US-EU SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA AGGRAVATE CRISIS. STOP shooting your feet!!
US/EUROPEAN EQUITY INDICES ARE TUMBLING AS WWIII TRUMPS
BUYBACKS.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/24/2014
US indices losing it... S&P almost unch
Check figures Nasdaq Future
S&P Futures
As
Facebook plunges back into the red...
and Europe is in trouble...
Check German DAX Futures
Here's who did it... [the usual suspect]
“The order to use force against civilians has already been given, and if this military machine is not stopped, the amount of casualties will only grow,” Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu said during an official meeting in Moscow.
==========
MORE ABOUT THIS NIGHTMARE??.. Here it goes..
BONDS, GOLD, AND YEN SMASH HIGHER AS STOCKS TUMBLE.
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
04/24/2014
[what comes in brackets I added]
Well that escalated quickly... said Ron Burgundy
USDJPY is collapsing...
See Figure: USDJPY
Gold and silver are well bid…
[time to create an International currency backed on gold & silver
for world trade and bank deposits]
See Figure on gold
& silver
and Bond yields are tumbling…
[More QEs to disguise the collapse of US economy??]
See figure 10Y Yield
[More on this.. NO
way, I’m no sadist nor masochist]
==========
Just for curiosity.. Check this report but don’t let
yourself be converted into masochist:
Submitted by Tyler Durden on
04/24/2014
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-24/real-pain-about-begin-chinese-currency-slumps-19-month-lows
This means: “things can get ugly fast as
USDCNY crosses the crucial 6.25 level where losses from hedge products begin to
surge.”.. Morgan Stanley warns "real
pain will come if CNY stays above these levels," leading to further
capital withdrawal, illiquidity, and a potential vicious circle as it appears the
PBOC
is trying to break the virtuous carry trade that has fueled so much of its
bubble economy.
“If the Yuan continue to depreciate.. if the CNY keeps going then things get ugly fast... we can then estimate the size of
potential losses to holders of these products if USD/CNH keeps trading higher. “In
round numbers, we estimate that for every 0.1 move in USD/CNH
above the average EKI (which we have assumed here is 6.20), corporates will
lose US$200 million a month. The real pain comes if USD/CNH stays above this
level, as these losses will accrue every month until the contract expires. Given contracts are 24 months in tenor, this
implies around US$4.8 billion in total losses for every 0.1 above the average
EKI”.
Check this figure: http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2014/04-overflow/20140424_cny.png
Remember, as
we noted previously, these potential losses are pure levered derivative
losses... not some "well we are losing so let's greatly rotate this bet to
US equities" which means it has a real tightening impact on both
collateral and liquidity around the world...
The bottom line
is the question of whether the PBOC's engineering this CNY weakness is merely a
strategy to increase volatility and thus deter carry-trade malevolence (in line
with reform policies to tamp down bubbles) OR is it a more aggressive entry
into the currency wars as China focuses on its trade (exports) and keeping the dream
alive?
Here is CLSA's Russel Napier on what the long-tern fate of the Renminbi will be:
“Mercantilist alchemy transmutes China’s external surpluses into foreign exchange reserves and renminbi. But with capital outflows from China at record highs, those surpluses are only maintained due to its citizens’ foreign-currency borrowing. Bank-reserve and M2 growth are already near historical lows and are driving tighter monetary policy. This will lead to severe credit-quality issues and force the authorities to accept a credit crunch or opt for a major devaluation of the renminbi. They will do the latter; and despite five years of QE, the world will get deflation anyway.”
MI COMENTARIO:
In
Spanish: si la gallina de los huevos de oro, deja de ponerlos as usual, solo se salvan los que acumularon ese oro y
para salvarse tienen que venderlo o circularlo; esto es , convertirlo en moneda
circulante. Si ocurre esta conversión, los días del dólar estarían contados, a
menos que también lo respalden con oro, pero no lo tienen pues el que hay “pertenece”
a los grandes ladrones, a los banqueros
que imprimen el dólar y QEs.
Que desgracia la mia, ver como caen los Yuanes, y los rubros tambien, dijo alguien, y no poder visitar China ni Rusia. Peor desgracia la de los ricos, pueden comprar Yuanes baratos, pero no la gallina de los huevos de oro, pueden visitar Rusia, pero no fragmentarla como quisieran (soniar con opio Afghano no les cuesta).
Peor desgracia aun, tener un dólar que cada día vale menos y menos.
Solo me alegra la vieja cancion de Spain "Ojala quiera el Dios del cielo, que la tortilla se vuelva, que la tortilla se vuelva, que los pobres coman pan y los ricos mierda mierda"
------------
RELATED ARTICLE:
Que desgracia la mia, ver como caen los Yuanes, y los rubros tambien, dijo alguien, y no poder visitar China ni Rusia. Peor desgracia la de los ricos, pueden comprar Yuanes baratos, pero no la gallina de los huevos de oro, pueden visitar Rusia, pero no fragmentarla como quisieran (soniar con opio Afghano no les cuesta).
Peor desgracia aun, tener un dólar que cada día vale menos y menos.
Solo me alegra la vieja cancion de Spain "Ojala quiera el Dios del cielo, que la tortilla se vuelva, que la tortilla se vuelva, que los pobres coman pan y los ricos mierda mierda"
------------
RELATED ARTICLE:
Treasury Yield Curve Collapses At Fastest Pace In 7 Years
========
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario