Nueva Democracia: Feb 13 2022 Part 1-2 SIT ECON y POL

Feb 13 2022 Part 1-2 SIT ECON y POL

ND denounce- debacle y propone State-Social + Capit-compet in Eco

ZERO HEDGE ECONOMICS

Neoliberal globalization is over. Financiers know it, they documented with graphics

Quick news:

GOLD FUNDAMENTALS V. GOLD MANIPULATION: WHO WINS?

In the war between gold fundamentals v. gold manipulators, who wins the short-term battle and the intermediate and long-term war?

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GOLDMAN CAPITULATES, CUTS S&P PRICE TARGET TO 4,900, WARNS OF "RECESSION DOWNSIDE" TO 3,600

by Tyler Durden

"If the US economy tips into a recession –a question which Goldman's investors have increasingly been asking –the typical 24% recession peak-to-trough price decline would reduce the S&P 500 to 3600."

While there were pages and pages of gratuitous goalseeked justifications (which nobody would bother to read) for the bank's price target, we wrote that effectively "this entire note boils down to two things: the Fed model, i.e., rates are so low so investors have to buy stocks... and FOMO, or there is nothing else all that money sloshing around can buy."

Fast forward three months later when neither of these is the case, with rates (especially real rates) surging in the past month.

See Chart:

Nominal, Breakeven, Real rates

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/real%20rates.jpg?itok=zs2sYBf1

... as the reality of a looming violent, almost Volcker-like rate hiking cycle dawned upon Wall Street...

See Chart:

Market implied change in Fed Found rate

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/rate%20hike%20expectations.jpg?itok=-s0eSlrf

Throwing the bank's economist team under the bus, Kostin writes that "in November, when we published our year-end 2022 target of 5100, our economists expected two Fed hikes in 2022 and a year-end nominal 10-year US Treasury yield of 2%." However, as Kostin then notes, "inflation has been higher than expected" [by Goldman's economists, not by this website] and "Fed policy outlook has changed dramatically (Exhibit 2), and so the bank's economists now expect 7 Fed hikes in 2022, with Goldman's rate strategists "forecasting the nominal 10-year Treasury yield will rise by 33 bp from current level to 2.25%, driven entirely by real yields (+36 bp to -0.15%)." Translation: real rates have peaked and will now tumble as breakevens explode higher, especially if there is an all out conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

See Chart:

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/fed%20hike%20odds.jpg?itok=Q_kI8QHq

Finally, if the US economy tips into a recession –a question which Goldman's investors have increasingly been asking –the typical 24% recession peak-to-trough price decline would reduce the S&P 500 to 3600.

See Chart:

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/GS%20chart%208.jpg?itok=AvHQXeQD

Read the full article at:

SOURCE: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-capitulates-cuts-sp-price-target-4900-warns-recession-downside-3600

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"WE'RE AT END DAYS HERE" - US FACES RAMPANT SHORTAGES OF 116 DIFFERENT PHARMACEUTICAL DRUGS

Global supplies of pharmaceutical drugs are getting tighter and tighter, and this has very serious implications for 2022 and beyond...

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US DOMESTIC POLITICS

Seudo democ duopolico in US is obsolete; it’s full of frauds & corruption.

Quick News

WHO WILL BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE FOR AMERICA’S ULTIMATE DOOM?

BY philbutler

“The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.”

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"SOMETHING ISN'T RIGHT" - 38 LAWMAKERS DEMAND BIDEN UNDERGO COGNITIVE TESTING AS SOON AS POSSIBLE

"Biden has continually proven to me and to the world that something isn’t right"

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Ultra-rightist is a POL-pandemic in the US, pero possible de ser eradicate sin vaccination

SEPARATION OR PURGE? SHARING A SOCIETY WITH THE POLITICAL LEFT IS IMPOSSIBLE

Of all the social drivers in history the concept of freedom is the most powerful and fascinating...

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Because of FREEDOM, DEMOCRACY & JUSTICE we don’t trust in rightist REP parties

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La marihuana de la jungla amazónica no es adictiva pues crece bajo el sol: estimul sentidos

THESE ARE THE WORLD LARGEST CANNABIS MARKETS

Cannabis legality varies by country... and so does its subsequent market value

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La marihuana del US si es adictiva y venenosa: la crían en áticos y en containers cerrados no expuestos al sol. Para darle fuerza le agregan residuos venenosos del procesamiento de la cocaína. Esto estaba destinado al basural pero descubrieron que podía usarse en el US para dar fuerza a su marihuana de containers. La real y verdadera marihuana entra muy suave y en 20-30 minutos da sus efectos maravillosos. Uno puede deleitarse con la 9na o la 5ta sinfonia de Beethoven de manera exquisita y sorprendente y el efecto de un pitillo con 2 hojitas de marihuana dura 3 horas, mas que suficiente para gozar un concierto público y luego acostarse con la amada. El amor toma otra dimensión con marihuana pura. Es amor puro!

Yo vendía en Perú mis pitillos a los franceses y ellos me buscaban como su guía para subir al Machu-Pichu (donde suben los machos a pie. Para las damas hay el troly eléctrico), sabia yo donde en la subida se podía encontrar marihuana y les vendía las hojas. Uno me descubrió y saco la planta de raíz, no sabia que a la entrada y salida de Cusco hay detectores y le fue muy mal. Tuvo que pagar mucho para salir de la carceleta donde lo pusieron los de la mafia policial. Le conseguí lawyer y le bajaron el precio de la ‘libertad’. Yo antes le advertí el peligro d sacar la raíz: no me hizo caso

El efecto de la marihuana del US es peor que el descrito arriba: afecta el corazón y el cerebro: crea incorrecta irrigación sanguina con posibles efectos mortales y lo menos que ocurre son los efectos psiquiátricos. La marihuana pura no es adictiva.

Yo solo la fumo cuando voy al Cusco y al parecer pronto me iré si estalla el WW3 por el lio en Ukraine. Un millonario me ofreció avioneta para que lo lleve a la selva amazónica donde viví por 9 meses. El leyó los efectos de la radiación nuclear que jamás podrá evadirse con las mascaras del COVID-19. Ya crearan una nueva, le dije. La radiación nuclear requiere aire limpio que se auto recicle con la fuerza de un rio como el Amazonas y eso solo lo tiene Perú donde nace ese rio. Si estalla el WW3 y me llama, me voy con él a condición de que también saque a mi familia.

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Ninguna guerra entre grandes potencias tiene sentido: solo crean genocid y + pand

RETIRED 3-STAR GENERAL: CRITICAL RACE THEORY LEADING TO MILITARY 'FAILURE'

"Wars must be waged only with stone-cold pragmatism, not idealism"

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THE 20 INTERNET GIANTS THAT RULE THE WEB

With each passing year, an increasingly large segment of the population no longer remembers images loading a single pixel row at a time, the earsplitting sound of a 56k modem...

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The top rulers keep many secrets to the Nation to save big Corp

BIDEN ADMIN URGES COURT NOT TO ALLOW RELEASE OF 'SECRET REPORT' ON DOMINION VOTING MACHINES

...arguing doing so could assist hackers trying to

“undermine election security.”

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US-WORLD ISSUES (Geo Econ, Geo Pol & global Wars)

Quick News:

WILL RUSSIA ACTUALLY INVADE UKRAINE? [ No yet but it will if necessary to kill NATO alies]

BY quoth the raven

Western conspiracy theory or real world reality?

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RUSSIA ISSUES CONDEMNATION OF ISRAELI AIRSTRIKES: "A CRUDE VIOLATION OF SYRIA'S SOVEREIGNTY"

"Such actions pose serious risks to international passenger flights."

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CANADIAN OIL EXPORTS TO U.S. AT RECORD LEVEL

Canadian oil producers are exporting crude to the U.S. at record rates, Reuters reported, adding that demand for the heavy, sour crude that Canada is producing is surging.

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US TAXPAYER DOLLARS ARE FLOODING BACK INTO AFGHANISTAN

“The Biden administration has laid out plans through the U.S. Treasury to open up the U.S. taxpayer dollars spigot back into Afghanistan.”

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THE EUROPEAN ENERGY CRISIS WAS INEVITABLE

Europe is in the midst of an energy crisis that is about to get much, MUCH WORSE IF WAR BREAKS OUT BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE.

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READ my article:

“Ukraine desde la perspectiva socialista”

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VISUALIZING THE GROWTH OF LITHIUM PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY

Today, three countries - Australia, Chile, and China - mine roughly 86% of the world’s lithium... [ See Chart ]

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LITHIUM is the key to storage batteries plus many medical uses

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TURKISH GOLD CONVERSION PLAN LIKELY TO FALTER ON LACK OF PUBLIC TRUST

"Gold is a tradition. It grows out of a deep-seated distrust of governments and currencies and has been handed down from generation to generation. They didn't take money. They took gold,"

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Lo mismo Podemos sospechar del gold que se vende y circula en el US

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SPUTNIK NEWS : https://sputniknews.com/

- Biden, Zelensky Agree to Pursue Diplomacy to Resolve Crisis Around Ukraine

- Wisconsin: 50,000 Phantom Votes Cast in State in 2020, Twice Biden's Victory Margin

- Real Snow at Winter Olympics in Beijing Causes Disruption of Events

- OSCE Mission in Ukraine Confirms Some States Withdraw Observers

- Ex-Afghan Prez Slams US Move to Spend Seized Reserves on 9/11 Families, Says Afghans are Victims Too

- Ukraine Demands Meeting With OSCE Vienna Parties Regarding Russian Military Activities

- French Presidential Candidate Pecresse Says Ukraine's NATO Bid Not on Agenda

- Austria to Continue Favouring Launch of Nord Stream 2