jueves, 5 de agosto de 2021

Aug 5 2021 ND SIT EC y POL Part 1 & Part 2

Aug 5 2021  ND SIT EC y POL  Part 1 & Part 2

ND denounce-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

 

 

ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS

Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

 

JULY PAYROLLS PREVIEW: 1 MILLION OR BUST

                by Tyler Durden

The whisper number is over 1 million, and anything in that range will spark immediate debate of a Fed taper announcement in just 3 weeks...

July's jobs report will shape expectations of when the Fed will announce, and then start, the process of tapering its asset purchases.

That said, whether he wanted to or not, Fed Governor Christopher Waller set up the market to expect a big payrolls print on Friday morning, when he said earlier this week that if July jobs report shows a gain of 1 million workers and there is close to another million next month, the labor force will have recovered 85% of the losses suffered during the pandemic setting up the stage for "substantial further progress" - as defined by Jerome Powell last week - and for a Jackson Hole taper announcement.

And while Big Data employment measures tracked by Goldman were mixed in July (more below), continuing jobless claims declined significantly in states that are ending UI top-ups early (as noted before).

See Chart:

Continue claims in regular state program have declined by more in states ending benefits early

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/continued%20claims%20gs_0.jpg?itok=PQmkhJcV

 

Goldman also expects a roughly 150k boost from fewer end-of-year layoffs in the education sector, and notes that the nonfarm seasonal hurdle eases considerably in July.

Arguing for a better-than -expected jobs report:

  • Reopening. Despite the rebound in Covid infection rates, business restrictions have continued to ease, as illustrated by the further downtrend in Goldman's Effective Lockdown Index during both June and July.  Goldman also notes continued strength in dining activity in states where the Delta variant is spreading more rapidly (seatings across Florida, Missouri, and Nevada are still above pre-crisis levels, see dotted line). US leisure and hospitality employment has lagged the spring pickup in dining activity, consistent with a drag from labor supply constraints in those months—and introducing scope for catch-up in the July report.

See Exhibit 1:

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/gs%20july%20survey%20week.jpg?itok=2ZLSGN2M

Continue reading at:

SOURCE:  https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/july-payrolls-preview-1-million-or-bust

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HOWARD MARKS: "WE ARE IN AN EVERYTHING BUBBLE" 

"It's like with your kids. As a parent we can't be afraid of our kids tantrums. The Fed can't be afraid of investors' tantrums. The Fed has to do the right thing for the economy. It's job is not to make money for investors."

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DOUG CASEY ON CURRENCY DEBASEMENT AND CULTURAL DEGRADATION

You can tell a lot about the quality of

a country by the quality of its currency...

Doug Casey: In ancient pre-industrial societies—just like today—you became wealthy by producing more than you consume and saving the difference.

One of the best things about money is that it allows an individual to set aside capital, the product of his labor, in a form that retains value.

Rome provides a meaningful long-term template. The Roman government, in search of revenue, started debasing the denarius under Nero in the 1st century, taking it from 90% silver to 75%. As late as the reign of Marcus Aurelius, which ended in 180, the denarius was still about 75% silver. By the end of the 3rd century, it was pot metal that was simply plated with silver.

Currency inflation creates chaos, whether in a relatively primitive economy like that of the Romans—where there was still a lot of barter. Once the rulers found they couldn’t depreciate the currency anymore, direct taxes went up substantially, but it became hard to collect them simply because the currency had no value. The soldiers didn’t like being paid with worthless tokens. This is why after the reign of Aurelius, the next century was a time of civil wars and general chaos. There was no new construction of roads or public buildings.

Is Rome a distant mirror to today’s West? It’s entirely possible, even likely.

See Chart:

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/silver-content.png?itok=ZbRh_Sld

 

International Man: What parallels can be made today with the US in terms of monetary debasement and overall degradation?

Doug Casey: The parallels are very direct. We can just look at the pictures on the coins.

Continue reading at:

SOURCE:  https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/doug-casey-currency-debasement-and-cultural-degradation

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US  DOMESTIC POLITICS

Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption.

 

VICTOR DAVIS HANSON ON THE DEMOCRATS' VACCINE WEAPONIZATION  

The Biden Administration should look in the mirror

before casting stones at others...

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"I'M NOT TRUSTING THE GOVERNMENT" - NEW YORKERS EXPLAIN WHY THEY REFUSE TO GET VAXXED 

"There's not enough information about its long-lasting effects..."

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Chance of delta infection depends on your immune system. How to make it strong?

"FOR THE SAKE OF THE KIDS" - CHICAGO TEACHERS UNION THREATENS NO IN-PERSON EDUCATION DUE TO "IMMEDIATE THREAT" OF DELTA 

"...we look forward to continued negotiations regarding the safety and long-term success of our students and their families..."

….

Mask at School & how to make strong your immune Syst should be the main concern of Chicago State’ teacher Un, instead of cutting “in person Education” .  

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ILLINOIS' GOV. PRITZKER STRIPS SCHOOL DISTRICTS, PARENTS OF CONTROL OVER MASKS WITH NEW MANDATE

“Far too few school districts have chosen to follow the federal CDC prescriptions for keeping students and staff safe...”

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Fascism?  One more cut to your freedom: to see adult movies in your house

'PRIVACY COMPANY' APPLE PLANS TO MONITOR ALL US IPHONES FOR EVIDENCE OF CHILD PORN

While law enforcement is likely to celebrate the new surveillance tool, privacy experts warn that the decision could have unintended consequences...

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US-WORLD  ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)

Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis, D rest in limbo

 

ISRAEL CONDUCTS BIGGEST AIRSTRIKES ON LEBANON SINCE 2006

Major flare-up after 3 rockets fired from Lebanese side of border..

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IF sell-buy don’t work, the Economy dies. It is up to the buyer to select the item.  

"We Haven't Seen This In More Than 30 Years" - Shipping Rates From China To US Hit Record $20,000 With No Drop In Sight

Those looking for signs of transitory inflation are advised to not look at the latest container data, which contrary to many commodities tracked by Wall Street, resolutely refuses to turn lower.

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IF not China Is RU the one to be blamed, with whatever stupid pretext to star WW3

1 MILLION US & GLOBAL CREDIT CARD NUMBERS DUMPED ONLINE BY "RUSSIAN-SPEAKING CRIMINAL ORGANIZATION"

Dark Web group calls itself All World Cards...

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IRAN'S NEW HARDLINE PRESIDENT SWORN IN, VOWS 'RESISTANCE' TO "ARROGANT" WEST

Ebrahim Raisi says he's been given mandate to "resist" the West.

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SPUTNIK NEWS :  https://sputniknews.com/

- Russia's Investigative Committee Has No Doubts Ukrainian Troops Are Complicit in Stenin's Death

- Taliban Reportedly Massacre 800 to 900 People in 6 Weeks

- Pictures Show Cuomo Relaxing By Pool As Impeachment Proceedings Loom

- China Pledges ‘Legitimate and Necessary Countermeasures’ to Massive US Weapons Sale to Taiwan

- Beijing Swipes at US ‘Pseudo-Multilateralism’ as South China Sea Code of Conduct Edges Closer

- Biden Signs Bill to Award Congressional Medals to Officers Who Defended Capitol January 6

- Fourth Vaccinated US Congress Member Tests Positive For COVID-19

- Bipartisan 9/11 Transparency Act Targets Release of Documents on Saudi Role

- Virginia, Maryland Require State Government Workers to Get Vaccinated

- Biden Pledges Reversal of Trump Rollback of Auto Fuel Efficiency Standars

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Aug 5 2021 PART 2 ND SIT EC y POL SPANISH  ++  

 

REBELION

COL:  LA BOMBA DE TIEMPO QUE SIGUE EXPLOTANDO  MC y ML

Econ:  Teoría del ciclo económico de la Escuela Austriaca  M Roberts

Ecol:  A Facebook “le gustan” los combustibles fósiles    Eduardo R

COL:  LA CRISIS DEL MILITARISMO   Alberto Pinzón

Perú:  Integrac autonomía, independ: nueva política exterior   M A

ALC:  Avances progresistas en nuestra América   Ángel Guerra

ALC:  EL MANDATO EXPORTADOR    Fco  y Martin

Cultura:  SIEMPRE QUEDA LA ESPERANZA   Luis Carlos Muñoz

ARG:  El macrismo sigue operando en el INCAA  Mario Hernandez

ONU: Se necesita órgano político para el cambio climático?  T D

Econ:  Ateos del crecimiento y de la economía   Pedro Chaves

BRA: Dilema de militares: apoyar a Bolsonaro o a la democ   G E

A Antón : CARÁCTER DE LAS IDENTIDADES

España :  LOS VALORES FRANQUISTAS DE RADIO NACIONAL

Opin:   HACER MEMORIA    César Manzanos

Opin:   «LIBERTAD» Y CRECIMIENTO    Julio García

Cuba:  Múltiples caras del cambio de régimen   Louis A. Pérez

España: Quimera: derecho a que la Justicia haga justicia  Víctor A

España: Robo de niños y niñas en proyecto memoria democrática VA

Mund:  Era de los incendios que ya no podemos apagar  Víctor Resco

PAL:  Familis esperan fallo judicial que les podría dejar sin hogar n Jer

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RT EN ESPAÑOL

Méx será sede de negociaciones entre el Gobierno y la oposición venezolana https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/399918-mexico-confirma-sera-sede-negociaciones-venezuela

 

Banco Central de Ven anuncia la vigencia del Bolívar Digital a partir de octubre https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/399915-banco-central-venezuela-vigencia-bolivar-digital 

US anuncia que vetará el ingreso de viajeros no inmunizados   https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/399907-golpe-turismo-vacunas-eeuu-vetara-ingreso

Apple detectará contenidos prohibidos en los dispositivos del usuario  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/399974-apple-sistema-detectar-contenido-prohibido

 

Perú: aumenta la tensión por las exigencias para que Castillo cambie su gabinete https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/399958-incertidumbre-peru-aumentan-presiones-castillo

 

Rusia reemplaza a Méx como el 2do mayor proveedor extranj de petróleo al US  https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/399909-rusia-importaciones-eeuu-petroleo-mayo

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CROSS TALK   https://www.rt.com/shows/crosstalk/

- The News with Rick Sanchez

US ARMING TAIWAN, PHILIPPINES, VIETNAM & MALAYSIA — HERE'S HOW

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Keiser Report

OUT OF CONTROL (E1732)

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DEMOCRACY NOW

Amy Goodman’  team

- “This Is What America Looks Like”: Ilhan Omar on Her Refugee Journey from Mogadishu to Minneapolis

- Rep. Ilhan Omar: We Need to Cancel the Rent, Not Just Postpone Evictions

- U.N. Inquiry Demanded into Officials’ Culpability in Beirut Blast

- Ilhan Omar Backs Ballot Initiative to Abolish Minneapolis Police & Create New Public Safety Department

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