martes, 28 de agosto de 2012

MIDDLE EAST TWO STORIES ONE REALITY

MIDDLE EAST TWO STORIES ONE REALITY
By Hugo Adan , August 28 2012

Story # 1.

THIS IS WHY BASHAR AL-ASSAD’S SYRIA WILL NOT FALL

Orient Tendencies
by by Ghaleb Kandil. 26 August 2012
http://www.voltairenet.org/This-is-why-Bashar-al-Assad-s

“The month of Ramadan will witness the fall of the resisting regime in Syria. These illusions have once again collapsed on the battlefield where the armed gangs suffered the fall of thousands of dead, wounded and detainees. .. the death squads, mercenaries and Takfiri groups introduced from all parts of the world suffered a crushing defeat at the level of the battles.”… “the comprehensive attack launched by the extremists against Damascus ended with massive losses.” … “the Syrian army that is pursuing the remnants on the outskirts of the capital. As a result, tons of weapons were confiscated and the heavy infrastructure of the armed groups was dismantled and destroyed, which will require months to reconstruct if the armed groups are ever able to do so.” … “the supply lines of the mercenaries who came from the training camps led by the CIA in Turkey. Consequently, the armed gangs can no longer deliver reinforcements without having to pay a hefty price.”… “According to experts, one third of the extremist groups are composed of jihadists who have come from the Arab Maghreb, Libya, the Gulf, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Chechnya. …”It is clear that the Syrian army’s cleansing of the city of Aleppo and its countryside is now a mere question of time.”

THE FACTS

THE SYRIAN PEOPLE’S STATE OF MIND HAS CHANGED. Without real popular backup President Bashar al-Assad and his army would not have been able to resist and deter this attack. This popular support is due to three factors (I would say four factors).

First, the majority of the Syrians are aware of the fact that their country is targeted by a plot aiming at subjugating Syria to include it in the Western imperialistic camp and consequently remove it from all the regional equations, knowing that during these last four decades, Syria has been at the heart of the balances of power and that nothing could be done in the Middle East without its knowledge and participation. This explain why thousands of young people are volunteering to join the army’s ranks.

Second, 20% of the public -which at some point sympathized with the opposition- discovered the real face of the extremists who are multiplying their savageries in the regions under their control (rape, executions, massacres, pillaging…). This affected the popular mood, especially in the rural areas. The Syrian state has put in place discreet communication means allowing the population to inform the army about the presence of terrorists, which would explain how and why during these last few weeks, the special units and the air force were able to successfully carry out well designed strikes against the bases of the armed gangs.

Third. The state has developed diplomatic initiatives with Russia, China, India , nine arab countries and Latin America, and South African States to create a new balance of power and dismantle the US-NATO project of establishing –outside the context of the United Nations- a no-fly zone in the northern part of Syria. The US-Nato allies can continue do so by they will do it at the expenses of their own population resistance and defiance.

Fourth. The international balance of power is not in favor of more US-NATO wars and the victory of State sovereignty in Damascus has set the mood for global resistance against the imperial power lead by the US. The success of the No aligned countries in Teheran goes in the same direction.

PERSPECTIVES: there should either be recognition of the impossibility to introduce change at the level of Syria’s geography and should be preparations for serious negotiations for peace and for political solutions without war escalation. Or war escalation that will drain the economy of the super-power nations, and Nato allies. This option for sure will lead the world to atomic devastation.

I do not think European nations will accept this option, is more likely that they will quit NATO as soon as the escalation of war hit the oil and gas flow from Saudi, Kuwait and emirates to the west. The escalation of war will affect the map of the Middle East.

First, Israel expansionism will be deterred and pressed to return the land stolen to Palestine and to other neighbors countries. They will demand that Israel should respect the border lines set by the UN in 1948.
Second, because if Israel continue their bulling and misuses of power against neighboring countries (and thread of using nuclear bombs against Iran) Israel will put at risk their own existence. What was said by Sayyed Nasrallah from Lebanon will be said by other countries with real power. (Hezbollah cannot destroy Israel but can make the lives of a million Zionists a living hell. Pierre Khalaf: The new sophisticated missiles of the Lebanese resistance).


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Story #2

SYRIA WAR TIPPING MIDEAST BALANCE TOWARD SUNNIS

By HAMZA HENDAWI | Associated Press – Sat, Aug 18, 2012
http://news.yahoo.com/syria-war-tipping-mideast-balance-toward-sunnis-190815332.html

The distortion of reality from this journalist of AP is intending to cover up the maneuvers of Israel and US NATO allies in the region: divide and conquer. Hendawi play with the story-tell of ethnic-religious conflict between Sunnis vs Shias to explain what is going on in the Middle East: they are trying to get “a balance of power”, is his thesis. So, we should welcome and be happy with the destruction of Syria and the defeat of Assad.

The fact is that mercenaries brought and trained Israel and NATO allies are been defeated in Syria and is a matter of days the wipe out of terrorists from Alepoo, said Ghaleb Kandil. To me, there is still a chance for Israel-Nato allies to divide Alepoo and create another wall for ethnic cleansing as they did in the Palestinian territory if and only if, Russia make clear to the suni-jihadist to get out from Syria and Irak and create an autonomous democratic (though non-separated from Syria) in Alepoo. Otherwise Russia and China will continue given them free-tickets to heaven, just what the jihadist wanted.

If the war continues in the middle East the defeat of NATO is at portas. Hendawi thesis has nothing to do with reality. The real fact is the intention of NATO allies to get the oil from Iran and hit China-Russian block of power. They used the ethnic-religious division of Muslim to plunder the oil in Irak and Libya, but the Nato allies fell into a trap and they cannot control their outputs of war. Israel was the only beneficiary of this correlation of forces.

Now that strategy is unsustainable for either the US and for Israel and the rest of allies. Now it is either a pact of peace based on new realities or the escalation of this war could lead to the atomic devastation and the wipe-out of Israel from the map.

The maniqueal thesis that manipulating differences among the muslims will favor Israel can only be based on lies (like saying that “the Sunni-led rebellion could bring down Syrian President Bashar Assad's regime, dominated by members of the Shiite offshoot sect of Alawites”). The ones who design, finance and train foreign mercenaries were Israelits, American, British and other europeans from NATO. They lead the armed rebelion and kidnapped Syrian pacific resistance against the regimen. The same model used in Libya was used here in Syria.

Only the Zionists in Israel and hteir agents in MOSSAD believe in such naïve tactic. They injected in the Jewish population the schizophrenic paranoia that only dividing the neighbors can Israel survive in the mid of Muslim countries. The sunis in Saudi Arabia now love Israel for reasons of convenience. That is not real love. It can be changed overnight if the current ruler is deposted.

So better the Zionist accommodate to the idea that their survival depends on respecting international laws and this implies the returning of the land stolen from bneighborn couintries under the auspicies of the super-power US. The fact is that the demise of this empire is at portas and is not good idea barking to a ghost tree.

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