martes, 25 de agosto de 2015

AUG 25 SIT EC y POL

AUG 25 SIT EC y POL


REUTERS 

By  SHANGHAI/BEIJING | BY SAMUEL SHEN AND KOH GUI QING. Tue Aug 25, 2015

China's central bank cut interest rates and lowered the amount of reserves banks must hold for the second time in two months on Tuesday, ratcheting up support for a stuttering economy and a plunging stock market that has sent shockwaves around the globe.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) said it was cutting the one-year benchmark bank lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.6 percent, cutting one-year benchmark deposit rates by the same amount, and reducing reserve requirements (RRR) by 50 basis points to 18 percent for most big banks. Major Chinese stock indexes nosedived more than 7 percent on Tuesday, hitting their lowest levels since December, following a more than 8 percent plunge on Monday.

SEE ALSO: Wall St. suffers worst day in four years, S&P confirms correction (Reuters) by noel randewich
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Chinese Stocks Crash Again to Extend Biggest Plunge Since 1996
By Bloomberg News. Updated on August 25
Chinese shares plummeted to extend the steepest four-day rout since 1996 on concern the government is abandoning market support measures.

 [ So what.. no one in the right mind is expecting a China’ QE to feed the crook with bailouts. Their  correction of the market has an aim: a solid future for ALL their NATION. I hope they get it ]
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ZERO HEDGE  



... in the past two weeks alone China has sold a gargantuan $106 (and over) billion in US paper just as a result of the change in the currency regime!

… [this logig continues] …

Should the current pace of liquidity outflows continue, and require the dumping of $100 billion in FX reserves, read US Treasurys, every two weeks this means China has, oh, call it some 18 weeks of intervention left.

What happens when China liquidates all of its Treasury holdings is anyone's guess, and an even better question is will anyone else decide to join China as its sells US Treasurys at a never before seen pace, and best of all: will the Fed just sit there and watch as the biggest offshore holder of US Treasurys liquidates its entire inventory..[there is a “hidden tone” of anti-China xenophobia in such expression ]

[ In the past two weeks happens the unprecedented illegal intervention of our crook speculators inside the Chinese market .. that was very illegal and forced the currency regime change we are on, a change that any sovereign country has the right to do it.  .. Now,  what happens if China liquidates all of its Treasury holdings?.. There are Laws on this regard and once a Treasury holding is due China has the right of selling them to whoever wanted to buy it & at the price they decide to .. nothing illegal on this matter .. especially given the circumstances of crisis they are facing now. .. On the other hand, the IMF already announced a “new dollar” before talking on the SDR basket that excluded the yuan.. in this clime of uncertainty the less China can do is just sell the US Treasury holdings. .. All debts has to be paid, is the law in America, if not.. “is anyone’s guess”. ]
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[How China put on their pants is not our business]

Update: Chinese Police arrested managing director Xu Gang of China's No.1 brokerage CITIC Securities
The Asia morning begins mixed in stock markets, The PBOC explains itself "this is not a shift in monetary policy," - except it is the first such set of measures since 2008, further deleveraging as China margin debt drops CNY1 Trillion from June peak to lowest since March, Regulators begin probing securities firms (and their malicious short sellers), Index futures trading fees will be raised and trading positions restricted. Stocks are limping only modestly higher (after the rate cuts) as Yuan is fixed at 6.4043 - the lowest since August 2011.
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Saudi Arabia Paying American Lobbyists To Spread Anti-Iran Propaganda. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/25/2015 [ I can’t believe it .. my angels Hillary & OB on it?.. that cannot  be true ]

Though the Saudi Arabian government publiclydeclared its tentative support for the widely-praised Iran nuclear deal last month, newreports reveal it is secretly funding propaganda efforts to undermine it. A new group called the American Security Initiative has spent over $6 million on advertisements criticizing the deal — using money supplied by the Saudi monarchy.
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Well... Maybe it was the US economy all along?
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A half-century ago, America - and then the world - was rocked by a mighty stock-market crash that soon turned into the steepest and longest-lasting depression of all time. Those who ignore the lessons of history are doomed to repeat it - except that now, with gold abandoned and each nation able to print currency ad lib, we are likely to wind up, not with a repeat of 1929, but with something far worse...
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Following the biggest (and only) market correction in years, the biggest weekly surge in the VIX ever, the second wholesale market flash crash in history coupled with the first ever limit down trade in the Nasdaq and the E-Mini, not to mention the biggest intraday bearish reversal since Lehman, it would appear that the "smart money" actually was aptly named.
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Cutting Through The HFT Lies: What Really Happened During The Flash Crash Of August 24, 2015. Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/25/2015 [ So nothing happens .. pure manipulated panic? .. just a virtu of our hedge & mutual funds of our un-bitten neoliberal system ? ]

One of the fallacies being propagated about yesterday's flash crash, is that somehow HFTs came riding in as noble white knights and rescued the market from a collapse instead of actually causing it. This particular lie is worth a few quick observations and explanations of what really happened.
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A stunning 78% of Democrats in New Hampshire view Bernie Sanders favorably in the latest polls. As The Hill reports, Hillary Clinton was viewed favorably by that percentage in April, but that has dropped 15 percentage points among Democrats. With Sanders topping Clinton by a 44 to 37 percent margin (VP Joe Biden garnered 9%), and Trump support among Republicans at 35%, it appears serial lying is not paying off for the Oligarchy (for now)...

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Everyone Has A Plan Until.... Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/25/2015

Every Federal Reserve Chair since 1979 has faced a notable challenge in the first 12-20 months of their tenure – something akin to capital markets “Bullies” hazing the new kid at school. Paul Volcker had the 1979-1980 Iranian oil shock/recession, Alan Greenspan the 1987 Stock Market Crash, and Ben Bernanke the 2007 Financial Crisis. Their responses shaped market perceptions about Federal Reserve priorities and set the stage for the remainder of their tenures, from Inflation-Fighting Volcker to Save-the-World Bernanke. Now, it is Chair Yellen’s turn 

[ Other QE is the road to precipice .. get a Holland’ caw ]
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If the last two weeks have taught us anything at all (other than that a Reg FD violation is called a "scoop" when it involves Jim Cramer and Tim Cook), it’s that China quite clearly matters - and it matters quite a lot.

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With EM in turmoil from Brazil to Malaysia, Bloomberg has mapped the carnage, showing just how many EM equity markets are in or closing in on bear market territory.

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Global markets are puking at the prospect of higher yields in the U.S. There are many reasons for global markets to melt down, but one that doesn't get enough attention is the strong dollar. In effect, global markets are telling the Federal Reserve: don't raise rates--the strong dollar is killing us.
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While the western mainstream media meme is that "this is all China's fault" - despite the fact that the real break happened after the FOMC Minutes last week - Xinhua reports that China central bank blames wide-spread expectations of a Fed rate hike in September for the global market rout... demanding The Fed "remain patient."

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August 24 - A True Market Washout?Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, S- by Tyler Durden on 08/25/2015

It doesn’t happen too often, but occasionally we witness a true stock market “washout”.That is, a selloff marked by extremely one-sided (to the downside) trading action. Such days are exhibited by market participants that just want out at any price. The result is a day in which all market statistics are overwhelming skewed negatively. Such was the case yesterday, August 24. However, considering the selloff began with the major averages near their 52-week highs, a resumption in downside pressure would not be a surprise following whatever type of bounce materializes over the next few days or weeks.
More from Dana Lyons, JLFMI and My401kPro.
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Following today's latest central bank intervention, this time in the long overdue Chinese interest rate cut (which will hardly have a lasting impact on either the economy or stock markets), the S&P correction may prove to be short lived: S&P is poised to open about 4% higher, delivering the latest "Bullard" moment to the S&P, this time courtesy of China. [De Buenos deseos esta sembrado the path to hell ]
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Since 'everything is awesome' once again, it appears holding 'pet rocks' is no longer of any use... Gold futures have been hammered below their 50-day moving-average this morning as the USD rises...

[ with the USD up.. who is going to buy our .. what? .. weapons? .. our clients will get it cheaper .. and our delighted business .. wars.. will be expensive.  Who is going to pay that? .. our nation? … ]
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The 3-month bounce in the Richmond Fed Manufacturing survey... is dead. From 13 in July, August saw it collapse to 0 (massivley missing expectations of a 10 print). This is the biggest absolute drop in the index since May 2006. Across the board, underlying factors crashed with Shipments plunging, New Orders cliff-diving, order backlogs disappearing and Capacity Utilization plunging. This is exactly what we would expect after a massive inventory build up that was not accompanied by a surge in sales... but the pundits stil proclaim "no signs of an imminent US recession."
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GALLUP said is going down .. but the “Conference Board” have ‘confidence’ . See graphs

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Stocks remain green but the pre-open surge on the back of a China rate cut has been erased as USDJPY rolls over...
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Precisely 24 hours ago, in an attempt to pre-empt the panic-selling open, the NYSE invoked the little used Rule 48, which was to be expected: the Nasdaq 100 has just tumbled limit down and the S&P and DJIA would follow shortly. Today, however, it is unclear .. what this means is that mandatory opening indications are not required, which in theory should make it easier to open stocks.

[ They have to pray to the saint of BBG  Read: Europe's Stocks Head for Best Day Since 2011 (BBG) ]
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"I have a gut feel the recent wild swings are a precursor of a more insidious trend... which is definitely not going to be our friend!"
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If yesterday's liquidity was bad enough to precipitate the biggest wholesale market flash crash, including the historic, first-ever "limit down" triggers for all major index futures, then be very careful what you do today because as of this moment E-mini liquidity is even worse than it was yesterday, not to mention at any other point in the past month, at this time of the day.
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Goldman's 3 key reasons for China's "surprise" rate cut: i) Activity growth weakened meaningfully after a brief rebound in 2Q; ii) Outflows re-emerged and drained liquidity; iii) Equity market has been falling very rapidly. The conclusion: "These cuts are positive moves which are much needed to support the economy and market. But they are unlikely to be sufficient by themselves."
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The dual policy rate cut is a desperate attempt to i) free up liquidity, and ii) shore up confidence in the stock market. We suspect the effects may be short lived on both accounts because after all, aggressive easing only fuels further depreciation necessitating further liquidity-sapping FX interventions in a vicious loop, and loose monetary policy likely won’t be much comfort to China’s 90 million retail investors who now, more than ever before, are virtually guaranteed to sell any rip they can get in a desperate attempt to claw back their life savings which they naively poured into stocks back in April and May.

[ 1st: This argument carries a contradiction (aggressive easing only fuels further depreciation necessitating further liquidity) that make it invalid. 2nd . China didn’t create the US problems with their neoliberal system .. and China is not intending to solve it. What they are doing is the right thing .. even the big sharks here accept it: Goldman .. Besides IMF ]
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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/25/2015 - 07:33
  • China’s Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates (WSJ)
  • Chinese Stocks Crash Again to Extend Biggest Plunge Since 1996 (BBG)
  • China cuts rates, reserve ratio to aid economy as stocks sink (Reuters)
  • Wall St. suffers worst day in four years, S&P confirms correction (Reuters)
  • Europe's Stocks Head for Best Day Since 2011 ((BBG)
  • Market turmoil clouds Fed rate outlook (FT)
  • For All Its Heft, China’s Economy Is a Black Box (WSJ)
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  • CHINA PBOC CUTS INTEREST RATES
  • CHINA PBOC CUTS REQUIRED DEPOSIT RESERVE RATIO
  • CHINA PBOC CUTS 1Y DEPOSIT RATE BY 25 BPS
  • CHINA PBOC CUTS 1Y LENDING RATE BY 25 BPS
  • CHINA PBOC CUTS BANKS DEPOSIT RESERVE RATIO BY 50 BPS
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GLOBAL RESEARCH


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE


No, Mr Netanyahu. You do not speak for me.   Jews are quite diverse in their views and a growing number of them are not supporters of Israel or its practices
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Breaking the Fear Factor . By Peter Koenig
The enemy is fear. We think it is hate. But it is fear. Gandhi . We are living in a (western) world dominated by neoliberal dictators, criminals and crooks
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You can see the game that’s being played here. Mom and Pop investors are getting fleeced again
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“Don’t Owe. Won’t Pay.” . Everything You’ve Been Told About Debt Is Wrong. By Charles Eisenstein
With the nation’s household debt burden at $11.85 trillion, even the most modest challenges to its legitimacy have revolutionary implications
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NEWS IN SPANISH


Alai-AmLatina. AMERICA LATINA: DONDE ESTAMOS?. Por Oscar Ugarteche
Reflexiones a partir de la carta de Álvaro García Linera
Alai-AmLatina <alai-amlatina@alai.info>;  Servicio Informativo "Alai-amlatina”

La anunciadísima desaceleración económica del 2014-15 ha llegado con los previsibles signos de malestar social en toda América latina. La mala noticia es que, como sabíamos, los precios de las materias primas pasaron por un ciclo que esta vez estuvo muy amañado por el sector financiero que hizo que subiera a niveles record para luego caer como piedra. Las multas de esto suman 300,000 millones de dólares en los dos últimos años, por las intervenciones criminales de 9 bancos entre el 2008 y 2012. Toda la teoría del crecimiento exportador se acaba de ir a la basura junto con todo el aparato político de que los TLC serían la salida al estancamiento de los años 80 y 90. También se fue a la basura el discurso de que los tipos de cambio estaban blindados por el altísimo nivel de reservas internacionales.  [Siga leyendo: … ]

Mas información: http://alainet.org
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[ Es Tsipras Socialista o NO? Los socialistas no siguen las consignas del Partido .. siguen lo que decide el pueblo y sus referéndums … Lo veremos cuando se de la consulta popular?. I que si el pueblo quiere sufrir con austeridad la cárcel de UE .. De ser asi es porque no ven alternativa o mejor cárcel .. Es decir: No hubo liderazgo socialista que les cambie esa falsa conciencia?.. Si el trabajo ideológico es lo que define a un socialista .. TSIPRAS NO LO FUE. Su victoria o derrota en la nueva consulta popular NO ES NI SERA la derrota ni victoria del socialismo .. es la derrota/victoria  de un impostor. ]
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Bolivia. -El dilema de Bolivia. Ariel Noyola Rodríguez
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Chile. La sociedad del miedo. Aldo Torres Baeza
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Ecuador. -Análisis de coyuntura:  Ecuador, crisis politica. Carlos Guevara
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[ Bien lo dice la autora de este Art: Sanders es la expresión política del movimiento Occupy. Es por tanto la voz de los de abajo. No es solo un candidato del Partido Demócrata, es mucho mas que eso. Nosotros los Latinos y muchos negros lo apoyamos. En general.. toda la izquierda blanca lo apoya .. desde Richard Wolff .. hasta Noam Chomsky .. pasando por muchos otros. .. El problema es que aun asi .. no tendría la fuerza para derrotar el poder del dinero, el de la mafias aristocráticas de los Clinton-Bush y el payaso adinerado D.Trump .. 
Se requiere por tanto crear un FRENTE POPULAR y se me ocurre que la única forma de UNIDAD posible es unir al liberal republicano -que tampoco es solo republicano- es mucho mas que eso pues representa lo mejor de la juventud republicana, me refiero a Rand Paul, el hijo de Ron Paul. SI SANDERS-PAUL se unen y lideran el FRENTE POPULAR por la reconstruc de America .. si se puede vencer el poder de las mafias aristocráticas. .. 
Como hacer para ponerlos juntos? .. Que sean Chomsky, Wolff y otros connotados académicos quienes organizen y llamen eventos de Unidad con una plataforma breve que resuma los puntos similares -no las diferencias- y de forma clara a fin de capturar la juventud y a las clases trabajadoras .. Urge crear una 3ra alternativa (the third choice) para que exista democracia en este pais y representación proporcional de la minorías en todas las instancias del Federal y los Estados de la Nacion .  Si esos notables academicos e intelectuales del pais no hacen nada por crear una democracia  realmente existente en el este pais.. PARA QUE SIRVEN? ]


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