jueves, 29 de marzo de 2018

MAR 29 18 SIT EC y POL

MAR 29 18 SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Econ


ZERO HEDGE  ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

Economic situation today:

Despite recent weakness, gold wins Q1...
See Chart:

In equity land, The MSCI All-World Index of global stocks snapped a seven-quarter winning streak - its longest such stretch of gains since 1997 - while global bonds are set for their first decline in currency neutral terms since 2016.
See Chart

Despite the total bloodbath in FANG-style stocks in the last few weeks (down 8.2% in March, the biggest drop since Jan 2016), NYSE FANG+ managed to gain 8% in Q1 - its 7th quarterly advance in a row.
See Chart:

March saw the biggest yield curve flattening since September 2011 (the 7th flatter month in the last 8) and closed flatter for the 15th quarter of the last 17...2s30s plunge to a 60 handle today!! - the lowest since Oct 2007
See Chart:

The Dollar Index was up on the week (lower today)...
See Chart:
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SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-29/global-stocks-bonds-tumble-q1-break-record-win-streaks-amid-trade-tantrums-techlash
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Between higher prices, declining wages, rising savings (not to mention maxed out credit cards), and plunging spending plans, Americans have once tapped out.
See Chart:

All of the above also leads into what we said yesterday, namely that household buying plans have plunged in recent months. For those who missed it, yesterday we showed that that "Conference Board 'Plans To Buy' Homes, Autos, and Appliance have all plunged in the last three months"
 See Chart:
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... clients always want to know if they should worry NOW? My answer to that is yes they should. For there are very worrying signs that yet another Fed-inspired credit bubble is beginning to burst.
See Chart:

Edwards notes that "clients always want to know if they should worry NOW?" His answer to that is "yes they should" as there are "very worrying signs that yet another Fed-inspired credit bubble is beginning to burst", and not just in the surge in small bank delinquencies.
My former colleague Paul Jackson puts some great charts on Twitter and is definitely worth following (his handle is @belgiandentists, or is the term ‘handle’ from CB radio and the Convoy film). Paul showed that it is not just credit card delinquencies that are on the rise mortgage delinquencies are too (see chart below).
See Chart:

Another worry is the recent sharp weakening of the US (and European) economies in recent weeks...
See Chart:

we showed earlier today that the US savings rate has actually grown to the highest since last August after hitting near all time lows recently as Americans slowed their spending, Edwards points out that the US Saving Ratio (SR) collapsed at the back end of last year to only 2½% (close to its all-time low), driven in large part by the stock market rally (see chart below - SR inverted).
See Chart:

Finally, speaking of the Fed, it is worth remembering that just as the Fed unleashed the (soon to be) second longest expansion in history with the help of trillions in liquidity injections and asset purchases, so it will be the Fed that will launch the next recession depression.
See Chart:

Which brings us to Edwards' conclusion which is a welcome one for those who say the time to end the Fed is here, as the SocGen analyst believes that it will be Fed that is ended after the next crash:
This data merely reflects the illusion of prosperity. The markets are now sniffing out a rising stench from decaying debt. They say a fish rots from the head down. Unlike the 2008 financial crisis, this time I expect it is the Fed that will be held responsible for yet another debt crisis. Do not expect their independence to survive.
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Bitcoin has tumbled overnight, back below $8,000, and is now down 48% year-to-date, as cryptocurrencies have accelerated lower this week amid the carnage in tech stocks.

… the week has been a bloodbath for all cryptocurrencies...
See Chart:

And while alternative currency tumbles, another rises (gold) for the 3rd straight quarter...
See Chart:

If Gold rise, USD falls. See correlation between bitcoin BTC v. USD:
Which only compounds the concerns of the looming 'death cross' in Bitcoin (when the 50DMA crosses below the 200DMA)...
See Chart:

But there is light at the end of this ugly tunnel of doom for cryptos. CoinTelegraph reports that Cryptocurrency investment app Abra’s CEO forecast that “all hell will break loose” in Bitcoin and altcoin markets this year in a fresh mainstream media interview March 28.
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Glutony is a disease .. if you don’t feed the infested body or purged .. it dies or get out.. 1% is get-out

"...all of the March gain in the Sentiment Index was among households with incomes in the bottom third (+14.1); those in the middle third were unchanged, while the Index fell among households in the top third (-5.6)..."
[[ What would happens if all super-rich abandon Trump?  Where they will go?.. Perhaps to their own region to push separation from the FED = secession. These parasites can’t go out.. Regarding LOVE of the “poor” for Trump.. it wasn’t “love”.. only a past-quicky-polit-Spunk. Notice: I don’t use the word  ’skunk’ even when this quicky-affair also smells ugly: KKK.]]
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[[ Si la capacidad de compra cae.. lo que viene son las quiebras o bancarrotas. If purchasing power falls. what come next are bankrupts  ]]

For the 3rd straight month, Chicago Purchasing Managers are losing their religion as the business barometer is battered to 12-month lows (with the biggest drop in three years).
See Chart:

This is below the lowest analyst's estimate... (Forecast range 59 - 66 from 30 economists surveyed)
See Chart:

Thus, Chicago PMI confirms our earlier note that stagflationary indicators are flashing red (as production and new orders slow but prices paid surge)
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Description: https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/styles/teaser_small/public/2018-03/2018-03-29_11-00-25.jpg?itok=zBk89zMb
Nasdaq futures are up 2%, going vertical amid dismally low liquidity following headlines from The White House that while President Trump is frustrated with some Amazon customers not paying sales tax, he isn’t discussing any new actions against the retailer...
Except bonds AIN'T BUYING IT AT ALL...
See Chart:
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The Wall Street Journal thinks the "cart is in front of the horse" and that miners actually determine the spot price of gold. Does this make any sense?
See Chart:
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POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist  duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s  full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo


Leaked texts between Strzok and Page "strongly" suggest coordination between the White House, the "independent" CIA and FBI, and Democrat Harry Reid; if confirmed this would "contradict" the Obama administration's claims of non-involvement.
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WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo


A number of pieces have to fall into place before the petrodollar moves into second place...
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The Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Jarida reported late on Thursday that 2 Israeli F-35 stealth fighters had entered Iranian airspace over the past month, amid reports that Hamas may launch a "Passover War" as soon as Friday.
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"We're there for one reason: to get ISIS and get rid of ISIS, and to go home. We’re not there for any other reason and we’ve largely accomplished our goal."
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This is why it's called tit-for-tat.
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DEMOCRACY NOW
US politics crisis: Trump captured by Deep state to reproduce old cronyism without alter-plan


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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more business-wars:  its profiteers US-NATO


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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n chances of WW3


On the Verge of Nuclear War?   By Paul Craig Roberts
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More Lies from the Presstitutes   By Paul Craig Roberts
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
Geopolitics & the nasty business of US-NATO-Global-wars uncovered ..


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RT SHOWS
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Keiser Report  Episode 1207  Max and Stacy discuss the US national debt spiking by a trillion dollars in just six months. In the 2nd half, Max interviews author and investor, Harry Dent,
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to break with Empire: 


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ALC        50 Cent 1968:  El detonante cubano  Roberto Montoya
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MX         México ante la encrucijada electoral  Massimo Modonesi
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Cult        Marx: investiga suicidio: La acusación de los desesperados  Gmo S
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                --Corrupción, impunidad y violencia en Honduras Javier Calderón
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n  Conócete a ti mismo  Gabriel Jiménez Emán 
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                -VEN en el nuevo mapa del Pentágono: el espejo Libia CF Guevara   
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Perú      La gran oportunidad   Hugo Salinas
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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers..


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