NOV 15 2021 ND SIT ECON y POL Part 1 & P 2
ND denounce-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco
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Our Neoliberal system collapsed:
Even The WSJ Admits The Market Is Now Betting On A Fed Policy-Error
"The market might be smarter than any one forecaster or the Federal Reserve when it comes to where rates are going."
The last few weeks have seen the US Treasury yield curve flatten dramatically, suggesting The Fed's 'delayed liftoff' and longer-term normalization narrative is anything but written in stone.
See Chart:
UST 5S 30S Yield Spread
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmE476_0.jpg?itok=MFozdsfk
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While the 'Dot-Plot' only indicates 'Longer-Term' rate indications, if we consider 'long-term' to be five years from now, then the market is implying a 3-month interest rate of rates will be in 2024.
See Chart:
Implied Fed Funds Target Rate
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm529A.jpg?itok=A85kr3eS
So, accepting that there is a lot of grist to be milled between then and now, the market would seem to suggest that The Fed will re-engage QE somewhere between 2024 and 2026
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SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/even-wsj-admits-market-now-betting-fed-policy-error
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ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics
Quick Nws 1:
U.S. Economy Is "Irreversibly Broken" And "Staggeringly Corrupt"
This is Part 2 of an exclusive interview with Doomberg
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Quick New 2:
What's Coming Will Be Worse Than 2008. Here's Why...
In 2005/ 2006 the Fed was in a much better position to combat a collapsing economy/ financial crisis.
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Back to:
ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Michael Burry Nukes His Portfolio, Exits All Bearish Positions
The search for the next "big short" continues, so far without much success.
Up until now, "the big short" Michael Burry was best known for periodically and inexplicably nuking his twitter account, then promptly restoring it a few days later. We can now add his investment portfolio to the list of things the famous subprime shorter tends to nuke every now and then.
As a reminder, two quarters ago Burry's 13F caused a stir across trading desks when the "Big Short" revealed a major Tesla put, which with nominal value of $534 million and representing just over 800K underlying shares, was Burry's largest position in Q1.
Another notable, and perhaps uncharacteristic, position was Burry's substantial bullish bet on FAAMG giants Alphabet and Facebook, where Scion owned a little over $160 million in Call premium, or an equivalent of 80,000 shares of GOOGL and 550,000 shares of FB.
Fast-forwarding three months, we found another big surprise in Scion Asset Management's second quarter 13F: a big bearish bet against one of Wall Street's biggest bubble chasers - Cathie Wood.
See Chart:
Bubble Basket
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bubble%20basket.jpg?itok=iNSH2p1t
Wood and Ark have struggled to maintain their momentum this year, amid concerns about lofty valuations and accelerating inflation. But just as importantly, despite Burry's aggressive short against Ark, the stock has gone nowhere in the past 6 months, trading in a narrow range between $110 and $130, leading to put-holders' death by a thousand theta cuts as the stock refused to drop.
Besides Ark and Tesla, Burry added to many of his positions from last quarter, bumping his Facebook Call position by 71%, while also adding modestly to his Alphabet calls.
Continue reading and go to my assumed:
Conclusion
Since it is unlikely that any of the above bearish bets proved to be extremely lucrative, we can safely say that Burry's hunt for the next "big short" continues, so far unsuccessfully, and if the recent catastrophic experience from Russell Clark is any indication (as a reminder, the former CIO of Horseman Global just announced he would shutter his bearish hedge fund after being redeemed out of the industry), Burry should probably be careful that he doesn't follow in Clark's footsteps..
SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-burry-nukes-his-portfolio-exits-all-bearish-positions
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Stocks & Bonds Dump, Dollar Pumps As Breakevens Soar
by Tyler Durden
"transitory..."
The most notable aspect of today's trading was the ongoing hawkish tilt being priced-in by STIRs, now expecting at least one rate-hike by July 2022...
See Chart:
Market Implied # of Rates-hike by End of July 2022
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmCFD0_1.jpg?itok=MkKmQjRr
TSLA was down over 20% from its highs today (back below $1000) before the sudden mysterious buying ramp occurred (exactly like we saw last week when Musk was dumping shares)...
See Chart:
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2021-11-15_12-42-50.jpg?itok=0BObP80q
And it felt like, as Tesla, so the rest of the bubble markets went today...
Treasury yields were higher across the board today with the curve notably steeper (30Y +7bps, 2Y +1bps). The selling wave hit around 0830ET and continued until the EU close for the long-end...
See Chart:
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm5239.jpg?itok=nPfdMt-R
The 30Y Yield broke back above 2.00% (but remains below the Fed Taper Day highs)...
See Chart:
UST 30Y Yield
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmB446.jpg?itok=biDOCO9E
US Breakevens surged higher again today, to fresh record highs...
See Chart:
US 5Y Breakevens
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfmAD86_0.jpg?itok=4VEHdd6b
Additionally, the US inflation expectations are accelerating faster than other Developed Economies...
See Chart:
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm8249.jpg?itok=F_A_AYhA
Interestingly, IG credit saw a huge outflow last week from one of its largest ETFs...
See Chart:
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm9BBA.jpg?itok=DgCUnT07
Investors withdrew a net $1.49 billion from the IShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (ticker LQD) in a single session, the biggest one-day decrease since April 1. The outflow reduced the fund’s assets by 3.9 percent to $36.8 billion, the lowest level in at least a year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg
Crypto pumped'n'dumped today.
Bitcoin ramped up above $66,000 overnight before slumping back and finding support at $64,000...
See Chart:
Bitcoin
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm9D29.jpg?itok=lcbACyuu
Gold managed gains on the day, despite the dollar's strength, rebounding from an earlier selling wave..
See Chart:
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2021-11-15_11-37-00.jpg?itok=fIueohHm
Oil prices staged a decent comeback today after WTI fell back below $80 once again...
See Chart:
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2021-11-15_12-03-14.jpg?itok=OdJdu5J_
Finally, if this morning’s move in the S&P 500 Index holds into the close, the equity index will rack up its 22nd day with a move of less than 1% in either direction, a streak not seen in more than 22 months. The tranquility of the S&P 500 is in contrast to small caps or the Nasdaq 100 Index, which have posted at least six days with bigger moves during that time.
The equity market looks calm as the S&P 500 Index enters the third week of the month -- when most equity options expire. That event has repeatedly shaken up stocks this year. While history is not always a trustworthy guide, the S&P 500 has posted a 1% move (in either direction) in six of the past eight op-ex weeks, data compiled by Bloomberg show. But, for now, as SpotGamma notes, the options market (risk-reversals) are highly complacent:
See Chart:
25 Delta : 30 days Risk Reversal: Complacent vs Concerned
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/2021-11-15_11-40-23.jpg?itok=2LPEtYYB
This shows the price of a slightly out-of-the-money call against an equivalent put and its recent rise suggests traders have little concern with current markets. This metric is not just a barometer of traders risk view, but does suggest that the vanna tailwind (i.e. selling implied volatility to buy S&P500) has lost its force indicating perhaps less impulsive gains from here in the short-term.
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SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bonds-dump-dollar-pumps-breakevens-soar
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US DOMESTIC POLITICS
Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption.
This Prosecutor is against US Constitution: it guarantees our right to H guns for self defense
Are you paying attention yet?
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One Dr proved that masks damage our health but is useful to stop contamination IF..
"...your rules suck,” adding “I hope you all go to jail for doing this to me..."
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I totally disagree with the terrorist threat of prison for kids.
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Time to get out from oil if we want a clean environment. Our health-life is at stake
Biden's Baffling Oil Policy Faces Backlash From All Sides
If demand continues to grow at the current pace, switching from pragmatism to energy transition will continue to be a challenge...
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Looting as stealing is a big habit of millionaires. Looting as trashing in pub place is common
In Some Parts Of America, Looting Has Become A Way Of Life
The level of lawlessness that we are now witnessing in the United States of America is absolutely breathtaking..
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The worse of Trump is that he sees politics as business to enrich politicians
Trump Organization Selling Rights To Its Washington D.C. Old Post Office Hotel For $375 Million
The buyer plans on removing the Trump name and converting the property to a Hilton Waldorf Astoria.
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His service to capital (banks & big Corp) is astonishing : he create the big division of US
In an interview with the Doomberg collective, they explain how Powell is sitting squarely in the way of the path to MMT, and this is why he's tenure is likely over.
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Distraction? The loss of humanity in European countries is at stake. Neo-nazism is back
US Calls Belarus Migrant Crisis "Distraction" From Ukraine, Threatens Fresh Russia Sanctions
Biden admin & NATO continue hyping "Russian invasion" of Ukraine threat...
US-WORLD ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis, D rest in limbo
US-CH USELESS DIALOG?:
...suggested the U.S. "abandon the zero-sum game mindset, uphold a fair and nondiscriminatory business environment..."
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UN didn’t create climate crisis. Big Nation play lottery with world future. Wars agravate
Did COP26's "Humiliating Failure" Mark The Beginning Of The End Of UN's Climate Crisis Agenda?
...the writing is now on the wall. Developing countries around the world are standing up and refusing to cut back on fossil fuels..
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They don’t want to publish the effects of war-drills & war-conflicts in the deterioration of our environment. To them the old issue ‘gas emision’ is the only factor that count (even when they did nothing to stop it) See a chart:
“This shows just how out of touch we are with reality. Living in his little bubble, he seems to think the rest of the world shares his obsession with climate change.
But as the Climate Action tracker reaffirms, emissions will carry on growing, despite the new plans submitted to COP26”:
See Chart:
2030 Emissions GAP
Conclusion:
The end of the road.
In my view, we have seen the beginning of the end for the UN’s climate agenda.
There will no doubt be many more COPs to come. And there will be annual warnings from Prince Charles that we have 12 more months to save the planet.
But the writing is now on the wall. Developing countries around the world are standing up and refusing to cut back on fossil fuels, because they know they have no alternative if they want to grown their economies and give their people a better life.
They have got off the Climate Train.
So should we.
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SPUTNIK NEWS : https://sputniknews.com/
- 'Clown': Trump Bashes 'Backbencher' Alyssa Farah After Ex-Aide Touts Pence as Possible 2024 Hopeful
- US Natural Gas Prices Unlikely to Rise as Supply Market Balances
- NASA Auditor Reveals US Won't Be Making Lunar Return for 'Several Years'
- Biden-Harris Admin Clearly Experiencing 'Less Unity' - GOP Strategist
- Xi-Biden Meeting Kicks Off With Global Leaders Voicing Need for Strong Partnership
- Mexican Gov't Impedes Foreign Investment in Energy Sector Fearing Exploitation
- OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs Urge Armenia, Azerbaijan to Take De-escalation Steps
- Anti-Gov’t Protests at Cuba’s DC Emb Heavily Outnumber by US Supporters of Havana
- Assange's Father: Would Be 'Honorable' for France to Offer Asylum to WikiLeaks Founder
- 'It's Official, Biden Signs $1 Trillion Infrastructure Bill Into Law
- US Preparing Follow-Up Sanctions on Belarus After EU Restrictions
- US Midterm Elections: Eight Key Senate Races to Watch
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NOV 15 2021 PART 2 ND SIT EC y POL SPANISH ++
REBELION
CH: La China de Xi Jinping, triunfalismo y nubarrones de tormenta EM
BRA: Bolsonaro: depredad de Brasil y el mundo H L
BOL: En crisis, ante nueva escalad violent y golpista V Z
COP26: Países ricos traicionan a los más vulnerables ER
ARG-Elecciones legislativas Ganar perdiendo
Economía mundial: Riesgo de una grave tormenta JTL
Pto Rico ¿Estamos dispuestos a mirarnos en un espejo? JN M
Guatem: Paro plurinacional por Proceso de Asamblea Constituyente
Perú Delincuencia social F D Ramos
ARG: 200 rondas para quebrar silenci sobre agrotóxicos, basta S M
ARG: Más litio y megaminería extrac contami en norte argentino
BRA: El golpe contra la bolsa familia Emir Sader
Chile: 12 de Nov. días en que Piñera pudo caer y la oposic lo salvó
Cuba: LE Aybar: La ruta de las creencias.
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RT EN ESPAÑOL
Biden pide que el lio entre US y China "no se desvíe hacia el conflicto" https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/410453-joe-biden-llama-garantizar-competencia-eeuu-china
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Perú: Castillo acepta la renuncia del ministro de Defensa acusado de ascensos ilegales https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/410432-gobierno-peru-aceptar-renuncia-ministro-defensa
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Bolivar digital y cómo funciona la nueva dinámica económica en Venezuela? https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/410034-nueva-dinamica-economica-venezuela-bolivar-digital
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Desmontando la hipocresía inhumana de la UE en Bielorrusia. Deben aceptar migrantes https://actualidad.rt.com/opinion/luis-gonzalo-segura/410405-desmontando-hipocresia-europea-bielorrusia-crisis-migratoria
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La ultraderecha irrumpe en el Congreso argentino: ¿cómo crecieron tan rápido? https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/410372-ultraderecha-irrupcion-congreso-argentino-quienes-como
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Confirman hallazgo de cadáveres de director y oficiales de la Policía del Mun-MX de Loreto https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/410441-confirman-hallazgo-cuerpos-director-dos-policias-mexicano-secuestrados
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Cuba vuelve a la normalidad tras vacunar más del 76 % de la población https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/410426-cuba-reabrir-escuelas-fronteras
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US Reporta que el creador de bitcóin podría ser desenmascarad en juicio d Florida https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/410395-creador-bitcoin-satoshi-nakamoto-juicio-florida
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El nuevo caza furtivo ruso es Checkmate al US por su versión no tripulada https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/410383-video-rusia-muestra-caza-checkmate
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CROSS TALK https://www.rt.com/shows/crosstalk/
US scolds Russia for wargames while arming Ukraine (Full show)
US State Sec Antony Blinken expressed “concern” about the Russian soldiers, tanks and other military equipment amassed near its border with Ukraine. Meanwhile, Washington has pledged millions of dollars to provide more arms to Ukraine, to whom it has already sent about 80,000 more kilos of ammunition.
SOURCE: https://www.rt.com/shows/news-on-rt-america/540368-us-scolds-russia-for-wargames/
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars from US-NATO allies
- Lukashenko’s Threats to Cut Gas Supplies to Europe, Goes Also Against Russian Interests By Paul Antonopoulos
- The COP26 Deforestation Pledge Alone Won’t Save the Congo Basin By Camilla Barungi
- Jellyfish Attack Nuclear Power Plants. Again and Again. By Susan D’Agostino
- Saving Capitalism or Saving the Planet? By Colin Todhunter
- Making Another ISIS in Afghanistan. ISIS-K in Khorasan Province By Bradley Devlin
-Vacc terror: People Who Don’t Get Vacc Will be “Miserable” and “Lonely” for Life
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DEMOCRACY NOW
Amy Goodman’ team
- Glasgow Pact Slammed for Betraying the Global Poor Who Suffer Most from the Climate Emergency
- Indigenous Amazonian Leader: We Must End Fossil Fuel Extraction to Protect the “Lungs of the Earth”
- “Blackness Itself Is the Crime”: Rev. William Barber on Racism in the Ahmaud Arbery Murder Trial
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