MAJOR BATTLEFRONT IN SYRIA WAR TO OPEN IN
QALAMOUN REGION
The
Syrian Arab Army and 40.000 Saudi Mercenaries, fighting under the Banners
Jabhat al-Nusrah, Liwa-al-Islam and other Al-Qaeda Brigades are poised for a
major Battle in the Qalamoun Region near the Eastern Lebanese Border.
By Christof Lehmann (nsnbc) October 21, 2013
The Syrian Arab Army is poised to
confront some 40.000 Saudi – backed Al-Qaeda fighters who have used the summer
months to build up a major force in the Syrian – Lebanese border town Arasal in
the Qalamoun region. The main brigades are fighting under the banners of Jabhat
al-Nusrah, Ahrar al-Sham, Liwa-al-Islam and Liwa al-Tahwid, indicates
diplomatic chatter.
The buildup of the Saudi-backed
Al-Qaeda brigades in the region began after the Syrian Army defeated the “Liberate the Coast” campaign
which began on 4 August between 4:30 and 5:00 a.m. in the Lattakia region,
which was an attempt to prepare the ground for US military strikes and US led Special
Operations in Syria was defeated by the Syrian Army.
The major buildup of forces which
work in close liaison to Saudi Arabia´s Interior Ministry and Saudi Arabia´s
Intelligence Chief Prince Bandar, defeats the notion that the “opposition
groups don´t operate under a unified command structure”, which is propagated by
the US administration and other core NATO members as justification for their
claimed inability to bring a united opposition to the negotiating table in
Geneva.
The major battle is expected to
begin, as Arab League chief Al-Arabi stated that
the Geneva 2 conference could be held on 23 November. The
Qalamoun region is of particular strategic significance for both the Syrian
Army and for the Saudi-backed Al-Qaeda mercenaries.
The Qalamoun region represents a
vital breathing straw connection between Damascus, Homs and the Mediterranean
port of Tartous, and it is a gateway to the mountainous coastal region North of
Latakia for the Syrian Army.
The region is also the heartland of
Syria´s Alewite community which is among the sternest supporters of the
Damascus government, and which thus is particularly at risk for being targeted
by the mercenary brigades.
There is reason to fear a repetition
of atrocities and war crimes like those which were committed by the
Salafist extremists during the “Liberate the Coast Campaign” in August.
The Qalamoun region is also of
particular strategic importance because it is located at the eastern border of
Lebanon. One of the main logistics bases of the Salafist Al-Qaeda brigades is
the predominantly Sunni populated border town of Arasal in Lebanon, where some
40.000 fighters are stationed, poised for a major showdown with the Syrian Arab
Army.
One of the mercenary objectives is
to prevent the Syrian Army from establishing the breathing straw access to
Tartous and to maintain control over the eastern Lebanese border to assure
that battalions near Damascus can receive reinforcements and supplies from
Lebanon.
The campaign to secure the Qalamoun
region was initially planned to take place in summer, after the insurgents
suffered a Stalingrad – like defeat in Qasair. It is possible that the three
major offensives by the foreign-backed insurgents have caused the delay of
the Qalamoun offensive.
All three of the mercenaries
campaigns were most likely launched in preparation and anticipation of a US –
led military intervention, as intelligence reports and articles
in nsnbc international from June and July already stated, that chemical weapons
would be used in August or September to justify calls for a foreign military
intervention. These three campaigns were:
- A major campaign for the oil-rich, predominantly Kurdish region around the city of Deir Ez-Zor which caused more than 30.000 Syrians to flee, but which was ultimately defeated.
- The “Liberate the Coast” campaign which began on 4 August, and during which some of the most serious war crimes were committed by the 20 foreign-backed Al-Qaeda mercenary brigades which took part in the battles.
- The major campaign to secure the Jobar Entrance to Damascus with more than 20.000 fighters under Jabhat al-Nusrah, Liwa-al-Islam and other predominantly Saudi-backed brigades from 20 to 21 August. The campaign suffered a crushing defeat when the Syrian Army has launched the largest offensive since the onset of the war in 2011, which prompted the commander of Liwa-al-Islam, who along with other field commanders had received the explicit order to hold the Jobar Entrance “at any cost”, to launch the chemical weapons attack which nearly caused a US – led military intervention.
Troop movements and the diplomatic
chatter in the region over the recent weeks and days however, strongly indicate
that the Syrian Arab Army will be launching the Qalamoun campaign very soon. On
Monday, 14 October, the Chairman of the Lebanese Arab Democratic Party, Rifaat
Eid, warned that Saudi Arabia was planning to burn Lebanon in retaliation is
Hezbollah intervened in the battle for the Qalamoun region. Lebanon´s Arab
Democratic Party maintains close ties to the Syrian Arab Baath Party. During a
news conference, Rifaat Eid said:
Saudi Arabia is running the battle
in Qalamoun and we have information that it (Saudi Arabia) has warned Hezbollah
against participating in the battle (because) it will cost (Hezbollah) a lot in
the Bekaa and even in the North of Lebanon”.
Also a report from an, here
undisclosed, EU member state´s embassy in Beirut, strongly suggests that the
Syrian Army is poised to launch the Qalamoun campaign very soon. nsnbc
international received a report from a Syria-based
Palestinian intelligence expert, stating that the mercenaries in Arasal
have received large weapons deliveries over the past weeks, and that the local
production of weapons and munitions, including mortar tubes and armor plating
in Arsal and Yabroud have increased significantly. Production of mortars has
reportedly increased to 40 – 60 units per day, and foundries are producing
large quantities of ammunition for AK-47 assault rifles.
While the Syrian Army is preparing
for the major offensive, the insurgents have begun launching pinpoint attacks,
digging in and fortifying positions and establishing weapons, munitions
and other caches.
It is expected that the mercenaries
also have received advanced weapons from Saudi Arabia and the USA via Jordan
and the Israeli occupied Syrian Golan. The delivery of the advanced weapons
began during the visit of the U.S. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,
General Martin Dempsey in Jordan in the middle of August.
Whenever the battle for the Qalamoun
region begins, it will be a major standoff with some 40.000 Saudi and core NATO
member-backed Al-Qaeda mercenaries facing the Syrian Arab Army. With the
advanced weaponry, including Konkurs anti-tank missiles which have been
delivered to the mercenaries by Saudi Arabia, the USA and other Al-Qaeda
sponsors, the battle is likely to become more bloody and protracted than the
battle for Qasair earlier this year.
Whether Hezbollah will intervene in
the battle or not, with some 40.000 Saudi and core NATO-member-backed Al-Qaeda
mercenaries stationed in Lebanon one has to be more than blind to maintain that
the war Western war on Syria has not spread into Lebanon already. Hezbollah
sent ambiguous messages over the last days. With Saudi Arabia, Israel and NATO
members interested in weakening Hezbollah, it is likely that Hezbollah could be
drawn into the battle, regardless.
Ch/L – nsnbc
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