WHAT IS MY OPINION ON ALL THIS INTERNATIONAL MESS?

WHAT IS MY OPINION ON ALL THIS INTERNATIONAL MESS?

A preliminary critique to Brandom Smith thesis.

By Hugo Adan, August 18, 2014

http://nd-hugoadan.blogspot.com/

1- He endorses financial determinism: the financial elite control and explain revolutions, counter-revls, involutions and current stagnation. Rusia and China revls  was financed by bankers of the west and they are now controlled by their financial oligarchies and so, subordinated to the western’s empires.  There is not way to get out from them, the world is condemned to be subordinated to their international org like IMF, WB and WTO, no way to escape from them. The IMF has designed the new world currency, the SDR, Russia and China are in favor of a banquet of main currencies if they have gold back and commercial networks. The SDR will replace the dollar as main currency for international trade and Bank’s reserve. The days of the dollars are counted not because Russia wanted or China or the BRICS, but because a new development of capitalism (K) demand it. Current K is in crisis and urgently need changes to new financial structure that will be a new order after the current chaos. There are only two ways of achieving the change toward new K: war or peace meal transition, that implies radical decentralization and new types of federalizacion. If war, the rapid reconstruction will require new Breton Woods deal, a deal with the financial elites (the oligarchies) of the countries who will win WW3. In BS (Brandon Smith) view, there is a hidden hope: that America will be  the winner  of WW3. A new US centralized colonialist order will emerge. This is in short all his doctrine.

CRITIQUES:

A- Financing is only one element of the political-economy, an element that is subordinated & depends on the external environment of the whole system. In the whole system there are other parts to be considered, among them the blocks in favor and against the dominant elite in power. Other factors besides K and Labor, are Tech devmt; information control; & State-private control of material resource in the country or the region. Economy and politics evolves hand on hand and these are open systems –since the time of Bertalanffy and his principles of “General System Theory” adopted in America since the 1960s by Parson, Merton and others- economy and politics can be closed for brief periods of time, otherwise they decay and became obsolete. Brandon Smith ‘ reductionism has nothing to do with contingency views of organizations and management in the current world.

B- It is true that K financiers came to Russia since 1921 (NEP period) but it doesn’t mean that they control de rev. It only means that K needs to move in order to get profits and as long as communism does not attack the finances of big corpts, nor break the rules of the deal. Both need each other and It happens yesterday as it happens today. Russian aims were and are totally different from the aims of K financiers and if they make deals it doesn’t mean that their objectives have to disappear. We live in a time of multiple choices and competitions and “long live la difference” is the rule of the game today.  The colonialist view of one centralized dominant system is obsolete. When a system became obsolete in the world environment, other systems will emerge, that is law in history. Brandon Smith assumes that the financier elite will remain forever, that is simple a naïve view of History.

C- Saying that the days of the dollar are counted is true, but it doesn’t mean that the dollar will vanish in North of America, including MX and some in central America if zero debt is the rule; it only means that it won’t be the dominant currency of the world for trading and bank reserves. To keep the current dollar is impossible and a war –in any cost-benefit analysis- will aggravate the current debacle. Wars in a nuclear era means disintegration of the whole multiple systems now emerging, -a whole in which dollars can compete and survive regionally- it doesn’t mean that people -if survive the nuclear devastation- will abandon the aim of multiple systems coexistence. It only means that the whole world will demand compensation for the damage causes by the uses of military might in a type of Nurenberg trial, so the standing up of America in the after war it will be very difficult. The most probable effect will be the disintegration of the Union and the adoption of different currencies with different financier org.

D- Order after chaos and war, doesn’t make sense. If nuclear devastation comes, there won’t be winners. We all lose and mostly the current rules of the neo-colonialist order. Order after chaos without war, is a totally different thing. It implies that the IMF, WB, WTO & UN+ICC have to be radically changed, it is a world-wide demand. We are now in this transition and if we see the dynamic of the current financial (currency war included), political and military affairs, we Americans are by far the losers. It will be worse if nuclear war comes. 


E- There is not order if nuclear war comes. The current uprising in Ferguson, Missouri indicates so, the explosive inequality and exclusions will explode in the whole country in the aftermath of a nuclear war, if comes. Now the rebellion happens because one teenager was brutally kill, later will be because thousands of our troops will be killed in many of the military stations we have worldwide. And if we use “the right” to first strike, the immediate response is already set and many cities in the US will be wiped out, as well as London, Riyadh, Israel, Qatar and Poland. There is no way to escape from nuclear retaliation. The same will happens in Russia and China, not winners at all.   

Besides NO US war outside was won during a recession time.  During the WWI America was already at the top of economic development. When we intervene in the WWII we also got the 7 year of blooming economy after the New Deal of FD Roosevelt. Now we are in a deep crisis, our economic and political system is unsustainable. 

F- Our task is to get out from the electoral trap, that is, voting for the same oligarchy who finance democrats and republicans. If we are unable to create a NATIONAL FRONT for American reconstruction, a real 3rd choice, the winner in the coming election will be absenteeism. If so, the legitimacy of new puppets of current financiers, won’t solve any problem, instead we will have more uncertainty, crisis & debacle. If a third choice is introduced and win the election, the chances for reconstructing the US will be ad-portas.

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SOURCES:

Besides the document below, I have read False East/West Paradigm Hides The Rise Of Global Currency and Russia Is Dominated By Global Banks, Too.

Here the referred article under critique plus the intro by zerohedge

ORDER OUT OF CHAOS: THE DOCTRINE THAT RUNS THE WORLD 08/15/2014 Placed in zerohedge.com by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market blog  If you don’t understand the concept of “order out of chaos,” then you’ll never understand a thing. Each supposed disintegration of global unity has eventually led to greater centralization, and this is something the skeptics seem to forget. The progression of crises suggests that the next war will lead to total globalization under the dominance of a minority of elitists posing as "wise men" who only wish to bring peace and harmony to the masses. In the meantime, the skeptics will continue to mindlessly debate in the face of all reason that the whole thing was a fluke, an act of random mathematical chance, leading coincidentally to the one thing the establishment rulers crave: total global totalitarian micromanagement. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-08-15/order-out-chaos-doctrine-runs-world

Better this extract :

If you don’t understand the concept of “order out of chaos,” then you’ll never understand a thing. For example, the globalists at the IMF have been discussing the establishment of a global basket currency for years to replace the U.S. dollar. Russia and the East have also, conveniently, been calling for the IMF to replace the dollar with their Special Drawing Rights basket (SDR).

And finally, as well as conveniently, the elites in the U.S. government have launched a controlled coup in Ukraine and initiated direct economic confrontation with Russia, thereby giving the East the perfect excuse to dump the U.S. dollar as world reserve and replace it with a basket currency system under the IMF. Despite claims that Vladimir Putin is “anti-globalist,” the Russian is in fact an avid supporter of the IMF, and has stated his goal is to continue Russia’s IMF membership in a larger capacity: "BRICS case in point: we see a whole set of coinciding strategic interests. First of all, this is the common intention to reform the international monetary and financial system. In the present form it is unjust to the BRICS countries and to new economies in general. We should take a more active part in the IMF and the World Bank’s decision-making system. The international monetary system itself depends a lot on the US dollar, or, to be precise, on the monetary and financial policy of the US authorities. The BRICS countries want to change this."

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