during 2013's Taper Tantrum. However, as RBC notes,
adjustments to the leverage mechanism with RP strategies means, despite the
carnage already, we may not have seen the
cross-asset-class spillover yet.
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With OPEC’s 2016 World Oil Outlook now grimly forecasting that peak oil demand could become a reality
in just over a decade, and natural gas and renewables chomping at the bit to cannibalize commodity market growth, it may be good for Econ environment, but the trade-off will be global
instability on a catastrophic level.
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With US Treasury yields spiking to extreme 'cheapness' relative to
Japanese and German bonds (and stock dividends) it
seems a 'value' bid has re-emerged, sparking a notable drop in long-end yields (despite the ongoing
collapse in the Yuan to fresh record lows). The
Treasury bid is flattening the curve
dramatically which in turn is knocking
the exuberance out of the ridiculous spike in bank stocks.
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“Everything about recent experience,” Paul Krugman says, “suggests
that the world
desperately needs fiscal expansion to boost demand and… that our sole reliance on central banks isn’t
working.” However, the “recent experience” Krugman
refers to doesn’t actually back his case.
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POLITICS
Chicago
Mayor Rahm Emanuel: "You are safe in Chicago. You are secure
in Chicago. You are supported in Chicago. Now administrations may change but
values and principles as it relates to inclusion do not."
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We, the small business owners, are the last truly repressed minorities in
America today...
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IT IS TIME TO SUE SOROS: A
little girl dies because anti-trump protesters. Soros betrayed the US
"I had a patient die during a transfer
last night because our ambulance was stopped by protesters and had to drive an
extra 45 minutes around the blocked roads. They can give their fucking safety pins to my patient’s fatherless 4 year
old daughter."
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All damages created to private business, houses, cars cannot be
covered with impunity
Two
months ago, Charlotte police confirmed that 70% of those arrested during
the riots were from out-of-state. 18
months before that, as the riots flared in Ferguson, George Soros spurred
the protest movement through years of funding and mobilizing groups across the
U.S., according to financial records reviewed by The
Washington Times. And now, amid more headlines of Soros' involvement, KGW
reports that more than half of the
anti-Trump protesters arrested in Portland were from out of state.
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Hillary with her head on the guillotine
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The opportunity is at hand for Trump to reconfigure U.S. foreign policy to the world we now inhabit, and
to the vital interests of the United States. The ideal
time for such a declaration, a Trump Doctrine, is when the president-elect his secretaries of state and defense.
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WORLD ISSUES and ME
Saudi Arabia's first attempt at engaging with Donald Trump amounts to
what is effectively a thinly veiled threat wrapped as a warning. As the FT reports,
"Saudi
Arabia has warned Donald Trump that the incoming US president will risk the
health of his country’s economy if he acts on his election promises to block
oil imports."
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DEMOCRACY NOW
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Climate
Advocate: Trump's Racist, Anti-Science Worldview Will Make 1 in 30 People
Worldwide Refugees
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
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President-Elect
Donald Trump and “The Deep State”: Vote Rigging by Both Sides… Key Appointments By Peter Koenig
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“Housing,
Water and Jobs Are Human Rights”: The Struggle against Repression, National
Oppression and Economic Injustice By Abayomi Azikiwe
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Fantasies
of Impeachment and Protest: Continued Media Misreadings of Donald Trump By Dr. Binoy Kampmark
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Trump’s
$1 Trillion Infrastructure Plan: Another Privatization Firesale? Lincoln Had a
Bolder Solution By Ellen Brown,
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The
Nuclear Button: What Prospects for Peace Under A Trump Administration? An
Urgently Needed Reality Check on the Outcome of the USA Presidential Election By Don Currie,
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COUNTER PUNCH
Michael Hudson Break
Up the Democratic Party: It’s Time for the Clintons and Rubin to Go – and Soros
Too
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Gary Leupp Trump,
Clinton and the Rigged System
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Jim Kavanagh Ship
of Fools: What Trump Teaches
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Dave Lindorff About
that Legacy, Mr. President
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Robert Fisk The
Middle East is Now All About Putin
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
Moscow Says US Rhetoric on Syria Situation Based on 'Flagrant
Lies'
https://sputniknews.com/russia/201611151047478353-Russia-US-Syria/
https://sputniknews.com/russia/201611151047478353-Russia-US-Syria/
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US House Passes Act to Increase Sanctions on Syria's
Government
https://sputniknews.com/politics/201611091047252441-trump-victory-middle-east-prospects-commentary/
https://sputniknews.com/politics/201611091047252441-trump-victory-middle-east-prospects-commentary/
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Trump's Victory 'Shows Ordinary Americans Want to Work with
Russia in Syria' https://sputniknews.com/politics/201611091047252441-trump-victory-middle-east-prospects-commentary/
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Assad: Trump May Be 'Natural Ally' for Syria in Fight Against
Terrorism https://sputniknews.com/politics/201611161047480415-assad-trump-ally-syria/
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Trump: Syria May End Up With Worse Than Assad if US-Backed
Rebels Overthrow Govt
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201610201046525187-trump-syria-assad-overthrow/
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201610201046525187-trump-syria-assad-overthrow/
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RT SHOWS
On contact One
nation under Trump with Michael Smith
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Keiser Report Episode 993
it is fracking (a policy pushed by Hillary Clinton) that hurt
coal mining more than...
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WASHINGTON BLOG
Posted on November 15, 2016 by WashingtonsBlog
By Robert Parry
Trump’s problem is
that he has few fully developed ideas about how to proceed in a presidency that
even many of his close followers did not expect would happen. Plus, over the
past few decades, the
neocons and their liberal-hawk sidekicks have marginalized
almost every dissenting expert, including old-line “realists” who once were
important figures.
So, the bench of
“confirmable” experts who have dissented on neocon/liberal-hawk policies is
very thin. To find national security leaders who would break with the
prevailing “group thinks,” Trump would have go outside normal channels and take
a risk on some fresh thinkers.
⇒ Keep Reading
⇒ Keep Reading
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Posted on November 15, 2016 by DavidSwanson
Jonathan Simon is
author of CODE RED: Computerized Election Theft and The New American
Century. He serves as Executive Director of Election Defense Alliance (www.ElectionDefenseAlliance.org),
a nonprofit organization founded in 2006 to restore observable vote counting
and electoral integrity as the basis of American democracy. In addition
to CODE RED, Dr. Simon has published, both individually and in
collaboration, numerous papers related to various aspects of election forensics
and election integrity. We discuss the counting of votes in last week’s U.S.
elections.
The CODE RED website
is www.CODERED2016.com.
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Posted on November 15, 2016 by Charles
Hugh Smith
I have long held that our economy
is, stripped of propaganda, nothing but an updated version of feudalism, i.e.
neofeudal: a vast class of precarious laborers (i.e. precariats–precarious
proletariats) who own little to no wealth-producing capital ruled by a New
Nobility/Oligarchy that owns the vast majority of wealth-producing capital and
control of the political system.
I explained this
structure in America’s
Nine Classes: The New Class Hierarchy (April 29, 2014),Neofeudalism
101: Strip-Mining the Upper Middle Class (April 8, 2015) and The Class War Has
Already Started (November 14, 2015).
In the Marxist analysis, there
are only three classes: those who must sell their labor to earn
a livelihood, those who earn their livelihood from owning wealth-generating
capital, and the dispossessed/ marginalized who are dependent on the state
(bread and circuses) or who scrape out a living on the margins of the lawful
economy.
In this view, there is no
meaningful class difference between the well-paid liberal technocrat with the
$1 million (mortgaged) house on the Left/Right Coast and the rural conservative
“deplorable” wage earner. Both must sell their labor and
neither earns a livelihood from wealth-generating capital.
If we extend this analysis, we
find that the entire self-described “middle class” is in fact nothing but the
better paid slice of the working class, i.e. the class who must sell
their labor to pay their rent/mortgage, buy food, etc.
⇒ Keep Reading
⇒ Keep Reading
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Posted on November 15, 2016 by Carl Herman
Among the ironies in
this video, people around the world view the US as the greatest threat to peace;
voted three times more dangerous than any other country. The data confirm this
conclusion:
- Since WW2, Earth has had 248 armed conflicts. The US started 201 of them.
- These US-started armed attacks have killed ~30 million and counting; 90% of these deaths are innocent children, the elderly and ordinary working civilian women and men.
- The US has war-murdered more than Hitler’s Nazis.
Lie-started and Orwellian-illegal Wars of
Aggression is all the evidence necessary for US military to refuse all
war orders (there are no lawful orders for unlawful war), and for officers
to arrest those who issue them.
This argument extends
to all in US law enforcement agencies for war-related crimes of treason,
murders and injuries to US military lied-into illegal Wars of Aggression, and .01% military
looting last reported at $6.5 trillion.
As a professional academic, the most accurate description of
the US is rogue state illegal empire.
As I explain in
hypothetical conversations with George Washington (here, here), the US citizen position seems insufficient to stop the
empire without Emperor’s New Clothes recognition
among US military and law enforcement that the wars they “serve” are not even
close to lawful, and the exact type of armed attacks that US treaties after two world wars were
meant to end forever.
⇒ Keep Reading
⇒ Keep Reading
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Qué
significará el presidente Trump para Palestina? Ali Abunimah
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Se necesita un poco de sur para ver
el norte Xavier
Linares
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Keiser
report 993 La victoria de Trump, ¿un alto al
fuego en la Guerra Fría versión 2.0?
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PRESS TV
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‘Electoral
College turning against Trump’ it
is OK only if Hillary is place in jail first. American people do not deserve
both of them. T & H got only 19% of total electorate. They represent
anti-democ principl
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Syrian
army bent on establishing peace in conflict zones S fate depends on defeat terrorists
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US
faces threat of ‘friendly fascism’ Chomsky.
“friendly”? with more nuke bombs instead of dismant
This look like OB stupid policy of “good terrorism in
Syria. Fascism is the uses of State for naked dictatorship of big corp on working
classes n minorities. There is not such a “friendly fascism” . I guess Chomsky’
brain is running out of batteries. He needs to check lungs-heart to pump air up
to his brain.
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Everybody made mistakes the first
time in power.
Rational people correct it in
time. That is the key for success.
We want Trump to succeed in
implementing his promised program
The only way to help to his
success is to say how we see our future.
Here my comments on an article
published by Press-TV
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The Palestinian land grab was declared illegal multiple times
by the UN. We helped to put Israel above international Laws. It is time
to correct this error as Trump promised. If he don’t do it he betray our nation
expectation. Nobody owes obedience to any crook lead who don’t respect his own
words nor the public faith. All systems inside and abroad can be changed if we
have the right people and right plan of actions to do it. Trump need to be confirmed by the ELL=COLL and by our NATION.
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