miércoles, 24 de diciembre de 2014

NOTES on CANCELING THE EMBARGO IN CUBA



NOTES on CANCELING THE EMBARGO IN CUBA

Hugo Adan Mon 22, Dec-2014

The debate on cancelling  the embargo was well summarized in the US in the article  Should the United States Maintain Its Embargo against Cuba?   http://cuba-embargo.procon.org/  Here some notes departing from such arguments.

1-The United States should end the Cuba embargo because in 50-year this policy has failed to achieve its main goals. The intention of Kennedy with the embargo (1962) was “to reduce the threat posed by the alignment of Cuba with the communist powers”, reads the 1st line of that article. 

1-1 Such communist’s powers does not exist anymore (in  1989 the USSR collapsed). When communism exist, the intention of forcing Cuba to adopt the American democracy, did not work either. It was not communist who kill Kennedy, the mentor of the embargo, Kennedy was killed by the American democracy, exactly the democracy that we wanted to sell to Cuba. The fact is that American democracy is the most corrupted in the world:  here one single oligarchy owns the bipartisan system, finance its candidates and prohibit a third option. We can sell this D elsewhere but not inside the Americas. For Cuban is better the direct democracy they have (workers and communities select their own representatives without the interference from corrupted parties).  We can accuse Cuba of being manipulated by Castro’s dictator, and they will laugh, mock and say “look who is talking”.

2- The embargo cannot be defended based on arguments of liberty and democracy  as it was pretended in 1996 by senators Helmes & Burton (the most rightist of the neocons). In their Act of 1996, they add to “democracy” the argument of “liberty” in reference to the prisoners Cuba had jailed. Castro released the prisoners and sent them to the US (los marielitos). Can we use the Liberty  argument right now?, after the infamous scandal of torturing prisoners .. that would be pathetic, to say the less.

2.1 The fact is that nowadays economic business and neoliberal geopolitics don’t  go hand on hand in the head of US policy makers. We are losing business with this blockage, suggested Obama. We failed in the tactic of isolating Cuba, (as we are failing in Russia too, he forgot to say).  Does this means that business should be subordinated to politics, as it was in the time of colonialism? I don’t think so. In business does not matter the political color or the colors of the flag and it won’t  if global recession continue escalating, all nations will be affected - directly or indirectly- by the coming global recession that is being starting nowadays.

2.2 The context in which the topic embargo in Cuba emerges is related to the chances of war between Nato (US-UE) vs Russia because of the issue Ukraine. What will happen with the economic terrorism imposed by the US & European members of NATO against Russia? Is one of today key question. I would say that Economic terrorism is run top-bottom nowadays,  from supra-state organizations (including IMF) all connected to a mafia of bankers with base in the US, London and Israel. If IMF do not promote a new international currency, soon or later the bottom up econ terrorism will emerge (any action creates similar reaction) and the trend will be in reverse and not with States as main actors, but with either mafias  or run by rebels organizing webs articulated at international level. I would say that any sanction imposed to Cuba -if they accept the Embassy en la Habana- directed toward regimen change will be responded the same way, if fair diplomacy fails.

3- The failure of embargo is in fact the victory of globalization, wrong lead by corrupted neoliberal institutions.  At the same time, it is the failure of the neo-liberal US State leaders who believe in the eternal supremacy of dollars based on corrupted speculation of derivatives and hedge funds. Soon the fiat currency that lacks backing from gold will be abandoned. So far, the dollar is losing the currency war, more and more trade is done with other currencies and banks worldwide are diversifying deposits.   

4. Possible outcome from current contradictions. If in the 1930 the bankers accepted the need  of  empowering  the working classes not only as consumers but also as creators of national prosperity, this time the owners of capital will not only accept to limit speculation (as FDR wanted in the US), this time Bankers to exist have to either dissolve crook big corporation, or be dissolved by small and medium productive capital. There won’t be a deal of co-existence between big crook bankers and middle plus small productive capital. Productive investment  –not big speculator capitalists –were the ones that created the economic exuberance that lasted  40 years in the US. The coming trend is not in favor of Fed crook bankers, State companies will prevail and their alliance with the working classes  won’t be in favor of a deal with the crook bankers of  the FED, instead will be in favor of destroying big conglomerates and set a new fresh start. If this comes via State separatism from the FED or via revolution, is hard to predict.  

4.1 What is easy to predict is that the failure of economic terrorism (blockages, sanctions, and other acts of piracy) will lead in the near future to the rebellion of the productive capital in alliance with the working classes, the ones that are now the most affected by econ sanctions. For the productive capitalist to reproduce itself, they need to destroy the big conglomerates, the cancer of the capitalist system. The big-monopolistic corporation have their days counted. Then politics will accommodate themselves to the new reality in process.

4.2 If we call democracy  & freedom to such process or national democratic revolution –it doesn’t matter the name- the content of the change will be totally different –will be the reverse- to the system that we have now. The merge of capitalism and socialism is one of the options (State inversion + Productive capital inversion). If the mix happens as it is now some Nordic Stated, the current “freedom and democracy” will be part of the museum of shameful things we did in the past, during colonial and neocolonial time.

4-3 To  argue “democracy” in current times -to pursue regimen change as hidden agenda- via installing US Embassies  will be considered part of the old fascistic dogma. Fascistic because the nature of embargos & economic sanctions was not to hit the “ dictator”, but instead to hit the civilian population in the hope that they will abandon their leaders. Cuba is showing to the world  that this fascist strategy did not work and it won’t work in Russia either. Such strategy  force people  to reject the sanctions and support their “dictator” leaders. Putin is now a clear example of the failure of such strategy. The union between State-leader and masses in Russia didn’t need fascism as in Germany, it was a reaction to fascism coming from the US.

4.4 If the embargo didn’t work before (if 52 years of sanctions had not toppled the Castros regime) there is not reason to believe that it will work when neoliberal colonialism is collapsing worldwide. The new roads of    globalization will not digest the economic terrorism of embargos, sanctions and blockages.  There won’t be reason for them to exist in the near future.
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