MAR
2 18 SIT EC y POL
ND denounce Global-neoliberal debacle y propone State-Social
+ Capit-compet in Econ
ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS
Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they
documented with graphics
"No, the bond bull run is
not over... There are still tremendous secular disinflationary forces in the
world, including worsening demographics, which I view as critically
important, as well as the outsized debt burden, both of which will ultimately
constrain economic growth and cap bond yields."
See Chart:
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"A global trade war looms... It's economic and mathematical madness."
See Chart:
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More
consumers reported that they had recently
heard favorable news about recent economic developments in February than
at any other time since 1984.
See Chart:
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While it appears the market's
demise is being pinned on President Trump's trade-wars turmoil, we humbly
suggest there are more than a few
other reasons why stocks are behaving badly this week...
See Chart:
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Lagrimas de cocodrilo .. Crocodile tears. Pillonaires know: neoliberal system is over
FED'S QE UNWIND MARCHES
FORWARD RELENTLESSLY to the CLIFF
"The QE-Unwind proceeded as planned throughout the sell-off. And I
expect this to continue... This Fed
isn’t going to try to bail out every whiner on Wall Street."
See chart1: QE Unwind a work at the source below: The
copy of this Charts were blocked
See also Chart2: QE Unwind, with 2-3 Months Lag at the source below
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But as long as JNK remains below
the broken trend line, markets are having a junk problem...
See Chart:
The real Chart was hidden. “Ignorance
is strength” . You can see it at the source below
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So who's holding the hot potato of systemic risk now? Everyone.
Here is
what a "guaranteed gains by buying the dip" market looks like: just bet that central banks will buy
every dip and suppress volatility, and you're a genius.
See Chart:
Until the
recent spot of bother that destroyed the short-volatility trade, betting on
declining volatility "guaranteed gains":
See this
Chart
Good but
blocked to copy image. OPEN
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La sinrazon de los pillonarios: se gasta
mucho en la nacion (medicare..) y poco
en la inversión
"The US Treasury is telling you that between the federal debt and
unfunded liabilities, the US is $70
trillion in the hole and despite record tax revenue, record stock and real
estate valuations... the US is bankrupt."
In search
of higher economic growth rates, the US federal government is
again running huge deficits in a vain attempt to grow its way
out of the hole it finds itself. In
an attempt to hit a growth "home run" and achieve 3.5% GDP (or
about a $700 billion increase in economic activity via debt fueled deficit
spending), the federal government will undertake $1+ trillion in new debt
plus $2 to $3 trillion increase in unfunded liabilities.
If a more
realistic 2% GDP growth is achieved, that's a $400 billion
"growth" on a net increase of $3 to $4 trillion in federal
debt and UL's. The chart below shows annual GDP "growth" minus
the annual deficit incurred to achieve the growth, from 2000 through
2017. Plus estimated "growth" through 2025 based on 2% GDP
"growth"?!?
See Chart
As of
October 1st of 2007 (the start of the 2008 Federal Government fiscal year),
federal debt stood at $9 trillion and 70 billion. In the subsequent ten years and nearly five months,
the US federal debt has grown $11 trillion and 785 billion and now stands at
$20 trillion and 855 billion (chart below). Over
the same period, US GDP grew $5 trillion and 169 billion.
Simply
put, for every $1 of new federal debt undertaken, the US achieved $0.44
cents of economic activity or "growth". However, as the chart below shows, the huge increase
in federal debt (red line) was accompanied by a minimal increase
in interest payable on all that debt (blue line). The boxes detail the
total debt incurred during each period against the annual increase in interest
payments on that additional debt. The Federal Reserve is primarily to thank for the cheapening of debt and
encouragement to undertake all that debt, but many fear the same Fed
is set to hike those interest payments with its ongoing rate hikes.
See Chart:
So, a little focus on that $49
trillion unfunded liability (UL) portion (solid red line) seems due. Charted below is the UL, according to the US
Treasury, from 2000 through 2017 alongside the federal debt (dashed red
line), and Gross Domestic Product (market value of all goods and services
provided, annually).
Clearly, UL's and federal debt are
far larger and growing so much faster than economic growth represented by GDP. Since '00, GDP has not quite
doubled (+88%) while UL's have more than doubled (+157%) and federal debt
has nearly tripled (+258%). You may notice a dip in the UL from 2009
to 2010...a $15 trillion dip essentially overnight, when America's UL fell by a
third?!? This was the estimated impact of the ACA, aka Obamacare.
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RELATED: Pillonaries’ world
is improving.. everything is awesome
It only takes a few minutes of cable news to get the feeling that the
world is heading into a tailspin... so here six megatrends that show that in many important ways, our world
is improving drastically.
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Trade misbalance.. another big
problem: Our focus is on war-business not in sustainable devept
...a lumber shortage has pushed
prices to their highest levels since the financial crisis as wildfires and a blossoming trade spat
between the US and Canada have choked off some supplies.
Like all commodity producers and
distributors, lumber suppliers have been struggling with higher transportation
costs due to a shortage
of drivers and, for major freight railroads, a shortage of cars and routes.
See Chart:
As a result, homebuilders are being forced to pass on thousands of dollars in
additional costs to the buyers, perhaps one reason why new-
and pending- home sales have fallen recently...
See Chart:
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The mailman is the problem.. not the content of the mail: rotten logic
Available
size at the top of the book in the US equity futures market - i.e. how many
futures can trade without impacting price - has deteriorated sharply and has
remained depressed since Feb 5th. Here's why.
See Chart:
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Source : https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-03-02/beware-there-no-liquidity-market-morgan-stanley-warns
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RELATED:
"This double tightening isn’t something
the market has fully absorbed yet, although what
happened in early February was an early warning sign..."
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POLITICS
Seudo democ y sist
duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s
full of frauds & corruption. Urge cambiarlo
Same parties.. same problem. Both Dems & Gops are pests
to be eradicated
In an eerie
analogue of what is about to take place, on March 5, 2002 President George W.
Bush imposed tariffs as high as 30% on steel imports. What happened next is
memorable...
See Chart:
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"...what
Washington desperately needs right now is some perspective and an honest conversation about the realities of the
Middle East. Not alarmism...The
last thing the overstretched U.S.
military needs is another hot war. It’s already pretty busy."
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If arms-race is the problem.. CUT the arm-race is the
solution: TIME
to DISMANTLE NUKES
STUPID: you won’t cure the
ugly obese monster .. by given them more wrong food
“Efforts to contain Russia have
failed - face it..."
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RELATED:
Wrong title: FACT “ we build the stage to WW3” .. but SUMMIT is a more sensible view
PUTIN'S
ULTIMATUM IS THE NEXT STAGE OF THE WAR There was not such ultimat: nasty distort
"...expect a major summit
between Trump and Putin this year. Trump cannot hide behind the Democrats’ lunacy in the face of what
Putin just announced...They have to talk formally about
how to pull the world back from what
appears to be the brink of war."
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WORLD ISSUES and M-East
Global depression is on…China, RU, Iran search for State
socialis+K- compet. D rest in limbo
As if
markets did not have enough to worry about with this weekend's Italian election
and SPD "grand coalition" referendum, overnight stocks were slammed
by Trump doubling down on threats of global trade war coupled with a warning
from BOJ governor Kuroda that Japan's QE may be coming to an end.
See Chart:
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NEOLIBERAL Economics is condemned to fail: it creates explosive inequalit in favor of rich 1%
[[ Trade is only part of the
neoliberal mess: there won’t be fair trade with wrong rulers ]]
As a
general rule, when you add "war" to your description of an event,
it’s a pretty strong suggestion that it is unlikely to be either good or easy.
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GLOBAL RESEARCH
Geopolitics & Econ-Pol crisis that leads to more
business-wars: its profiteers US-NATO
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INFORMATION CLEARING HOUSE
Deep on the US political crisis, their internal conflicts n
chances of WW3
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Standing up Against America By David Macilwain
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Islam and the West: What Went Wrong and Why By Amir Nour mix Islam with war &
Pol: M-Prob
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Missile-gate: U.S.
Intel Misses Russia’s Big Advances in Nuclear Parity By Gilbert Doctorow
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COUNTER PUNCH
Jason Hirthler Colonizing
the Western Mind
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Andrew Levine What
Next for Trump: War?
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Manuel E. Yepe The
Hackneyed Imperialist Tool of Demonization
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Josh Hoxie The
Tax Scam is Starting to Sink In
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SPUTNIK and RT SHOWS
Geopolitics & the nasty business of US-NATO-Global-wars
uncovered ..
In the event of an
impending nuclear attack, or if there is a threat to the country's existence
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Leave them
alone! Dismantle of NUKES should start AT THE TOP: NATOs allies & RU-Ch
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RELATED 1
RELATED 2
RELATED 3
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RT SHOWS
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Keiser
Report Episode
1196 Max and Stacy discuss JP
Morgan stacking silver in response to Max Keiser, and also about the
whistleblower claiming the VIX index is manipulated. 2P:Max-Feierstein
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NOTICIAS IN SPANISH
Latino America looking for alternatives to neoliberalism to
break with Empire:
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Detrás de
la noticia ¿Agencia Central de Intervenciones?
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PRESS TV
Global situation described by Iranian observers..
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