WHO WILL WIN THE FINAL BETWEEN GERMANY & HOLAND?

WHO WILL WIN THE FINAL BETWEEN GERMANY & HOLAND? 
if happens.. 
It did not happen but it was the final that I wanted to see.

Hugo Adan, Monday 7, 2014
I published this art yesterday, but now i s 8 and after seeing the 1st part of the massacre of Germany on Brazil, it makes more sense to re-published. Now I realize that the mental factor (the disposition to take the cup) is also in the side of Germans.  This final is going to be a super final.


http://nd-hugoadan.blogspot.com/


This is difficult to predict, but checking the performance of these 2 teams in the last 3 games, plus the GD accumulated in the preliminary games I would say that:

THE MOST LIKELY WINNER IS HOLAND.  Much better team in terms of system’s dynamic

a- Better GD accumulated points= great balance bet attack and defense + greater consistency
b. Best defense line including goalkeeper (3 plus 2 carrileros) and 8 in emergency situations
c. In the attack, the diamond formation of 5 players with Roben (left) van Persie (right) is ++
d. The coach is a smart tactician: renew players at the right time & keep all of them united

Weakness:   They depend on 3 persons (triangulation) to converts the goal. If a faster defense in the other side can disrupt this triangulation, HOL will be defeated. Can GER have resources to do so?.  Yes if..  

However, if resources in the field are not affected in Tuesday game, and  Roben share  the ball with  other in the attack, they will take the world cup.

GERMAN OPTION:

a. It may have better resources in term of young players, but inputs depend on their conversion into outputs. Their dynamic is not convincing yet. I will see their dynamic tomorrow & I may change my opinion. So far, GER look faster than HOL moving the ball to the other side & kicking from long dist, but they misted many shots to the angles & with a rolling ball. Unfortunately, their team rest in 2 or 3 persons too. Even though they got the top goaler, so far.
b. GER defense is weaker than HOL though has a good goalkeeper. In penalty time: they may win, if..
c. GER players can be affected in the game with BRA, though they will beat BRA that lack 2 key players.
d. The GER coach is smart too, but impatience; this can affect the dynamic of his team.

Pros vs. cons: Germany have younger players, they can go to extra-time with same stamina as the start. However, young players lack the experience and confidence at the time of achieving the final goal. Besides, GER will have a hard game before the final, HOL instead got a soft one with a team that depends on 2 players, max 3.

Finally, the mental factor: To me HOL is more committed than GER players to get the world cup this time. This mental disposition is a plus and I would say it will be a key factor defining the final match.

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GENERAL FACTORS: 

Do time and space play a role in this type of competence? In war yes, especially space and the beginning and at the end. But this is not war (should not be, we have to remain that to BRA). War occur in open environments, futbol in a partially closed environment, the closed the worse. Anyway, both are not variables to be considered decisive, but constants that has to be taken in to account. Remr: Several times a futbol game has been interrupted  because of hot and humidity.

Particulariteis of space and time in futbol.  Time is being given by rules, no way to postpone a match, for instance. Inside the field, there are lines with strict rules, however we are behind enforcing them.  Accuracy and fairness have been sacrificed in this tournament. Referee and lines rely on their speed to move themselves at the speed of the game, but players and the ball  runs faster than before. The only way to cope with this lugging is to get for them the new technology so the images from cameras can be retrieved in one click in a special droid (A Japanese tech  told that what happens in the last 30” in the field can be retrieve in one click and from diferent angles, so fauls, offsides are there). Why FIFA did not introduce this new tech? The answer deal with economics  and  interest-conflict among companies) . That is a shame, FIFA promised to get that help and they did not got the corresponding device. 

Regarding space and environment. As soon as the player get immerse into the game, the contact with the funs and zelots in the stadium disappear, only the colors of the barras remain at their sight and only after gools (is the time  when players requested their presence.)  I imagine the frustration of COL players not to see their people inside  the yellow stadium. Same thing with the coach, he can be dressed as a clown with brilliant color and yell player at strong voice, the players barely listen him. What really affects players is the hit inside the stadium , some of them are wide open like an icecream cone, other are like onions with the top open, here is the problem with the sun. These stadiums create a sauna for players and they need more hit and water to replace what is lost.  Brief interruptions in the game-time to cope with such is only a bandaid to cover a wound. 

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