Tantawi a Mubarak's poodle and veteran defence minister, took power.

Tantawi a Mubarak's poodle and veteran defence minister, took power.Haz, February 12, 2011

Let’s evaluate the context and redefine the tactics to complete the 2nd stage of the revolution.

FACT 1. Who is Tantawi, the head of the Military Council in Power. Who are they?
Reuters said that Tantawi is a veteran Defense Minister of Mubarak regime. Considering that most Defense Ministers in States clients of the US are being controlled by the Pentagon-CIA, then what we have is more of the same.

FACT 2. Tantawi is also considered as conservative person, and as the “poodle” of Mubarak. The Guaerdian think that is difficult that this military council “accept a democratic transition that includes the legalisation of its bugbear, the banned Muslim Brotherhood, the most powerful opposition force in the country”. Even more difficult if the civilian population demands investigation on HR abuses and corruption during the Mubarak regime. Most of the top military are involved in such business.

FACT 3. Scholars and reporters expert on middle East politics consider that there won’t be any transition to democracy with this Military Council in Power. Jon Alterman for isntance said the “Egypt isn't moving towards democracy, it's moved into martial law and where it goes is now subject to debate.". Alterman is director and senior fellow of the Middle East Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) at Harvard. Prior to joining CSIS, he served as a member of the Policy Planning Staff at the U.S. Department of State and as a special assistant to the assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs.

FACT 4. What we saw in TV is that the VP-CIA officer Omar Suleiman introduced him with all the traditional American ritual of continuity and that Tantawi was very grateful to Mubarak. Tantawi did not mention anything about his transition plan. It was evident the complicity ** with Mubarak.

WHAT IS NEXT?.

My reading of the context suggest several possibilities for future action

1. People wil keep massive periodic movilizations (not every week) to let them now WE ARE WATCHING AT YOU?. Pancarts will show their demands

2. They will explore legal counseling to file Mubarak for crimes against humanity and corruption in international courts. They may also request to the UN support to set up a Truth Committee in Egypt.

3. They will evaluate if the Military has travel with the Judiciary or the Constitutional Court to introduce provisional amends so as to proceed in the calling of elections and demand that the voices of the civilian population be listen on this regards.

4. The fighter for democracy will explore at local level the way to create united front for democracy with the aim of taking control of the Local electoral committee.

5. If the military do not give voice to the cvilian population and plan to use previuos tactics to rig electiosn, they will initiate a 2nd round of struggles for democracy, this time agaisnt the miliatry council in power.

6. They may also postpone the fight to reform the constitution to the time the new President takes power. I do not thing Egyptian people will live the revolution incomplete.

SOURCES:

After Mubarak, Egypt looks forward. Feb 12 (Reuters) By Samia Nakhoul http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/world/8823330/after-mubarak-egypt-looks-forward/

Jon Alterman on the military to CNN :
(http://articles.cnn.com/2011-01-30/opinion/alterman.egypt.military_1_military-government-upper-egypt-omar-suleiman?_s=PM:OPINION)

The Guardian: Egyptian army calls the shots as nation embarks on democratic transition guardian.co.uk, Friday 11 February 2011 http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/feb/11/egypt-army-mubarak-political-reform

ARTICLES